Red Hat Analyst Day 2021: Aspiring to make infrastructure a nonevent

Red Hat aspires to be the technology glue for the digital enterprise

Red Hat rose to prominence simplifying technology stacks, with a mission to break the chokehold proprietary operating systems had on the enterprise via Enterprise Open Source, then extending that out to the various cloud developer platforms through its products. For this product strategy, Red Hat developed simple monetization strategies that have been replicated throughout the industry in what are now commonly called “as a Service” business models.

Red Hat recognizes it needs to do more to solidify its position as the glue, or virtual mortar, for digital business. The march to edge, driven by ubiquitous, economical compute, means that Red Hat has to expand beyond its horizontal strategy, which caters to the IT developer community, to also incorporate a more nuanced strategy that provides the requisite workflow and industry wrappers to simplify developer remits even further.

Red Hat quite correctly cites its dominance in the enterprise, with over 90% of the Fortune 500 using Red Hat products and solutions. This share dominance positions the company well for legacy application modernizations for an inside-out expansion strategy. Legacy vendors increasingly expose internal data through a series of different use cases and business constructs, whether it be to deploy internal data for marketing initiatives or to modernize the transfer of permissioned information among other business entities in a multi-enterprise business network.

But outside-in data utilization from customer-facing applications, often built cloud natively, is a different story. Many of the technology startups targeting those business use cases have become enamored with hyperscaler marketplaces as a key attribute when settling upon their development strategy. While developers may still be king, customer parliaments have greater and greater influence over the way the business policies are determined. Simple add-to-cart trials can trump the developer efficiencies associated with writing once in OpenShift to deploy anywhere.

Red Hat has moved to fill that gap by stating it will meet customers where they want to buy. IT procurement, Red Hat rightfully argues, is being consolidated on hyperscaler marketplaces, and Red Hat is developing — across much of its portfolio — more co-selling situations with Microsoft Azure (Nasdaq: MSFT), Amazon Web Services (AWS; Nasdaq: AMZN) and Google (Nasdaq: GOOGL) around OpenShift, SQL and SAP technologies.

Red Hat makes the last-mile connection to the workflow seamless

Red Hat can mask the technological complexities of the hybrid multicloud world. Through Ansible OpenShfit and the Red Hat portfolio, the company can also streamline the DevSecOps processes to allow software development to focus on the business value, while Red Hat addresses the infrastructure deployment layer that will become increasingly important as edge deployments proliferate.

Presently, Red Hat has honed its offers for telco, financial services and what is broadly defined as Industry 4.0. Red Hat’s telecommunications and financial services market share has been a solid underpinning of the company’s install base for decades. Similarly, these two verticals are also pushing hard for edge build-outs to bring compute and networking functionality as close to their end customers as possible.

Through Red Hat’s automation and open-source curation competencies, the company is able to create what it calls validated patterns for the edge. The validated patterns will consist of publicly available reference architectures Red Hat certifies for its various version releases. Validated patterns, in essence, shorten the development time for the broader Red Hat community by addressing the underlying infrastructure connections and interactions necessary to work in the hybrid multicloud world.

At Red Hat’s virtual Analyst Day event, held on Nov. 18, company representatives delivered a rapid-fire presentation on Red Hat’s three-year vision and the company’s efforts to pivot its initiatives to a more vertically focused set of go-to-market motions. The presentation was led by a succession of Red Hat senior vice presidents, including Mike Ferris, Corporate Development and Strategy; Ashesh Badani, Products; Stefanie Chiras, Partner Ecosystems; and Marco Bill-Peter, Customer Success, in addition to Global Partners and Alliances leads Terri Hall and Maryam Zand and Global Industries Chief Strategist Ian Hood. Rounding out the event was a customer testimonial from Deloitte Senior Manager Ashley D’Souza on the ways Red Hat technology enabled Deloitte’s healthcare solutions for the state of Washington.

Top 3 Predictions for Digital Transformation in 2022

In the end it is all about business outcomes

Digital is dead; long live business transformation

Although the term “digital transformation” has served an important purpose of focusing the attention of business leaders and the IT services and consultancies working with them, it has been among the most overused phrases of the last 10 years in technology. At the start of 2022, no one will need to be reminded that technology — digital — can drive transformation. Business transformation is returning to the forefront for enterprises as a result of the pandemic, the advantages of emerging technologies, and the generational shift in the C-Suite, with newly promoted decision makers fully soaked in all the possibilities of technology.

