Open RAN Adoption in 2024

The open RAN market is developing slowly due to technological complexity and relatively high cost compared to classic RAN. These factors mean the open RAN market is unlikely to scale to mainstream adoption in 2024.

Current Trend in Open RAN

Despite heavy (and sometimes excessive) marketing by vendors and hope among communication service providers (CSPs) around open RAN, the reality is that the technology remains immature.

 

Open RAN gear has been implemented successfully and is running live traffic in a few commercial networks (mostly in greenfield environments) in various parts of the world, but significant gaps still need to be closed in feature parity, performance parity and implementation cost parity with traditional RAN before open RAN can truly replace or augment traditional RAN.

 

This inflection point remains at least another year away, and until this occurs, open RAN will likely remain a very small portion of the overall RAN market.

Watch 2024 Telecom Predictions session – 2024 Telecom Industry Outlook: Navigating Macroeconomic and Industry-specific Turbulence

Open RAN Outlook for 2024

CSPs that have been clamoring for open RAN remain committed to the technology, but there is increasing acceptance that open RAN is not ready to be commercially deployed at scale (especially not in areas of the macro layer that are heavily trafficked) as a viable alternative to traditional, purpose-built RAN — and may not be viewed as ready at least through 2024. As such, open RAN will continue to have a limited impact on the RAN market in 2024.

 

Graph: CSP 5G Spend Forecast by Ran Architecture 2022-2027E

Conclusion

CSP urgency to stay competitive from a time-to-market perspective in some markets has prompted many CSPs to continue down the traditional RAN architecture path, at least for their initial 5G deployments because this architecture is proved, ready and currently able to be scaled faster than open RAN and/or vRAN.
 
Significant hurdles (e.g., feature parity, performance parity and implementation cost parity gaps relative to traditional RAN) still need to be overcome for open RAN to commercialize, mature and scale, especially within brownfield network environments. Thus far, open RAN deployments have been primarily limited to greenfield networks, such as DISH Network and Rakuten Mobile, where the technology is easier to roll out.

 

vRAN, on the other hand, has been commercialized and is gaining traction in the broader RAN market, with key CSPs like Verizon deploying the technology at scale. TBR estimates more than 60% of the open RAN and vRAN segment will be vRAN through the forecast period.

 

Ultimately, CSPs will rally around an open vRAN architecture because it promises a range of benefits, including agility and greater cost efficiencies compared to the traditional RAN architecture (open vRAN is theoretically able to provide cost savings in excess of 50% versus traditional RAN, representing a major incentive for CSPs that are trying to mitigate cost pressures amid the inexorable rise in data traffic on their networks).

 

To learn more about TBR’s predictions for the telecom market in 2024, download your free copy of Top Predictions for Telecom in 2024, featuring a look at the telecom industry response to macroeconomic and industry-specific challenges.

Expectations for AI PCs in 2024

What Is an AI PC?

AI PCs have created significant buzz in an otherwise commoditized industry where demand has plunged since the accelerated pandemic buying cycle of 2020 and 2021. The definition of AI PC varies by PC OEM and silicon provider, but there is consensus that at its core AI PCs are purpose-built machines meant to enable accelerated AI workloads by leveraging specialized hardware that can include a neural processing unit (NPU).

 

However, in this current phase of AI PC, hardware is well ahead of software development. With Intel starting shipments of its Meteor Lake processors in December 2023, PCs with NPUs are beginning to come to market in volume albeit applications that require specialized AI PCs to run are few and far between.

 

Understanding that despite the bright future of AI PC, near-term commercial PC refreshes could potentially be delayed as organizations await the development of the first “killer application” that markedly differentiates performance between these new AI-optimized machines and PCs that are presently deployed.

Watch TBR Senior Analyst Ben Carbonneau Discuss Predictions for the AI PC, and the Devices Market as a Whole, in 2024

Predictions for the Devices Industry in 2024

Prediction: PC OEMs continue to await the ramping of the post-pandemic PC refresh cycle, anticipating low-single-digit market growth in 2024.

Prediction: The introduction of AI PCs will impact the rate of commercial PC refresh in 2024.

Prediction: Windows on ARM will gradually gain momentum in the near- to long-term as ARM-native Windows applications are developed and as Microsoft works to mitigate issues associated with backward compatibility.

 

TBR’s Devices market and competitive intelligence research covers the interrelated ecosystems of device vendors, platform providers, supplier and technology partners across consumer and commercial spaces. Each quarter we publish competitor and market benchmarking as well as market sizing, vendor positioning, strategies and customer adoption trends for the market as a whole. Additionally, we publish individual analysis on Apple, Dell Technologies, HP Inc. and Lenovo Group.

 

To learn more about TBR’s predictions for the devices industry in 2024, check out our recent interview with Senior Analyst Ben Carbonneau.

GenAI Expectations for Enterprise Buyers in 2024

GenAI and Enterprise Buyers

In 2023 we wrote: “Automation will lower costs and AI will transform businesses.” A year later, this trend is even more pronounced, largely accelerated by the advent of generative AI (GenAI).

