6G’s Fate Depends on the Level of Government Intervention

2025 Predictions is a series of special reports examining market trends and business changes TBR expects in the coming year for AI PCs, cloud market share, digital transformation, GenAI, ecosystems and alliances, and 6G

Top Predictions for 6G in 2025

  1. 6G will leverage FR3 spectrum
  2. Capex spend on 6G is likely to be subdued
  3. Scope of government support for the telecom industry will increase and persist to facilitate 6G market development

 


 

Lack of a clear ROI for the private sector to justify investing sufficiently in 6G puts the fate of the technology into the hands of the government

The telecom industry continues to struggle with realizing new revenue and deriving ROI from 5G, even after five years of market development. TBR continues to see no solution to this persistent challenge and with no catalyst on the horizon to change the situation, communication service providers’ (CSPs) appetite for and scope of investment in 6G will likely be limited.
 
TBR expects CSP capex investment for 6G will be subdued compared with previous cellular network generations, and deployment of the technology will be more tactical in nature, which is a marked deviation from the multihundred-billion-dollar investments in spectrum and infrastructure associated with the nationwide deployments during each of the prior cellular eras.

TBR Insights Live: 2025 6G Predictions

In a longer-term effort to address this situation, TBR expects the level of government involvement in the cellular networks domain (via stimulus, R&D support, purchases of 6G solutions and other market-influencing mechanisms) to significantly increase and broaden, as 6G has been shortlisted as a technology of national strategic importance.
 
With that said, 6G will ultimately happen, and commercial deployment of 6G-branded networks will likely begin in the late 2020s (following the ratification of 3rd Generation Partnership Project [3GPP] Release 21 standards, which is tentatively slated to be complete in 2028). However, it remains to be seen whether 6G will be a brand only or a legitimate set of truly differentiated features and capabilities that bring broad and significant value to CSPs and the global economy.
 
Either way, the scope of CSPs’ challenges is growing, and governments will need to get involved in a much bigger way to ensure their countries continue to innovate and adopt technologies that are deemed strategically important.
 
To read the entire 2025 6G Predictions special report, request your free copy today!

HCLTech AI Force: Scalable, Modular and Backed by Proven AI Expertise

TBR perspective

Disparate and siloed data, specialized software tools and interrelated processes challenge enterprises to gain real value from AI-enabled solutions. HCLTech’s AI Force platform provides visibility into data streams and interdependencies across the software development and operations life cycles — requiring minimal change management but no replacement of existing technology and greatly enhancing an enterprise’s existing IT environment. In short, AI Force is a nondisruptive force multiplier of customers’ technology investments.

 

In late September, TBR met with executives from HCLTech to discuss the company’s AI Force platform, overall business model, and strategies around AI and generative AI (GenAI). The HCLTech team included Apoorv Iyer, EVP and Global Lead, Generative AI Practice; Gopal Ratnam, Vice President, Product Management, Generative AI Products & Platforms; Alan Flower, EVP and Global Head, AI & Cloud Native Labs; and Rohan Kurian Varghese, Senior Vice President, Marketing. This special report reflects that discussion as well as TBR’s ongoing research on and analysis of HCLTech.

AI Force is a GenAI-powered platform that infuses intelligence across every phase of the dev and ops life cycles

HCLTech had an early start in AI, setting up a research team in 2016 and building out its AI engineering strengths around AI silicon; the development of AI-led IP solutions like DRYiCE, iAutomate and SDLC (Software Development Life Cycle), which was a precursor to AI Force; and its strong heritage in Data & AI with strategic acquisition like Actian, Starschema and, most recently, Zeenea. This has ingrained AI across HCLTech’s portfolio and underpinned transformation projects, allowing customers to seamlessly manage IT and cloud environments. Leveraging this heritage, HCLTech developed AI Force with responsible AI spanning built-in use cases that are scalable and modular and cover the entire software and operations life cycle, such as requirements and analysis (e.g., user story generation, change impact analysis), development (e.g., code generation, code refactoring), triage (e.g., duplicate defect detection), and technical support.

 

Through AI Force, HCLTech provides clients with a platform that supports not only software development life cycle, reducing the lift on manual tasks and shortening overall development time, but also the operations life cycle, enhancing overall efficiency and accelerating technology value across an enterprise by reducing accrued technical debt and producing better quality code. As one HCLTech leader described it, AI Force allows an enterprise to “stitch everything [in the IT environment] together and figure out where the issues are.”

 

Notably, AI Force has been on the market for over a year, is live with more than 25 of HCLTech’s enterprise clients, and serves the broader IT ecosystem within an enterprise, beyond just application development and maintenance teams. An HCLTech leader noted that the AI Force platform “reduces the lift of manual tasks and accelerates the overall service delivery time,” a clear operational and financial benefit for any enterprise and clearly more than simply a collection of software tools. Enterprises can now take intelligent decisions by harnessing data, leading to the accelerated development of products and applications, along with significant cost savings and improved efficiencies.

 

Before diving into specifics around AI Force, HCLTech’s leaders described some of the challenges enterprises face across the software development and operations life cycles, highlighting the complexities inherent in having multiple personas, disconnected processes, siloed data, disparate systems and specialized tools.

 

According to HCLTech, this landscape is missing a digital thread or intelligence hub capable of understanding the entire process end to end, including the data sets generated by specialized tools, and then further unlocking the relationships between the data sets. HCLTech’s AI Force can integrate existing tools not replace them and bring data sets together, create a knowledge graph of the relationships between the data sets, and conduct comprehensive root cause analysis.

AI Force’s key characteristics and advantages

In the discussion with TBR and during HCLTech’s presentation of AI Force’s capabilities, HCLTech’s AI leaders walked through AI Force’s go-to-market approach, characteristics, architecture, advantages and use cases. HCLTech conducted a demonstration of AI Force in action before turning to the synergies between AI Force and the company’s global network of AI and Cloud Labs.

 

At its core, HCLTech’s AI Force features extensibility, modularity and flexibility. It can integrate smoothly with existing IT environments, be leveraged for a large variety of use cases within an enterprise, and be deployed, consumed and priced in different ways that are suitable to an individual customer’s business needs.

 

In describing HCLTech’s go-to-market strategy, the AI leaders stressed three points:

  1. HCLTech will continue to enhance large-scale engagements with the capabilities and benefits of AI Force from the start, affording the client immediate cost savings.
  2. In other situations, HCLTech will assist clients in deploying AI Force as a platform within the client’s enterprise IT environment.
  3. For clients already engaging HCLTech for managed IT services, AI Force can be deployed to gain cost savings and efficiencies, directly complementing existing managed services. This last approach, in TBR’s view, reinforces HCLTech’s value proposition around offering innovation, even in established managed services engagements, and expands its remit within the enterprise, from simply IT services to more consultative, business-outcomes-driven and AI-enabled solutions. As part of this consultative approach, HCLTech undertakes value stream mapping in the discovery process for deploying AI Force, including a detailed as-is picture, to-be picture, and the true impact at scale. Through this due diligence, HCLTech helps customers select the right projects that can benefit from AI Force.

Appealing broadly across the enterprise and embedding customer context

Recognizing that peers such as Infosys and EY have similarly developed suites of AI-enabled and AI-forward solutions, HCLTech leaders highlighted some aspects they believe distinguish the company’s capabilities, particularly AI Force.

 

First, the solution can be deployed on the cloud, on premises or even in edge-enabled devices, depending on a client’s needs and circumstances. The leaders described this aspect as appealing to HCLTech’s ecosystem partners, which include Microsoft, Amazon Web Services (AWS), SAP and IBM, further noting the already established integration with Microsoft’s GitHub Copilot and being offered as a certified extension.

 

Second, the HCLTech executives noted AI Force is valuable to more than just coders and enterprise professionals looking for AI-enabled cost- and time-saving assistance. Being extensible and working with multiple large language models (LLMs) made AI Force flexible enough for a broader enterprise workforce audience.

 

Third, the inclusion of a customer context using enterprise data makes the solution more than simply an addition to an existing LLM accelerator. HCLTech’s leaders emphasized the value of customer context inherent to the platform, noting that HCLTech will train AI models on customer-specific data.

 

On a related note, the HCLTech executives described the underlying AI architecture as “comprehensive, but not complex; unified” and “holistic, therefore not a point solution.” According to HCLTech, AI Force has been granted 18 patents, and its batch processing mode reduces the strain on the underlying cognitive infrastructure, leading to reduced energy consumption. In TBR’s view, the characteristics and architecture likely resonate with IT professionals and particularly software engineers, while the flexibility and customer context significantly enhance the business value of AI Force.

 

Building on key characteristics, the HCLTech AI leaders walked through AI Force’s overall advantages, including a single, unified platform, rather than hundreds of solutions; simplified management and budget; built-in use case prioritization, allowing decision-makers and IT support to focus on the use cases that would lead to business transformation; inherently enabled customer context, greatly enhancing the stickiness of AI Force within an enterprise; and built-in data ingestion and storage, significantly diminishing the likelihood of disjointed or counteracting results.

 

In TBR’s view, AI Force’s advantages play well for different buying and decision-making personas. Procurement, IT operations and even the CFO can appreciate a single solution with simplified management. Business unit leaders can find and deploy uses cases suitable to their specific needs. And the inherent stickiness of AI Force can appeal to executives looking to gain advantages from deploying AI-enhanced solutions and not simply paying for another round of new technologies.

Applying GenAI only when and where it is needed

Not every business problem is best solved by deploying GenAI-enabled solutions. HCLTech leaders emphasized that some customer problems can be handled by simple automation, some with traditional AI, and only a niche set through GenAI-enabled solutions.

 

In TBR’s view, HCLTech’s strategic decision to recognize that customers can solve problems with existing technologies and do not always need GenAI-enabled solutions plays well, given enterprise buyers’ fatigue around the constant carousel of emerging technologies and ever-increasing IT budgets. Simply showing customers that AI Force will help identify where GenAI is best suited and where it is not should resonate with IT decision makers and their C-Suite bosses, all of whom are looking for tangible returns on technology investments. If HCLTech can help get more from existing technologies, AI Force is an immediate value-add.

 
Notably, HCLTech works with a wide variety of models and is model agnostic. The choice of model depends on a client’s business problem and the context of the client’s own data. Rather than recommending a model based on technical specifications or a familiarity with a particular model, HCLTech centers the decision on the client’s specific business problem.

Four ways to consume, determined by the customer’s business problem

HCLTech’s customers can take advantage of the AI Force platform in whichever deployment and consumption model fits their needs. HCLTech offer the platform as a stand-alone deployment, embedded into the client’s IT environment, through APIs (which one HCLTech leader described as “headless … behind the scenes”), or on the edge through AI-enabled PCs.

 

Critically, HCLTech leaders assured TBR that the customer’s consumption model of choice made “no difference in how the customer pays for AI Force.” As for decision making around the consumption model, HCLTech leaders said the company advises customers based on the business problem the customer is trying to solve.

 

On this point, TBR believes HCLTech has, itself, made a strategic decision: allow the customer’s environment, needs and business problems to determine the best commercial and technological fit for HCLTech’s platform, rather than HCLTech’s business and commercial needs dictating deployment terms.

 

The discussion included detailed accounts of two deployments at different types of companies. First, to accelerate a legacy IT modernization effort at a financial institution, HCLTech used AI Force to map, migrate and test more than 200 legacy applications.