The shift from digital transformation to business transformation will accelerate in 2022, amid the change in buyers and as digitally mature businesses are more inclined to bring technology talent in-house. These trends, along with the return to in-person workplaces and a resurgence of innovation and transformation centers, will create opportunities for leading IT services vendors and consultancies to separate from the pack by expanding managed services, returning clients to in-person creative sessions, and shifting away from technology-first mindsets.

2022 will be a pivotal year for digital transformation … perhaps its last. 

2022 digital transformation predictions

  • As clients graduate beyond digital transformation, vendors scramble to stay relevant
  • Funky chairs only matter if you can physically sit in them: The resurange of innovation and transformation centers
  • New generation of business leaders expect business transformations, not digital ones

 

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Telecom Business Research’s 2022 Predictions is a special series examining market trends and business changes in key markets. Covered segments include cloud, telecom, devices, data center, and services & digital.

devices, data center, and services & digital.

Hyperscalers are poised to disrupt the private cellular networks market over the next few years

Hyperscalers are poised to disrupt the private cellular networks market through their ecosystems, platforms and marketplaces

Hyperscalers (especially Amazon, Google and Microsoft) intend to standardize, modularize and verticalize private cellular networks (PCN)-related solutions inside their ecosystems, platforms and marketplaces, especially as it pertains to 5G and edge computing. Hyperscalers are focused on hiding the complexity of private networks and edge computing, enabling end users to more easily procure and consume these resources and unlock the value of data.

Enterprise and government consumption of networking resources will ultimately come to resemble how IT resources are consumed via the cloud, and solutions will be outcome-based. Early manifestations of this trend can be seen with Microsoft’s packaging of its 5G core with Azure Private Multi-Access Edge Compute (MEC) to enable and drive enterprise digital transformation with on-premises private 5G MEC. Microsoft is also building a range of vertical-specific use case solutions spanning smart factory, defense, retail transformation, and healthcare. Amazon and Google are following Microsoft’s lead in this domain.

Ultimately, TBR believes a large portion of activity in the private cellular networks and edge computing markets will be conducted inside hyperscalers’ ecosystems. CSPs and vendors will increasingly have to play inside hyperscalers’ ecosystems in some way to stay relevant in the market as it evolves.

Private 5G Network Revenue by Provider Type 2020-2025E

TBR’s Private Cellular Networks Market Landscape deep dives into the market for private cellular networks. This global report covers enterprises that are investing in private cellular networks as well as all of the major vendors and some nascent players that supply infrastructure in this space. The research includes key findings, key market developments, market sizing and forecast, regional trends, technology trends, vertical trends, use cases, and key customer deals that are occurring in the market. TBR’s Private Cellular Networks Market Forecast, which is global in scope, details private cellular network spending trends among enterprises and governments, particularly as it pertains to 5G. This research includes current-year market sizing and a five-year forecast of several private cellular networks market segments and geographies.

Top 3 Predictions for Global Delivery in 2022

Robots hire robots, talent uproots to anywhere, and TikTok takes on TCS

Fallout from the pandemic will lead to the most disruptive year in global delivery since the start of outsourcing

TBR anticipates sea changes on three fronts in 2022. First, accelerated adoption and sustained refinement of automation will lead to AI-enabled platforms determining the automation tools needed to optimize an increasing number of processes. And those AI-smart platforms will make procurement decisions independently. In short, robots are hiring robots, with all the implications on talent, productivity, KPIs and pricing.

Second, the pandemic proved IT services can be delivered from anywhere. In 2022 that reality will shift compensation models, as vendors begin to eliminate disparities based on location. Smart IT services vendors will hire talent anywhere and reward professionals who find ways to meet their colleagues in person. Lagging IT services vendors will cling to now-outdated compensation models that pay a professional in Boston more for doing the exact same job as someone in Bangalore, India.

Third, the rise of enterprises that are outside the software and IT services realm but differentiate based on software and IP will exacerbate the ongoing war for software developer talent. Is that too many mentions of “software” in one sentence in an IT services predictions paper? Yes. But the large IT services vendors with business models built around skilled developers will start losing talent to the likes of TikTok and Tesla, and may also eventually lose business to those new competitors.

We are not exaggerating: By the end of 2022, global delivery will be a different game. 