 

GenAI is new and exciting, but buyers’ realities and priorities did not change just because GenAI came along, which will force vendors to cite tangible use cases that minimize disruption and maximize ROI.

 

We did not see GenAI disrupting the technology and services market to the extent it did in 2023, and we do not recall a single conversation with vendors and enterprise buyers prior to November 2022 in which the term GenAI was even mentioned. However, the increase in macroeconomic headwinds is forcing market participants to rethink how to best position their portfolios, go-to-market strategies and commercial models.

Watch 2024 Digital Transformation Predictions session: Navigating GenAI in Digital Transformation in 2024

2024 GenAI Outlook for Enterprise Buyers

The GenAI hype has raised buyers’ expectations that the implications of the technology have become more clear, increasing pressure on technology and services vendors to deliver value — starting with use cases and rapidly pivoting toward outcomes.

 

Of course, for any of these aspirations to happen at scale, one must take a closer look at how well prepared enterprise buyers are in their data architectures, IT stacks and, most importantly, their people. Buyers are somewhat conditioned that their third-party services and technology providers will constantly try to nudge them and introduce new technologies. The current environment is no different, but what makes GenAI more special is the hype that GenAI can optimize costs while driving new growth areas.

 

However, simply adding GenAI to IT modernization and/or cloud migration projects does not serve everyone well and really just prepares them for the long play. And it is certainly a long play, especially as less than 10% of global enterprises have a defined data strategy, according to industry reports.

 

But vendors must act now, as discretionary spending has stalled and enterprise buyers are spending only on projects that have greater organizational impact — if at all — rather than testing new frameworks or experimenting with proof-of-concept innovation-wrapped discussions. So, the most immediate opportunity for GenAI to make an impact is for vendors developing function- and/or department-specific models.

 

Developing large language models (LLMs) is not cheap, and organizational data typically lives in silos — departmental or functional. We see vendors starting to dabble with the idea of introducing “narrow” language models that are built off the same departmental data that for decades vendors and enterprises have aspired to make interoperable. It is possible that GenAI could force enterprises to raise their organizational walls even taller, which would necessitate different commercial and partner models.

Conclusion

Vendors must act now. Establishing more defined use cases around function- and/or department-aligned data will pave the way for the technology as vendors seek to scale adoption across industries. Even if adoption cannot be scaled in the near term, being entrenched early in a client’s GenAI journey should lead to long-tail revenue.

 

To learn more about TBR’s predictions for digital transformation in 2024, download your free copy of Top Predictions for Digital Transformation in 2024, featuring a look at the path to GenAI-enabled growth in this new year.

From Transformation to Optimization: GenAI Hype vs. IT Services Reality

An uncertain macroeconomic outlook has continued to pressure discretionary spending and consulting activities while fueling a wave of outsourcing demand around infrastructure and application modernization, productivity improvement and cost optimization.
 
Maintaining trust with stakeholders through transparent messaging will be key to competing in this market landscape, especially as managed services bookings take longer to convert into cash compared to consulting engagements. Multiple vendors are developing generative AI (GenAI) offerings for clients as well as using them internally. While GenAI provides a strong use case around improving productivity, it can also challenge vendors’ managed services businesses if the technology is not properly priced after accounting for the impact on staffing models.
 
Join Principal Analyst Patrick M. Heffernan and Senior Analyst Elitsa Bakalova Thursday, March 7, 2024, for an exclusive review of the latest insights and analysis in TBR’s IT Services Vendor Benchmark, which looks at the competitive landscape as well as the performances of 31 leading IT services providers. Don’t miss this opportunity to learn the strategies vendors are leveraging to succeed in the challenging market environment.
 

In This FREE TBR Insights Live Session on GenAI in IT Services in 2024 You’ll Learn:

  • The drivers behind IT services vendors’ positive performance
  • Vendors’ performance in the financial services industry and in the Americas geography
  • TBR’s expectations for IT services in 2024

 

TBR webinars are held typically on Thursdays at 1 p.m. ET and include a 15-minute Q&A session following the main presentation. Previous webinars can be viewed anytime on TBR’s Webinar Portal.
For additional information or to arrange a briefing with our analysts, please contact TBR at [email protected].

KPMG Leaders Talk 2024 Priorities and Plans to Scale Execution

Ready, Steady, Scale

As part of the Big Four, KPMG has brand permission and a breadth of services relevant to nearly every role in any enterprise. TBR believes KPMG will accelerate the scale and completeness of its offerings in the coming year, building on a solid foundation and furthering the gaps between KPMG and other consulting-led, technology-enabled professional services providers.

 

KPMG’s four-part framework — Connected, Powered, Trusted and Elevated — resonates with clients and technology partners, provides KPMG’s professionals with clear insight into the firm’s strengths and strategy, and underpins a transformation already well underway. The coming year will challenge KPMG’s leaders to execute on the promise of that transformation during the next wave of macroeconomic pressures, talent management battles and technology revolutions.

 

KPMG’s leaders described their priorities as transforming the firm’s go-to-market approach, unlocking the power of the firm’s people, reimagining ways of working, and innovating capabilities and service enhancements. Success against these priorities, in TBR’s view, will come as KPMG shifts from building a foundation to scaling alongside the growing needs of its clients.