 

Second, at a massive global technology company, HCLTech used AI Force to radically reduce marketing spend through a what an HCLTech leader referred to as “marketing ops transformation from manual-driven content development by a third-party vendor to GenAI-automated content generation.” TBR has been briefed on similar marketing operations improvements through GenAI automation, but none at the same scale or with comparable cost savings as those described by HCLTech.

 

HCLTech leaders also described the company’s recently announced partnership extension with Xerox. The company will leverage automation, product and sustenance engineering, and process operations services — including order to cash, sales and marketing operations, and supply chain and procurement — along with AI Force, to deliver a unified interface that transforms the way employees and clients engage with Xerox.

 

HCLTech describes other AI Force use cases on its website.

Minimal change management and increased visibility provide immediate value

In TBR’s research, GenAI adoption has benefited enterprises with well-managed and orchestrated data, even if that data exists in silos. In contrast, enterprises with little visibility into their data have been challenged to see meaningful returns on their GenAI investments, in part because of a challenge HCLTech identified above: People within an enterprise typically like the specialized software tools they are already using and want to keep using them.

 

HCLTech’s AI Force does not ask for change from multiple personas across an enterprise or for adoption of a new set of tools; it instead provides greater visibility into everyone’s processes, software usage and IT environment and demonstrates how one person, process or tool can affect another. By providing visibility without demanding replacement and adoption, HCLTech’s AI Force can deliver value with minimal change management.

AI Force may be what helps HCLTech survive the coming IT services business model upheaval

As HCLTech’s leaders noted to TBR, HCLTech is not new to AI, as the company had been investing in AI, training its workforce around AI principles and deployments, working with chip manufactures, and developing and selling software all before GenAI emerged. As one slide in HCLTech’s presentation noted, the company has been “Building and deploying AI solutions since 2016.”

 

Legacy — and maybe more accurately, proven — skills and capabilities lend immediate credibility to what HCLTech brings to clients and partners with AI Force. Further, a significant part of what separates HCLTech from immediate peers is the company’s IP-driven services model, a strategic difference that becomes increasingly relevant as clients ask for more GenAI-enabled services and less labor-dependent services. HCLTech’s business model is not simply enhanced by AI Force and other IP-driven solutions; it might actually be saved by those capabilities as the entire IT services business model undergoes significant, AI-induced change.

 

TBR will be watching as HCLTech develops additional platforms, brings agentic AI solutions to discussions with clients, and enables fully autonomous AI deployments, all built on a solid foundation of expertise, experience and ever-increasing capabilities around artificial intelligence.

Hybrid AI: Lenovo Builds a Portfolio Ready to Address the Confluence of Personal, Enterprise and Public Data

Lenovo Outlines Its Vision for Hybrid AI

Lenovo CEO Yuanqing Yang, better known as YY, opened up the company’s 2024 Tech World event by discussing Lenovo’s stance on what it calls “hybrid AI,” a vision not dissimilar to hybrid cloud.

 

Hybrid AI is the ability to leverage both private (personal or enterprise) and public foundational models together to drive action. YY sees hybrid AI as the path forward for both consumer and enterprise users, with AI agents serving as the vector for combining these multiple data sources and connecting knowledge with specific tasks. AI agents will know their users by integrating disparate data into unified frameworks, will understand their users by creating models of a person or enterprise, and will work for their users by putting this knowledge into action.

 

The incoming era of agentic AI will require multiple agents work together to make critical connections across public and private data sets. During the Tech World keynote, Lenovo executives demonstrated a handful of capabilities of personal AI agents, from helping students study more effectively for exams to understanding the context of a consumer’s morning routine and ordering their favorite coffee from their usual coffee shop. These types of tasks require the ingestion, understanding and integration of user data across multiple applications.

 

While the discussion around consumer AI was focused on devices, Lenovo’s Enterprise AI showcase largely highlighted its IT infrastructure and services businesses. Core to the hybrid AI theme was the announcement of Hybrid AI Advantage with NVIDIA. Enabled by Lenovo’s full-stack portfolio and new Lenovo AI Library, the joint solution framework highlights how Lenovo believes its Lenovo Hybrid AI Advantage will accelerate enterprises’ AI adoption. This announcement formalizes Lenovo in competition with similar NVIDIA-based joint solution portfolios from Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE).

 

In contrast to these large-scale high-performance computing (HPC) systems, Lenovo arguably will have equal or greater success through its AI-centric edge business, where Lenovo has a track record of deploying retail, manufacturing and smart city use cases. Multiple server vendors’ AI stories center on their massive 8-GPU AI systems, but Lenovo points out that for many companies, AI will be executed on far smaller and more affordable systems, some with no GPU at all. This strategy plays directly into Lenovo’s “AI for all” mantra.

 

Underneath the enthusiasm for hybrid AI, Lenovo’s mission remains unchanged: It is driving transformation to become a technology leader in global devices, infrastructure solutions and services worldwide. Lenovo positions itself as having an end-to-end technology portfolio, a user-centered approach and an immense emphasis on open innovation. The company offers its customers choices thanks to its partnerships across semiconductor, AI platforms and ISVs; and it leverages its Solutions and Services Group (SSG) to accelerate solution development between its own portfolio and partner ecosystem.

Lenovo Develops Proprietary AI Features to Differentiate Its IDG Portfolio

Overall PC demand decreased over the past several quarters due to lengthening PC life cycles and the lingering effects of post-pandemic market saturation. However, during the pandemic the total addressable market for PCs increased robustly as the number of PCs per household jumped, driven by both work- and learn-from-home initiatives around the world.

 

As such, with these pandemic-bought machines aging, the next major PC refresh cycle is on the horizon and is expected to drive a material rebound in the market, supported by the upcoming end of Windows 10 support and mounting interest around AI PCs.

 

However, the lack of killer applications leveraging the neural processing unit (NPU) has throttled AI PC adoption thus far. At GIAC Lenovo emphasized that it expects new AI PC killer use cases and applications will come in 2025 and 2026, noting that there are already over 100 independent software vendors developing applications leveraging the NPU.

 

Lenovo had also recently announced AI PC Fast Start, an AI-centered advisory and deployment service that helps organizations transition to AI-ready devices and quickly unlock the potential of AI PCs.

Lenovo Announces Aura Edition AI PCs Ahead of the Next Major PC Refresh Cycle

To prepare for this refresh and capitalize on the market’s interest in AI and generative AI (GenAI), Lenovo unveiled a series of new AI PCs, including the company’s Aura Edition AI PCs, which the company developed in deep collaboration with Intel and includes three levels of “Smart” features to enhance the user experience.

 

The Smart Modes feature allows Aura Edition PCs to intelligently adapt to users’ workloads and environments through five submodes, including Shield Mode and Collaboration Mode, which enhance user privacy and optimize video from integrated PC cameras, respectively. The Smart Care feature integrates natural language processing capabilities to drive an enhanced user support experience, and the Smart Share feature allows for cross-device image sharing, supporting smartphones on both Android and iOS platforms.

Lenovo Plans to Leverage Its AI Now Agent to Drive Differentiation in the Market

Over the last decade the Windows PC market has become increasingly commoditized as all OEMs across the industry built machines based on the same PC silicon and operating system, resulting in a lack of material differentiation. However, the rise of AI PCs presents a new opportunity, and Lenovo is working to set itself apart from its peers by working with Meta to develop and integrate an on-device AI agent, dubbed AI Now, through a deepening of their partner engagement.

 

While Microsoft Copilot+ offers a series of GenAI features and experiences for Windows 11 machines leveraging several of Microsoft’s small language models, at GIAC Lenovo Executive Vice President and President of IDG Luca Rossi noted that not all Copilot+ functions are run natively on the device, with certain queries going to the cloud. In contrast, Lenovo AI Now leverages a local large language model to drive new capabilities that complement Copilot+’s feature set.

 

With significant support from Meta, Lenovo’s research team worked extensively to fine-tune the local large language model behind AI Now using Meta’s Llama 3. Through AI Now users can interact in real time with their device’s personal knowledge base, all without relying on cloud computing, providing enhanced data privacy and enabling GenAI features without internet connectivity.

 

AI Now’s capabilities include document management, meeting summarization, device control and content generation, with the AI assistant supporting natural language interaction. Additionally, it is worth reiterating that Lenovo sees AI Now complementing Copilot+ rather than replacing it, as the company does not want its AI PC agent to compete with other cloud-based or cloud-leveraging alternatives.

Lenovo Bets Big on MBG and moto ai

IDG is comprised of two business units: PCs and Smart Devices (PCSD) and Mobile Business Group (MBG). While the majority of IDG’s investment is focused on PCSD, the larger of the two business units, Lenovo remains committed to expanding its MBG business, which includes Motorola Mobility, to grow its global market share and increase the premium mix of its overall mobile portfolio.

 

Similar to its strategy in the AI PC space, Lenovo MBG continues to invest in the development and integration of AI features within its smartphone lineup through moto ai. While many of the company’s moto ai features showcased at Tech World are in proof of concept or beta stages, Lenovo made clear its plans to bring customized user experiences to market in the near term. New moto ai features include prompts and commands like “Catch me up,” which summarizes personal communications, and “Remember this,” which, when initiated, captures live moments and on-screen information while also providing AI-generated insights.

 

Additionally, Lenovo demonstrated the capabilities of its large action model, which allows Motorola devices to learn from users’ behaviors to offer increasingly personalized responses and translate natural language prompts into actions that can be executed automatically on behalf of the user.

 

Further, Lenovo provided an update on how the company plans to bolster the capabilities of its Smart Connect software solution, launched in February, to enable multidevice experiences across Lenovo’s portfolio of PCs, tablets and smartphones. The integration of new AI features with Smart Connect will enable users to not only transfer personal data across their connected devices but also benefit from cross-device searches and smart actions, allowing them to activate moto ai features directly from their PC using moto ai prompts and commands.
 
Perhaps most noteworthy, Smart Connect supports Lenovo’s hybrid AI strategy by fully integrating device ecosystems, allowing users to instruct their Motorola devices to carry out a complex AI task that cannot be performed locally on the device. Instead, Smart Connect uses a connected AI-enabled device, such as a Lenovo AI PC, to execute the task and return the results to the users’ smartphone.

Lenovo Uses One Lenovo Strategy to Bring Enterprise AI to Fruition

Enterprise AI Solutions Highlight ISG and SSG Integration

While Lenovo operates three distinct groups for devices, infrastructure and services, its enterprise AI solutions pull from expertise across the three businesses. This is particularly evident in the ISG and SSG space with the launch of Lenovo AI Fast Start services and Lenovo Hybrid AI Advantage with NVIDIA.

 

Lenovo’s AI Fast Start professional services help customers identify AI use cases and begin generating value within 90 days. While this may seem like a lofty goal, particularly as the enterprise market struggles to identify and best deploy AI, Lenovo highlighted two examples of this service in action. SAP used AI Fast Start to build an interactive AI avatar for one of its newest experience centers. Formula One also used the service to deploy an AI-based solution that provides a more immersive viewer experience by pulling video from numerous video feeds, enhancing the content and delivering it to the user faster than through manual video management method.

 

While these use cases are examples of tangible needs that can be met using AI, other use cases are not as evident in the enterprise market. Lenovo has also built an AI advisory practice that identifies ways AI can create value for a business and develop an adoption road map leveraging Lenovo’s AI library of use cases. By using the term “library” to describe its collection of AI use cases, Lenovo is intentionally conveying the impression that it offers specific use cases for everyone.

