GenAI in Telecom: Transforming Operations from Front to Back Office

Key GenAI Use Cases in the Telecom Industry

Generative AI (GenAI) will be utilized in all major domains of communication service providers (CSPs), including in customer care, administrative functions, IT, sales, marketing and the network, with the bulk of outcomes pertaining to cost savings.

 

TBR’s research indicates the domains that will be the most disrupted by, and also yield the greatest ROI from, the use of GenAI are customer care, administrative functions and sales. For example, the cost of operating contact centers could be reduced by as much as 80% via the use of GenAI.

 

In addition to significant cost reduction, CSPs can expect to derive other benefits from GenAI, such as better customer outcomes and lower churn compared to more traditional, human agent-centric contact centers. GenAI chatbots are expected to behave like seasoned, top-rated human agents, able to guide customers and address their issues in a much more efficient manner.

Principal Analyst Chris Antlitz Discusses AI/GenAI Use Cases and Early Wins as well as Shortfalls of the Type of Return on the Heavy Investments in 5G and 6G — Click the Image to Watch the full video now!

 

Future Trends in GenAI for Telecom

Though CSPs may generate incremental revenue from GenAI in terms of revenue protection (e.g., using GenAI in contact centers to mitigate churn), upsell (e.g., using GenAI in contact centers to upsell customers), GPU as a Service (e.g., selling access to GPUs to CSPs’ end customers in data centers hosted by CSPs) and the resale of vendor solutions (e.g., CSPs reselling their partners’ GenAI-related solutions), the bulk of the benefit from GenAI will pertain to cost reduction.

 

Cost reduction encompasses making the workforce more productive (e.g., using GenAI to augment workers, enabling them to complete more tasks in a given time frame), optimizing the workforce (e.g., reducing headcount), and generating savings through non-labor-oriented means such as via energy optimization (e.g., leveraging GenAI to make more informed decisions about how to optimize network and IT systems, thereby reducing energy usage).

U.S. Telecom Market Outlook: Public Sector Revenue Growth for 2024 [Infographic]

U.S. Telecom Market Research: Key Trends and Market Share

Telecom Vendor Market Share and Competition

TBR estimates public sector revenue from U.S.-based service providers grew 6.1% year-to-year in 4Q23 to $5.4 billion (highlighted in the TBR infographic below). Total public sector revenue growth was driven by wireless revenue, which increased 9% year-to-year to an estimated $2.8 billion. First responder initiatives such as AT&T FirstNet and Verizon Frontline are the main drivers of public sector wireless revenue growth as these units are attracting public safety agencies seeking enhanced reliability to support mission-critical workloads and use cases.

 

TBR estimates network modernization programs such as the General Services Administration’s (GSA) 15-year Enterprise Infrastructure Solutions (EIS) program, which has generated $26.6 billion in business volume since it began in 2017, are driving public sector wireline revenue growth. However, agency migration off legacy contracts such as the GSA’s Networx program is partially offsetting revenue growth from modernization programs such as EIS.

Public Sector Impact on U.S. Telecom Market Segmentation and Size

Market Dominance and Emerging Competition

AT&T, Verizon and Lumen Technologies are still significantly outpacing rivals in total public sector revenue, largely due to the companies’ established footing in the U.S. federal market. AT&T and Verizon also benefit by offering robust portfolios of both wireless and wireline solutions, whereas some competitors, such as Lumen, predominately provide wireline services and others, such as T-Mobile, only offer wireless solutions.

 

Conversely, Charter and Comcast continue to generate the bulk of public sector revenue from U.S. state and local agencies but are gradually gaining traction in the federal market, including by participating in the EIS program via Charter’s partnership with AOC Connect (Core Technologies) and Comcast’s acquisition of Defined Technologies. T-Mobile is also steadily increasing public sector revenue as it is attracting agencies with its 5G capabilities and Connecting Heroes initiative for first responders.

First Responder Initiatives and EIS Migration in the Public Sector

Though TBR expects first responder initiatives will remain a key driver of public sector revenue growth over the next several years, the market is gradually maturing, as evidenced by FirstNet annual customer growth decelerating from 1.4 million new connections in 2022 to 1.1 million new connections in 2023. Conversely, the EIS program provides significant long-term revenue opportunity for contractors but short-term revenue generation has been hampered by many agencies delaying EIS migrations due to factors including uncertainty around long-term budget and technology requirements.

Next Steps: Navigating the U.S. Telecom Public Sector

Dive deeper into TBR’s U.S. telecom operator public sector research at our upcoming TBR Insights Live session. TBR Senior Analyst Steve Vachon will explore overarching market trends and examine the revenue performance and go-to-market strategies of leading U.S. operators competing in the segment. Additionally, he’ll look at key trends and developments at the federal, state and local government levels that are impacting the business performance of these operators.

 

Register now for the May 23 event!

IT Services Market in 2024: Key Success Factors for Vendors

While macroeconomic uncertainty challenges year-to-year revenue growth in the IT services sector, the trajectory beyond 2024 appears promising, largely due to the resilience of managed services bookings. to read more vendor analysis from our recently published research. 