Welcome (or Welcome Back) to Lakehouse

Breaking from the traditional form for analyst events — presentations followed by special sessions and one-on-one meetings — KPMG divided the attending analysts into three groups, rotating each group through Ignition, KPMG’s immersive innovation lab experience; presentations and demos in an Innovation Showcase; and a tour of Lakehouse. A few highlights:

 

  • In addition to walking the analysts through the typical 10-minute start of an Ignition session, recreating what KPMG’s clients experience, the firm gave the stage to a client, who shared their experiences working with KPMG. The consulting and technology solutions provided by KPMG served as useful context for the breadth of KPMG’s capabilities and the importance of using an innovation center. Most notably, the client described how their own brand depended on being a trusted partner in the communities they served and how their relationship with KPMG reinforced that trust across the full spectrum of the consultancy, the client and the client’s clients. TBR came away with a better appreciation for KPMG’s ability to extend trust and partner across its offerings and engagements.
  • KPMG’s technology presentations included a wide range of solutions leveraging an array of emerging technologies such as quantum and generative AI (GenAI). Taking more than the allotted hour with TBR, the KPMG team walked through a surprising number of offerings, repeatedly coming back to two critical points: These are currently active solutions, deployed with clients and moving toward scale (i.e., not ideas undergoing testing or in beta), and KPMG boasts a breadth of technology capabilities that TBR realized was far greater than our expectations prior to the event.
  • KPMG has continued to apply lessons around training and talent management to maximize the firm’s culture effects delivered by Lakehouse. As shared by KPMG’s leaders, small changes since Lakehouse opened have kept the employee experience fresh and the overall satisfaction with attending training or other kinds of sessions at Lakehouse exceptionally high. For example, KPMG learned that two and a half days of in-person sessions reduced the stress of being away from clients or engagements for a full week. By layering Monday to Wednesday and Wednesday to Friday training schedules, KPMG can bring more employees through Lakehouse without inducing training burnout or challenging employees to balance client demands with professional development time. In an informal discussion, an event guest (neither an analyst nor a KPMG employee) commented to TBR that she was amazed to see a facility that was designed for and dedicated to training.

 

KPMG’s decision to ease into an analyst event with small groups wandering around Lakehouse played to the firm’s strengths as approachable and multifaceted, with each of the three sessions quietly reinforcing the firm’s commitments to maintaining trust with clients, advancing technology-enabled solutions to business problems, and supporting the firm’s own people through professional development and firm culture.

 

While the firm is already leveraging the facility globally, one challenge for KPMG next year and beyond will be replicating Lakehouse globally. During a coffee chat shortly after the analyst event in Orlando, TBR and a senior KPMG consulting partner discussed how, whether and when the firm could open similar best-in-class training facilities in key geographies, such as Europe, the Middle East and Asia Pacific.

 

While Lakehouse requires a significant investment from KPMG’s legally separate member firms, TBR — and KPMG leaders who discussed the possibilities — has already seen Lakehouse expand from a training-only facility to a showcase for clients, reinforcing KPMG’s culture and the firm’s place in the professional services market.

Stick to the Mission and Tackle the Biggest Problems

Across the full day of presentations, KPMG repeatedly came back to highlighting its efforts to bring together the entire firm to deliver value to clients through a four-part framework: Connected, Powered, Trusted and Elevate. That value, according to KPMG’s leadership, began with trusted relationships with its clients, built when clients developed their business strategies and turned to KPMG for advice and validation.

 

Notably, according to KPMG’s leadership, pure technology companies often lack the strategy consulting permission (or people) as an enterprise begins a transformation, even if implementing new or modernizing existing technology will play a leading role. And when the technology is delivering business results, KPMG has the trusted advisor role and the skills to refresh an enterprise’s strategy.

 

Bringing this high-level view — which is not that different from what the other Big Four firms offer — to a more concrete understanding of KPMG’s value to its clients, TBR repeatedly heard two phrases during the Lakehouse event: “Let’s go after the core of the biggest problems you have” and “Stick to our mission.”

 

The first phrase demonstrates a willingness to take risks and tackle hard issues, not simply assist with marginal, if necessary, changes. In contrast, many of KPMG’s IT services competitors that are equally willing to help clients move from technology transformation pilots to enterprise-scale deployments still prioritize transactional engagements with a reduced risk mindset. (Note: TBR believes GenAI will strip 15% of the cost from current large-scale managed services contracts, a potentially existential threat to a few global systems integrators [SIs].)

 

The second phrase signals to TBR that KPMG’s leadership fully embraces the firm’s role within the larger services and technology ecosystem, to include where and when the firm needs to partner with technology vendors and even larger SIs. In a market flush with technology hype — GenAI today, metaverse in 2021, blockchain in 2019 — KPMG has resisted the temptation to chase technology discussions with technologists for technology’s sake and instead has focused on business decision makers looking for advice, a strategy and an execution plan. Stick to the mission. Go after the biggest problems.

Who Has the Money and Time to Build Their Own Bridge?

