Fusion Data Intelligence Propels Oracle to Full-stack Cloud Provider

TBR Perspective

TBR joined industry analysts at Oracle’s (NYSE: ORCL) former headquarters in Redwood City, Calif., for the one-day Oracle Analytics & AI Summit, which centered on trends, advancements and use cases in the world of analytics and generative AI (GenAI). While we did not shatter any course records on the Oracle Red Bull Racing simulator, we did grasp how Oracle is addressing one of the top trends we see in the market: Cloud computing has become table stakes in digital transformation, and customers are shifting their focus to the data and how it can be translated into actionable insights.

 

In five years, Oracle has consolidated Oracle Analytics Cloud (OAC) and launched prebuilt cloud-native analytics solutions for each of its four Fusion apps suites. Oracle is now embarking on a new frontier with Fusion Data Intelligence (FDI), the intelligent analytics layer that will fuse Oracle’s roles as both a SaaS and IaaS provider in the race for GenAI workloads.
 

New Intelligent Data Layer Elevates Oracle’s Role as Full-stack Cloud Provider

At TBR, we often talk about how Oracle uniquely serves the entire cloud stack at scale with infrastructure, platform services and applications. With its strengths solidified in database and back-office apps, the rapid emergence of Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is rounding out Oracle’s full-stack narrative, driving a greater level of stickiness with customers looking to consolidate point solutions and potentially reduce costs.

 

But we are seeing an inflection point in the market. Cloud computing has become a standard component to digital transformation in some capacity, and buyers are shifting their focus to the data; specifically, how they can access and integrate cross-departmental data to capitalize on GenAI and streamline their business.

 

With finance, sales and HR data already sitting in Fusion applications — which are native to OCI — and an OCI lakehouse architecture built on trusted database services (e.g., Exadata, MySQL Heatwave), Oracle has a unique ability to build out an intelligent data analytics layer that cements Oracle’s role as both an IaaS and SaaS provider. We are seeing this firsthand with FDI.

 

Announced at Oracle Cloud World 2023, FDI marks a shift in the Oracle Analytics strategy to focus less on addressing one-and-done tasks but more on making analytics part of an ongoing, integrated process with additional AI models. For instance, FDI still draws on the platform foundation of OAC and the four Fusion Analytics modules (ERP, Supply Chain Management [SCM], Human Capital Management [HCM] and Customer Experience [CX]) but also incorporates new prebuilt models for predictive and prescriptive insights within those Fusion applications. For example, in Fusion HCM, these models might support analytics use cases for continuous listening, diversity analysis and employee skill matching.

Because of Fusion Applications, Oracle Analytics Can Close the Loop on Business Processes

With the Fusion applications suite, Oracle Analytics has always had a unique ability to engage with HR, finance and supply chain leaders directly within their workflow to solve a unique problem. We expect FDI will fast-track adoption of analytics among Fusion customers by allowing them to run Fusion data pipelines uninterrupted with each software update and then perform tasks like snapshots and KPIs on that data as part of a single SKU.

 

This is particularly true of customers that want to focus less on DevOps and more on analytics but also want to close the loop on an entire business process. One compelling example was a theoretical healthcare organization using FDI to not only understand why vaccination rates are down but also connect to Fusion HCM to see if there are enough staff on hand to launch a new program, and schedule accordingly. FDI already exists today for Oracle Health and is one of the key value propositions behind the Cerner acquisition.

AI Enhances OAC’s Value for Both Customers and Partners

Oracle has a rich history of embedding AI into its products, and the company’s approach to GenAI is no different. With support for the OCI GenAI service in OAC, the core component of FDI, Oracle is enabling self-service analytics with features like natural language queries that help analysts contextualize and interpret data.

 

One of the more interesting features we experienced through an OAC demo was the use of AI-based avatars. Oracle is working with Synthesia, a third-party firm, to pull data from OAC and have different avatars tell stories around that data for specific clients. In addition to watching live demos, we also heard directly from customers in industries like healthcare, transportation and technology on how they are using OAC. As is true for many Oracle solutions, the primary adoption driver for OAC was standardization and the ability to consolidate disparate tools like Power BI (business intelligence) and Tableau on a single platform that can be scaled to different personas throughout the organization.

 

We also heard from both Tier 1 and Tier 2 professional services partners that are driving SI business by migrating customers from the legacy Oracle BI stack to OAC and, increasingly, selling FDI as part of broader app transformation engagements. If the global system integrators (GSIs) want to drive high-margin consulting services around GenAI, we believe they need to account for an intermediary layer that bridges the gap between cloud infrastructure and the back, middle and front office. FDI serves this purpose. Since for most customers analytics will almost always be the end state, GSIs have an opportunity to work backward from FDI into key workloads, including data lakes and ERP systems as part of a client’s cloud transformation, supplemented by their own IP.

OCI GenAI Service Hits the Market

At the start of this year, the OCI GenAI service became generally available, officially marking Oracle’s entry into a budding market. With general availability, Oracle extended support for large language models (LLMs) beyond Cohere, including Meta’s (Nasdaq: META) Llama, as part of the notion that customers should be able to use different models that can be tweaked with their own data, according to use case.

 

Meanwhile, capabilities like OCI AI Agents — which enable RAG (retrieval augmented generation) — and AI Quick Actions within OCI Data Science, also support specific use cases by helping customers contextualize data and access third-party LLMs. On their own, these capabilities do not necessarily differentiate Oracle from what other hyperscale clouds are delivering — although Oracle was smart to cozy up to NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA) for GPUs early on — but the ability to power the same analytics and apps stack with the OCI GenAI service is unique. As we have long said, differentiation in GenAI will not come from the models themselves but rather from the data that feeds into them and ultimately connects customers to solutions and use cases.

 

As such, successful vendors will take a measured approach and will need to partner with GSI peers to address data literacy challenges and apply model governance. FDI’s ability to collect data from Fusion applications and deliver a unified data model that can establish a governance framework and help train nontechnical personas speaks to the elevated role of Oracle Analytics in not only capturing GenAI workloads but also executing on the full-stack narrative throughout the broader Oracle organization.

MongoDB Is Positioning as the Standard Platform for Next-generation Apps

At our first MongoDB, Inc. event, MongoDB.local, TBR was able to learn firsthand about MongoDB’s evolution from an operational database to a developer platform for modern apps. The keynote, breakout sessions, executive Q&A and customer stories reinforced the value of MongoDB’s widely accepted document architecture, which is already powering many enterprise applications today and will propel MongoDB in its efforts to build new developer capabilities and cutting-edge applications. Partners, including all three major hyperscalers and SIs, had a significant presence at the event, speaking to MongoDB’s ability to tap into a growing ecosystem of hyperscalers and global system integrators (GSIs) eager to harness a technology-agnostic data layer for generative AI (GenAI) leadership.

TBR Perspective

In his opening keynote, MongoDB (Nasdaq: MDB) CEO Dev Ittycheria put GenAI in perspective, offering a realistic point of view that while GenAI may help draft emails, it is premature to be used in truly transformative ways. In other words, there is no comparison between the rise of GenAI and the internet boom and subsequent evolution of brands like Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN), Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX), Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) and Uber (NYSE: UBER), which launched new business models, elevated consumer experiences and completely transformed markets.

 

We see his point, as our own Cloud Infrastructure & Platforms Customer Research continues to reveal that back-office tasks like customer support and administration are the most common GenAI use cases. We also share his optimism that GenAI will help streamline developer productivity and thus pave the way for a new set of applications that are actually disruptive, not only in how they enhance productivity and cut costs but also in how they transform business operations.

 

MongoDB humbly recognizes that becoming the standard platform to enable this next wave of apps may be a longer-term play, as we are still only scratching the surface of GenAI’s potential. The first players to recognize the benefit will be those that enable, provide and host large language models (LLMs), namely NVIDIA (Nasdaq: NVDA) and the hyperscalers. But the next set of companies to benefit will be platforms like MongoDB, and by honing the document database architecture, relationships with the hyperscalers and an R&D engine catered to the developer experience, MongoDB is positioning to become the standard developer platform for GenAI.

 

MongoDB has solidified itself as the most popular NoSQL database but quickly realized that to handle the demands of complex applications, developers need broader functionality than what a core operational database offers. Adding features like Atlas Search and Time Series collections to its document database has allowed MongoDB to deliver a more complete, integrated platform and grow mindshare with the 175,000 developers who try MongoDB for the first time each month.

 

Naturally, MongoDB has recently focused on adding features for GenAI as part of its longer-term play to power next-gen apps, as evidenced by MongoDB’s launch of Atlas Vector Search last year. Other cloud database vendors also offer vector search, which retrieves information from unstructured data. Enhanced features like Vector Search are also key to the allure of Atlas, the fully managed, scalable, multicloud offering of MongoDB’s platform that is an alternative to Enterprise Advanced (EA) and Community Server, the free version of MongoDB.

 

Since Atlas launched in mid-2016, MongoDB has been actively leveraging GSI partners, its own professional services division and a series of code conversion tools as part of the “technology + process + people” methodology. This approach helps customers transition from on-premises MongoDB products, as well as external relational databases like Oracle and Microsoft SQL Server, to Atlas.

 

These initiatives, coupled with go-to-market support from the hyperscalers eager to have a feature-rich platform on their infrastructure, are making MongoDB largely synonymous with Atlas. With over 46,000 customers, Atlas now accounts for 66% of MongoDB’s total revenue and is available in 117 cloud regions across Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud Platform (GCP).
 

MongoDB Rallies Ecosystem Around its Evolving Developer Platform to Power Next-gen Apps

A prerequisite for any successful platform company, MongoDB partners with all the major hyperscalers, tapping into their vast infrastructure scale, customer bases and native toolsets, to attract new workloads. Looking to make Atlas the foundational data layer for GenAI in the cloud, MongoDB has made its Vector Search capability available with all the hyperscalers’ GenAI hosting services, including Amazon Bedrock, Google Vertex AI and Azure OpenAI Service.

 

Vector search is by no means a unique capability in the age of GenAI. Hyperscalers are also using vector search in their own databases, but the vast amount of operational data already sitting within MongoDB will be a key consideration for customers that would otherwise consider a stand-alone vector database.

 

Meanwhile, integrating with the hyperscalers’ code assistants and copilots to abstract complexity and make it easier for developers to build on MongoDB will be a key component of the partner strategy. From a go-to-market perspective, cloud marketplaces will remain key to MongoDB’s success, as they give customers a way to consume Atlas as part of their existing cloud commitments.

 

MongoDB has added hundreds of customers by incentivizing direct sales teams to land more self-service customers on the hyperscalers’ marketplaces, an approach that will serve as a productivity lever by freeing up strategic resources for top enterprise accounts with a focus on onboarding net-new workloads.