 

In TBR’s view, this provides some subtle differences from the one-size-fits-most messaging around AI use cases coming from most of Lenovo’s peers and ecosystem players. In addition, TBR notes that Lenovo intends to fully root its AI advisory capability into its technology, rather than taking a McKinsey-like approach to business consulting, playing to Lenovo’s services strengths.

Lenovo Deepens Its Relationship with NVIDIA to Drive Enterprise AI Adoption

Lenovo Hybrid AI Advantage with NVIDIA is first and foremost a collaboration that marries  Lenovo’s infrastructure and services portfolios with the NVIDIA AI Enterprise software platform, NVIDIA accelerators and NVIDIA networking solutions. While other companies have collaborated with NVIDIA in the enterprise market, including Dell Technologies with its Dell AI Factory with NVIDIA and HPE with its NVIDIA AI Computing by HPE, Lenovo intends to differentiate itself through its library of horizontal and vertical-specific accelerators, which will help customers build solutions more quickly.

 

Lenovo Hybrid AI Advantage with NVIDIA can be paired with Lenovo AI Advisory and Lenovo AI Fast Start services, Lenovo TruScale GPUaaS, or ISV offerings from Lenovo’s AI Innovators Program.

 

Lenovo is also using its 70,000-employee base as the test bed for AI use cases being brought to market. Ken Wong, executive vice president and president, SSG, notes that SSG’s biggest customer is Lenovo itself. For example, the company has built generative AI-based solutions to generate marketing content and to create customer service agents for its customer support centers.

Lenovo Highlights Engineering Distinctions in Its Wide-ranging AI Server Lineup

Sustainability is a difficult topic to broach when it comes to large-scale AI systems, which consume increasing amounts of electricity and generate more heat with each new generation of AI accelerators. Lenovo provides a compelling approach with its sixth generation of Neptune liquid cooling, which is integrated into its ThinkSystem SC750 and SC777 servers.

 

Unlike other water cooled systems, Lenovo’s liquid cooling uses conductive copper piping instead of PVC and is able to cool the systems with warm water instead of prechilled water, which consumes additional energy. Compared to air cooled server systems, Lenovo claims that Neptune can reduce energy consumption for server fans and data center air conditioners by 40%. Lenovo also pairs its in-house liquid cooling design expertise with its data center design and planning, implementation and management services to facilitate liquid cooling technology adoption for AI workloads.

 

Of the major server OEMs, Lenovo is the quickest to point out that not all enterprise AI use cases require high-performance computing. Lenovo’s edge computing business, which is now integrated with its AI business, features its ThinkEdge server portfolio including multiple small form factor servers that operate in edge environments. These servers are the foundation for many of the AI use cases featured in the 165-plus ISV solutions built through Lenovo’s AI Innovators Program.

Responsible AI Serves as Lenovo’s Guiding Principle

Lenovo’s company vision of hybrid AI, in which personal, enterprise and public data sets are used to inform AI agents, is the natural evolution of AI technology but is not without risks around security, privacy and sustainability.

 

In response to these risks, Lenovo has proactively implemented its own AI governance organization to create AI policies and establish trust among its employees, customers and partners. Lenovo has combined its chief security officer and chief AI officer positions into one role under Doug Fisher, based on the company’s belief that security, privacy and ethics are central to designing AI solutions.

Behind the Scenes, Lenovo Is Honing Its Strategy Execution

Following the pandemic and a related multiquarter slump in PC demand that impacted top-line revenue and profitability, Lenovo has underscored its strategy to diversify revenue away from PC, which made up about 74% of total revenue in 2021.

 

While Lenovo has made progress on this goal to some extent, as ISG and SSG have both experienced revenue growth, the company acknowledges it needs to make changes across its portfolio and go-to-market strategies to further accelerate revenue growth.

Lenovo 360 Continues to Target Growth Through Partner Channel

An effective channel strategy is critical to executing on Lenovo’s broad growth initiatives, particularly those around driving ISG hardware to profitable growth. The company’s Lenovo 360 partner framework has simplified the partner process by drastically reducing the number of partner programs and incentive structures, streamlining certification processes, and creating a digital hub that supports demand-generation activities and helps partners track their deal pipeline and sales performance.

 

In tandem with transforming partner engagement, Lenovo is simplifying the ISG product portfolio to focus on the hardware configurations that comprise the most sales volume. This strategy is one of the key ways Lenovo plans to trim costs within its operations and make its portfolio easier for channel partners to sell. Additionally, a simplified infrastructure portfolio will also help Lenovo more easily maintain healthy channel inventory levels.

 

Lenovo acknowledges that the landscape of resellers is evolving from traditional value-added resellers to a services-led approach. As such, the company is evolving its partner framework to better engage with a broader set of ecosystem players, including managed services providers and global systems integrators, that are increasingly relevant partners in complex, multivendor solutions.

Lenovo Will Expand into Tangential Markets Where It Can Tap into Existing Strengths

Lenovo wants to capitalize on new markets, including the auto industry where technology is shifting from using multiple distributed computing resources throughout vehicles to more centralized computing, specifically around infotainment and autonomous driving systems.

 

Yong Rui, Lenovo’s former CTO, has been appointed to lead the company’s newly formed Emerging Technology Group (ETG), which will spearhead the expansion into in-vehicle computing as well as other emerging tech areas.

 

Lenovo feels its strengths in hardware design and manufacturing will help it expand into a brand-new market with an entirely different set of competitors. Through this expansion, Lenovo will remain true to its own DNA, focusing specifically on compute and leaving other aspects such as software, algorithms and vehicle manufacturing to ecosystem partners.

Lenovo Is Investing in Brand Recognition and Perception

Lenovo is investing in brand recognition through major sports sponsorships. At Tech World, Lenovo announced an expansion of its existing sponsorship of Formula One, which will include Lenovo’s subsidiary Motorola becoming the global smartphone partner for Formula One.

 

Further, Lenovo announced a partnership with FIFA to become the technology partner for the FIFA World Cup 2026 and the FIFA Women’s World Cup 2027. These investments will help Lenovo drive brand recognition and expand into key growth markets including premium PC, premium smartphone, IT infrastructure and related solutions and services.

Fujitsu’s Strategic Evolution: Transforming for a Future with Uvance at the Core

On Oct. 1, TBR attended Fujitsu’s Executive Analyst Day in Santa Clara, Calif., and engaged with Fujitsu leaders, including Tim White, chief strategy officer; Ted Okada, SVP and head of Technology; Ted Nakahara, SVP and Head of Strategic Alliances; Fleur Copping, VP of Strategic Alliances in Regions; and Asif Poonja, EVP and CEO of Fujitsu Americas. The following reflects main stage presentations, breakout sessions and one-on-one discussions, as well as TBR’s ongoing analysis of Fujitsu’s business model, strategy and performance.

Fujitsu in Transition, with Clear Direction and Intent, Playing to Strengths

Three things about Fujitsu stand out in a crowded IT services and consulting market. First, the company is in the middle of an organizational evolution, changing its business model to fit emerging client demands and orienting its go-to-market strategy around Uvance. Second, Fujitsu’s commitment to change in the Americas has completely remade the company around IT services and consulting, with aspirations to become a technology consulting leader. And third, Fujitsu’s alliances strategy, while still dependent on labor-intensive relationships and persistent account-level management, includes all the best practices TBR has seen from larger competitors, with at least one unique twist. In short, Fujitsu’s evolution will likely make the company a highly capable contender as the IT services and consulting market changes.

 

At the start of the analyst event, Tim White, chief strategy officer, explained that Fujitsu’s transition has been underway for a few years and has included allowing the Americas business to shed everything except services. As part of the overall transition, Fujitsu committed to expanding consulting while continuing to deliver on core IT services and modernizations. White noted that Fujitsu is roughly halfway through a three-year plan to grow services and the Americas region has already surpassed targets for 2024. For example, Uvance accounts for 37% of Fujitsu Americas’ business, above the 30% goal.

 

Critically, according to White, Fujitsu has not lost a step on technology advances or quality of services delivered, so clients and alliance partners continue to be well served. The change — the evolution — is primarily in how Fujitsu sees itself and its future. And that future is Uvance.
 

In TBR’s view, understanding Fujitsu’s existing and evolving business model, strategy and performance requires, perhaps surprisingly, a certain separation from the typical analysis, if only because of Fujitsu’s current transition.
 
While there is perhaps some uncertainty among analysts around Fujitsu’s brand, specific offerings and organizational structure, TBR sees no evidence that Fujitsu’s clients and technology alliance partners lack the clarity required to make decisions about Fujitsu’s capabilities, scale and skills.
 
Undoubtedly, Fujitsu’s brand in the Americas could use a significant boost — without which a ceiling could remain for the company’s growth — but the importance of marketwide brand recognition pales in comparison to a successful track record of delivering IT services and consulting, providing innovative solutions, and leveraging the latest technologies to solve clients’ problems.

 

Uvance Is “the Future State of Fujitsu’s Portfolio”

Fujitsu’s leaders stressed the centrality of Uvance in the company’s strategy and vision for IT services, consulting and technology. White described Uvance as “the future state of Fujitsu’s portfolio.” Asif Poonja, CEO of Americas, said, “Uvance is the center of our strategy.” At the center of Uvance is consulting. Fujitsu announced a goal to hire 10,000 consultants, but White and others explained that Fujitsu’s focus is not the number but the portfolio shift toward consulting while still serving clients who need core IT services and modernization.
 
Poonja noted that Fujitsu will focus on technology consulting, rather than McKinsey-style business consulting, playing to Fujitsu’s legacy technology strengths. In TBR’s view, technology-led consulting reflects the current demand among enterprise consulting buyers to infuse every consulting engagement with technology, a trend well underway before the hype began around generative AI (GenAI). Fujitsu’s leaders added that Uvance Wayfinders — essentially business and technology consultants — are able to pull together all of Fujitsu’s capabilities and offerings.

 

In TBR’s view, Uvance is the framework around the company’s “SaaS-like” business model, with the leaders using the term “SaaS-like” but recognizing the phrasing may need further refinement and/or explanation. Fujitsu will use platform-enabled services to drive higher-value conversations and engagements, led by the consultants the company is planning to hire and/or acquire. Fujitsu will sell IP when needed and drive managed services through its delivery capabilities. The shift in the Americas toward becoming an asset-light organization is the first step, and the second step is expanding consulting capabilities and scale. The third step is organizing delivery under a globally run P&L (which Fujitsu may have already begun).
 
Meanwhile, modernization services — moving from mainframe to cloud — remains the engine that keeps Fujitsu running. The company still has its own data centers outside the U.S. and also still has plenty of clients running on mainframe, especially in their core verticals, like public services. For TBR, Uvance’s success may depend on broader adoption of the asset-light Americas strategy, albeit at a pace that does not compromise quality or lose clients in core markets. Again, Uvance is the future state of Fujitsu’s portfolio.

Fujitsu Americas: “Leveraging Global Pillars to Grow”

As described by Poonja and White, Fujitsu in the Americas has persistently pared down its offerings to focus only on IT services and technology consulting, playing to Fujitsu’s strengths and concentrating on industries in which the company has proven capabilities, well-established relationships with clients and differentiated offerings.

 

Poonja added that, although Fujitsu Americas earned a small percentage of Fujitsu’s overall revenues, corporate leadership in Japan recognize the importance of the Americas market and understand the challenges of building a more widely known brand. Poonja stressed that Fujitsu Americas would continue “leveraging global pillars to grow” while staying focused on regional strengths, specifically in government, manufacturing and AI.