In a wide-ranging presentation and discussion around data, KPMG leaders acknowledged that every professional services firm emphasizes rigorous, standardized and methodical analysis of its clients’ data (when they can get it and its useful; see TBR’s Voice of the Customer research for how often that is the case).

 

To separate itself, KPMG leaders said the firm leans into experience, applicable industry knowledge, a dedication to methodology, and extracting value from existing assets. In TBR’s view, this last point illustrates a critical shift in enterprise buyers’ priorities that KPMG has picked up on and has begun to leverage.

 

In TBR’s view — and apparently KPMG’s as well — consulting and digital transformation clients want to move beyond the endless rounds of buying new technology solutions and reorient to extracting value from existing assets. To span that gap from existing data to modernized technology and transformed business, enterprises still need a bridge. KPMG has the blueprints and the experience in building those bridges, helping clients elevate and transform.

Solidifying Alliances Through Trust, Culture and Shared Values

Pivoting to alliances with technology partners, KPMG’s leaders spent a significant portion of the analyst event describing how the firm works with Google Cloud (Nasdaq: GOOG), IBM (NYSE: IBM), Oracle (NYSE: ORCL), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), ServiceNow (NYSE: NOW), Salesforce (NYSE: CRM), SAP (NYSE: SAP), Workday (Nasdaq: WDAY), and Verizon (NYSE: VZ). We cover SAP and Verizon in detail below, but a few elements came across as essential to how KPMG sees its role in the larger technology ecosystem:

 

  • Technology partners look to KPMG for industry experience and access to buying personas at clients that technology partners simply do not have (think: CFO).
  • Technology partners expect KPMG to share values, align culturally and invest in sustained relationships at multiple levels within each partner.

 

The first set of expectations technology partners have for KPMG do not significantly differ, if at all, from similar expectations of the other Big Four firms. The second set, in TBR’s view, demonstrates KPMG’s more focused and selective approach to alliances. Technology partners only expect cultural alignment and shared values if both parties make that a core element of the alliance.

 

Given the nature of other technology-plus-consultancy alliances TBR has analyzed in detail, KPMG is likely driving the emphasis around cultural fit and shared values, an effort that cannot be replicated across tens or even hundreds of alliance relationships. As will be reinforced by the following sections on SAP and Verizon, TBR sees KPMG’s alliance strategy as well suited to how the firm has built its brand around trust. As the firm continues to scale to meet clients’ needs, maintaining that emphasis on trust, culture and shared values will challenge KPMG and require careful management across the global member firms.

 

One final comment: One of the leaders from one of KPMG’s technology partners began their discussion by stating, “The candor and brutal honesty that they brought to the assessment reinforced KPMG’s reputation.” It is hard to imagine an endorsement more rooted in trust and shared values.

KPMG and SAP: Growing Exceptionally Fast, with Plenty of White Space Ahead

For more than a decade, KPMG’s audit relationship with SAP precluded the firm from going to market jointly with SAP and constricted KPMG’s potential relationship with the ERP giant. Unrestrained now, KPMG has the opportunity to step smartly into a competitive field currently overcrowded with services vendors looking to ride the wave of enterprises migrating to SAP S/4HANA. Separating KPMG from this pack, which includes its Big Four peers and global SI (GSI) giants like Accenture (NYSE: ACN) and Capgemini, requires executing on three key elements, in TBR’s view.

 

First, KPMG needs to ensure SAP’s leadership, sales teams and especially SAP S/4HANA subject matter experts understand the scale and capabilities KPMG already has and where the firm is investing — in SAP — in the near term. Convincing SAP that KPMG will bring value beyond just another consultancy or SI to SAP’s clients will help KPMG expand its small SAP footprint within existing clients.

 

Second, KPMG will need to continue investing in its SAP practice to ensure credible scale in a crowded marketplace in the long term. KPMG is not starting from zero, and with success in the SAP marketplace requiring integrated cloud, security and business capabilities, KPMG will have to ensure continued tight collaboration among all of these adjacent areas and the 5,000 SAP consultants it already has on its books.

 

Finally, with industry and domain expertise critical to successful SAP-led business transformation KPMG’s Powered Enterprise approach will be key to customer success. Aligning functional and domain expertise across SAP’s Business Technology Platform (BTP) with industry understanding will be critical to driving client value in areas like environmental, social and governance (ESG) and AI. Clients are increasingly seeking outcomes through technology investment, and the KPMG Powered approach aligns the KPMG Target Operating Model, Powered Technology and Powered Industry excellence as well as its suite of deployable assets to drive outcomes with business value.

KPMG and Verizon: Vendor Agnostic No More

If SAP is KPMG’s up-and-coming alliance, what KPMG has developed with Verizon truly distinguishes the firm from the rest of the market. In essence, KPMG and the networking giant evolved their relationship from a history of transformational engagements into what KPMG leaders describe as a collaborative “360-degree relationship” based on a foundation of trust. KPMG brings deep business intelligence and systems integration capabilities, combined with strong industry experience, going to market with Verizon and their disruptive 5G/Mobile Edge Computing technology. In addition, KPMG continues to deliver transformative work, often leveraging other key alliance partners such as ServiceNow.