2022 global delivery predictions

  • The robots will hire each other, complicating the people part of global delivery
  • Get paid for what you do, not for where you live goes global, with business model and business culture implications
  • Software developers defecting to TikTok challenge IT services vendors’ talent models

 

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Telecom Business Research’s 2022 Predictions is a special series examining market trends and business changes in key markets. Covered segments include cloud, telecom, devices, data center, and services & digital.

Top 3 Predictions for Data Center in 2022

Vendors respond to customers’ accelerated IT transformations​

Hardware vendors will race to further entrench themselves in customers’ ecosystems

While storage, hyperconverged infrastructure (HCI) and servers are the main products being sold by data center vendors, they are hardly noticeable in the go-to-market messaging that is being pushed out to customers. These vendors are more focused than ever on selling the outcome over the hardware itself,  whether that outcome is building a hybrid cloud environment to serve remote workers or deploying an edge solution on a factory floor. Data center vendors are looking to capture more of their customers’ environment, from managed services to hybrid cloud enablement, to diversify their revenue beyond hardware and create more reliable revenue streams.​

Building ecosystems is at the forefront of data center vendors’ go-to-market strategies to add value and create stickier offerings. This ranges from building management consoles and expanding software capabilities to refining “as a Service” offerings rolled out over the past 18 months. For leading vendors, this is done with an eye toward helping customers reap the same benefits they seek in public cloud alternatives — agility and simplicity — while also providing flexibility and cost control. ​

The road to a more diversified revenue stream is not without hurdles. Customers have already developed preferences for management tools and development platforms from cloud providers and ISVs. Markets like edge compute are complex with customization and industry nuance. Selling subscription models requires sales and delivery transformation for not only vendors but also partners, and a sales strategy that delivers on values that resonate with customers. In 2022 TBR expects to see further proliferation of the journey vendors embarked on in 2021, building out solution portfolios one use case at a time by identifying areas ripe for transformation that also benefit from on-premises hardware.

2022 data center predictions

  • Infrastructure vendors’ “as a Service” offerings will gain traction as the offerings are refined for specific use cases
  • Hardware vendors embrace the ecosystem
  • Vendors will carve out niche specialties under the broad banner of edge compute

 

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Telecom Business Research’s 2022 Predictions is a special series examining market trends and business changes in key markets. Covered segments include cloud, telecom, devices, data center, and services & digital.

Top 3 Predictions for IT Services in 2022

Sustainability in talent, decarbonization and emerging tech becomes the watchword for IT services

Services is still people, even as compelling new forces like ESG and emerging technologies challenge IT services vendors

Even with a rush of emerging technologies and responses to the pandemic at the forefront of IT services vendors’ strategies and client success stories, the fundamentals of IT services remain rooted in people — in recruiting, training and deploying the right talent to solve IT-related business problems and staff enterprise IT needs. The changes TBR expects in 2022, including new competitors in the war for talent, new opportunities around decarbonization and accelerated adoption of emerging technologies, will not substantially alter IT services vendors’ business models. Differentiation among the vendors, in offerings, capabilities and financial performances, will come more through execution than strategy, at least in the near term. Vendors more adept at pivoting to new revenue streams and more patient with pressured margins will see greater success beyond 2022, provided they are able to adequately navigate talent challenges in the near term.      ​

The vendors that were ahead of the game in 2019 in portfolio and resource expansion around next-generation technology-enabled solutions are experiencing revenue growth improvement in 2021. New growth initiatives, such as around product engineering, supply chain improvement and sustainability, along with steady investments in areas such as hybrid cloud, AI, security, IoT, blockchain and industry-specialized offerings, will continue to expand vendors’ addressable market opportunities and support revenue growth acceleration into 2022. Virtual delivery enables increased productivity but pushes employee utilization to the limits and supports a surge in attrition. Managing talent to market demand, especially as macroeconomic conditions improve and digital exhaustion continues, will be key as IT services vendors strive to ensure service quality requirements are met.​

While the COVID-19 pandemic remains an external factor that can negatively affect IT services spending, subsiding pressures thanks to global vaccine rollouts indicate a potential for continued revenue growth acceleration from the 6% year-to-year revenue growth during the full year 2021 for the 30 vendors in TBR’s IT Services Vendor Benchmark. Moving into 2022, revenues will be driven by a mix of three activities: short-term projects around operational resilience and running businesses; larger transformational engagements that enable clients to improve their business models; and innovation engagements that allow clients to do something completely different — all supported through technology solutions and services.​

2022 IT services predictions

  • Focus on talent management, refined during the pandemic, will recede in a post-pandemic environment
  • The decarbonization shift from promises to actual results opens a massive opportunity for IT services
  • Blockchain winter ends and 5G & edge bloom in 2022, bringing new enhanced revenue streams to IT services

 

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Telecom Business Research’s 2022 Predictions is a special series examining market trends and business changes in key markets. Covered segments include cloud, telecom, devices, data center, and services & digital.