 

In TBR’s view, Fujitsu Americas’ current state and trajectory align well with Fujitsu’s overall corporate strategy. The business aspires to be a top technology consulting company and appreciates the difference between being skilled at technologies and being able to make the business case for Fujitsu’s solutions. As an integral part of its strategy, Fujitsu Americas consistently pulls in the global company’s broader strengths and capabilities.

 

The use cases that Fujitsu’s leaders shared during the event highlighted the company’s technology, such as 5G and AI, and its deployable, offshore scale. Overall, Fujitsu Americas’ leadership presented a compelling story of evolution, strategic focus, early positive results and appreciation for current weaknesses. In contrast to analyst events dominated by marketing messages, Fujitsu maintained a substantive and clear-eyed atmosphere, with discussions centered on realistic expectations for Fujitsu Americas’ changing position in the IT services and consulting market.

Fujitsu’s Alliances: Doing the Hard Work While Taking Customer Zero to Another Level

In both the formal presentations and the informal discussions, Fujitsu’s leaders impressed TBR with the fullness and maturity of the company’s alliances strategy. The ecosystem has changed substantially in recent years, forcing companies to rethink their partnering strategies and more closely examine the best practices of peers, competitors and alliance partners. This shift has been an ongoing focus of TBR’s research, which has increasingly been used by alliance leaders at global technology companies as they undergo this transformation.

 

As part of this research, TBR has analyzed a wide range of alliance strategies and activities, from inadequate and underfunded to strategically thoughtful and exceptionally well managed. Fujitsu Americas, in TBR’s assessment, lands solidly in the latter category, based on the full range of investments and activities that Fujitsu’s leaders described with respect to their five strategic partners: Amazon Web Services (AWS), SAP, Microsoft, Salesforce and ServiceNow. (Note: See TBR’s ecosystem reports for more information.)

 

According to Fujitsu’s leaders, the next strategic partner will be determined by Uvance’s business strategy and continued evolution in the technology space, particularly AI. Keeping perspective on the challenges of managing technology partners, Fleur Copping, VP of Strategic Alliances in Regions, noted that every alliance relationship requires constant attention and, often, engagement-by-engagement reinforcement around Fujitsu’s offerings, capabilities and value proposition. Copping further acknowledged that Fujitsu needs to strengthen partner cosell activities. In other words, even when executing on all the best practices, alliance management remains a hard slog.

 

During the event, TBR noted two additional points on alliances — areas that are perhaps unique to Fujitsu. First, TBR has consistently heard that the customer zero approach to new technologies and offerings resonates with clients by bringing credibility and assurance. IT services companies, consultancies and their technology partners have also told TBR that the customer zero approach helps solidify alliances and can lead to innovations and new solutions. Fujitsu appears to be taking customer zero to the next level. For example, Copping described how Fujitsu brought its internal human resource management professionals to a client meeting about a joint Fujitsu-ServiceNow opportunity. The Fujitsu professionals told the client about their own experiences using the ServiceNow solution. This more personal touch resonated with the client and demonstrated the fullness of Fujitsu’s capabilities to alliance partner ServiceNow.

 

Second, Copping noted that because many of Fujitsu’s customers “don’t have as much of a voice” with the cloud vendors and software giants as the largest enterprises, Fujitsu can be an advocate for these small and midsize enterprises, amplifying their concerns and needs to the likes of Microsoft and SAP. TBR has not heard Fujitsu’s peers explicitly state this marketing message. As a matter of positioning, particularly with technology partners, Fujitsu’s message could be another way of gaining mindshare and differentiating from IT services and consulting competitors.

Consulting Is Harder Than It Looks; Fujitsu Has a Good Plan

White “unabashedly” characterized Fujitsu as a technology company, but emphasized using technology as a means to deliver services rather than making technology a commodity play. In the Americas in particular, Fujitsu would not “move away from our heritage as a technology company” but would more fully embrace consulting and the future portfolio of Uvance.

 

In TBR’s view, keeping Fujitsu’s heralded research, innovation and technology capabilities as foundational strengths makes strategic sense while leaving open questions around consulting. For example, one Fujitsu leader outlined the company’s AI sales approach in four basic steps:

  1. Get the client interested in Fujitsu’s technology
  2. Do a proof of concept with Fujitsu’s AI platform
  3. Allow the client to use a precommercial instance of the platform
  4. Bring in Uvance to develop a full solution, highly customized to the client

 

The fourth step, at a minimum, requires consulting skills, business knowledge and industry expertise, although many of Fujitsu’s peers include those elements throughout the sales and delivery process. Recruiting (or acquiring), retaining and managing consulting talent could affect Fujitsu’s corporate culture and undoubtedly will challenge Fujitsu’s leadership.

 

Further, and perhaps the most significant obstacle for Fujitsu in the Americas, will be gaining permission from clients to deliver consulting. By narrowing its scope to technology consulting — not the broad swath of strategy and operations consulting — Fujitsu plays to its own strengths, lessens the marketing load, and likely does not give up market share as the company is unlikely to displace firms like McKinsey & Co. or Boston Consulting Group (BCG).

 

Part of gaining permission, in TBR’s view, will be positioning Fujitsu differently with its current clients, particularly with respect to the key personas interacting with Fujitsu professionals. During the event, one Fujitsu leader described current clients’ struggles to adopt GenAI as a combination of an inability to do the basic work of making their data usable, the uncertainty around return on investment, and a fear of running afoul of the law as new regulations come into effect.

 

Yes, Fujitsu can address all of these concerns, but these hurdles impact and reflect the responsibilities of three different personas within an enterprise. Fujitsu’s challenge will be to become the preferred technology consulting provider for all three personas. In short, consulting is harder than it looks, and TBR believes Fujitsu has the right vision, strategy and approach. We will continue to monitor the company’s ability to execute.

 

TBR’s ongoing coverage of Fujitsu includes dedicated quarterly reports and inclusion in appropriate benchmarks, market landscapes and ecosystem reports. Log in to TBR Insight Center to view all current research.

6G Will Not be Like the Other G’s

TBR Perspective on 6G

6G is unlikely to look like the other G’s in terms of cycle length and scope and level of investment as the beleaguered telecom industry continues to struggle with implementing and realizing ROI from 5G. The telecom industry must also contend with supporting new use cases and how to embed AI, ML and sustainability into the fabric of the network while covering security gaps and preparing for a post-quantum cryptography world. Though there is tremendous brainpower (spanning the public and private sectors as well as academia) assembled to tackle these issues, growth prospects for the telecom industry continue to look challenging.
 
6G is shaping up to be an addendum to LTE and 5G, providing a new antenna overlay that supports net-new frequency bands, as well as enhanced spectral efficiency features and capabilities that provide further network performance and operational improvement. The missing link in the value equation remains how the telecom industry will monetize these new technologies beyond traditional mobile broadband (MBB) and fixed wireless access (FWA) services, and this lack of clear monetization threatens to relegate 6G to a continuation of what was observed during the LTE and 5G eras.
 
TBR continues to see no fundamental change or catalyst on the horizon that will bring CSPs more revenue. The primary incentive for CSPs to invest in 6G, therefore, will remain reduction in the cost per bit to support growing data traffic. This means the ROI for 5G still does not exist, which will likely limit the appetite and scope of investment in 6G. As such, TBR expects CSP capex investment for 6G will be subdued compared with previous G’s and deployment of the technology will be tactical in nature, which is a marked deviation from the multihundred-billion-dollar investments in spectrum and infrastructure associated with the nationwide deployments during each of the prior cellular eras.
 
Additionally, the 6G cycle may be significantly longer in duration than prior cellular generations due to the exponential increase in complexity inherent in these systems and the pace of data traffic growth, which has been slowing.
 
Against this backdrop, private cellular networks represent a real, significant threat to CSPs, as enterprises can extract most, if not all, of what they need from networks without requiring CSPs in the value chain. CSPs’ edge assets continue to be considered a key vector for CSPs to reassert themselves in the market, but this overlooks the alternative paths that enterprises and hyperscalers have to bypass CSPs to get what they need (e.g., real estate, access to power and fiber) at the edge layer.
 
The 5G cycle is now 5 years old, and the telecom industry is still struggling to adopt and deploy virtualization, open RAN and network slicing, much less a 5G standalone (SA) network architecture. This reality implies expectations for 6G will need to be tempered further. TBR believes 6G (at least the first phase of 6G, which will be represented in the 3rd Generation Partnership Project’s [3GPP] Release 21 standards) will only bring spectral and cost-per-bit efficiency improvements and potentially some net-new enterprise-specific features and capabilities. 6G is unlikely to bring any more significant or profound outcomes than 5G, at least not from CSPs.
 
TBR believes hyperscalers, government entities (especially the defense sector) and large enterprises are likely to reap the most benefit from 6G. For CSPs, 6G is likely to primarily be an infill solution to address complex environments and enhance network capacity and speed for existing MBB and FWA offerings.
 
Taken together, 6G will ultimately happen, and commercial deployment of 6G-branded networks will likely begin in the late 2020s, but it remains to be seen whether 6G will be a brand only or a legitimate set of truly differentiated features and capabilities that bring broad and significant value to the global economy. Either way, the scope of CSPs’ challenges is growing, while new value continues to be created outside their purview or goes over the top of their pipes.
 

Watch On Demand: TBR Principal Analyst Chris Antlitz discusses the Looming Business Disruption Among Operators and Vendors as They Strive to Change from Telco to “Tech-co” in the Coming Years

Impacts and Opportunities in 6G

Upper-midband Spectrum Is in Play for 6G

After an initial belief several years ago that 6G would leverage millimeter wave and terahertz spectrum, the wireless technology ecosystem has settled on the upper midbands, specifically in the 7GHz-24GHz range (also known as the Frequency Range 3 [FR3] tranche). Within FR3, 7GHz-15GHz is considered to be the golden range for 6G as it has the best balance between coverage and capacity and there is approximately 1600MHz of total bandwidth that could be made available in the U.S.
 
However, one of the biggest issues with these “golden bands” is the need for CSPs to coexist with incumbent users, such as government entities and satellite operators, which utilize some of these channels for various purposes and would need to either be cleared, refarmed or shared with CSPs for use in cellular communications. The telecom industry already has some experience with shared spectrum through CBRS, which operates in the 3.5GHz band, so there is a pre-existing framework and mechanism in place (i.e., Spectrum Access System) from which to begin establishing a spectrum sharing system for these new bands.
 
Ultimately, TBR believes that 6G will end up leveraging a mix of spectrum tranches, with midband, upper midband and mmWave frequencies all in play. Carrier aggregation and other frequency-combination technologies, as well as advancements in beamforming and endpoint devices, make these spectrum bands perform better when working together. Additionally, FR3 spectrum is not good at penetrating walls. Given around 80% of wireless traffic is generated indoors — a statistic that is unlikely to change materially in the 6G era — FR3 bands would need to be complemented with lower bands to penetrate walls and provide optimal coverage and capacity.

Nonterrestrial Networks (NTN), aka Satellite Connectivity, Enters the Mainstream

The NTN domain is flourishing, and satellite connectivity will be a mainstream technology for both businesses and consumers by the end of this decade. Satellite-provided connectivity will cover most of the Earth (and nearly the entire human population) with at least basic text messaging services, though some NTN providers will also provide high-speed broadband services as well as a range of other communications services, such as voice, just like a traditional CSP.
 
The most disruptive impact of NTN will be closing the cellular coverage gap and reducing the digital divide. Approximately 10% of Earth’s surface and 5% of the global human population, or around 800 million people, still lack cellular network coverage, and satellites can close this gap relatively quickly and at a significantly lower price compared to building out terrestrial macro base station sites in rural and remote areas. The ability to provide truly global network coverage has created a new paradigm in the telecom industry, shaping end-user expectations and pushing CSPs to align with (and increasingly compete against) NTN providers.