 

Focusing initial joint go-to-market efforts around opportunities in healthcare, KPMG and Verizon have staked out complementary offerings and responsibilities. For example, as KPMG highlighted during the event, the firm “brings advanced data science and analytics capabilities through KPMG Lighthouse,” while Verizon provides “advanced multi-access edge computing and API management capabilities.” KPMG also emphasized that, specific to healthcare, the firm has launched an Innovation Lab supported by Verizon’s “private 5G infrastructure as backbone.”

 

Describing the array of KPMG and Verizon services, KPMG leaders noted the many offerings, such as Cloud Engineering, Platform Design & Engineering and Digital Twin, Device Simulation & Certification, that KPMG and Verizon will deliver through a joint approach, combining KPMG and Verizon professionals. In TBR’s view, this alliance stands apart from other consultancy technology alliances because of the innovation, development, go-to-market and commercialization commitments.

 

This is not a vendor-agnostic approach. This is picking a 5G, networking and edge provider and going all-in. Based on the presentations onstage and sidebar discussions, this all-in commitment goes both ways, with Verizon clearly seeing the value of partnering as closely as possible with KPMG.

Bringing the Right People Together and Always Making a Difference

During the afternoon sessions, TBR heard multiple client use cases, each one reinforcing KPMG’s core messages around trust, transformation, innovation and value. Three moments stood out as exemplifying precisely what makes KPMG the market-leading firm it is today:

 

  • During a discussion on cybersecurity, KPMG’s leaders noted that the firm brings security experts, industry subject matter experts and even tax professionals to Ignition Center engagements, stressing that this approach — which includes the whole KPMG team — serves multiple purposes. First, the client can appreciate the full range of KPMG’s capabilities and offerings. Second, this approach allows the client (in this case, the chief information security officer [CISO]) to see the business from others’ perspectives. Third, KPMG creates a collective, trusted, collaborative environment, focused on both innovation and core business problems.
  • In a presentation by KPMG, one of its clients and one of its technology partners (Oracle), the client said one key criterion in selecting KPMG was the firm’s credibility in always being able to deliver the right people at the right time who understand the right technology. Trusted relationships depend on dependability and consistent delivery. This client case proved KPMG’s commitment and reinforced that KPMG has been building needed scale.
  • Lastly, dinner at Lakehouse included a panel discussion featuring LPGA’s Commissioner Mollie Marcoux Samaan, and the assistant U.S. team captain, golf pro Angela Stanford, both arriving directly from the 2023 Solheim Cup in Spain, where the U.S. had its best ever score on European soil. According to the LPGA guests, KPMG provided analytics-enabled insights and on-site support to help the U.S. team pick the right pairings over the course of the tournament, bringing data and additional rigor to intensely personal and often challenging decisions. As a use case, few of KPMG’s enterprise clients will need the firm’s help pairing golfers to win a tournament, but every client will likely lean on KPMG for assistance with data-driven decisions.

 

At the start of 2024, KPMG has positioned itself well to sustain its core values, bring transformation to clients and continue to scale. Now comes the execution of that strategy.

 

Note: KPMG also shared specific details about its alliances with ServiceNow, Salesforce, Workday, Microsoft and Oracle. These details will be included in TBR’s ongoing coverage of KPMG and in upcoming ecosystem reports.

 

GenAI and the Power of the Use Case

Vendors capable of playing nice in the GenAI sandbox and backing up their GenAI stories and promises with delivered results for clients will outpace peers in 2024. Vendors missing any of those components will still be able to benefit from the GenAI gold rush, but they will experience poorer results and diminishing relevance in the market. Download your free copy of TBR’s AI & GenAI Spotlight Report to read more on TBR’s GenAI market research.

What is GenAI?

Generative AI (GenAI) is a type of AI that allows users to create completely unique items, including text, images, video and audio, from written requests. The most critical difference between commonly used AI tools and GenAI is simply the difference between answering a question using available information verse creating a unique answer. AI is asking Alexa who won the Boston Celtics game last night. GenAI is asking Alexa to write a text to a friend to tell him he should have bet on the Celtics for last night’s game.

 

At TBR we’re continually examining the business models and financial, resource and go-to-market strategies of companies in the technology ecosystem, so we’re often looking beyond the marketing hype to the delivered value and financial results. The use of the word “stories” rather than “strategies” when it comes to GenAI highlights the critical need for use cases for this new technology. In the case of GenAI, what clearly mattered in 2023 and will continue to matter in 2024 is not nuanced strategic decisions or even fine-tuned market positioning but the need to tell a good story.

Top GenAI Uses Cases

Relentless GenAI hype has carried in its wake both credible examples of the technology deployed in pilot projects and wild speculation about use cases that could be scaled once the analytics, compute power, and change management approaches are acquired and aligned.