Key Takeaways From Each of MongoDB’s Hyperscaler Relationships:

  • AWS: Over the years, we have seen AWS become more welcoming of ISV solutions that overlap with its own native services, provided those solutions land on AWS infrastructure. This shift has benefited partners. For example, MongoDB is delivering integrations with AWS, including Atlas Vector Search with Amazon Bedrock, which allows for the customization of models in Bedrock using data stored as vector embeddings in MongoDB. Developer empowerment has always been a trademark for AWS and with Bedrock, AWS’ goal is to democratize GenAI, making it accessible to not only the largest corporations but also startups, which closely aligns with MongoDB’s value proposition. Meanwhile, after experiencing triple-digit growth in the active number of customers, the expansiveness of the AWS Marketplace is unmatched and continues to be an investment focus for the cloud giant, more recently in the form of new APIs, IaC (Infrastructure as Code) assets and lower prices.
  • Microsoft: Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) has taken a large stake in the legacy database market, and with roughly 20% of new Mongo EA business coming from applications migrated from legacy relational databases, MongoDB has arguably a more contentious relationship with Azure compared to that with the other hyperscalers. However, as highlighted during a one-on-one chat between Ittycheria and Microsoft VP of Global ISV Solutions Alvaro Celis, over the past two years Microsoft has become more effective at embracing the platform mindset to make Azure the de facto platform for enterprise data estates. Like AWS, Microsoft had a shift in mindset to overcome when it comes to partners; for Microsoft, it was recognizing that if it wanted to truly be a prominent cloud platform company, it had to offer customers maximum choice. We are now seeing this approach facilitate ISV activity and pave the way for MongoDB to align with Azure more closely in areas like engineering to improve the Atlas on Azure experience and deliver more integrations with Azure data services, including Microsoft Fabric. MongoDB’s primary focus is becoming a standard for the enterprise at the operational data layer, and the company appears to recognize the value of staying in its own swim lane. Having partners deliver solutions like Fabric that address the upper-level analytics components of the stack and help make MongoDB part of a more complete solution is important and adds a level of differentiation to the Azure-MongoDB relationship that may not exist for other hyperscalers that have yet to adopt Microsoft’s platform-first mindset.
  • Google Cloud: At the event, MongoDB and Google Cloud announced an expansion of their alliance to optimize Google Cloud’s Gemini Code Assist for MongoDB. This announcement comes as Gemini replaces DuetAI throughout the entire GCP portfolio. MongoDB already optimized AWS’ code assistant Code Whisperer by using a customized foundation model so Code Whisperer can make suggestions specific to MongoDB use cases. While the technical relationship is less integrated, the coselling relationship has been well-developed for some time now and is poised for rapid growth given Google Cloud’s audience of born-in-the-cloud developers and increasing focus on empowering developers, the bread and butter of MongoDB.

New MongoDB Services Program Unites Major Players Across the GenAI Stack

One of the top announcements at MongoDB.local was the launch of the MongoDB AI Applications Program (MAAP), a high-touch services offering designed to make it easier for customers to build modern applications. Launch partners include AWS, Microsoft and GCP, as well as LLM providers like Anthropic and Cohere. Collectively, technology partners will align their technology with MongoDB Professional Services through a series of hands-on engagements like prototyping sessions and hackathons, both of which are good ways to engage developers and generate pipeline.

 

Despite all the hype, many customers are still looking for ways to get started with GenAI, and MAAP will be a good way to unite the multiple vendors that MongoDB customers will ultimately use for their GenAI projects. When customers do start taking advantage of GenAI, they will also look to tie the technology to a specific business outcome and work backward from that outcome. This is where the industry and business focus of the SIs come in, and they will undoubtedly play a role in MAAP, supplementing MongoDB Professional Services.

 

MongoDB does work with Tier 1 GSIs like Accenture (NYSE: ACN) and Infosys (NYSE: INFY) but has long adopted a strategy of taking a stake in boutique SIs and scaling them over time. This strategy has a lot of merit, especially as our findings continue to reveal that while the GSIs are excited about the GenAI opportunity, they appear to view data architecture as a pass-through layer to higher-value components of the stack like analytics.

 

This may change as customers recognize the symbiotic relationship between data strategy and GenAI, but GSIs seemingly less interested in dedicating resources to a close-to-the-box data platform will appreciate having a niche SI train Tier 1 consultants on MongoDB. This expected rise in interest level will increase the likelihood that these smaller firms will get acquired by the likes of Accenture, creating new opportunities for MongoDB to expand its relationship with a brand-name professional services firm and tap into its enterprise base.

Conclusion

MongoDB.local NYC told a story of continued product and go-to-market execution, with a meticulous focus on improving developer experiences and driving a more cohesive partner ecosystem inclusive of technology and services players.

 

While the event showcased new partner integrations and Atlas feature updates, it did not highlight any major strategic changes, adding a refreshing and humble tone to the event that suggests MongoDB understands the role it plays and will continue to play in the GenAI revolution.

 

While in some ways waiting for the hyperscalers’ and subsequent customer investments in GenAI to materialize, MongoDB is actively developing and integrating with partners, recognizing that over time, it stands to benefit as customers look for a neutral platform to develop a new set of modern, disruptive applications.

Fujitsu’s Innovative Approach to GenAI: Amalgamated AI Strategies

At a new Silicon Valley facility, Fujitsu hosted about 20 industry analysts and over 200 guests for a day of presentations on emerging technologies like quantum computing and AI. The following special report reflects conversations TBR had with Fujitsu leaders and highlights Fujitsu’s role in the technology ecosystem.

Fujitsu’s Superpower: Fusing Compute Power with AI

After a year of relentless hype about the promises of generative AI (GenAI), Fujitsu Research’s leaders structured their presentations during the Fujitsu ActivateNow Technology Summit around a relatively simple and compelling story: GenAI is fundamentally AI, and Fujitsu has successfully deployed a wide range of AI-enhanced solutions.

 

By observing which business challenges can be addressed with AI, and then developing and productizing AI-enhanced solutions, Fujitsu has built an amalgamation of AI solutions, a collection that is worth more than the sum of its parts. The latest fad, GenAI, fits within this collection. According to Fujitsu leaders, the company has delivered over 7,000 AI-enhanced solutions, providing a strong foundation to tap into as GenAI is more widely adopted. TBR recognizes the Japan-centric nature of the majority of Fujitsu’s AI uses cases but sees the value in playing to the company’s strengths.

 

Among these strengths, Fujitsu’s leaders noted that the company’s superpower (TBR’s word, not theirs) comes from fusing compute power with AI. One of the guest speakers reinforced that sentiment by noting that GenAI is feasible only because of the extreme computational power utilized. Fujitsu has recognized that being good at compute is absolutely necessary to be good at GenAI.

 

In TBR’s view, this potentially unique combination of compute power and AI, at scale, could separate Fujitsu from peers as enterprises begin the slow process of recovering from the unfulfilled promises of GenAI hype and implementing the changes needed to progress from pilot to scaled deployments. Fujitsu’s leaders explained that their strategy to accelerate that progress started with the launch of a free AI platform, dubbed Fujitsu Kozuchi (“magic hammer” translated from Japanese), essentially a GenAI sandbox, which the company has now begun to commercialize through a freemium business model.

 

Critically, Fujitsu has tracked activity within the sandbox to determine which AI use cases and associated technologies gained the most client traction and have significant revenue upsides for the company. Fujitsu has been transitioning these uses cases, smartly, from free to use to pay for scale. Fujitsu’s Kozuchi platform spans seven AI areas: GenAI, Predictive Analytics, for Text, AI Trust, XAI, for Vision, and AutoML.

 

In TBR’s view, Fujitsu’s experimentation with AI commercial models while marrying inherent compute power to the potential of GenAI only works because of Fujitsu’s extensive experience with AI and credibility with clients and ecosystem partners. Fujitsu needed a solid foundation in both compute and AI to be well positioned for accelerated growth around GenAI.

 

Additionally, Fujitsu’s broad-based portfolio, including its family of HPCs (high- performance computers) as well as the lower power consumption Fujitsu ARM-based processor — the latest version is scheduled to be released in 2027 — can help the company compete for managing AI workloads, specifically machine learning ones. With security built into the hardware, these processors can also help Fujitsu better appeal to clients in highly regulated industries, including the public sector, emergency response and public safety, healthcare and telco, among others. While built-in security is not a unique feature to Fujitsu, it is a necessary building block as it enables the creation of a strong tech-led AI story around developing and managing large language models.

Exactly the Right Time to be Strong in Analytics and AI

TBR’s Voice of the Customer research shows an additional component to Fujitsu’s potential GenAI-related growth. In TBR’s December 2023 Digital Transformation: Voice of the Customer Research, analytics topped the list for priority investments in technologies supporting transformation, displacing cloud and cybersecurity for the first time since TBR started tracking the data six years ago.

 

The report notes: “Analytics is now the top technology buyers choose to support their DT [digital transformation] programs, with AI tools and GenAI ranking in the top six, thus heightening buyers’ expectations for vendors to deliver timely ROI that is tied to ongoing business process and/or IT modernization transformation as implications of technology complexities extend beyond data science, thus creating opportunities for vendors that can manage broad-organizational relationships. Addressing multidisciplinary skills gaps will be key.”

Sustainability and Innovation

Fujitsu’s presence and history in the Silicon Valley, which spans 30 years, enabled the company to develop a deep innovation ecosystem. Fujitsu’s CEO of Research of America, Indradeep Ghosh, and Global CTO, Vivek Mahajan, discussed the expansion of the company’s innovation efforts and how Fujitsu has shifted toward sustainability impacts. At the company’s recently opened facility, Fujitsu remains in close proximity to its key partners, including technology vendors as well as smaller, more specialized firms, which can drive collaboration and innovation efforts.

 

Further, Fujitsu is able to work with universities including Carnegie Mellon University and the nearby Stanford University to deepen its AI, analytics, data utilization and digital twin expertise. Through its innovation efforts, Fujitsu looks to drive social change and leave a positive impact on society, in addition to gathering business intelligence.

 

To contribute to societal change, Fujitsu is prioritizing sustainability with a focus on slowing the impacts of climate change. Fujitsu leverages its expertise and insights to develop technologies and services that benefit the environment and society. Developing sustainability services and solutions in collaboration with U.S.-based universities and companies could encourage local enterprises to establish carbon and energy reduction goals.

 

While sustainability and carbon reduction initiatives have stronger traction in Europe, Fujitsu’s efforts will help transform local clients’ global operations. Fujitsu is considering the long-term impact, which will create new opportunities for the company to drive digital transformation projects across regions outside Japan.

Quantum

Quantum technologies have long been ingrained in Fujitsu’s portfolio and technologies, starting with its in-house development of computing and high-performance computing in the 1990s. Fujitsu has continued to expand the compute power of its quantum technologies enabling the company to address a wider range of challenges, with societal issues the most recent addition. Building out its base and capabilities, in addition to establishing itself as a global technology company, have helped Fujitsu explore the U.S. market. Fujitsu is pursuing two strategies around quantum that will give the company an edge over its technology-centric peers.

 

First, as CTO Mahajan noted during the event, “We [at Fujitsu] are very willing to transfer our IP.” The willingness to give away IP expands Fujitsu’s addressable market. This openness to IP adoption provides both Fujitsu and prospective customers with an advantage, as it raises awareness of the company’s platform and ability to expertly deliver, implement and manage quantum technology.

 

Second, Fujitsu’s plans include the capability to build a quantum computer at a client’s site, actually bringing the hardware to a client rather than providing quantum services from a Fujitsu site. By creating on-site hardware stacks, Fujitsu will be able to integrate with clients’ existing or preferred technologies, enabling the use of new capabilities. With the ongoing convergence of technologies, the ability to work across and with a variety of platforms will strengthen Fujitsu’s overall positioning within the space.