FWA Is Not Getting the Attention It Deserves

The mobile industry continues to largely view FWA as an ancillary offering, and the use case is not receiving the level of attention and innovation that it should given FWA’s resounding success in the market. Some attendees noted that current standards do not adequately factor in and focus enough on FWA and that networks are not architected to optimally support this use case. Spectral efficiency technologies tailored to optimize FWA traffic could free up significant capacity on existing networks that could be utilized for other purposes.
 
There are also energy-efficiency considerations for FWA. Mobile network operators (MNOs) have a vested interest in pushing standards bodies and network vendors to innovate on FWA because margins are low and there is room to alleviate some of this margin impact by applying technological innovations. In addition, MNOs want standards bodies and vendors to focus on architecting cellular standards to support unlicensed spectrum bands so that network coverage and capacity can be enhanced with minimal investment by aggregating licensed spectrum with unlicensed spectrum. The 6GHz band is especially pertinent to these considerations.

The Energy Problem Has No Easy Fix

Though the wireless technology ecosystem will continue to eke out gains on energy efficiency and performance, an as-yet-undetermined paradigm shift will be required to fundamentally break the linear relationship between network performance and energy usage. Additionally, AI is unlikely to help address this issue when factoring in the net energy impact because AI workloads are inherently power hungry.
 
Given this rising demand for energy, in addition to driving further reduction in the cost per bit, the broader economy and public sector should focus more on innovations in energy production and distribution, such as more deeply exploring small modular [nuclear] reactors (SMR) and cold fusion, to produce and widely distribute high-output, sustainable, low carbon-footprint energy. Said differently, it will become increasingly difficult to squeeze energy efficiency out of network infrastructure, so focusing on creating cleaner energy at greater scale is a sounder long-term strategy than emphasizing a lower net utilization of energy to achieve sustainability goals.

AI and ML Will Initially be Leveraged for Network Optimization

AI and ML will come into the network domain slowly. Network optimization-related use cases will likely be the initial focus areas, as AI and ML can provide significant outcomes by running complex simulations, such as ray tracing, propagation modeling and channel management (e.g., spectrum access sharing and dynamic spectrum sharing) at scale.
 
Though AI and ML promise a higher degree of automation to accomplish optimization-related tasks, there is concern that the amount and cost of energy required to run these simulations will outweigh the benefits. There is some validity to this concern, but attendees were confident there will be pockets of use cases or workarounds that will mitigate energy consumption and make networks more resilient and higher performing by leveraging AI and ML.

Western Governments Need to be More Proactive to Keep Their Countries at the Forefront of Innovation

Evidence suggests the West is falling behind China in key technologies, most notably in 5G SA, 6G, quantum computing, SMR and other key areas, despite Western governments allocating unprecedented sums of fiscal and monetary support for the technology sector and broader economy during and immediately after the COVID-19 pandemic. Governments, therefore, will need to take a more assertive approach rather than setting big-picture guidelines and relying on the private sector to figure things out. Since the current model is not yielding the desired results, a change will be needed to alter the trajectory. Greater reliance on hyperscalers will likely factor into the equation for a solution.
 
The most glaring deficiency in the Western world is regulatory clarity and policy agenda. For example, the U.S. Federal Communications Commission has been restrained and restricted from advancing important spectrum policies, and special interests have been creating encumbrances that slow down or prevent the wireless technology ecosystem from optimally moving forward (e.g., inconsistent policies around private spectrum and the use of shared bands like 6GHz create harmonization challenges and disincentivize attaining critical mass in the broader industry).

Scope of Government Support for the Telecom Industry Will Likely Increase

The persistent lack of ROI to justify private sector investment in 6G (and cellular networks more broadly) will ultimately push governments deeper into the telecom industry, prompting governments to increase the scope of their involvement in the wireless technology ecosystem as well as make these support structures more embedded in nature. During the first half of the 5G cycle, governments from various countries around the world pumped many hundreds of billions of dollars in aggregate into their respective domestic technology sectors via various stimulus programs, which provide direct or indirect, low- or zero-interest rate loans, subsidies and other means of market support.
 
Additional government backing will be required to enable the full benefits of 6G to come to fruition. Governments have a vested interest in supporting the telecom industry and the broader technology sector as it provides innovations of societal and national security importance and serves as foundational infrastructure to support long-term economic development. TBR expects governments in technology-forward countries (especially the U.S., China, Japan and South Korea) and regional blocs (e.g., the European Union) to continue underpinning R&D programs, subsidizing and/or directly paying for infrastructure deployment, and backstopping industry players that relate to national security concerns.
 
This model of industry stimulation was witnessed at unprecedented scale during the COVID-19 pandemic and now serves as a model for further government involvement. Workforce development has also emerged as a top-of-mind initiative for some governments as a means of preparing domestic workforces to handle new technologies and to offset the negative economic externalities that emerge from the impact of these new technologies (e.g., labor displacement from AI and how this can be mitigated).

Conclusion

6G will happen one way or another, with commercial deployments and services branded as 6G likely to commence by pioneering CSPs by 2030 (as originally expected within the confines of 10-year cellular generation cycles), but the wireless technology ecosystem seems to be absorbing much more than it can handle.
 
In addition to addressing the evolution of 3GPP standards for 6G, the ecosystem must also incorporate AI, ML, quantum and other nascent technologies as well as meet societal objectives, such as carbon zero, to align with theoretical expectations for the new G and the new use cases the technology is expected to enable.
 
The requirements for 6G are causing complexity to increase and are likely to make the ecosystem fall short on delivering these outcomes. Greater investment, collaboration and alignment across the public and private sectors, as well as with academia, will be required to address these challenges and set the telecom industry on a better path.

Infosys Collaborates with Clients and Partners to Navigate What’s Next in Their AI Transformation Programs

Strong Services Execution, Enabled Through Infosys Cobalt and Focused on Outcomes, Provides Foundation Upon Which Infosys Can Build AI Strategy

The steady performance of Infosys’ cloud business highlights the company’s pragmatic approach to its portfolio and go-to-market efforts, largely enabled by Infosys Cobalt.

 

Building on Infosys Cobalt’s success, the company now has an opportunity to steer client conversations toward AI and is positioning Infosys Topaz as the suite of services and solutions that can bring it all together. Agentic AI (i.e., autonomous AI) is the newest set of capabilities dominating client and partner conversations. Scaling AI adoption comes with implications and responsibilities, which Infosys is trying to address one use case at a time. For example, earlier in 2024, Infosys launched the Responsible AI Suite, which includes accelerators across three main areas: Scan (identifying AI risk), Shield (building technical guardrails) and Steer (providing AI governance consulting). These capabilities will help Infosys strengthen ecosystem trust via the Responsible AI Coalition. Infosys also claimed it was the first IT services company globally to achieve the ISO 42001:2023 certification for ethical and responsible use of AI.
 
Regardless of the client’s cloud and AI adoption maturity, everyone TBR spoke with and those who presented at 2024 Infosys Americas Confluence agreed that the need for data strategy and architecture comes first. Two separate customers perfectly summarized the state of AI adoption: “You can’t get to AI without reliable data across the supply chain,” and “GenAI is not a magical talisman. Companies need to build true AI policy and handle GenAI primitives before scaling adoption, with the shift in mindset among developers and users a key component.”

 

Infosys recognizes that AI adoption will come in waves. The first wave, which started in November 2022 and continued over the last 18 to 24 months, was dominated by pilot projects focused on productivity and software development. In the current second wave, clients are starting to pivot conversations toward improving IT operations, business processes, marketing and sales. The real business value will come from the third wave, which will focus on improving processes and experiences and capitalizing on opportunities around design and implementation. Infosys believes the third wave will start in the next six to 12 months. While this might work for cloud- and data-mature clients, only a small percentage of the enterprise is AI ready across all components including data, governance, strategy, technology and talent. Thus, it might take a bit longer scale for AI adoption to scale.

 

But as Infosys continues to execute its pragmatic strategy, the company relies on customer success stories that will help it build momentum. As another customer positioned it, “Infosys knows the data and processes. They know what they are talking about. In [the] 11 years since we have worked with them, they have not missed a single release with their … team delivering the outcomes.”

 

We believe Infosys’ position within the ecosystem will also play a role in how fast and successful the company is when it comes to scaling AI with clients. Infosys’ AI-related messaging includes 23 AI playbooks, which focus on value realization spanning technical and business components, such as Foundry and Factory models, as well as change management.

 

Of course, AI and GenAI will also disrupt Infosys’ business model and service delivery. And while many of its peers are still debating internally how to best position themselves with clients and pitch the value of GenAI without exposing their business to too much risk in the long run, Infosys’ thoughtful, analytics-enabled approach to commercial and pricing model management has positioned the company favorably with price-conscious clients that have predominantly been focused on digital stack optimization over the past 18 months.
 
Infosys’ success with large deals is a testament to the effectiveness of the company’s strategy. In FY4Q24 Infosys had $4.5 billion in large deals, which is the highest quarterly large deal value for the company. In addition, investing in and transforming right-skilled talent who can support this model are critical components to the company’s success. While Infosys has trained 270,000 of its employees on AI, we believe it is the composition and depth of these skills that vary across service lines and clients, especially as outcome-based pricing models now represent half of the contracts in some service lines.

Infosys’ Investments in Engineering and Marketing Strengthen Company’s Position as a Solutions Broker

Navigating the hype of GenAI requires Infosys to also recognize and place bets on other areas that are tangential and have a more immediate impact on its value proposition and overall financial performance.

Infosys Tries to Bring CIOs and CMOs Together Through Infosys Aster

Building off the success of Infosys Cobalt and Infosys Topaz, the company launched Infosys Aster, a set of AI-amplified marketing services, solutions and platforms. While Infosys Cobalt and Infosys Topaz have horizontal applications, the domain-specific nature of Infosys Aster provides a glimpse into what we might expect to see from Infosys in the near future, given the permeation of GenAI across organizational processes. Additionally, the marketing orientation of Infosys Aster is not surprising since most GenAI use cases are geared toward improving customer experience.

 

Built around three pillars — experience, efficiency and effectiveness — Infosys Aster will test Infosys’ ability to capitalize on a new wave of application services opportunities and create first-party data-unique solutions rather than providing off-the-shelf solutions just to ramp up implementation sales.
 
With DMS continuing to act as a conduit for broader digital transformation opportunities for Infosys, we expect the company to use Infosys Aster to position its marketing services portfolio in a more holistic manner, creating a bridge between CMOs and CIOs and also bringing parts of Infosys’ Business Process Management subsidiary into the mix to position the company to capture marketing operations opportunities. Infosys Aster provides a comprehensive set of marketing across the value chain of strategy, brand and creative services, digital experience, digital commerce, marketing technology (martech), performance marketing and marketing operations.
 
Although this is an area of opportunity for Infosys, rivals such as Accenture have an advantage in the marketing operations domain. We do believe the greater opening for Infosys comes from focusing more on driving conversations around the custom application layer and steering client discussions toward achieving profitable growth through the use of Infosys Aster. Client wins such as with Formula E and ongoing work with the Grand Slam tennis tournaments also allow Infosys to demonstrate its innovation capabilities beyond traditional IT services. Part marketing and part branding, wins such as these elevate Infosys’ capabilities. Executing against its messaging is key for Infosys.