 

It is still too early to catalog credible, deployed-at-scale use cases or speculate on which vendors across the entire IT ecosystem have taken any kind of use case lead. Anticipating that kind of analysis in mid-to-late 2024, TBR instead has followed the leads provided by enterprise GenAI buyers who have noted that use cases have mostly been presented in tiers:

  • Short term: Productivity improvements. Notably, these use cases can most credibly and quickly be attested to by IT services vendors and consultancies applying GenAI solutions to their own operations.
  • Midterm: Standard enterprise applications, such as CRM, ERP, HCM and SCM. For these, while the IT services vendors and consultancies may play the role of data and ecosystem orchestrators, the heavy lifting will come from the software and cloud vendors, provided, of course, the infrastructure can support GenAI compute and storage needs.
  • Long term: As one PwC leader put it, “You’re talking to your business, and it talks back.”

Graph: Use Cases GenAI Is Best Suited for

What Makes GenAI Different From Other Next-generation Technology?

How is GenAI technology, especially the popularized applications exemplified by ChatGPT, unique? Well, exactly that popularization, for starters. Enterprise technology buyers and employees influencing technology decision making don’t cower at technical complications; rather, these personas are enthused — possibly terrified, but that’s a short-term phenomenon — by what GenAI can do for them. Plus, most people respond to a story, not a strategy.

 

A good story around deploying GenAI will stand out in an overhyped market. In the countless discussions around GenAI that TBR has had with clients in the last 13 months, we’ve frequently been asked about use cases, which are, essentially, stories about a company finding a way to use this new magic. Without these use cases, there are no stories around GenAI and, therefore, no excitement. Use cases will remain necessary to GenAI strategy in 2024, but “playing nice in the GenAI sandbox” will increasingly become the clearest marker of a successful GenAI strategy.

 

While GenAI became the tech world’s darling in 2023, a pivot to ecosystems dominated how TBR began thinking about the changing technology market landscape. At the request of clients and built on decades of deep research around individual vendors, we launched dedicated analysis of how companies we cover interact, including interdependencies, revenues realized, and alignment challenges.

 

Among the constant themes: Companies that partner well outperform peers. The traditional boast of “end-to-end” makes no sense in today’s technology environment, particularly when one considers the implications of wider GenAI adoption, including challenges around talent, compute power, and compliance. “Playing nice in the GenAI sandbox” will be the difference between making money from GenAI and making a business out of GenAI.

 

Learn More About the GenAI Landscape

At TBR we’re covering GenAI from nearly every market angle. We publish a wide-ranging view of the GenAI sandbox, from management consultancies to cloud vendors and infrastructure providers to device and chip manufacturers.

 

Our analysis on how companies will interact around GenAI and, critically, what these companies will look for in alliance partners is just the tip of the iceberg for TBR’s research on the technology. Our recently published new research stream, AI & GenAI Market Landscape, covers GenAI from the perspective of TBR’s Telecom, Devices, Cloud, Infrastructure, IT Services and Consulting experts. Additional market-specific AI research will publish later in the year.

 

To learn more about TBR’s AI & GenAI Market Landscape, download your free Spotlight Report.

Service Providers: IT Modernization Isn’t Flashy, but It Leads to Tangible Savings. Here’s How …

  • Up to a 75% reduction in time to introduce new services
  • Up to a 99% reduction in time to upgrade or update existing services
  • Average total cost of ownership reduction of 10% to 30%

The above are just a few examples of the real-world business outcomes leading service providers are realizing from their IT modernization projects. These outcomes are critical to ensure service providers can adapt and stay competitive in their respective markets as well as grow revenue.
 
AI, automation, containers, cybersecurity, hybrid cloud, machine learning and virtualization are all examples of the types of technologies service providers are incorporating into their IT modernization initiatives to yield these cost-efficient, flexible and agile outcomes. AI (especially generative AI) is of particular interest of late following technological breakthroughs from OpenAI’s ChatGPT platform, which has demonstrated that generative AI has developed to a point that it is able to bring useful outcomes to businesses and consumers alike.
 
Generative AI holds tremendous promise for service providers to further improve business outcomes, primarily thanks to the advanced automation the technology can enable. Though generative AI technology is still nascent, it is likely to be incorporated across service providers’ IT estates, from call centers to cybersecurity to billing systems, bringing cost savings, time savings and resource savings.
 
The outcomes derived from IT modernization become even more important for service providers as they prioritize fiscal responsibility. With high interest rates and a weakening macroeconomic outlook, service providers need to increase their focus on cost efficiencies. Rather than scale back IT modernization initiatives amid fiscal constraints, service providers should double down on these projects because they can help achieve corporate financial objectives.
 
IT modernization should be thought of as an iterative journey, starting small and expanding the scope over time. Leading service providers that have significant experience with this journey advise that focused prioritization — a step-by-step, iterative approach that tends to require limited upfront financial commitment and ties up fewer resources — is the best approach because the benefits can be rolled into (built upon) next steps in the journey. This contrasts with a boil-the-ocean approach, which typically encompasses a pan-IT estate lift and shift. This approach tends to be risky and expensive and rarely yields the desired results. Another important factor to yield desired outcomes is to ensure the business is aligned with the IT department on every modernization initiative, because when these stakeholders are not in sync, the desired objectives and outcomes are often not realized.
 