GenAI

Despite possessing the GenAI superpower of fusing the company’s compute power with its AI expertise, Fujitsu has, by its leaders’ own admissions, struggled to gain market recognition as a top player in the overall AI space. One approach Fujitsu has begun pursuing focuses on influencing the wealth of AI startups. TBR’s casual observance of the many startup-affiliated name tags at the ActivateNow event indicated this approach may have generated some early traction.

 

In TBR’s view, focusing on startups reinforces Fujitsu’s corporate culture and mindset, which view technology as central to everything Fujitsu does. The company’s leaders also stressed their efforts to leverage academic research and the broader technology ecosystem as a way to echo Fujitsu’s message of “converging technologies,” a concept that TBR believes hews closely to emerging trends (see TBR’s 2024 Professional Services Predictions and 2024 Digital Transformation Predictions).

 

Applying the company’s blockchain technology to its AI and GenAI assets could strengthen Fujitsu’s position in the space and grow its recognition outside of Japan. The need to regulate AI continues to expand with emerging use cases. Fujitsu’s expertise around blockchain, including Fujitsu Data & Security Technologies for Sustainability Transformation, aligns closely with data protection and regulation, creating the opportunity for the company to apply these capabilities to AI. Fujitsu’s blockchain solutions add a layer of identity and protection to verify real data and information, protecting against external threats.

Sustainability and Consulting as Critical Next Frontiers for Fujitsu

Notably, Mahajan’s first topic was global warming — as he stated, “boiling” — and the opportunity to apply technology to solve climate challenges. His comments conformed with Fujitsu leadership’s sustained message around competing globally and providing something valuable to clients, but TBR cannot recall a similar situation in which the global CTO of a technology-centric company led with global climate change.

 

For the rest of 2024, TBR will listen for similar emphases from CTOs and other C-Suite leaders at the start of technology events. Meanwhile, Fujitsu Uvance provides Fujitsu with resources to develop and deepen the company’s expertise within vertical markets as well as horizontal business areas, allowing the company to drive transformation projects further enhanced by ESG (environmental, social and governance) initiatives.

 

More specifically, Fujitsu can narrow its scope within markets as clients diverge and look to embrace sustainable solutions and achieve outcomes. Leading with the Fujitsu Uvance brand allows Fujitsu to integrate sustainable solutions within specific vertical markets including sustainable manufacturing.

 

Lastly, with increasing client concerns around trusted partners and technology, Fujitsu Uvance’s AI Ethics and Governance Office can help the company establish digital trust in digital transformation projects and help secure Fujitsu’s relationships. Focusing on trust and ethics for the use of AI technologies will allow Fujitsu to use AI more effectively both internally and with clients.

Amalgamation of AIs and Connected Technologies Help Tell Fujitsu’s AI Story

TBR came away from the Fujitsu ActivateNow Technology Summit with two new ideas about Fujitsu and a few questions:

  • First, TBR appreciates that Fujitsu’s combination of compute power and proven AI expertise makes the company a significant competitor and/or alliance partner for nearly every player fighting to turn GenAI hype into revenue. Second, Fujitsu’s vision of “converging technologies” aligns exceptionally well with the more tectonic trends TBR has been observing in the technology space, indicating that Fujitsu’s market positioning is more strategic than transactional or opportunistic.
  • Going forward, will Fujitsu be able to leverage AI startups to shift enterprise buyers’ perceptions about Fujitsu as an AI company? Can Fujitsu successfully bring Japan-centric AI use cases to clients in Europe and North America? And will Fujitsu develop an alliance strategy that plays to its strengths in compute power and emerging technologies while leveraging ecosystem partners’ strengths in other critical component areas for enterprise buyers?

 

TBR anticipates that Fujitsu’s concept around the amalgamation of AI solutions will become a widely shared approach to GenAI. As the hype slows down in 2024 and buyers look to trusted vendors with both scale and proven use cases, as well as the ability to connect existing technologies — especially existing AI-enabled solutions — to GenAI deployments, many of Fujitsu’s peers and alliance partners will be talking about a broader understanding and framing of AI within the enterprise.

 

TBR covers Fujitsu in quarterly reports and as one of 30-plus vendors in TBR’s quarterly IT Services Vendor Benchmark. In addition to this event perspective, TBR has published numerous special reports on Fujitsu events and developments over the last decade.  

Comcast Business Accelerates Focus on Global Enterprise and U.S. Public Sector

TBR perspective

Comcast Business (Nasdaq: CMCSA) is entering a new phase of evolution as the unit aims to extend its enviable 18-year track record of consistent, steady revenue growth in the face of new competitive threats and market maturity. Since its formation, Comcast Business has increased revenue from $256 million in 2006 to $9.3 billion in 2023, a CAGR of nearly 24%, and is on a path to achieve $10 billion in revenue in 2024.

 

Most of this growth over the past 18 years stemmed from the SMB segments, where Comcast Business’ superior DOCSIS-based, hybrid-fiber coax (HFC) fixed broadband offerings were priced right compared to non-fiber-to-the-premises (FTTP) telco offerings and met a market need for more bandwidth. This strong competitive advantage enabled the company to take a commanding market share lead (i.e., Comcast Business now has over 50% market share in the small business segment in its network footprint markets).

 

However, the broad prevalence of 5G fixed wireless access (FWA), which Verizon (NYSE: VZ), T-Mobile (Nasdaq: TMUS) and a range of other mobile network operators across the U.S. market are actively promoting, has created a strong competitor to Comcast Business’ fixed broadband offerings, especially in the small business segment, which tends to include businesses with fewer than 25 employees.

 

This headwind, in addition to overall market maturity in the SMB domain for network services (e.g., internet access and VoIP) and the sustained decline in pay-TV subscriptions, has prompted Comcast Business to focus on selling small businesses value-added services and solutions, such as mobile broadband (via its MVNO offering) and internet failover services (using cellular technologies) as well as network security, such as SD-WAN.

 

Additionally, from a global enterprise and U.S. public sector perspective, Comcast Business has been driving growth from these higher-end segments, thanks to acquisitions and organic growth, but the unit is encountering stiff competition from entrenched incumbents, notably AT&T (NYSE: T) and Verizon.

Impact and opportunities

Solution sales approach is winning formula for larger customers

Comcast Business’ sales approach is evolving, especially as it pertains to its larger customers. Leveraging best practices from Masergy (such as orienting salespeople to sell solutions versus point connectivity services, and fine-tuning how to assemble solutions with out-of-footprint aspects) has enabled Comcast Business to broaden the scope of its deals and embed itself deeper into its customers’ operations, which reduces churn and drives more favorable outcomes for both sides. Masergy has also helped Comcast Business better understand the SLA requirements of larger entities, preparing Comcast Business to be more relevant to a broader swath of customers.

Mobility stabilizes SMB revenue amid FWA threat

Comcast Business’ cellular MVNO offering has enabled the unit to offset (or prevent via bundling) revenue erosion in fixed broadband and pay-TV, but there are limitations to how much this service can contribute because Comcast’s arrangement with Verizon restricts customers to 20 lines per account.

Comcast Business has also been cross-selling network security products (such as SD-WAN and SASE-based solutions) to SMB customers in a bid to capture more share of wallet.

AI is not new for Comcast

Comcast Business leaders outlined several ways the unit has been part of the AI revolution since the technology entered the scene in the early 2010s. Specifically, Comcast has been using “traditional AI,” also known as predictive AI, for its TV remotes (i.e., built-in voice search function), customer care operations (i.e., chatbots) and network operations (e.g., anomaly detection and preventive maintenance), and the company claims it has 250 people on its AI team, including 35 employees who have PhDs.

 

The next phase of AI embedment into Comcast Business’s operations pertains to GenAI, which is likely to be leveraged in customer care and sales domains initially. Comcast Business is also leveraging data and automation to provide key insights and tools to help customers make decisions as well as increase analytics and remediation capabilities.

 

Additionally, Comcast Business is increasing the number of AIOps use cases and applying AI and machine learning (ML) across its managed solutions platform to improve service delivery, assurance and management, both for customers and the internal teams that support customers (e.g., network operations center [NOC] and security operations center [SOC], help desk).

Comcast Business intends to balance AI and automation with the “human touch”

Comcast Business leaders believe keeping humans in the loop is a differentiator in an AI-infused world and emphasized the need to balance AI and automation with human involvement in the unit’s customer interactions.

 

One key way to achieve this balance is to keep a human in the loop and leverage AI and automation to augment and make existing salespeople and customer care agents more productive. Ultimately, business customers expect to be able to pick up the phone and talk to a real person in a quick and effective manner. AI and automation can help staff be more efficient in preparing sales proposals and resolving customer issues.

International business strategy remains unclear

Though Comcast Business’ domestic U.S. strategy and value proposition are clear and fine-tuned, the unit’s international strategy still seems disjointed, consisting of a patchwork of various acquisitions (e.g., Sky, Deep Blue Communications, Blueface, iTel, Masergy) and off-net partnerships with a range of service providers and vendors that seem to lack a clear and coordinated plan for growing revenue in the international business sector.

 

Opportunities since the Masergy acquisition remain the strongest component of Comcast Business’ international approach, but much of this traction is driven by Comcast Business working with its U.S.-headquartered customers in their locations outside the U.S. rather than securing significant net-new organic customers from international markets.

 

To leverage its international assets and drive sustainable growth, Comcast needs to formulate a cohesive strategy and competitive value proposition for non-U.S. markets, similar to the approach it has taken in the U.S. Focusing on specific countries and/or industries may be a prudent approach, at least initially.

Nascent growth areas remain experimental and ad hoc

Though Comcast Business continues to explore opportunities and be pragmatic in private cellular networks, edge computing and network APIs, the company acknowledged that sustained market development in these areas is lacking but that nascent opportunities may gain traction over time.

 

Comcast Business is specifically focused on scalable use cases in which 5G is superior to Wi-Fi, such as computer vision and autonomous guided vehicles (AGVs), and on edge computing-related use cases where low latency is a requirement. Comcast Business is also focused on leveraging edge computing to make its internal network operations better, such as for localized content caching or for enhanced cybersecurity offerings.

Do customers really need multi-gig symmetrical bandwidth?

Comcast Business continues to trumpet the strength of its DOCSIS-based, HFC network platform, with multi-gig (up to 10Gbps) symmetrical bandwidth now heralded as the newest and best offering on the market.

 

While this claim may be true, most businesses do not need that much bandwidth at one location. Therefore, Comcast Business’ claim could create a disconnect between what marketing is pushing and what customers actually need. As evidenced by the robust uptake of FWA, small businesses especially are more concerned with the value they are getting for the price paid, and they are migrating to lower-cost broadband offerings to obtain internet access that more closely meets their needs and aligns with what they are willing to pay.

 

T-Mobile and Verizon are feeding this market shift to “rightsized bandwidth” through clever marketing and customer education about what businesses actually need. Comcast Business will need to demonstrate why its cutting-edge broadband offerings are necessary for its customers in order to justify the premium pricing.

Conclusion

Comcast Business remains a dominant competitor in the U.S. SMB market and a credible challenger in the U.S. enterprise and public sector segments. As FWA and market maturity challenge Comcast Business’ SMB segment, the company is preparing to offset this impact via stronger traction with larger entities. A more cohesive international strategy will strengthen Comcast Business’ growth profile, and TBR projects the unit has more years of steady growth on the horizon.