Infosys Engineering Services Will Close Portfolio and Skills Gaps Between IT and OT Departments

Infosys Engineering Services remains among the fastest-growing units within the company as Infosys strives to get closer to product development and minimize GenAI disruption on its content distribution and support position. Since the 2020 purchase of Kaleidoscope, which provided a much-needed boost for the company to infuse new skills and the IP needed to appeal to the OT buyer, Infosys has further enhanced its value proposition to also meet GenAI-infused demand.

 

Infosys recently announced the acquisition of the India-based, 900-person semiconductor design services vendor InSemi, which presents a use case where the company applied a measured risk approach to enhance its chip-to-cloud strategy as it tries to balance its portfolio of partner-ready solutions, such as through NVIDIA, with a sound GenAI-first cloud-supported story. Shortly after, Infosys also acquired Germany-headquartered engineering R&D services firm in-tech. The purchase will bolster Infosys’ Engineering Services R&D capabilities and add over 2,200 trained resources to regional operations across Germany, Austria, China, the U.K., and nearshore locations in the Czech Republic, Romania, Spain and India, supporting Infosys’ opportunities within the automotive industry. The purchase of in-tech certainly accelerates these opportunities, bringing in strong relationships with OEM providers, which is a necessary steppingstone as Infosys tries to bridge IT and OT relationships.

 

We do not expect Infosys’ cloud business Infosys Cobalt to slow down anytime soon given the company’s market position for infrastructure migration and managed services as well as its well-run partner strategy with hyperscalers. Adding semiconductor design services bolsters that value proposition as buyers consider whether to use price-attractive CPUs or premium-priced GPU data centers. The latter currently dominates the marketplace, and we expect that trend will not change for at least the next 18 to 24 months. But having semiconductor engineers on its bench can help Infosys start supporting CPU-run models, further appealing to more price-sensitive clients. Meanwhile, Infosys is planning to train 50,000 of its employees on NVIDIA technologies. Lastly, the close collaboration between Infosys Engineering Services and Infosys Living Labs further extends the company’s opportunities to drive conversations with new buyers and demonstrates its ability to build, integrate and manage tangible products.

Infosys’ Reliance on Partners Provides a Strong Use Case of Trust and the Future of Ecosystems

The mutual appreciation between Infosys and partners was amplified throughout 2024 Infosys Americas Confluence. From a dedicated Partner Day to partner-run demos and various sponsorship levels to main-stage presentations, the experience reminded TBR of an event that a technology vendor would typically set up (think: Adobe Summit, AWS re:Invent, Dreamforce, Oracle OpenWorld, to name a few).
 
Infosys’ decision to feature some of its key alliance partners in a similar way that the tech companies do suggests a strong alignment between parties starting with the top-down executive support, through mutual investments in both portfolio and training resources, and most importantly, knowledge management between the parties. In conversations throughout the event with partners, it was evident that Infosys’ strategy is consistent regardless of the length of relationship, from decades-long relationships such as with SAP or an emerging but fast-growing alliance such as with Snowflake. All partners agreed Infosys’ humble approach to managing relationships has put them at ease in working with Infosys and delivering value to joint clients.

 

After attending Infosys’ U.S. Analyst and Advisor Meeting in Texas in March, TBR wrote about Infosys’ relationship with Oracle, highlighting the level of trust and transparency Infosys typically deploys with partners. In TBR’s Summer 2024 Voice of the Partner Ecosystem Report we wrote: “Services vendors most frequently rely on their direct sales efforts and permission to demonstrate value with customers to drive revenue. Using demos and proof-of-concept discussions as a frequent tactic to engage with clients also highlights many of the profiled vendors’ consulting heritage.

 

The technical expertise came through very vividly and aligned with Infosys’ strengths in playing within its own swim lane. In a main-stage discussion, Infosys and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) discussed at length the role each plays in pursuing opportunities in areas such as GenAI and the need for greater interactions through multiparty model including the value NVIDIA brings to the table, for example. While one could argue that Infosys’ alliance partner strategy mirrors that of many of its competitors as it seeks to secure foundational revenue opportunities while pursuing innovation through a measured risk approach, the company strives to differentiate by acknowledging its strengths and sticking to them rather than branching too far into partners’ territory, which enterprise buyers strongly appreciate.

Land-and-execute Approach and Expansion Will Follow Naturally

Close to a decade ago, TBR analyzed what Infosys’ five-year strategy should look like. While the company went through leadership and strategy changes during this period to such an extent that one could cite concerns about consistency, those days are over. Infosys now has a well-grounded strategy with executives executing on a clear vision rooted in a land-and-execute approach rather than the typical land-and-expand framework many of its peers aspire to. This puts greater pressure on the company’s quality and talent-retention strategies. While no one is immune to macroeconomic headwinds, the internal growth and training opportunities the company provides for its employees across all levels provides a strong backbone to a culture of learning and trust.

 

TBR will continue to cover Infosys within the IT services, ecosystems, cloud and digital transformation spaces, including publishing quarterly reports with assessments of Infosys’ financial model, go-to-market, and alliances and acquisitions strategies. Access reports as soon as they’re available with TBR Insight Center™ access.

IT Services Vendors Embrace Digital Transformation to Revolutionize the Sports and Entertainment Industry

IT Services Vendors Pursue Opportunities in the Sports and Entertainment Industry

Like every other industry, sports has undergone digital transformation in recent years, greatly improving operations within the industry and fundamentally changing the fan experience. Every major sporting event is enhanced by analytics, both at an operational level and for the fans, and other elements core to IT services, such as cybersecurity and automation, have become fundamental to running a sports operation.

 

Not surprisingly, IT services companies and consultancies have jumped on the bandwagon, increasingly associating their brands with major sport events and leagues, not simply as sponsors but also now as digital transformation, AI and analytics partners.

 

The sports and entertainment industry segment typically contributes a small share of revenue for the 31 vendors covered in TBR’s IT Services Vendor Benchmark compared to established industries such as financial services, public sector and manufacturing. However, an increasing number of IT services providers are building specialized expertise to address the needs of clients in sports and entertainment and to diversify revenue streams. Applying capabilities such as around digital design, secure infrastructure and data, and customer experience enables vendors to increase value and capture growth opportunities.

Specialized Expertise and History of Working with Clients in Sports and Entertainment Help Vendors Establish Credibility and Attract New Clients

IBM, Atos, Accenture and Infosys have well-established industry expertise and a history of working with clients in the sports and entertainment sector. In addition to those companies, other IT services providers are developing capabilities and building client relationships to capture opportunities in the sector.

 

Utilizing their solutions, expertise and reputation gained by working with clients in other sectors and applying that knowledge to the sports and entertainment industry enable vendors to expand their client reach. Vendors increasingly utilize digital design capabilities to add value. For example, IBM iX, the experience design business of IBM Consulting, developed a new AI commentary feature for the Wimbledon Championships utilizing watsonx to train the AI in the language of tennis, and then implemented the solution to create engaging commentary for event video clips.

IBM

Utilizes IBM Watsonx to Improve Fan Engagement

IBM has a 30-year partnership with the All England Lawn Tennis Club. To help more than 19 million fans globally follow the Wimbledon Championships more closely, IBM has been improving the digital experience of the tournament’s official app and website.

 

In June IBM announced a new feature for the app and website that provides personalized player stories as players advance through the tournament, utilizing data and generative AI (GenAI) from IBM’s watsonx platform. In addition to the Wimbledon Championships, IBM Consulting has been providing insights and improving experiences over the past several years for events such as the Masters Tournament, the U.S. Open and the Grammy Awards; improving user engagement and integrating AI, such as with the ESPN Fantasy Football app; and addressing storage and security needs, such as for the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.

 

For example, IBM has been working with the Masters Tournament for more than 30 years to digitally transform the event by designing solutions and user interfaces and transforming back-end systems to deliver insights through golf data. IBM is utilizing GenAI to convert Masters data into AI-powered narration and insights about players and games.

 

In April IBM announced new fan features for the Masters app and Masters.com to improve the digital experience of the tournament that was held April 11-14. IBM Consulting collaborated with the Masters’ digital team to provide fans with shot-by-shot insights based on data-based projections and analysis for each hole, thanks to GenAI capabilities from IBM watsonx.

 

IBM has also been working with the U.S. Tennis Association (USTA) for more than 30 years. In August IBM announced several fan features for the digital platforms of the 2024 U.S. Open that are powered by IBM watsonx to improve fan engagement and tournament coverage. IBM delivered AI-generated Match Report summaries for singles matches minutes after they were completed utilizing IBM’s Granite 13B large language model (LLM) and the USTA’s data and editorial guidelines. IBM also provided AI commentary with automated English-language audio and subtitles for singles match summaries. Fans also utilized the redesigned IBM SlamTracker experience offering that provides pre-live and post-match insights.

 

In September IBM and ESPN announced enhancements to the ESPN Fantasy app, which is powered by GenAI technologies from IBM watsonx. The new Top Contributing Factors feature within the Waiver Grade and Trade Grade features of the app provide analysis around grades. The grades that are assigned to players are created by AI models built with IBM watsonx, and the information is generated by IBM’s Granite LLM.

Atos

Every Olympics Must Run Flawlessly; there Are No Second Chances

Atos used its well-established expertise in the sports and entertainment industry to provide infrastructure services for the 2024 Paris Olympics and Paralympics and enable a secure and digital Games experience for end users globally. The company has been providing services for the Olympic Movement since 1989. Atos established its relationship with the International Olympic Committee (IOC) as a Worldwide IT Partner in 2001 and provided IT services for the first Winter Olympics in 2002 in Salt Lake City. Ensuring that the IT systems behind the Olympics run flawlessly every two years requires dedication and strict execution of processes and timelines.

 

Atos has been expanding its client roster in the sports and entertainment industry, applying its vast experience gained from the Olympics. In December 2022 Atos signed an eight-year deal with the Union of European Football Associations (UEFA) to be the official technology partner for men’s national team competitions. Atos is assisting UEFA in managing, improving and optimizing its technology landscape and operations. It is also managing and securing the hybrid cloud environment and infrastructure that hosts UEFA’s services, applications and data. Atos is the official IT partner of UEFA National Team Football until 2030.

 

In March Atos announced plans to open a Sports Technology Center of Excellence (CoE) in its new Middle East and North Africa headquarters in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, in 2Q24. The CoE will develop technology applications for athletes, fans and sports organizations in Saudi Arabia. The new CoE provides a way for Atos to capture opportunities in the local sports industry as Saudi Arabia works on its Vision 2023 to position as a host for leading international sporting events. The center will enable clients to explore solutions around digital transformation, cloud services, cybersecurity, decarbonization, application modernization, DevSecOps and edge computing. Atos provided cybersecurity and infrastructure services for the 2024 Paris Olympic and Paralympic Games utilizing its Technology Operations Centre.

Accenture

Accenture Helps NFL Make Data-driven Decisions and Works with ESPN to Transform Sports Fan Experience

In May Accenture announced a five-year partnership with the NFL in which Accenture will be the Official Business and Technology Consulting Partner. Accenture will help the NFL make data-driven decisions in three business areas: football, financial operations and human resources. Accenture will also support the NFL across multiple areas such as transforming the league’s human capital systems, ERP and analytics, and driving efficiencies and automation across the NFL’s back-office functions.