For a closer look at how the key technologies and processes come together to drive telecommunications IT modernization outcomes (AI, machine learning, automation, hybrid cloud, containerization, cybersecurity and more), download “Adapt, compete and grow: A guide to modernizing telco and cable IT.
 
To watch a webinar on this topic, “Telecommunications and cable service providers: Modernize IT to adapt, compete and grow,” click here.

Top 2023 Takeaways for the Federal IT Services Market [Infographic]

Current State of the Federal IT Services Market

The most intensive bull market in federal IT spending continues, and the federal IT services market will remain robust through federal fiscal year 2024 (FFY2024). Much IT modernization work has been done, but there is still more to do as federal agencies continue adopting digital technologies such as AI, analytics and machine learning, all while migrating their legacy workloads to advanced cloud infrastructures. Federal spending on technology and related services neared $120 billion in FFY2023, up over 25% from FFY2021 and on a trajectory to surpass $130 billion by FFY2025.

 

The below infographic contains the three key takeaways from TBR’s latest research on the U.S. federal IT services market and what these events mean for you.

Infographic: Top 2023 Takeaways for the Federal IT Services Market

Top 3 Takeaways for 2024

When Will Leading Federal Systems Integrators Resume a More Active M&A Posture?

Consolidation activity among midmarket federal IT firms remains very robust and will likely generate competitors with the scale and the depth of digital capabilities to challenge the leading federal IT services vendors on future strategic IT modernization programs.

Recent Budget Turmoil Has Not Impacted Federal IT Spending Patterns as Greatly as Expected

Overall growth in the federal IT sector in 3Q23 was the most aggressive TBR has observed since launching its coverage of the market in 2008. The debt ceiling agreement in June 2023 provided a much-needed respite for the federal IT market from the budget turmoil that had impeded growth through FFY2022 and early FFY2023. Latent demand for IT modernization and emerging technologies was set loose by the budget deal in 2Q23, accelerating in 3Q23 and augmenting the usual flurry of award activity in the final quarter of the federal fiscal year.

Federal IT Vendors Standing Up Dedicated Advisory Practices

General Dynamics Information Technology (GDIT) launched a digital transformation (DX) consulting practice in 2Q23, leveraging its network of Centers of Excellence and Emerge Labs, as well as the expertise gained from the more than 4,000 research initiatives that have provided its clients actionable market insights on emerging technologies like AI.

 

On the heels of GDIT’s announcement, ManTech acquired Definitive Logic Corp. to accelerate the development of its own digital transformation consultancy, adding 330 employees skilled in digital transformation services like data engineering.

What This Means for You

Leading federal integrators will keep a close eye on their midmarket IT services peers, perhaps ahead of renewed M&A activity by the top-of-the-market firms. There is still the threat of a government shutdown during FFY2024, and top-tier integrators have all factored that into their plans for 2024.

 

Expanding advisory capabilities points not only to the capabilities needs of the vendors that are launching consulting operations but also to the importance of advisory competencies in federal digital transformation.

Conclusion

Technology procurement by federal agencies in 2024 is likely to continue at a brisk pace, as evidenced by expanding outlays for IT initiatives in the Biden administration’s FFY2024 budget across the civilian, defense and intelligence sectors. Several federal systems integrators have also tendered projections for continued robust top-line growth in 2024, even if there is a government shutdown during FFY2024.

 

As such, TBR is confident there is headroom for growth for not only the legacy federal IT vendors but also their smaller, Tier 2 federal integration peers as well as commercially centric technology companies looking to make inroads into the federal space.

 

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SoftwareOne Aims for More Comprehensive SAP S/4HANA Transformation Role With Novis Euforia Acquisition

On Jan. 3, 2024, SoftwareOne announced its acquisition of Novis Euforia, a Spain-based SAP and cloud services boutique. This special report reflects TBR’s discussion with Pierre-Francis Grillet, SoftwareOne’s global lead for SAP Services, immediately following the announcement, as well as TBR’s ongoing analysis of SoftwareOne and the SAP landscape.

With New Talent and IP, SoftwareOne Extends Into SAP S/4HANA

According to Grillet, SoftwareOne intends to improve its position in the overall SAP ecosystem by moving beyond helping clients with cloud migrations into a more comprehensive SAP S/4HANA transformation role. To meet that aspiration, SoftwareOne’s acquisition of the Spain-based SAP boutique Novis Euforia adds experience and competencies around technically driven SAP S/4HANA migrations and positions SoftwareOne to better address growing client demand for modernization with minimal disruption and transformation through the journey to SAP S/4HANA.

 

While only a 35-person company, Novis Euforia marks about an 8% increase in SoftwareOne’s SAP practice, which Grillet said would be further bolstered by 15 senior functional data architects who are focused on finance and supply chain as well as ongoing growth in traditional SAP technical areas. Grillet believes the Novis Euforia acquisition and the new hires will significantly improve SoftwareOne’s SAP revenues, adding to his assessment that SAP has high growth potential for SoftwareOne.
 

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Pragmatic Alternative to Complexity

Expanding on clients’ current concerns around SAP, Grillet noted that larger-scale competitors, such as the global systems integrators (GSIs), have increasingly embraced clean core as a means to rein in the rampant customizations often blamed for slowing migration to SAP S/4HANA and limiting innovation on SAP.