Infosys’ Humble and Collaborative Culture Supports Commitment to Clients and Partners

 In March 2024 Infosys hosted industry analysts for its U.S. Analyst and Advisor Meeting. The packed agenda included client stories and technology partner presentations to reinforce Infosys’ role in the IT services and cloud market. Infosys executives consistently returned to a few main themes, including delivering business outcomes, maintaining trusted relationships, and focusing on speed, agility and commitment.

Infosys’ Maturing Strategy, Backed by Localization, Training and Partners, Allows the Company to Sustain Client Trust Measured by Business Outcomes

Across an afternoon, Infosys (NYSE: INFY) leaders hosted a steady stream of clients and technology partners who discussed how they have worked with Infosys to apply technology to business problems and generate both cost savings and growth opportunities. Notably, every panel included at least one client, coming from a wide range of industries and describing a variety of problems addressed — and solved — by Infosys.

 

In the latter half of the afternoon, Infosys shifted the event’s focus to Oracle (NYSE: ORCL), including holding panel discussions with several Oracle and Infosys executives, most notably Amy Lewis, VP of Strategic Alliances, Oracle, and Oracle’s VP of Strategic Alliances and Sreekumar Sreedharan, VP and Global Lead Oracle Services, Infosys. TBR believes Infosys’ decision to persistently turn over the stage to clients and partners reflects the company’s confidence in its message and capabilities and a maturing of Infosys’ strategy, centered on commitment.

 

In opening remarks followed by a panel discussion about Infosys’ localization strategy, Infosys EVP Rajesh Varrier, VP Deverre Lierman and Associate VP Ranjana Venkatesh Joshi provided an update on the company’s six U.S. hubs. The six Technology and Innovation Hubs are focused on innovation, technology and education, with a few explicitly tied to universities and all focused on a core set of offerings, such as AI, machine learning and user experience design. Complementing these hubs, Varrier and the other panelists described the company’s 21 Proximity Centers as a foundational investment in Infosys’ effort to embed localization into the company’s overall strategy. Additionally, the panel elevated the value of Infosys Living Labs and tied the discussion to the era of generative AI (GenAI).

 

Overall, the panel’s description of Infosys’ commitment to developing talent through university programs, apprenticeships and professional training confirmed Infosys’ focus on the U.S. market and dedication to the company’s employees. This commitment is further amplified through Infosys’ use of AI and proprietary knowledge management platforms such as Wingspan.

 

In TBR’s view, IT services vendors like Infosys, whose India-based talent pool is necessary to its business model, must smartly balance low-cost delivery with on-site, highly trained, localized professionals who can go beyond clients’ technology and into their core business challenges. Clients and Infosys executives further solidified the role of the Innovation and Technology hubs, using the tagline, “Experience the Commitment.”

Infosys’ Data Capabilities and Humble Approach to Clients’ Data Issues Allow the Company to Build a Strong Foundation for GenAI Success Backed by Cloud

For the remainder of the afternoon, Infosys’ presentations included sessions on Infosys Topaz; Infosys Cobalt; Oracle transformations; ways customers and partners are tackling supply chain transformation; and testimonials from clients in the energy, telco, banking, automobile and retail industries.

 

The common theme among client use-case discussions revolved around data. It is easy to jump into a GenAI discussion and win a deal or two, but Infosys understands that without the right data, GenAI models are only as good as the data you feed them, reflecting the company’s humble position in the market. And Infosys’ data work went beyond data cleansing and data wrangling, often including data strategy, providing a strong use case that elevates the company’s value proposition with clients and alliance partners.

 

For example, Infosys helped a retail client create a data foundation supporting the client’s digital journey, which included bringing customer data from various sources together to develop personalized experiences and using AI models to generate recommendations that would help associates in stores and online. As Infosys helped with building the data foundation, the company also accounted for developing responsible AI applications because, as the client posited, “Customer data will not change, but how to interact with the customer might change.
 
And for any of this interaction to happen, people have to trust the data to interact with the data.” In another example, an infrastructure client replaced an incumbent with Infosys because of Infosys’ “transparency, technology and business knowledge, and innovation.” Infosys helped the infrastructure client with data strategy development and execution, once again highlighting the company’s commitment to service quality and execution and its willingness to think about foundation services before the potential additional opportunity in its client approach.

 

The sample of use cases at the event strengthened our understanding of the type of company Infosys is, as it continues to invest across its core portfolio offerings. For example, since the launch of Infosys Topaz, the company’s suite of AI services and solutions, in 2023, Infosys has already conducted over 250 experiments with clients around the use of AI, as many have begun to scale their deployments, supporting clients’ efforts to accelerate growth while reaching operational efficiencies. Infosys Technology and Innovation Hubs have played a critical role in demonstrating Infosys Topaz’s value in enabling the company to scale experiments.

 

Relying on its industry playbook and ecosystem of partners, both strategic and specialized ones, with the goal of delivering business outcomes has helped Infosys thrive in client conversations, as according to Infosys, the company continues to also apply GenAI to its own operations, rolling out new capabilities every six weeks.

 

Meanwhile, Infosys Cobalt remains the linchpin in Infosys’ cloud and overall digital transformation story as the suite continues to support clients’ evolving needs. From migrating clients to cloud to delivering industry cloud to now providing the foundation for AI, Infosys Cobalt and cloud in general, as Infosys EVP Anant Adya positioned it, have become the operating system (OS) for enterprises.

 

It is a tall order, but Infosys, drawing on its abilities to stitch digital assets together and then execute on clients’ transformation programs, has earned the trust of clients and partners seeking to capitalize on the opportunity cloud and AI present. One could argue that some of Infosys’ peers have similar strategies of bringing cloud and AI together. Infosys’ ability to stay faithful to its value proposition and committed to all parties separates the company from just being willing to take risk to actually carrying the burden through its commercial and SLA agreements. In short, Infosys facilitates transformation and innovation, with a commitment to delivering business outcomes.

Infosys-Oracle Relationship Provides a Strong Use Case of Trust, Transparency and the Future of Ecosystems

Building on almost three decades of experience, executives and joint clients from Infosys and Oracle brought the relationship to life, demonstrating the commitment and trust between the two organizations. We recognize it is not easy for Oracle and Infosys to be present at each other’s conference and/or speak on the other’s behalf, given their broader partner ecosystems and need to maintain neutrality.

 

But having a dedicated track to discuss the value of the relationship — as Lewis described it, “Infosys is a partner for complex transformations” — sends a strong message to clients seeking to work with transparent partners who understand each other’s portfolios and go-to-market motions. The success of the relationship requires leadership alignment, commitment and sustained investment in training, and, according to Oracle, Infosys is its No. 1 partner in terms of certifications.

 

The strategic alignment helps, as Oracle does not need to ask, “Why Infosys?” because Infosys is in the verified space, especially as it pertains to executing complex transformation programs at scale. Meanwhile, Oracle’s constant portfolio innovation has also helped Infosys elevate the value of the relationship in dealing with both existing and new clients.

 

Deploying a three-in-a-box governance model, including Oracle, Infosys and a customer, not just at a project kickoff but at every milestone, provides an opportunity for each party to share feedback around portfolio and client management. These motions are often tested in Oracle’s workshops days, during which Infosys discusses the art of the possible of Oracle cloud with existing Oracle clients seeking to embark on cloud transformation programs. The trust-but-verify approach Oracle has taken — which has included elevating Infosys to become one of the few cloud services providers on Oracle’s partner roster by conducting a third-party audit of Infosys’ cloud practice to ensure strict standards are met in procuring Oracle software on behalf of the client — highlights how serious each company takes the relationship.

 

Several joint clients’ use cases were presented at the event, adding the necessary details to reflect the depth of the relationship. One client spoke about the importance of delivering IP for niche areas, reference architectures and accelerators as being critical to Infosys’ industry model. Another client discussed switching to Infosys after selecting an out-of-the-box systems integration vendor because of Infosys’ flexibility and demonstrated change management capabilities for the implementation of the Oracle HCM solution. As both Infosys and Oracle evolve their portfolios and go-to-market strategies, accounting for the implications of GenAI while remaining flexible yet connected to the broader ecosystem will be critical to success.

 

By cozying up to other hyperscalers, Oracle aims to bring more database workloads to the cloud and take back waning database market share. For example, the Oracle-Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) multicloud alliance continues to evolve. Given their large respective database and application footprints, Oracle and Microsoft have always had a unique opportunity to partner and address the requirements of joint customers looking to run the right workload in the right environment.

 

At the center of this partner opportunity remains a series of interconnected cloud regions that offer a low-latency connection between Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) and Microsoft Azure, which we suspect is largely appealing to customers who want to build and run Microsoft applications and connect them with Oracle Database on OCI. However, since the 2019 launch of Oracle-Azure interconnected regions, Oracle has formalized its commitment to a multicloud strategy and is pursuing new opportunities with Microsoft that should help both vendors meet their respective goals, which for Microsoft is driving Azure usage and for Oracle is all about migrating legacy databases to clouds outside OCI to take back database market share from born-in-the-cloud peers.

 

Building off the Oracle Database Service for Microsoft Azure offering launched over a year ago, Oracle recently announced Oracle Database@Azure, a broader portfolio initiative that expands the availability of Oracle database services, including Autonomous Database and Exadata, in Azure data centers. In addition to expanding service availability and ensuring customers can deploy their Oracle database workloads within a single data center, Oracle is taking steps to simplify both the procurement and support processes for customers. For instance, customers can purchase Oracle Database@Azure via the Azure Marketplace using their existing Azure commitments and take advantage of a joint support model from both Oracle and Microsoft.

 

In TBR’s Top 3 Predictions for Digital Transformation in 2024, we wrote:

 

“The launch of multiparty alliances beyond the traditional, preferred two-dimensional relationships and the rise of cobranded facilities can help promote these relationships and bring DT to customers in a package rather than in multiphased approaches. While GenAI will be the tool that forces vendors to establish better data strategies, the rise of the superpowers will also force vendors to rethink their go-to-market, sales and portfolio efforts centered on mutual accountability and portfolio knowledge.

 

“Prioritizing the needs of partners and enterprise buyers over internal growth aspirations will position vendors across the ICT value chain as leading ecosystem participants. It sounds like an idea born in marketing, but digital transformation outcomes will require multiparty business networks that bring together the value propositions of players across the technology value chain.”

 

We see Infosys as the right partner to pursue such a multifaceted approach, especially as the company understands the value of its core competencies and, more importantly, knows its partners’ strengths. Deploying multifaceted alliance frameworks requires establishing strong governance models rooted in accountability, especially as expanding wallet share from existing accounts by pitching new capabilities can be much harder than hunting new logos.

 

During a similar event in 2023, Infosys had SAP (NYSE: SAP) on stage. Given Infosys’ pattern, we would not be surprised if the company invited Microsoft along with Oracle or SAP next year. Time will tell, but given how buyers look to the ecosystem to procure services, such a move would not be out of the ordinary.

TBR’s Extensive, Ongoing Coverage of Infosys

TBR will continue to cover Infosys within the IT services, ecosystems, cloud and digital transformation spaces, including publishing quarterly reports with assessments of Infosys’ financial model, go-to-market, and alliances and acquisitions strategies.