 

In 2021 ESPN partnered with Accenture, Microsoft and Verizon with the goal of exploring ways to improve the fan experience in sports through technologies such as 5G, augmented reality and mobile edge computing. Accenture and ESPN launched the ESPN Edge Innovation Center to utilize technologies and jointly imagine, explore, conceive and prototype sports entertainment experiences and production capabilities. The combination of design and innovation capabilities with technology and industry expertise enabled Accenture to become ESPN’s Innovation and Founding Consulting Partner. Accenture and ESPN collaborate to enhance live sports broadcasting, develop consumer-facing products and improve the sports fan experience.

Infosys

Client Wins Such as Formula E and Ongoing Work with Grand Slam Tennis Tournaments Allow Infosys to Demonstrate Innovation Capabilities Beyond Traditional IT Services

Since 2015 Infosys has been the Digital Innovation Partner for the Australian Open, Roland-Garros, the Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP) Tour and the International Tennis Hall of Fame, transforming tennis through data, insights and digital experiences. For example, Infosys has been partnering with the ATP to develop digital assets. Infosys’ design capabilities and technical prowess continue to help it attract business in experience design and AI-powered services with sports and entertainment companies, particularly around tennis tournaments.

 

In March Infosys extended its digital innovation relationship with the ATP by three years, until 2026. The ATP will continue to benefit from Infosys’ capabilities in AI, data analytics and cloud. Since the beginning of the partnership in 2015, Infosys has deployed digital assets for ATP Tour, such as reinventing the ATP PlayerZone intranet portal; launched the ATP fan app; and developed systems integration (SI)-driven features powered by Infosys Topaz in the Infosys ATP Stats Center. Infosys and the ATP are also collaborating on the ATP Carbon Tracker, which monitors and helps offset the carbon footprint of players, supporting the ATP’s goal of achieving net-zero emissions by 2040.

 

Outside of tennis, Infosys is the Official Digital Innovation Partner of Madison Square Garden and the New York Knicks and New York Rangers. In May Infosys announced that it will be the official Digital Innovation Partner for the ABB FIA Formula E World Championship, the global motorsport championship for electric cars, for the next three years. Infosys will deliver in-race analytics, improve fan engagement experiences and enhance sustainability reporting and tracking for Formula E.

 

Additionally, Infosys will develop a new AI-powered Fan Customer Data platform to engage 500 million fans by 2030; provide in-race insights utilizing GenAI capabilities through Infosys Topaz; and implement a sustainability data management tool based on AI to help Formula E reduce carbon emissions by 45% by 2030.

Oracle’s Path to $100B+: Unlocking Growth with Multicloud Strategy

Oracle Is Charting a Path for Unprecedented Growth with Its ‘Infrastructure Anywhere’ Vision

Oracle has among the most complete, full-stack cloud portfolios, from infrastructure to database to applications. While Oracle Cloud World 2024 covered a sizable landscape, one theme stuck out during the four-day event: deployment flexibility. This theme reflects how much Oracle has changed compared to 2016, when Gen2 OCI (Oracle Cloud Infrastructure) launched.

 

With multitenant OCI, Dedicated Regions, Cloud@Customer and Oracle Alloy, a specialized service where customers white label OCI services inside their own data centers, Oracle has quickly emerged as one of the most flexible, delivery-agnostic IaaS vendors on the market. Of course, the other big component of Oracle’s “infrastructure anywhere” vision is multicloud, in which customers can run Oracle databases as native services hosted in the data centers of Oracle’s biggest hyperscaler competitors.

 

Not only does this move reflect a major maturity leap for Oracle, in which Oracle cozies up to its rivals to better address the needs of the customer, but it is also critical to the company’s financial strategy. In addition to giving Oracle the flexibility to allocate more capex dollars toward strategic compute and storage resources as opposed to land and buildings, this strategy will help Oracle get its on-premises database support base to the cloud faster. In doing so, Oracle may forfeit lucrative support and license contracts, but the company reports that for every $1 in lost license and support gross profit it could realize as much as $5 in gross profit in the cloud, which is a testament to how quickly the cloud business is growing.

 

The multicloud strategy is also one of the reasons Oracle awed financial analysts not only by raising its FY26 revenue targets by $1 billion, to $66 billion, but also by setting a FY29 goal of $104 billion. This target, backed by Oracle’s $99 billion RPO (remaining performance obligation) balance, implies an average corporate revenue growth rate of roughly 16% over the next five years. This kind of growth was once unheard of for Oracle, but with cloud now overtaking support as the biggest business, Oracle is a different company, and the OCI growth trajectory instills a degree of optimism in Oracle’s ability to disrupt a highly saturated market in the years to come.

Announcing Oracle Database@AWS

Based on interactions at Cloud World, it is clear the Oracle Database@AWS announcement was the most noteworthy. In our view, given Oracle already launched Oracle Database@Azure, and more recently Oracle Database@Google Cloud, which is now live in four regions, it was only a question of when, not if, Amazon Web Services (AWS) would partner with Oracle.

 

With this announcement, Oracle officially saved the biggest hyperscaler for last, onboarding all the critical partners it needs to migrate legacy database customers and accelerate cloud revenue growth. In terms of how this alliance will work, it is no different than the approach Oracle takes with Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud; Oracle will deliver the hardware and networking inside AWS data centers so customers can provision Oracle database services natively from the AWS console and have the system run in AWS, just as it would if it was hosted in OCI.

 

The approach of physically embedding OCI within other clouds as opposed to just bolting Oracle Database on to other infrastructure through a standard interconnection is important as it will not only give customers the native AWS, Azure and Google Cloud Platform (GCP) experiences they are used to, but also limit latency as the Oracle Exadata hardware is physically located with the appropriate hyperscaler.

 

One could argue Oracle is taking a lot of risk with this strategy, as it is essentially bringing customers and their data closer to AWS, Azure and GCP. But in the age of mounting competition, not to mention generative AI (GenAI), it is a risk worth taking. As one customer at a major financial services firm recently told us, “The GenAI decision makers will not be the old world relational database experts,” and these alliances could help ensure Oracle stays relevant in cloud GenAI discussions by making it easier for customers to use the data within Oracle Database for RAG (retrieval augmented generation), to fine-tune foundation models and build new applications using tools many customers are likely already using, like Amazon SageMaker.

 

We should also point out the concept of data gravity. Customers leveraging these multicloud services will still be established Oracle Database customers with some Oracle SaaS presence, and therefore the bulk of their business data gravity will naturally reside within OCI. Those customers may still be inclined to keep their databases within OCI and not extend to other clouds, but with this strategy, Oracle is at least giving them the option to do so. We expect that these multicloud offerings will gain a lot of traction among Oracle Database customers that have big application footprints on other clouds.

Oracle Analytics Is the Glue Between IaaS and SaaS

Analytics, and the ability to turn data into business insight, is the ultimate objective for nearly every organization. With popular tools like Power BI and Tableau as well as neutral data platforms like Snowflake on the market, customers have a lot of choices when crafting the analytics stack.

 

But customers have also made it clear they want to limit the integration burden, and one of the compelling things about Oracle’s approach to analytics is how it can store customers’ operational data from Fusion applications in the Autonomous Data Warehouse (ADW) for analytics as part of a single SKU. This approach, productized as Fusion Data Intelligence (FDI), reinforces the value of Oracle playing in both the SaaS and IaaS markets and its ability to deliver a unified solution.

Evolving the Data Lake Strategy and Competing as a Unified Solution

Access to operational data in the Fusion suite will remain the hallmark differentiator for FDI, but it is on the infrastructure side where Oracle took a big leap forward with the launch of Intelligent Data Lake. Oracle has been elevating its data lake strategy and positioning for some time, but this announcement puts Oracle more squarely into the space.

 

At its core, Intelligent Data Lake is a reworking of existing OCI capabilities, such as cataloging and integration, to create a single abstraction layer that in true data lake fashion, allows customers to query data on object storage, such as Amazon S3 or Microsoft OneLake, with support for the popular Apache Iceberg and Delta Lake frameworks.

 

To be fair, with Fabric and BigLake, Microsoft and Google Cloud, respectively, have been similarly making advancements with the data lake architecture to better address analytics workloads. However, Oracle is not only adding the simplicity and performance benefits of the data lake but also delivering the architecture in a way in which customers can run the entire data pipeline and still have all the analytics components in a single SKU.

 

With Oracle’s launch of a native Salesforce integration with FDI, which allows customers to combine their CRM and Fusion data within the lakehouse architecture, Oracle’s vision of embedded clouds at the database layer is extending to analytics.

 

Though FDI’s draw will still be primarily with existing Oracle customers, the company is clearly taking steps to help combine Fusion with non-Fusion data and make its platform more relevant within the cloud ecosystem. While FDI may not rip and replace the analytics footprint within any particular account, we could see scenarios where FDI displaces some components of the stack, such as Snowflake at the infrastructure layer, or on the analytics side, PowerBI in Microsoft Fabric.

New Applications Are Being Built on the Analytics Stack

In general, scaling the existing platform components of Oracle Analytics is a top priority for the company, but there is another emerging piece of the analytics vision: Intelligent Applications. Coming soon, Oracle will offer applications — People Leader Workbench for HCM and Supply Chain Command Center for SCM — that sit on top of the Fusion system of record, within the FDI platform.

 

This approach should allow Oracle to target a broader set of personas. For example, in People Leader Workbench, it is not necessarily about reaching only the C-Suite but rather anyone who manages people and can benefit from data-driven insights on their people, and most notably, take action on that insight by connecting back to the Fusion HCM system of record.

What About GenAI?

GenAI has officially exited the hype cycle and is being widely deployed within the enterprise, but when it comes to analytics, capabilities like dashboarding, semantic models and visualization are still taking precedence It is still early, but customer feedback suggests that if data is properly configured and there are guardrails in place, GenAI in analytics has a lot of potential.
 

Dive into the complexities of vendor partnerships in this recent TBR Insights Live session — Click the image below to watch on demand today!

On-demand Video - TBR Insights Live webinar: How to Think as a Partner in the Era of GenAI

One of the key announcements at the event was the general availability of Analytics Cloud AI Assistant in Oracle Analytics Cloud (OAC), which is based on a large language model (LLM) so customers can ask questions about their data. Staying in line with the rest of the Oracle strategy, where GenAI is fully embedded into the portfolio and available to customers at no added cost, the analytics assistant will be available to OAC customers for free as part of their existing instances.

Speaking of SaaS and IaaS

From database alliances to the data lake architecture, Oracle has made many calculated moves at the PaaS layer to better compete for strategic workloads. But there are other innovations and key developments in the upper and lower rungs of Oracle’s cloud portfolio.

Oracle Targets Complete End-to-end Process Automation with AI Agents in Fusion Suite

Since it first entered the GenAI game in late 2023, Oracle stood out in the SaaS market for not upcharging customers for GenAI in their SaaS applications. This speaks to Oracle’s play at the IaaS layer with the OCI GenAI Service, which is native to the same infrastructure where all Oracle’s SaaS applications live.

 

Logically, this approach means that as Oracle’s LLM partners, which host in OCI, push the boundaries of their models, Fusion customers stand to benefit in not just using GenAI for basic assisted authoring and summarization use cases (e.g., writing a job description in Fusion HCM or summarizing customer calls in CX), but actually contextualizing data. In the long term, this could mean providing reasoning on that data to manage more complex workflows and deliver business recommendations.

 

At this time last year, Oracle announced 50 GenAI use cases in the SaaS suite. This year, the applications team announced the number of use cases has grown to over 100, while there are now more than 50 AI agents within the Fusion suite. This announcement marks a progression in how Oracle is moving from more generic prompt-and-response use cases in Fusion to actual contextualization use cases, by applying LLM-based RAG agents to address specific goals and roles within a particular business function. In Fusion HCM, this could include a benefits analyst agent, offering users the ability to ask questions, such as which health plan features are available, based on the enrollment data contained in Fusion HCM and the health plan document specific to the company.