IT Managed Services and Revenue Growth Outlook

Trends in IT Consulting and Professional Services

Macroeconomic uncertainty will cause year-to-year IT services revenue growth to decelerate in 2024, according to the latest data in TBR’s IT Services Vendor Benchmark. However, IT services spending will continue as clients seek run-the-business managed services opportunities to operate in challenging market conditions characterized by inflation, foreign exchange rate fluctuations and political uncertainty.

 

While clients continue to pursue digital transformation, macroeconomic uncertainty is pressuring discretionary spending, as evidenced by softening benchmark performance for the fifth consecutive quarter within the consulting and systems integration segment in 4Q23.

 

The ongoing success of some vendors with large and long-term managed services deals suggests they are well positioned to navigate evolving buyer expectations. Maintaining trust with stakeholders through transparent messaging will be key, especially as managed services bookings take longer to convert into cash compared to consulting ones, a trend that could easily be misinterpreted.

 

Client retention is not an easy task as it requires maintaining service quality throughout the client engagement and delivery cycles. Focusing on client success rather than meeting internal financial targets will be key for vendors, as salespeople and leadership can often lose their focus on priorities, especially during economic downturns.
 

Click the image below to watch the on-demand replay of our Q&A on GenAI opportunities for legacy GSIs

TBR Insights Live: GenAI Opportunities for Legacy Global Systems Integrators (GSIs)

Global IT Services Market Insights and Vendor Strategies

Vendors Shift Industry Mix

Vendors continue to experience growth pressures in the financial services and telecom sectors in regions including the U.S. and the U.K. & Ireland. Expanding portfolios and resources across a broader spectrum of verticals, for example by building capabilities in manufacturing, enables vendors to diversify revenue streams and alleviate revenue growth pressures.

GenAI Remains an Area of Investment

Generative AI (GenAI) has been an area of investment over the past year across multiple vendors tracked in the IT Services Vendor Benchmark. Vendors are focusing on GenAI for two reasons: to use GenAI internally to bolster productivity, and to provide GenAI-related services to clients to drive revenue streams. The success of GenAI depends on good data. Efforts to adopt GenAI-enhanced solutions will persistently run into data issues, opening the door for consultancies and consulting-led IT services vendors to assist with data orchestration.

Employee Attrition Is Decelerating

Resource management trends are shifting from spikes in hiring and employee attrition in 2022 to selective hiring for in-demand skills, reskilling and upskilling, and a deceleration in employee attrition in 2023. Productivity initiatives and steady employee utilization will enable vendors to stabilize cost structures and invest in skills development to support revenue growth.

Conclusion

While macroeconomic uncertainty challenges year-to-year revenue growth in the IT services sector, the trajectory beyond 2024 appears promising, largely due to the resilience of managed services bookings. Despite macroeconomic uncertainty the revenue growth trajectory beyond 2024 is promising, driven by the resilience of managed services bookings.

 

Vendors must adapt to strong demand by diversifying industry mixes, investing in emerging technologies like GenAI and prioritizing client success over internal financial targets. Moreover, as employee attrition decelerates and resource management trends evolve, vendors have opportunities to stabilize cost structures and invest in skills development, further positioning themselves for sustained revenue growth amid evolving market dynamics. Strategic adaptation and a focus on long-term client value will be essential for IT services vendors to thrive in the coming years.

 

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2024: A Transitional Year for GenAI and PC Markets

PC vendors are embracing the AI PC in hopes that this new offering will propel a vigorous recovery from the recent post-pandemic slump in PC sales. There are, however, only a few unexciting current AI applications that take advantage of the new AI hardware. Compelling applications that rely on PC and smartphone hardware will become available starting in 2025.

The Current State of AI Use in Devices

Currently, both PCs and smartphones provide access to cloud-based generative (GenAI) applications, primarily through browsers but also including some application integration in programs like Microsoft Copilot and Adobe Photoshop. Some machine learning (ML) functions, such as computational photography on smartphones and background blurring and noise filtering on PCs, are also performed on devices.
 

TBR Senior Analyst Ben Carbonneau discusses trend expectations for the Devices industry in 2024 and how TBR’s research will address market activity in the coming year. Click the image below to watch the full video now!

2024: GenAI and PCs at a Pivotal Crossroad

As TBR analyzes the devices market for both individual vendor coverage and semiannual benchmarks, we expect the following impacts this year:

The AI PC Will Generate Interest but Will Not Greatly Affect Sales in 2024

Microsoft and the PC vendors are promoting AI PCs, which are equipped with neural processing unit (NPU) capabilities. Microsoft is adding NPU-powered video background blurring to Windows 11, but currently there are few other applications where NPUs help.

The AI PC Will Drive Conversations Between Customers and OEMs

The rapid evolution of GenAI is disruptive everywhere, and that includes PC customers who want to know what devices to buy for which employees at what time. This is an opportunity for deeper relationships among OEMs, customers and the channel.

Privacy Will be an Important Issue, Starting in 2024

One of the promises of GenAI is better management of private information like emails, messages and even voice conversations. These applications require absolute privacy. They must run and learn locally, on the device. Apple’s reputation for privacy will help the company here.