 

For comparison with Infosys’ peers and other IT services vendors, TBR includes Infosys in our quarterly IT Services Vendor Benchmark; our semiannual Global Delivery Benchmark, Cloud Ecosystem Report, and Adobe & Salesforce Ecosystem Report; and our annual Decarbonization Market Landscape and Innovation and Transformation Centers Market Landscape. TBR is also planning to include Infosys as part of our Oracle, SAP and Workday Ecosystem Report, which is scheduled to be published in the summer of 2024.

PwC Embraces Business Model Change for Success in Connected Solutions and IoT

In early March, TBR met with Alec Massey, Principal, Connected Solutions, PwC US, to discuss recent developments, the overall state of the technology consulting market, and near-term expectations for Connected Solutions. The following is based on that discussion and TBR’s ongoing research on PwC.

Embracing Partners to Elevate the Value of Connected Solutions

PwC Connected Solutions has evolved in recent years to encompass an unexpectedly — for a Big Four professional services firm — broad set of offerings, ranging from sensors and hardware to network and cloud to dashboard analytics and reporting. Using a managed services business model, PwC Connected Solutions provides physical IoT sensors, using either a third-party’s hardware or a client’s existing technology.

 

The firm also installs the necessary connectivity for IoT solutions and provides configuration, testing and analytics, rounding out the IoT package. Massey shared extensive details about the firm’s technology capabilities, particularly about PwC’s patented Indoor Geolocation Platform, which has deployed in numerous hotels and casinos currently, and the firm’s Signal Graph analytics platform that uses AI and machine learning tools to draw insights from streaming time-series datasets. The firm has begun expanding its platform IoT solutions to the hospital sector and various opportunities in Mexico.

 

While TBR cannot evaluate the technological advantages of PwC Connected Solutions, one clear difference between the firm’s IoT practice and those of similar consultancies is PwC’s willingness to embrace the channel partner business model. According to Massey, the “channel partner model is an innovative concept for PwC where large technology firms are licensing our applications to sell and deliver to their clients.”

 

According to Massey, channel partners allow PwC to accelerate and scale into new markets that the Connected Solutions team has not prioritized. In TBR’s view, PwC’s decision to adopt a business model that is outside of the firm’s traditional approach but is prevalent in the IoT ecosystem reflects a strategic approach to meet technology partners where they are and meet their business model needs.

The Next Necessary Evolution: Operational Optimization

According to data from TBR’s December 2023 Digital Transformation: Voice of the Customer Research, IoT ranked No. 7 as a technology supporting buyers’ digital transformation (DT) initiatives in 2H23 (as shown in Figure 1), down from No. 3 in 2H22 (as shown in Figure 2). While generative AI (GenAI) has pushed down IoT as a priority investment area among enterprise buyers, we believe there is still plenty of potential for the technology to drive opportunities. A new set of stakeholders, including operational technology departments, are becoming comfortable with IoT, and this is particularly the case for more mature enterprises that are further along with their DT programs.

 

We believe customers and vendors are treating IoT as one of the technologies of DT through which an organization creates and executes a strategy around its current and future data assets. Operational departments plan for IoT to enable operational improvements and to contribute to organizationwide strategic DT plans. Overcoming the dichotomy around the perception of IoT lies in vendors’ ability to build use cases applicable to all ecosystem participants rather than developing pilot projects in a vacuum. Vendors such as PwC need to evolve their approaches and act more as operational optimizers as opposed to just operational visionaries.

 

Graph showing technologies purchased for central digital transformation initiatives in 2H23

Figure 1

 

Graph showing technologies purchased for central digital transformation initiatives in 2H22

Figure 2

Enabling PwC’s Steady Evolution

TBR has closely tracked PwC’s steady evolution from the staid, white-shoe accounting firm with budding consulting capabilities to the multifaceted professional services goliath with capabilities in cybersecurity, cloud, managed services and, increasingly, its own technology solutions.

 

Through development of its Connected Solutions capabilities and offerings, PwC is quietly expanding how the broader services and technology ecosystem perceives what kind of firm PwC is and what PwC can do. In TBR’s view, public perceptions — and possibly enterprise buyers’ perceptions — may remain mired in an accountancy-centric understanding of PwC, but the firm’s ecosystem partners that are selling, innovating and collaborating with PwC know well that the firm’s technology experience and capabilities extend well beyond previous limitations.

 

Take just one example from the discussion above: PwC now uses channel partners to extend its technology offerings to enterprises outside the firm’s usual clientele. Through that business model decision, PwC opens itself up to a wider technology ecosystem and extends its reach well beyond the firm’s traditional client base. Connected Solutions remains a relatively small part of the firm’s overall revenues, but PwC’s ongoing willingness to experiment with its business model bodes well for the firm’s continued growth, particularly in a tumultuous consulting and technology market.

 

TBR’s coverage of PwC includes semiannual profiles of the firm as part of TBR’s Management Consulting Benchmark, special reports, and inclusion of PwC in other TBR reports, such as the AI & GenAI Market Landscape, as appropriate.

 

The Main Reason There Will not be an AI-centric Contract Vehicle in the Federal IT Services Space

Federal IT Vendors Navigating AI Hype

Since OpenAI’s ChatGPT garnered mainstream attention and media coverage at the start of 2023, it feels like every federal IT services vendor has been spurred on to disclose what they are doing with AI out of fear of being left behind by their competitors.

 

While Booz Allen Hamilton (NYSE: BAH) and Leidos (NYSE: LDOS) were innovators that were actively investing in early state generative AI (GenAI) prior to the pandemic, plenty of other vendors in the federal IT space have become increasingly active in regard to discussing their AI-related activities and how the technology will factor into their respective go-to-market strategies.

 

For example, General Dynamics Information Technology (GDIT) (NYSE: GD) touts AI for IT operations and AI for mission applications as two of its core digital accelerators. ManTech recently unveiled its own Data Analytics and Artificial Intelligence Solutions Practice, and Maximus (NYSE: MMS) has also been getting involved.

 

While Maximus had been signaling that it viewed AI as a strategic growth opportunity since earning its seat on the Department of Defense’s (DOD) Joint AI Center Data Readiness for AI Development program in 2022, the company’s AI-related announcements ramped up in 2023. Maximus brought on Kathleen Featheringham as its VP of AI Consulting Services for U.S. Federal Services in March after she played a prominent role in establishing Booz Allen Hamilton’s strategy to further penetrate the U.S. federal IT sector by utilizing AI. Additionally, Maximus became talkative about how it was experimenting with AI internally.

 

AI is an opportunity for Maximus to augment its customer service representatives, easing their workloads while enhancing the customer experience. The company wants to train its new hires in scenarios with AI to speed up their development process and ensure they are capable of assisting clients. Booz Allen Hamilton is doing something similar with its workforce through its new alliance with Workera. One of Maximus’ long-term goals, though, is to train AI on historical data to the point that it can analyze an agent’s ongoing conversation with a client and provide potential remedies.
 

The Likelihood of an AI-centric Contract in Federal IT

As vendors of all shapes and sizes continue accelerating their efforts to harness AI, many analysts and market watchers are asking: When will we see a government agency award a vendor a revolutionary AI-centric contract? According to TBR’s research, in all likelihood, we will not.

 

While GDIT’s “Seeds of Change” study published in 3Q23 showed that 28% of government agency respondents either had AI solutions in use or anticipated that they would be in use within the next year, it is not so simple to have a massive contract vehicle focused solely on AI. The main reason for this is that many government agencies still need to address their aging IT systems. Far too many federal IT infrastructures are still running on monolithic mainframe systems and have archaic software and out-of-date programming languages. As my colleague, John Caucis, frequently quips to clients: “They can’t put AI on COBOL.”

 

Federal IT spending has been accelerating at a rapid rate over the last few years to support agencies undertaking their digital modernization journeys. To capitalize on this surge in available funding, vendors have been leveraging their partner networks to show agencies how they can help clients complete a litany of tasks like setting up hybrid cloud environments, improving their cybersecurity and introducing data analysis tools.

 

Some vendors, like Peraton, have been positioning themselves as cloud services brokers as government agencies look to customize their own cloud platforms with third-party services. As one might expect, demand for these services will steadily expand as agencies increasingly look at incorporating AI-powered tools into their environments.

 

Before these agencies can begin utilizing these tools, though, they first need to gather their data and then understand it. This is where vendors like ManTech are stepping in. ManTech’s consultants are helping agencies identify where they are in their digital transformation journey. From there, ManTech works with the client on planning, designing and delivering solutions that allow these agencies to reap the benefits of the technology. As more agencies name their chief AI officers and outline their AI strategies, there will be plenty of opportunities for vendors to get involved.

How Federal IT Vendors Will Find Success in AI

Vendors will need to onboard AI experts while also upskilling employees and ensuring they can utilize the technology in a responsible manner. For example, SAIC (Nasdaq: SAIC) is showing a willingness to take a margin hit and deploy its free cash flow to internal programs to cross-train and upskill its entire workforce on AI during 2024.

 

As vendors seek to capitalize on the growing demand for AI services, their relationships with technology giants like Amazon Web Services (Nasdaq: AMZN), Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) and Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) will also become increasingly crucial. Successful vendors need to deepen their partnerships and demonstrate how their technologies can augment the hyperscaler platforms that agencies use. Having access to these giants lends vendors credibility while giving them access to the robust technologies and insight into how those technologies are being best used in the commercial space.

 

Additionally, vendors hoping to capitalize on AI solutions will need tangible use cases — for example, offering a customer-zero approach where vendors can show instances of how the technology has been applied internally. Rather than buying into the hype around AI, clients will want to see how the technology has been successfully and responsibly applied and know that they are not the testing ground.

 

For example, before making CGI PulseAI publicly available, the platform was developed for CGI’s (NYSE: GIB) own internal use. As stated in a March 2024 TBR special report, “[Global AI Enablement VP Diane] Gutiw described CGI’s take on this idea, noting that the company innovates, develops and tests GenAI-enabled solutions internally, like other vendors, but ensures clients understand that CGI views this investment as a way to save clients’ money: ‘We always talk about fail fast. We’re doing that on our dime because we would not fail fast on your dime.’”

Conclusion

AI obviously offers ways for various agencies to improve their productivity in the short term. It presents a chance for healthcare agencies to not only gather their data but also better understand it and meaningfully utilize it. However, this will require more than just an AI-centric contract vehicle.

 

For example, as discussed in a 2022 TBR special report, the DOD’s vision for Combined Joint All-Domain Command and Control (CJADC2) is to create “a cloudlike environment that enables the rapid receipt and transmission of intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) data to interconnected networks. By developing a unified network that enables sensors on Internet of Military Things (IoMT) devices to instantly pass on mission-critical information to leaders, more informed and coordinated decision making is possible across the U.S. military’s branches. Decision makers can act faster and establish more cohesive battlefield tactics, factoring in land, sea and air threats with additional support from each other’s assets due to this common operating picture (COP).”

 

AI would play a prominent role in enabling the DOD’s CJADC2 vision — from immediately relaying this COP to even tagging threats and suggesting the optimal weapon to be used given the situation. Yet to even get to that point, the U.S. military branches would need to invest in an antifragile cloud environment underpinned by 5G technology and have robust cybersecurity measures in place.

 

AI will eventually be a valuable tool for agencies, but it will not be delivered to them through a single AI-centric contract vehicle.