 

In SoftwareOne’s experience, according to Grillet, customizations fall into three categories: unused and therefore nonconsequential; used but no significant remediation required; and used with more complex remediation required. Notably, Grillet added, “a good part of remediations can be automated, further reducing the impact of customizations on the conversion to SAP S/4HANA effort.” A GSI’s greenfield engagement can be relatively expensive, in Grillet’s view, in contrast to SoftwareOne’s focus on preparation prior to a pragmatic and manageable approach to SAP modernization.

 

Further, Grillet said SoftwareOne has positioned itself well for negotiating a client’s best deal with SAP, given SoftwareOne’s vast experience around licensing and usage. Massive-scale enterprises undoubtedly need GSIs’ capabilities in complex SAP transformations, but many large and most small and midsize enterprises, in SoftwareOne’s view, can be better served through an incremental approach to transformation, framed by a deeper appreciation for customizations’ true hurdles.
 
Grillet also noted that, “Data, in particular, is relevant in the context of the Novis acquisition, as SNP automates the data transformation and conversion from ECC (ERP Central Component) to SAP S/4HANA, enabling, for example, company code and chart of account rationalization when moving to SAP S/4HANA.”

Gorging on a Massive Pie

The services opportunity around SAP S/4HANA transformations is immeasurable as credible estimates vary widely and, to some degree, do not matter. Services vendors with the available talent and credibility will not lack customers seeking help, especially as SAP’s self-imposed 2027 ECC deadline relentlessly approaches.

 

SoftwareOne’s latest acquisition helps the company address a larger range of client challenges and expands its footprint in Spain, with expectations of extending into Latin America and South America. While SoftwareOne’s SAP practice, at 500-plus SAP-trained professionals, lacks the scale of the largest GSIs, the vast majority of clients are not dismissing potential services providers because of scale — if you have the talent available now, you are hired. (OK, it is not that dramatic of a seller’s market now, but it will be before the end of 2027.)
 
Grillet also noted to TBR that one of the company’s “biggest assets is the fact that most of [SoftwareOne’s] professionals are dual-certified and also hold certifications for the three main hyperscalers: Microsoft, AWS and Google. They have a deep understanding not only of the SAP systems but also the platform they run on.”

 

In TBR’s view, SoftwareOne has consistently played to its own strengths, such as a deep inside view of midsize and large enterprise IT environments, to include spending and actual software usage. This recent acquisition continues that strategy, comes amid a slow-growing rush to add talent around SAP S/4HANA, and should allow SoftwareOne to extend its client base for SAP services over the next few years.

 

With six successful acquisitions in recent years, SoftwareOne has proven to be adept at integrating capabilities and leveraging IP. This seventh will continue SoftwareOne’s good fortune and make the vendor a must-watch competitor in the SAP space. Success will also depend on SoftwareOne’s ability to use the 15 senior functional data architects it is gaining as a bridge between existing cloud migration capabilities and SAP S/4HANA business transition opportunities, thus helping the company elevate the brand’s permission around SAP, a necessary step to avoid getting stuck in the increasingly commoditized migration services space.
 
Grillet summed up SoftwareOne’s position by noting that, “The ability to bridge between cloud migration to SAP S/4HANA conversion will depend on more than just these 15 new resources. It will be achieved through the extension of the services portfolio and its [the portfolio’s] underlying tools and IP — including adoption and embedding of the SNP tooling — successfully engaging in the early advisory and preparation engagements, and building an ecosystem of culturally aligned, functionally oriented partners in the various markets where SoftwareOne delivers its SAP services.”

Beyond the Proof of Concept: GenAI Use Cases in 2024

Everyone has an opinion on how generative AI (GenAI) will change the world. At TBR, we have analysis on how companies across the technology space, from consulting firms to hardware vendors, have adjusted investments, business models and alliance strategies to take advantage of the hype and position themselves for the coming reality of GenAI.
 

Join TBR Principal Analyst Patrick M. Heffernan and Principal Analyst Boz Hristov Thursday, Feb. 15, 2024, at 1 p.m. EST/10 a.m. PST for a free 30-minute TBR Insights Live discussion and Q&A on one of our newest research report, the AI and GenAI Market Landscape. The pair will review specific examples of technology companies’ activities in 2023 as well as what to expect across the GenAI landscape in 2024.
 

In This FREE TBR Insights Live Session on GenAI Use Cases in 2024 You’ll Learn:

  • Which strategies leading tech companies have followed to leverage the attention around and investment in GenAI to gain an advantage in their respective markets
  • How tech companies are using alliances to extend their reach within enterprises and across the larger GenAI — and emerging tech — ecosystem
  • Which consultancies, IT services vendors, cloud and software companies, and infrastructure players are best positioned for the next wave in GenAI

 

TBR webinars are held typically on Thursdays at 1 p.m. ET and include a 15-minute Q&A session following the main presentation. Previous webinars can be viewed anytime on TBR’s Webinar Portal.
For additional information or to arrange a briefing with our analysts, please contact TBR at [email protected].