Top 3 Predictions for Federal IT Services in 2022

Where the money flows, IT services follow

Federal spending priorities shifting to favor civilian agencies

In three areas, the Biden administration’s pivot from defense spending to shoring up civilian agencies will have immediate effects on the federally focused IT services vendors. First, accelerated cloud adoption and new spending bringing cloud to civilian agencies will create partnerships and acquisition opportunities, as well as additional revenue streams. Second, IT services vendors well positioned for that pivot will increase their market share. Third, increased AI, analytics and cybersecurity deployments, supported by new federal dollars flowing to civilian agencies, will further separate federally focused IT services vendors that have built capabilities and talent during the last several years.

Civilian sector IT spending has recovered vigorously from the COVID-19 trough in 2020, thanks to civilian agencies’ ongoing drive to digitize their IT infrastructures, and the shifting budget objectives of the Biden administration will further accelerate civilian IT outlays. Health IT is emerging as a major growth driver on the civilian side, owing to ongoing COVID-19 response initiatives, electronic health record modernization, and IT projects to enhance the interoperability of health IT environments in the federal, state and local government sectors. Even amid the expected deceleration in defense spending, the Pentagon will leverage cloud infrastructures to connect IT platforms for combat operations across service branches, while cloud computing will become essential to transmitting, sorting and analyzing mission data.

Federal systems integrators also have an eye on the transformative technologies and methodologies that are becoming commonplace in the digital modernization of federal IT infrastructures. For example, federal IT services vendors will increasingly utilize low code as they execute cloud implementations, enabling the rapid development and scale-up of cloud-based software tools. Federal IT contractors are also pondering the effects of 5G and quantum on cybersecurity, while upgrading existing mobile and IT communications systems into more open and interoperable networks embedded with AI and analytics technologies.

2022 federal IT services predictions

  • Increased U.S. federal cloud spending upends the IT services market
  • Vendors prepared for flattening defense budgets and accelerated civilian spend will see early gains
  • Investment in advanced digital technologies will accelerate across all federal sectors

 

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Telecom Business Research’s 2022 Predictions is a special series examining market trends and business changes in key markets. Covered segments include cloud, telecom, devices, data center, and services & digital.

Top 3 Predictions for Cloud Partnerships in 2022

Cloud partnerships go from important to critical in 2022

Ecosystems will become even more tailored to the attributes of cloud in 2022

The shift to partner-led growth is not a new trend, but we expect it to be further legitimized in 2022. Growth from indirect, partner-led revenue streams have been outpacing direct go-to-market efforts for several years, but indirect revenue is reaching a new level of scale and significance in the market. TBR estimates indirect cloud revenue is approaching 25% of the total cloud market opportunity, which is a significant milestone. For reference, in traditional IT and software, indirect revenue represents somewhere between 30% and 40% of revenue streams. We expect the indirect portion of the cloud segment to surpass that level within five years, approaching half of the market opportunity within the next decade. For all cloud vendors, the combination of short-term growth and long-term scale makes partnerships an increasingly critical element of their business strategy.

Partner ecosystems have been a core part of the IT business model for decades, but the developments around cloud will be different for various reasons, primarily because the labor-based, logistical tasks of traditional IT are largely unnecessary in the cloud model. For cloud vendors and their partners to succeed in growing the cloud market, they both need to be focused on enabling business value for the end customer. Traditional custom development becomes cloud solution integration. Outsourcing and hosting are less valuable, while managed services are far more variable for cloud solutions. To capture this growing and sizable opportunity in 2022, we expect companies will adapt their partner business models and vendor program structures to align with vibrant cloud ecosystems.

2022 cloud partnerships predictions

  • Partners enable growth and stickiness
  • Value-add partners in software development and managed services become the focus in 2022
  • Partner activities will be more important that traditional designations

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Telecom Business Research’s 2022 Predictions is a special series examining market trends and business changes in key markets. Covered segments include cloud, telecom, devices, data center, and services & digital.