CGI Leverages AI Expertise for GenAI Success

In early March, TBR met with CGI’s Diane Gutiw and Frederic Miskawi, both VPs of Global AI Enablement, for a discussion about CGI’s evolving generative AI (GenAI) capabilities and offerings, as well as the executives’ views of the changing market around digital transformation, IT services and consulting, and AI overall. The following reflects both that discussion and TBR’s ongoing research into CGI and peers across the IT services and broader technology ecosystem.

CGI’s Approach to Generative AI and Innovation

Leveraging AI Expertise for Business Transformation

In describing the current market for IT services and technology-enabled solutions, Gutiw and Miskawi noted that clients emerged from 2023’s GenAI hype cycle feeling overwhelmed by proofs of concept (PoCs). Many emerging technology-centric engagements stalled at the PoC and pilot stages, stymied by challenges around data, change management and uncertain (or slow) ROI.

 

As a result, enterprise IT leadership, already saddled with a vested interest in maintaining relationships with current vendors (think: Amazon Web Services [Nasdaq: AMZN], Microsoft [Nasdaq: MSFT] and others), relies on current vendors and partners for guidance, even in an emerging area like GenAI. This echoes TBR’s findings in our December 2023 AI & GenAI Market Landscape.

 

Gutiw and Miskawi pointed out that in the current market, CGI (NYSE: GIB) can lean on two long-standing strengths: its culture of innovation rooted in governance and methodology, and its expertise and experience with AI, which predates the emergence of GenAI and the subsequent hype cycle. Bringing specificity to assertions about innovation, Gutiw and Miskawi described CGI’s thinking around “digital triplets.”

 

As Gutiw explained, CGI is “taking our digital twins that already exist and extending it by adding the generative AI and explainable AI as the third sibling.” In TBR’s view, this approach to harnessing technology in which clients have already invested — and in which CGI has proven expertise — and multiplying the benefits by leveraging GenAI and explainable AI should be a successful strategy for CGI to expand its footprint at existing clients and solidify its reputation as an innovative leader in the AI market.

 

Reinforcing CGI’s strength around established AI capabilities and scale, Miskawi added that CGI is seeing a multi-model ecosystem where, depending on the nature of the industry that you’re in, the nature of even the group within the enterprise that you’re working with, you have different types of needs, different types of fine-tuning that CGI is doing, mixing specialized AI models, which are more the legacy AI models, with the generative AI models where we’re seeing LLMs [large language models] interacting with the data inside categorization models … that ecosystem is evolving in front of our eyes and accelerating.”

 

Gutiw and Miskawi explained that while CGI’s GenAI practice resides within the company’s Data practice, CGI is undertaking GenAI efforts globally. This is in contrast to the proximity model that differentiates CGI from other IT services vendors. Gutiw said CGI understood that GenAI could not be stuck in one silo or isolated by client and that the technology would bring the most value internally and to clients only through a global approach to accelerating processes and disseminating knowledge around AI.

 

Bolstering this approach, CGI is focused on more than simply GenAI and is innovating on and delivering Frontier AI, according to Gutiw and Miskawi. In TBR’s view, 2023’s relentless hype around GenAI probably makes IT services and technology buyers more likely to look beyond the exciting new trends and instead find credibility in an approach that leverages established AI expertise.
 

TBR principal analysts discuss how the GenAI disruption is similar to prior disruptions, as well as how it is different, and which technology vendors are best positioned to win and why. Watch now by clicking the image below.

CGI’s Strategic AI Investments and Global Success

The CGI GenAI leaders also touched on two aspects of the current IT services and technology ecosystem that TBR believes are critical to vendors’ success: customer zero and technology agnosticism. TBR’s research has shown that the most resonant GenAI use cases start with the vendor testing the solution itself, serving as customer zero for the services or products before bringing them to clients.

 

Gutiw described CGI’s take on this idea, noting that the company innovates, develops and tests GenAI-enabled solutions internally, like other vendors, but ensures clients understand that CGI views this investment as a way to save clients’ money: “We always talk about fail fast. We’re doing that on our dime because we would not fail fast on your dime.” Gutiw described a solution CGI developed for responding to RFPs, called BidGenAI, which pulls from the company’s own database of wins and losses, shortening the time needed to pull together a (hopefully winning) response.

 

While requiring customizations to fit a client’s specific data environment, industry needs and compliance requirements, the BidGenAI tool undoubtedly can be applied across a wide range of enterprises. While not the first or only IT services vendor using the customer-zero approach (think: Accenture [NYSE: ACN] and IBM [NYSE: IBM]), CGI was explicit about the financial benefits clients will realize when CGI foots the innovation — the fail fast — bill.

 

The second aspect, technology agnosticism, has long been a feature of the consulting and IT services market, in which vendors shy away from aligning too closely with any one technology supplier for fear of alienating clients looking for the best-fit solution, not just the tech solution that most benefits the IT services vendor’s or consultancy’s bottom line.

 

Post-pandemic, TBR has seen a pronounced shift among some leading IT services vendors and consultancies toward much closer and more publicly embraced partnerships. Exclusivity remains rare, but something akin to most favored nation status or first among equals has permeated the IT services ecosystem. In this evolving landscape, CGI’s AI leaders described the company’s approach as “technology flexible” and noted strategic partners in the AI space include IBM, Microsoft, Google (Nasdaq: GOOG), SAP (NYSE: SAP), Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) and Amazon Web Services, as well as a slew of smaller technology players.

 

In TBR’s view, CGI’s emphasis on flexibility addresses the need to work with a range of technology partners to meet clients where they are while assuring clients CGI has invested fully in the training and capacity-building necessary for a robust AI practice.

Embracing Transformation While Rooted in Solving Business Problems

Two aspects of CGI’s approach to GenAI struck TBR as significant in understanding the company’s likely path forward and potentially its position within the IT services and GenAI market.

 

First, Miskawi, speaking about GenAI as understood and deployed within CGI itself, said simply, “It is transformative.” One could understand that to be obvious after more than a year of relentless hype. Or one could hear echoes of the famous “Mad Men” line, “It is toasted,” and consider CGI is embracing how much change will be necessitated by adopting GenAI across its own enterprise. Every other IT services vendor could do the same, but it remains to be seen if they can do it with the same welcoming embrace as CGI.

 

Second, TBR noted that during the entire discussion, Gutiw and Miskawi remained focused on business outcomes — for CGI and for its clients — a mindset and approach frequently ascribed to but rarely done. At one point, Gutiw noted that “it’s really understanding how we can use [CGI’s own capabilities and partner technologies] safely and how we can help solve business problems leveraging the technology.”

 

CGI’s challenge, of course, is ensuring that leaders across the company understand how to stay focused on clients’ business problems and how to recognize when a business challenge could be addressed through a GenAI-enabled solution.

CGI and GenAI: Investments, Approaches and Designs

In addition to the wide-ranging discussion, CGI’s GenAI leaders shared specifics about the company’s GenAI practice, including:

 

  • Over 10,000 professionals globally engaged on Data Analytics and Data Engineering projects with clients
  • CGI’s AI Advisory Services include AI Enterprise Governance OCM, Data and AI journey design and implementation, AI Business Consulting services with AI strategy road maps, and Responsible Use of AI frameworks.
  • CGI’s enterprise AI investments have focused on operational excellence; training and teaming; foundational capabilities around data, platforms and processes; and solution/use-case development.
  • CGI has invested in a Responsible AI Framework and an AI Strategy Framework to guide itself and its clients through the complexities of AI governance and risk.

 

In TBR’s 1H24 CGI Federal Vendor Profile, we noted that “CGI Federal’s parent company announced in July 2023 it would invest $1 billion over the next three years to fuel AI-based growth. CGI’s forthcoming outlays will fund the expansion of its AI-based advisory capabilities — particularly around the company’s Responsible Use of AI framework, which would resonate well with federal agencies. CGI Federal is facing a shifting competitive landscape in federal digital consulting, as General Dynamics Information Technology (GDIT) (NYSE: GD) is standing up a new advisory practice that will push adoption of its AI-related digital accelerators and ManTech is leveraging its 3Q23 acquisition of Definitive Logic Corp. to launch an AI-focused Data Analytics and Artificial Intelligence Solutions Practice.”

 

In addition, TBR notes that CGI Federal won a deal with the U.S. Department of State in October 2023 to provide on-site processing functions for consular services in Australia, Fiji, Japan, New Zealand and South Korea, leveraging the CGI Atlas360 solution’s AI capabilities to help enhance the visa application process.

 

The Telecom Industry Faces a Reckoning

Overarching Takeaways from Mobile World Congress 2024

Mobile World Congress 2024 (MWC24) brought together more than 2,700 exhibitors and 101,000 attendees from across the global ICT sector, including representatives from many other industries that are pursuing digital transformation. TBR notes that MWC Barcelona is closing in on the pre-pandemic high-water mark for attendance and exhibitors set in 2019.

 

The MWC ecosystem has proved resilient, confirming MWC Barcelona’s role as the most important, must-attend event in the world for all things related to mobile technology. The most popular topics discussed at MWC24 included generative AI (GenAI), traditional AI, network APIs, private networks, satellite connectivity, sustainability and cloud transformation.

 

TBR notes that hyperscalers (particularly Amazon Web Services [AWS] [Nasdaq: AMZN], Microsoft [Nasdaq: MSFT] and Google [Nasdaq: GOOGL]) kept a lower profile at MWC this year, a marked change from the loud and flashy presence they had at MWC23. Hyperscalers also continued to double down on positioning themselves as partners with communication service providers (CSPs).

 

Additionally, TBR notes that the AI/GenAI hype feels tangible and is unlikely to fall by the wayside like the metaverse, crypto, blockchain, and other hyped-up concepts and technologies that have come and gone in years past. Many use cases and business cases for AI and GenAI in the telecom industry make logical sense and have the potential to produce profoundly significant business outcomes, especially related to cost efficiency. Technological readiness for and commercialization of AI and GenAI are in process, and much more innovation is in store.

 

One of the most interesting takeaways TBR analysts observed from MWC24 was how little 5G, 5G-Advanced and 6G were discussed. While AI/GenAI, network APIs and private networks dominated mindshare at the event, as was widely expected, the lack of content about cellular technology market development was striking and underscores the challenges the telecom industry continues to face with revenue growth and ROI. This lack of discussion also underscores how CSPs are loathe to make further investments in 5G, especially 5G-Advanced, pending measurable ROI, and that vendors see this and are concerned 5G-Advanced will not generate significant revenue.

 

Though CSPs continue to talk a big game about B2B use cases, network slicing, private networks, cloud-native transformation, AI/GenAI and network APIs as key enablers of the digital economy and new revenue for themselves, their loud, echoing chorus rings hollow and is losing credibility as they do not have anything of significant, sustainable value to show for their efforts in these areas. This is forcing the vendor community, hyperscalers and some enterprises to hedge their bets and seek alternative routes to meet their business objectives.

 

TBR notes that the situation CSPs find themselves in is becoming increasingly dire, and as an industry CSPs are reaching a point where they will have to reckon with two decades of underachieving on transformation initiatives and weakening business metrics. Additionally, with the cost of capital now at levels last reached nearly 20 years ago in most major markets, CSPs’ financial pictures are worsening, and this will likely prompt a new wave of M&A as well as bankruptcies and structural reorganizations. CSPs also have a people problem, which is arguably the primary reason CSPs have been unable to realize their objectives of shifting from telcos to techcos.