Conclusion

In 2024 the introduction of AI PCs by Microsoft and PC vendors, featuring NPU capabilities, has generated interest but is not anticipated to significantly boost sales. While Microsoft is incorporating NPU-powered features like video background blurring into Windows 11, applications for NPUs currently remain limited. However, the emergence of AI PCs has sparked discussions between customers and OEMs, paving the way for deeper relationships within the industry.

As GenAI continues to evolve rapidly, privacy concerns have become increasingly important, particularly regarding the handling of sensitive information such as emails and text messages. The demand for absolute privacy necessitates that AI applications run and learn locally on the customer’s device, a trend in which Apple’s strong reputation for privacy may play a significant role.

The Critical Role of Competitive Intelligence in Strategy Planning

Competitive intelligence serves companies in three main areas: market knowledge, analysis, and activities, which includes technologies, products and services. Integrating these resources and data into strategy planning enables a company to view the full picture of its current positioning and composition as well as where it should be heading with investments and planning. In this blog we look at why strategy planning matters, how to strategize and how to successfully leverage CI in your strategy plan.

Introduction to Competitive Intelligence in Strategy Planning

As companies face new struggles across the market, affecting consumer interaction, portfolio management and composition, and resource structure, overall strategies need to be refreshed. The pandemic opened the door for companies to embed resiliency and flexibility across strategies and business operations. The increased adaptability equips companies to better shift their strategies and prepare for related changes.

 

Strategy planning involves bringing together pieces from across the business and defining a plan moving forward. With environmental, social and governance needs moving to the forefront of company activities, it becomes more important to properly budget for strategy planning and allow for essential changes to take effect.

 

With ongoing market changes, the importance of strategy planning increases as it dictates a company’s success. According to TBR’s definition, strategy consulting facilitates executive planning to define an organization’s vision, set goals and address the alignment of resources to achieve specific goals or results. It involves analytic methods, such as competitive analysis and market analysis, among other strategic plays, to achieve these objectives.

 

Demand for strategy consulting accelerated during 2022 as many companies looked to redefine objectives and transform their business orientation and offerings. However, with a shift toward generative AI (GenAI) and analytics, strategy consulting decelerated among TBR’s tracked management consulting firms.

 

While firms leverage different capabilities to facilitate strategy projects, a focus on technology consulting pressures strategy engagements as clients look to integrate GenAI and analytics solutions to drive changes across operations. With AI remaining a primary investment area, strategy planning becomes a necessity to properly analyze and identify adoption opportunities.
 

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Strategize Strategy Planning

While strategy planning has its benefits, helping companies drive overall business growth and identify the right path forward, there are three caveats that can change the outcome.

  • First, establishing and maintaining a successful cadence will enable the company to effectively capture opportunities. Engaging in strategy planning too frequently does not allow for thorough execution while engaging in it too infrequently could lead to overlooked items and missed signs, moving the company in the wrong direction.
  • Second, identifying areas and inputs to pursue and measure that align with the company’s goals and thought leadership will help drive the company’s strategy Using a consistent set of inputs from trusted sources can underpin a shared set of facts and assumptions, preventing a company from swinging from one strategy to another. However, consistently relying on the same information, rather than considering new ideas and directions, can also put a company on the wrong course.
  • Lastly, challenges can arise in translating a strategy plan into an operational one, hindering a company’s ability to scale its plans.

 

Engaging in thorough planning and ensuring that validated and relevant data are utilized can enable companies to better understand competitor and peer strategies as well as the areas that should be invested in and to what degree. Without analyzing external and internal factors, companies can experience slowed progress or end up heavily rooted in the wrong area, placing them far behind the competition.

 

With rapidly changing technologies and trends in the business landscape, identifying and pursuing opportunities that best align with a company’s goals and composition will dictate the success of the company’s expansion efforts. For example, the hype around the metaverse did not quite live up to expectations as vendors have made stronger bets and investments in other technologies, including AI, digital and cloud. While metaverse technology remains valuable and brings a different experience to users, it was not scaled as aggressively by vendors as other capabilities

How to Leverage Competitive Intelligence in Strategy Planning

While keeping in mind the three caveats outlined above that can alter the outcome of strategy planning, companies must also be aware of peers’ and competitors’ activities and investments. Taking into account this information can help a company determine its market position as well as which avenues it can utilize to successfully expand.

 

Competitive intelligence serves companies in three main areas: market knowledge, analysis, and activities, which includes technologies, products and services. Integrating these resources and data into strategy planning enables a company to view the full picture of its current positioning and composition as well as where it should be heading with investments and planning.

Conclusion

Strategy planning is an important piece of companies’ successes in the market and paths forward. Through strategic planning — provided it is executed at the right cadence and rooted in valid and relevant data — companies can determine the appropriate investment areas and where best to place their bets to keep pace with peers. With technology trends changing so rapidly, companies need to remain flexible and resilient through strategy planning, enabling them to pursue opportunities that best align with their goals and business composition. Additionally, through strategy planning, companies can improve their positioning through proper analysis of trends and business alignment.

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