PwC’s The New Equation: Convening leadership to build trust and drive sustainable outcomes

A strategy to replace Vision 2020 and underline everything with trust  

In October TBR met with PwC’s JC Lapierre, chief strategy and communications leader; Shannon Schuyler, chief purpose and inclusion officer leader; and Joe Atkinson, vice chair and chief products and technology officer. In a wide-ranging discussion that built on previous briefings and TBR’s continued analysis of PwC, TBR questioned the three specifically on The New Equation, PwC’s long-term global strategy announced earlier this year. Among the highlights:

  • PwC hopes that after it has fully executed against The New Equation people will consider the firm to be the most significant conveners of those who can lead and are leading to change.
  • The internal organizational changes for the U.S. firm that are necessary to implement The New Equation started years ago and will continue to be refined, but The New Equation does not merely equal organizational change.
  • The newly launched PwC Trust Leadership Institute may prove to be a significant differentiator at a time when the Big Four firms appear to be increasingly alike.
  • PwC’s approach to technology, even with the advent of PwC Products and tighter alliances with technology giants like Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) and Google (Nasdaq: GOOGL), remains rooted in people and business challenges; technology alone cannot transform companies and drive sustainable outcomes.
  • Everything circles back to trust, the most raw and simple value driving PwC’s relationships and underpinning the firm’s purpose.

Chapters, playbooks and constructs: Physical images for The New Equation

Using a five-chapter book as a metaphor, PwC’s leaders said the firm’s new global strategy included choices around trust and sustained outcomes, investments to help the firm better serve clients, a rewiring of the organization and how PwC works to better serve its clients, enhancements to the firm’s people experience, and extensions into the larger community — essentially an explicit understanding of the obligations and responsibilities PwC takes on across its entire ecosystem.

Of these five “chapters,” PwC’s leaders explained that the third and fourth — how PwC works and the employee experience — shifted the most from pre-pandemic plans and idea to their current form in The New Equation strategy. In both areas, the realization that “taking care of people” had to be a fundamental aspect of the firm’s larger purpose became clearer when the pandemic focused attention on employee safety, health and well-being.

Top 3 Predictions for Telecom in 2022

Telecom industry faces new challenges in the post-pandemic era

2022 will be a transition year for the telecom industry

After emerging from the COVID-19 pandemic relatively unscathed, the telecom industry is entering a new phase and faces a new set of challenges. These challenges include navigating a supply chain left in shambles due to the impact of the pandemic and, representing a separate concern, the inexorable rise and encroachment of hyperscalers in the telecom domain, which threatens to completely disrupt the status quo in the industry.​

Incumbent communication service providers (CSPs) and their vendors are navigating these issues, but there is an increased urgency to digitally transform and align with structural changes occurring in the industry, such as the pressure to work with hyperscalers on network transformation and business model co-creation in the cloud.​

2022 is poised to be a unique transition year for the telecom industry. While unprecedented government stimulus that originated in the wake of the COVID-19 outbreak continues to be pumped into the global economy, lifting all players in some way across the market landscape, CSPs and their vendors must transition to the fundamentally new network architecture, which is software-based, fully virtualized and cloud-centric. CSPs must also determine where they will play in the new value chains that are being created in the digital economy, most notably in hyperscalers’ marketplaces, and in conjunction with new players that are entering the scene in domains such as private networks and satellites.​

Meanwhile, supply chain challenges are expected to persist through 2022, with continuing semiconductor and component shortages as well as ongoing skilled labor deficiencies and shipping delays, all of which threaten to delay market development and hinder vendors’ ability to recognize revenue and pursue new growth opportunities. Inflation (potentially stagflation) and rising interest rates also pose risks, portending margin pressure and debt refinancing challenges.​

Taken together, these circumstances indicate 2022 will be an unusual year for the telecom industry. While government-induced stimulus will provide various benefits to players across the industry, giving off a sense that the industry is functioning normally and is healthy, an acceleration in competitive and technological changes poses a risk to the long-term performance of incumbents. Amid the uncertainty 2022 will bring, one thing is certain: Major changes are coming to the telecom industry in the post-pandemic world, and fast.

2022 telecom predictions

  • Supply-demand imbalance delays pace of 5G market development
  • Hyperscalers scale out edge cloud
  • Government becomes leader in 5G spend among nontelecom verticals

 

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Telecom Business Research’s 2022 Predictions is a special series examining market trends and business changes in key markets. Covered segments include cloud, telecom, devices, data center, and services & digital.