 

TBR’s research indicates that the telecom industry has entered a period of rationalization and that the operator and vendor landscape, as well as the telecom business model, will fundamentally change over the next decade. The anti-pragmatic, restrictive and often hostile regulatory environment, coupled with macroeconomic headwinds (especially the relatively high cost of capital), and the inability for CSPs to truly transform into cloud-native digital service providers have brought the industry to this precipice.

 

By the end of this decade, TBR expects the telecom industry to look much different than it looks now, with fewer, but larger and stronger, CSPs and vendors remaining and new business models for network connectivity and related technology enablers disrupting the status quo enjoyed by the industry for decades.
 

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TBR Insights Live - MWC Debrief: AI, Private Networks, Cloud, Network APIs and More

Impact and Opportunities

AI Will Help CSPs Significantly Reduce Costs

Myriad use cases for AI and GenAI were discussed at MWC, spanning all aspects of a CSP. Use cases related to call centers and customer lifecycle management present the biggest opportunity to move the cost savings needle. OSS and BSS, which underpin customer lifecycle management, will be key domains through which AI/GenAI evangelization will take place within CSPs. Network-oriented use cases for AI/GenAI are also numerous but will take a bit longer to materialize compared to call center and customer lifecycle management use cases. The bigger issues surrounding AI/GenAI pertain to governance, privacy and societal considerations, any of which could stifle market development.

 

Labor will ultimately be significantly impacted by AI/GenAI, but TBR expects gradual attrition, with vacated positions not being filled, rather than abrupt, large-scale layoffs at CSPs. Importantly, the AI and GenAI outputs shown in use cases demonstrated at MWC24 essentially all required vetting by human resources, at least at this stage of market development.

CSPs Have a People Problem

Shifting from a telco to a techco requires cultural, talent and mindset changes at CSPs. For example, to become a techco, CSPs would need to think and behave like a techco and have a workforce that understands techco concepts such as CI/CD (continuous integration, continuous delivery) pipelines, agile workflow methodology, cloud, APIs, software engineering, computer programming languages like Python, as well as containers and microservices.

 

Change management initiatives, including at the senior management level, are likely to become more prevalent as leading CSPs attempt to cross this chasm, and management consultancies are poised to play a key role in facilitating this change. Though the presence of unions among some CSPs could stifle this shift, CSPs have had more than a decade to make progress toward this human resource transition.

 

Upskilling and reskilling are viable, partial solutions to address these issues, but these types of initiatives need more formalized structure, investment, and executive sponsorship and oversight to deliver relevant and meaningful results. TBR also expects more CSPs to adopt “cap and fizzle” or “captive” strategies to make this shift from telco to techco, whereby the legacy is wound down and separate entities are stood up in a more techco-oriented structure.

Still No “New Deal” or “Digital Single Market” for Europe’s Telecom Industry

Europe-based operators continued to use MWC as a mouthpiece to plead with governments and related institutions on the continent for regulatory reform (especially regarding consolidation, spectrum policy and evolving outdated regulations, some of which date back many decades). However, while some additional M&A is likely to be approved that may not have been allowed pre-pandemic (such as the Vodafone-3 U.K. and MasMovil-Orange Spain deals), no significant changes are visible on the horizon.

 

Using history as a guide, structural changes at the level hoped for by the telecom industry will likely only occur when macroeconomic deterioration forces governments into action and drives broader restructuring and change management at organizations. Said differently, the only way Europe’s telecom industry (and quite frankly, the global telecom industry) will see broad regulatory and structural changes is amid a catalyst moment, which tends to occur during periods of unprecedented economic stress.

 

For example, the last significant, large-magnitude industrial changes across major societies occurred during the Great Depression of the 1930s, which reshaped labor and industrial dynamics, and the Great Recession of 2007-2009, which reshaped the financial services industry. Telecom will, unfortunately, need a similar economically driven crisis to bring about the structural changes that the industry seeks.

Telco-led Initiatives Are Unlikely to Have Staying Power

CSPs continue to attempt to band together in key areas, such as network APIs via CAMARA and the Open Gateway API program, and on telco-specific large language models (LLMs) via the Telco AI Alliance, a recently created consortium spearheaded by SK Telecom and joined by several other major CSPs.

 

Using history again as a guide, initiatives such as these are unlikely to gain critical mass due to competitive, cultural and resourcing reasons, both between CSPs and within CSPs. For example, the recent past has seen AT&T’s (NYSE: T) Enhanced Control, Orchestration, Management & Policy (ECOMP)/ONAP (Open Network Automation Platform) and Deutsche Telekom’s (DT) MobiledgeX initiatives falter, with both being taken over by hyperscalers (Microsoft took over ONAP via its strategic arrangement with AT&T, and Google acquired MobiledgeX). The last major telco-led initiative to gain broad, global traction and yield significant benefits across the industry was the SMS initiative over 20 years ago.

 

TBR continues to believe that the best-suited players to make network APIs and LLMs relevant and outcome producing at scale are the hyperscalers, with CSPs likely to partner with hyperscalers for their boundarized portion of the overall market opportunity. Most CSPs are likely to remain technology consumers instead of technology producers, keeping them confined to connectivity providers and dependent on the vendor community and other players like hyperscalers for innovation.

CSPs Continue to Put the Cart Before the Horse with Enterprise Use Cases and Lack Focus on More Promising Consumer Opportunities, such as FWA

Most CSPs still have not deployed 5G standalone (SA) at scale, and those that have are not running truly cloud-native, microservices-based 5G cores. New enabling technologies, such as network slicing, are dependent on the adoption of cloud-native 5G core in a 5G SA architecture. This means that most CSPs globally are still not prepared to deliver on the promises of 5G for enterprise or to capitalize on the technology’s benefits.

 

CSPs can and should focus more on consumers, where fixed wireless access (FWA) is a proven, ROI-positive and scalable use case that is broadly relevant in most countries worldwide. CSPs’ current 5G non-SA networks and noncloud-native 5G SA networks are capable of supporting 5G FWA at scale, and this use case should be garnering more investment to drive more immediate revenue growth.

FWA Remains the Largest Revenue-generating Use Case for 5G and has Room to Scale

Though CSP deployment of 5G FWA is growing, most CSPs continue to underestimate the potential of the technology, likely because FWA ties up a lot of spectrum resources for relatively low average revenue per user (ARPU). TBR continues to believe that FWA represents one of the biggest opportunities for mobile network operators to monetize their 5G investments and drive scalable revenue growth.

 

Technological innovations currently available (e.g., multiband carrier aggregation, beamforming, extended range millimeter wave) and coming in the not-too-distant future (e.g., New Radio Unlicensed [NR-U], integrated access backhaul, silicon advancements) are likely to bring dramatic improvements in network performance, energy efficiency, and the usability of spectrum to support services such as FWA at large scale.

 

TBR maintains that 5G FWA should be thought of as wireless fiber and that the notion of having to deploy fiber to every business and residential premise globally is not only economically unfeasible but also unrealistic from a pure time-to-market standpoint to meet digital equity initiatives. 5G FWA can address these challenges and is a far more realistic and economically feasible technology to help the world bridge the digital divide, bring more competition in the global broadband market and support new use cases.

Finance Industry Indirectly Drives Investment in Private Cellular Networks

TBR analysts learned at MWC24 that the financial services industry is indirectly driving investment in private cellular networks. For example, the ability to track and obtain information from disparately located assets using IoT connectivity, such as heavy machinery and automobiles, is enabling businesses such as agriculture companies, fleet operators, mining companies, logistics companies and auto manufacturers to become eligible for various financial products, such as asset insurance and extended warranties, as well as lower premiums on existing insurance policies. Situations such as these are incentivizing the aforementioned types of businesses to invest in their own private cellular networks or pull CSPs into hybrid network situations.

Conclusion

The telecom industry is entering a new, more precarious phase of uncertainty. What CSPs and their vendors should be doing, they have been unable to do (or are moving far too slow), and what they should not be doing, they continue to cling to and do. If structural changes do not occur in the telecom industry in the next couple of years, the probability grows that other players (e.g., hyperscalers, software-centric vendors) will increasingly circumvent CSPs to pursue their own digital transformation-related interests.

 

The only players TBR has seen that have the financial and talent wherewithal, ability and credibility to deliver digital transformation and technological innovation at scale in the industrial internet era are hyperscalers and is likely to remain exclusively hyperscalers.

KPMG Leaders Talk 2024 Priorities and Plans to Scale Execution

Ready, Steady, Scale

As part of the Big Four, KPMG has brand permission and a breadth of services relevant to nearly every role in any enterprise. TBR believes KPMG will accelerate the scale and completeness of its offerings in the coming year, building on a solid foundation and furthering the gaps between KPMG and other consulting-led, technology-enabled professional services providers.

 

KPMG’s four-part framework — Connected, Powered, Trusted and Elevated — resonates with clients and technology partners, provides KPMG’s professionals with clear insight into the firm’s strengths and strategy, and underpins a transformation already well underway. The coming year will challenge KPMG’s leaders to execute on the promise of that transformation during the next wave of macroeconomic pressures, talent management battles and technology revolutions.

 

KPMG’s leaders described their priorities as transforming the firm’s go-to-market approach, unlocking the power of the firm’s people, reimagining ways of working, and innovating capabilities and service enhancements. Success against these priorities, in TBR’s view, will come as KPMG shifts from building a foundation to scaling alongside the growing needs of its clients.

Welcome (or Welcome Back) to Lakehouse

Breaking from the traditional form for analyst events — presentations followed by special sessions and one-on-one meetings — KPMG divided the attending analysts into three groups, rotating each group through Ignition, KPMG’s immersive innovation lab experience; presentations and demos in an Innovation Showcase; and a tour of Lakehouse. A few highlights:

 

  • In addition to walking the analysts through the typical 10-minute start of an Ignition session, recreating what KPMG’s clients experience, the firm gave the stage to a client, who shared their experiences working with KPMG. The consulting and technology solutions provided by KPMG served as useful context for the breadth of KPMG’s capabilities and the importance of using an innovation center. Most notably, the client described how their own brand depended on being a trusted partner in the communities they served and how their relationship with KPMG reinforced that trust across the full spectrum of the consultancy, the client and the client’s clients. TBR came away with a better appreciation for KPMG’s ability to extend trust and partner across its offerings and engagements.
  • KPMG’s technology presentations included a wide range of solutions leveraging an array of emerging technologies such as quantum and generative AI (GenAI). Taking more than the allotted hour with TBR, the KPMG team walked through a surprising number of offerings, repeatedly coming back to two critical points: These are currently active solutions, deployed with clients and moving toward scale (i.e., not ideas undergoing testing or in beta), and KPMG boasts a breadth of technology capabilities that TBR realized was far greater than our expectations prior to the event.
  • KPMG has continued to apply lessons around training and talent management to maximize the firm’s culture effects delivered by Lakehouse. As shared by KPMG’s leaders, small changes since Lakehouse opened have kept the employee experience fresh and the overall satisfaction with attending training or other kinds of sessions at Lakehouse exceptionally high. For example, KPMG learned that two and a half days of in-person sessions reduced the stress of being away from clients or engagements for a full week. By layering Monday to Wednesday and Wednesday to Friday training schedules, KPMG can bring more employees through Lakehouse without inducing training burnout or challenging employees to balance client demands with professional development time. In an informal discussion, an event guest (neither an analyst nor a KPMG employee) commented to TBR that she was amazed to see a facility that was designed for and dedicated to training.

 

KPMG’s decision to ease into an analyst event with small groups wandering around Lakehouse played to the firm’s strengths as approachable and multifaceted, with each of the three sessions quietly reinforcing the firm’s commitments to maintaining trust with clients, advancing technology-enabled solutions to business problems, and supporting the firm’s own people through professional development and firm culture.

 

While the firm is already leveraging the facility globally, one challenge for KPMG next year and beyond will be replicating Lakehouse globally. During a coffee chat shortly after the analyst event in Orlando, TBR and a senior KPMG consulting partner discussed how, whether and when the firm could open similar best-in-class training facilities in key geographies, such as Europe, the Middle East and Asia Pacific.

 

While Lakehouse requires a significant investment from KPMG’s legally separate member firms, TBR — and KPMG leaders who discussed the possibilities — has already seen Lakehouse expand from a training-only facility to a showcase for clients, reinforcing KPMG’s culture and the firm’s place in the professional services market.

Stick to the Mission and Tackle the Biggest Problems

Across the full day of presentations, KPMG repeatedly came back to highlighting its efforts to bring together the entire firm to deliver value to clients through a four-part framework: Connected, Powered, Trusted and Elevate. That value, according to KPMG’s leadership, began with trusted relationships with its clients, built when clients developed their business strategies and turned to KPMG for advice and validation.

 

Notably, according to KPMG’s leadership, pure technology companies often lack the strategy consulting permission (or people) as an enterprise begins a transformation, even if implementing new or modernizing existing technology will play a leading role. And when the technology is delivering business results, KPMG has the trusted advisor role and the skills to refresh an enterprise’s strategy.

 

Bringing this high-level view — which is not that different from what the other Big Four firms offer — to a more concrete understanding of KPMG’s value to its clients, TBR repeatedly heard two phrases during the Lakehouse event: “Let’s go after the core of the biggest problems you have” and “Stick to our mission.”

 

The first phrase demonstrates a willingness to take risks and tackle hard issues, not simply assist with marginal, if necessary, changes. In contrast, many of KPMG’s IT services competitors that are equally willing to help clients move from technology transformation pilots to enterprise-scale deployments still prioritize transactional engagements with a reduced risk mindset. (Note: TBR believes GenAI will strip 15% of the cost from current large-scale managed services contracts, a potentially existential threat to a few global systems integrators [SIs].)

 

The second phrase signals to TBR that KPMG’s leadership fully embraces the firm’s role within the larger services and technology ecosystem, to include where and when the firm needs to partner with technology vendors and even larger SIs. In a market flush with technology hype — GenAI today, metaverse in 2021, blockchain in 2019 — KPMG has resisted the temptation to chase technology discussions with technologists for technology’s sake and instead has focused on business decision makers looking for advice, a strategy and an execution plan. Stick to the mission. Go after the biggest problems.

Who Has the Money and Time to Build Their Own Bridge?

In a wide-ranging presentation and discussion around data, KPMG leaders acknowledged that every professional services firm emphasizes rigorous, standardized and methodical analysis of its clients’ data (when they can get it and its useful; see TBR’s Voice of the Customer research for how often that is the case).

 

To separate itself, KPMG leaders said the firm leans into experience, applicable industry knowledge, a dedication to methodology, and extracting value from existing assets. In TBR’s view, this last point illustrates a critical shift in enterprise buyers’ priorities that KPMG has picked up on and has begun to leverage.

 

In TBR’s view — and apparently KPMG’s as well — consulting and digital transformation clients want to move beyond the endless rounds of buying new technology solutions and reorient to extracting value from existing assets. To span that gap from existing data to modernized technology and transformed business, enterprises still need a bridge. KPMG has the blueprints and the experience in building those bridges, helping clients elevate and transform.

Solidifying Alliances Through Trust, Culture and Shared Values

Pivoting to alliances with technology partners, KPMG’s leaders spent a significant portion of the analyst event describing how the firm works with Google Cloud (Nasdaq: GOOG), IBM (NYSE: IBM), Oracle (NYSE: ORCL), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), ServiceNow (NYSE: NOW), Salesforce (NYSE: CRM), SAP (NYSE: SAP), Workday (Nasdaq: WDAY), and Verizon (NYSE: VZ). We cover SAP and Verizon in detail below, but a few elements came across as essential to how KPMG sees its role in the larger technology ecosystem:

 

  • Technology partners look to KPMG for industry experience and access to buying personas at clients that technology partners simply do not have (think: CFO).
  • Technology partners expect KPMG to share values, align culturally and invest in sustained relationships at multiple levels within each partner.

 

The first set of expectations technology partners have for KPMG do not significantly differ, if at all, from similar expectations of the other Big Four firms. The second set, in TBR’s view, demonstrates KPMG’s more focused and selective approach to alliances. Technology partners only expect cultural alignment and shared values if both parties make that a core element of the alliance.

 

Given the nature of other technology-plus-consultancy alliances TBR has analyzed in detail, KPMG is likely driving the emphasis around cultural fit and shared values, an effort that cannot be replicated across tens or even hundreds of alliance relationships. As will be reinforced by the following sections on SAP and Verizon, TBR sees KPMG’s alliance strategy as well suited to how the firm has built its brand around trust. As the firm continues to scale to meet clients’ needs, maintaining that emphasis on trust, culture and shared values will challenge KPMG and require careful management across the global member firms.

 

One final comment: One of the leaders from one of KPMG’s technology partners began their discussion by stating, “The candor and brutal honesty that they brought to the assessment reinforced KPMG’s reputation.” It is hard to imagine an endorsement more rooted in trust and shared values.

KPMG and SAP: Growing Exceptionally Fast, with Plenty of White Space Ahead

For more than a decade, KPMG’s audit relationship with SAP precluded the firm from going to market jointly with SAP and constricted KPMG’s potential relationship with the ERP giant. Unrestrained now, KPMG has the opportunity to step smartly into a competitive field currently overcrowded with services vendors looking to ride the wave of enterprises migrating to SAP S/4HANA. Separating KPMG from this pack, which includes its Big Four peers and global SI (GSI) giants like Accenture (NYSE: ACN) and Capgemini, requires executing on three key elements, in TBR’s view.

 

First, KPMG needs to ensure SAP’s leadership, sales teams and especially SAP S/4HANA subject matter experts understand the scale and capabilities KPMG already has and where the firm is investing — in SAP — in the near term. Convincing SAP that KPMG will bring value beyond just another consultancy or SI to SAP’s clients will help KPMG expand its small SAP footprint within existing clients.

 

Second, KPMG will need to continue investing in its SAP practice to ensure credible scale in a crowded marketplace in the long term. KPMG is not starting from zero, and with success in the SAP marketplace requiring integrated cloud, security and business capabilities, KPMG will have to ensure continued tight collaboration among all of these adjacent areas and the 5,000 SAP consultants it already has on its books.

 

Finally, with industry and domain expertise critical to successful SAP-led business transformation KPMG’s Powered Enterprise approach will be key to customer success. Aligning functional and domain expertise across SAP’s Business Technology Platform (BTP) with industry understanding will be critical to driving client value in areas like environmental, social and governance (ESG) and AI. Clients are increasingly seeking outcomes through technology investment, and the KPMG Powered approach aligns the KPMG Target Operating Model, Powered Technology and Powered Industry excellence as well as its suite of deployable assets to drive outcomes with business value.

KPMG and Verizon: Vendor Agnostic No More

If SAP is KPMG’s up-and-coming alliance, what KPMG has developed with Verizon truly distinguishes the firm from the rest of the market. In essence, KPMG and the networking giant evolved their relationship from a history of transformational engagements into what KPMG leaders describe as a collaborative “360-degree relationship” based on a foundation of trust. KPMG brings deep business intelligence and systems integration capabilities, combined with strong industry experience, going to market with Verizon and their disruptive 5G/Mobile Edge Computing technology. In addition, KPMG continues to deliver transformative work, often leveraging other key alliance partners such as ServiceNow.

 

Focusing initial joint go-to-market efforts around opportunities in healthcare, KPMG and Verizon have staked out complementary offerings and responsibilities. For example, as KPMG highlighted during the event, the firm “brings advanced data science and analytics capabilities through KPMG Lighthouse,” while Verizon provides “advanced multi-access edge computing and API management capabilities.” KPMG also emphasized that, specific to healthcare, the firm has launched an Innovation Lab supported by Verizon’s “private 5G infrastructure as backbone.”

 

Describing the array of KPMG and Verizon services, KPMG leaders noted the many offerings, such as Cloud Engineering, Platform Design & Engineering and Digital Twin, Device Simulation & Certification, that KPMG and Verizon will deliver through a joint approach, combining KPMG and Verizon professionals. In TBR’s view, this alliance stands apart from other consultancy technology alliances because of the innovation, development, go-to-market and commercialization commitments.

 

This is not a vendor-agnostic approach. This is picking a 5G, networking and edge provider and going all-in. Based on the presentations onstage and sidebar discussions, this all-in commitment goes both ways, with Verizon clearly seeing the value of partnering as closely as possible with KPMG.

Bringing the Right People Together and Always Making a Difference

During the afternoon sessions, TBR heard multiple client use cases, each one reinforcing KPMG’s core messages around trust, transformation, innovation and value. Three moments stood out as exemplifying precisely what makes KPMG the market-leading firm it is today:

 

  • During a discussion on cybersecurity, KPMG’s leaders noted that the firm brings security experts, industry subject matter experts and even tax professionals to Ignition Center engagements, stressing that this approach — which includes the whole KPMG team — serves multiple purposes. First, the client can appreciate the full range of KPMG’s capabilities and offerings. Second, this approach allows the client (in this case, the chief information security officer [CISO]) to see the business from others’ perspectives. Third, KPMG creates a collective, trusted, collaborative environment, focused on both innovation and core business problems.
  • In a presentation by KPMG, one of its clients and one of its technology partners (Oracle), the client said one key criterion in selecting KPMG was the firm’s credibility in always being able to deliver the right people at the right time who understand the right technology. Trusted relationships depend on dependability and consistent delivery. This client case proved KPMG’s commitment and reinforced that KPMG has been building needed scale.
  • Lastly, dinner at Lakehouse included a panel discussion featuring LPGA’s Commissioner Mollie Marcoux Samaan, and the assistant U.S. team captain, golf pro Angela Stanford, both arriving directly from the 2023 Solheim Cup in Spain, where the U.S. had its best ever score on European soil. According to the LPGA guests, KPMG provided analytics-enabled insights and on-site support to help the U.S. team pick the right pairings over the course of the tournament, bringing data and additional rigor to intensely personal and often challenging decisions. As a use case, few of KPMG’s enterprise clients will need the firm’s help pairing golfers to win a tournament, but every client will likely lean on KPMG for assistance with data-driven decisions.

 

At the start of 2024, KPMG has positioned itself well to sustain its core values, bring transformation to clients and continue to scale. Now comes the execution of that strategy.

 

Note: KPMG also shared specific details about its alliances with ServiceNow, Salesforce, Workday, Microsoft and Oracle. These details will be included in TBR’s ongoing coverage of KPMG and in upcoming ecosystem reports.