 

But the most commonly cited example throughout the event was the Document IO agent in Fusion ERP, which can convert a picture of a quote in a particular currency into U.S. dollars and automatically create and load a purchase order (PO) within the system. With these AI agents, we see Oracle taking the next big step in addressing more complete process automation and productivity enhancements within its SaaS portfolio, and ultimately a shift in mindset where it is less about delivering an ERP system or an HCM system but more about completing end-to-end business process and experience.

OCI Strategy Centers on Growing Within the Large Enterprise and Attracting Cloud-natives

Oracle’s ability to offer among the most flexible cloud delivery methods is the focus of the OCI strategy and strategic road map, led by high-profile partnerships with AWS and others. But Oracle’s strategy is about being agnostic to not only where customers run OCI but also how they run OCI.

 

For example, at Cloud World Oracle announced Dedicated Region 25, a longtime investment and feat of engineering that essentially consolidates a standard Oracle Cloud region into just three racks, which we physically saw on the keynote stage. This configuration extends the value proposition of Dedicated Region, where customers can get the scale and economics of the public cloud inside their own data centers.

 

Dedicated Region 25 could also play a big role in helping Oracle reach new customers. Oracle’s multicloud alliances will undoubtedly be appealing to the large enterprise customer base, but offerings like Dedicated Region 25 could help Oracle attract cloud-native and AI companies looking for a more compact footprint that can still scale to support critical workloads.

Conclusion

Led by its partnership with AWS, Oracle Cloud World 2024 told a story of a maturing business that is turning competitors into partners to better address the needs of the customer. By keeping the lifeblood of the cloud stack, the database, relevant in customers’ cloud transformations, Oracle also ensures it remains competitive in GenAI scenarios, which aligns with the GenAI investments the company is making in other areas of the stack, from analytics to Fusion applications.

 

As the company continues to navigate as a full-stack vendor catering to the existing Oracle base, while simultaneously gaining relevance in the broader cloud ecosystem, there is a lot of potential ahead, and Oracle is well on its way to becoming a $100-plus billion company.

Diversification Into Other Verticals Is Critical to Amdocs Sustaining Long-term Growth

TBR Perspective: Amdocs Must Accelerate Push into Non-Telecom Verticals for Growth and Diversification

Amdocs has made substantial progress on its reinvention, diversifying its customer base, portfolio and business mix while shifting the market perception of the company from a traditional OSS/BSS provider to more of an ICT software transformation specialist. However, most of Amdocs’ transformation thus far pertains to the telecom industry; Amdocs still needs to transition from being a telecom-centric vendor to a multifaceted provider that supports a diversified mix of verticals. The pressure to move in this direction will intensify as the telecom industry’s challenges persist and Amdocs’ organic growth from the industry continues to slow.
 
Amdocs’ current situation is reminiscent of Tech Mahindra’s before it merged with Mahindra Satyam in 2013. Pre-merger, Tech Mahindra was largely viewed as a telecom-only shop and had minimal exposure to other verticals (the company’s revenue split was around 90% telecom and 10% other verticals pre-merger). This specialization helped Tech Mahindra differentiate and compete for business in the telecom vertical but kept it from benefiting from diversification and greater scale.
 
After the Mahindra Satyam merger was completed, Tech Mahindra became a multifaceted ICT services provider, with robust diversification across many verticals. Though TBR is not suggesting Amdocs should or will take a similar approach, Amdocs has already made several acquisitions that bring exposure to nontelecom verticals. However, these acquisitions are relatively small and have not brought transformational changes to the company’s business mix.
 
Amdocs has been involved in nontelecom verticals for at least a couple of decades, and TBR estimates Amdocs’ nontelecom revenue currently composes approximately 10% of the company’s total revenue. While Amdocs has yet to formalize its foray into nontelecom verticals, TBR notes that is beginning to change as the company seems to be making a stronger push into the financial services vertical, as evidenced by acquisitions (especially Astadia, Projekt202 and Sourced Group) and an increase in dedicated resources to support that vertical.
 
Amdocs is also supporting a variety of brand-forward customers from other verticals, primarily via its Stellar Elements business unit, and is focused on opportunities to help companies in the utilities and media & entertainment verticals with IT and digital transformation.

Impact and Opportunities

Astadia Exposes Amdocs to Mainframe Migration Opportunities

One of Amdocs’ newest acquisitions, Astadia, plays into the nontelecom vertical theme and could serve as a key beachhead to winning more deals with nontelecom customers. Astadia is focused on helping mainframe users migrate to the cloud and has carved out a strong niche in the financial services industry, which is one of the verticals outside of telecom that Amdocs is focusing on. Helping companies migrate off mainframes plays well into Amdocs’ mission-critical transformation value proposition. Amdocs estimates there are 40,000 mainframe computers still in use worldwide by a range of companies and government entities, representing a significant opportunity for net-new business.

Competitor List for Products and Services Broadens for Amdocs

Amdocs’ string of acquisitions and new strategic initiatives, such as the partnership with Microsoft, broadens the scope of companies Amdocs now competes with, from both a products and services standpoint. Historically, Netcracker was Amdocs’ most formidable competitor in terms of portfolio overlap, but that list now includes companies like Salesforce, ServiceNow and Oracle. Meanwhile, on the services side, Amdocs is increasingly crossing paths with traditional C&SI companies, such as Accenture, Tata Consultancy Services and Tech Mahindra.

Amdocs Can Compete (and Win) Against C&SIs like Accenture, Just at Smaller Scale

Amdocs possesses all the capabilities required to drive customer IT and digital transformation, both for and beyond the telecom industry. Though the vendor is less than a tenth of the size of Accenture (which is arguably the benchmark vendor to emulate in the C&SI domain) in metrics such as revenue and headcount, Amdocs can still compete against Accenture and other C&SI firms and win business.
 
Amdocs needs to focus on its specialization in delivering migration and transformation for mission-critical software environments, a skill that is broadly applicable across verticals, as well as its leading KPIs for project completion rates.

There Is More Juice to Squeeze Out of CSPs but Not Much

Amdocs boasts over 400 communication service provider (CSP) logos globally, including most of the top 50 CSPs, and in many of these accounts Amdocs is already the dominant provider in terms of the products it sells. Therefore, squeezing more revenue out of these customers (and/or taking more market share from competitors) will be increasingly challenging as telecom operators chronically struggle amid market maturity and anemic growth prospects, and resort to cost containment and M&A for additional economies of scale.
 
Amdocs is also proactively trying to move further down market, targeting smaller CSPs such as MVNOs and Tier 3 operators to sustain growth. However, this approach is unlikely to move the revenue needle significantly, given the largest CSPs globally account for well over 80% of the total telecom market opportunity.
 
GenAI remains exploratory; automated, scaled usage of GenAI in commercial environments is at least a year away
Amdocs is actively exploring how generative AI (GenAI) can be incorporated across domains, both within its own company and for its customers. Thus far, the company is primarily utilizing GenAI internally for code development, and focusing on contact center transformation for its customers. Amdocs’ strategic partnership with Microsoft broadly applies to AI coinnovation and go-to-market efforts and the current focus is offering a joint solution for marketing and sales process automation.
 
Amdocs is also embedding Microsoft Copilot across its broader product portfolio. TBR notes that the GenAI-enabled “virtual agent” and process automation technology Amdocs showcased at the event were compelling and demonstrate a clear path to business value for CSPs.

Learnings From Partnerships with Hyperscalers Provide a Strong Beachhead Into Other Verticals

Amdocs has been learning a lot from its partnerships with Microsoft, Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud, especially as it pertains to implementing cloud migrations of ICT workloads and digital transformation. Specifically, Amdocs has obtained certifications, status and organizational alignment with hyperscalers. The skills and capabilities Amdocs has developed from the telecom ecosystem can be leveraged across other verticals. Solution cocreation also opens new doors for Amdocs, both within telecom and in other verticals.

Amdocs Makes Waves in CRM for Telecom Leveraging Microsoft Partnership

Amdocs has integrated Microsoft Dynamics (CRM) with Amdocs’ Customer Engagement Platform to offer marketing and sales automation solutions to its customers (TBR notes the joint solution, including the GenAI large language model it uses, is customized specifically for the telecom industry by Amdocs’ TelcoGPT, amAIz).
 
Microsoft Dynamics is integrated with Microsoft’s other key business productivity applications, such as Outlook, O365 and Teams, and the company’s Copilot is embedded across the stack, bringing customers improved outcomes. The joint Amdocs-Microsoft solution will enable the two companies to compete with incumbent CRM providers, especially Salesforce, Oracle and ServiceNow. TBR notes that the joint CRM solution is differentiated by the power of its GenAI platform, an aspect where incumbent CRM providers are lagging, and could displace incumbent CRM providers from CSP accounts. Deals would draw in Amdocs’ systems integration capabilities as well as other services, yielding larger deal sizes.

Conclusion

Amdocs has been navigating the increasingly challenged telecom market well, but with organic growth slowing, the company will need to seek out and accelerate into other areas for more sustainable, long-term growth. Amdocs’ incremental steps into other verticals, mostly via acquisitions, are moving the company in the right direction, but a larger magnitude shift is required.
 
This aspect of Amdocs’ reinvention would encompass the institution of formalized strategic, organizational and portfolio changes gearing the company toward addressing multiple verticals. Doing so would enable Amdocs to expand its total addressable market, diversify its business mix and hedge against downturns in the telecom industry.
 
As a first step toward formalizing Amdocs’ strategy in other verticals, TBR encourages the company to start providing more information about its initiatives in verticals outside of telecom, which are known to be significant but are unquantified and minimally discussed, as it will become more important to Amdocs’ business results and growth profile over time.

Ericsson Aims to Accelerate Network API Market Development via New Venture with Leading Global Telcos

TBR Perspective

Ericsson’s Enterprise Wireless Solutions unit is exhibiting strong revenue growth and serves as a bright spot amid the company’s broader challenges. Ericsson has a compelling 5G-related portfolio that addresses the unique needs of enterprises ranging from SMBs to large industrial entities. Ericsson’s focus on enhancing its enterprise portfolio in areas including private cellular networks (PCNs), neutral host networks, fixed wireless access (FWA) and IoT will generate new revenue that will help to partially offset declining consolidated revenue, which is being negatively impacted by most Tier 1 operators decreasing network capex as they enter the later stages of 5G deployments.

 

Ericsson’s Enterprise segment has experienced challenges, however, namely declining revenue within its Global Communications Platform division, which includes Vonage. Ericsson appeared to overpay ($6.2 billion) for its acquisition of Vonage, which fits awkwardly within Ericsson’s historical core business and was primarily considered a down payment on developing a network API business with an unproven business model when it closed in 2022, and Ericsson has essentially confirmed that notion.

 

In October 2023 the company booked an SEK 32 billion ($3 billion) impairment charge on Vonage’s goodwill, writing off half of the acquisition price. The company took a further SEK 11.2 billion ($1.1 billion) noncash charge on the Vonage acquisition in July 2024. TBR believes Ericsson is correcting course, however, by more deeply collaborating with industry partners through its new network API joint venture, which will reduce fragmentation in the market and make it easier for developers to innovate and create new apps and use cases.

 

The joint venture will also provide Ericsson with a more risk-averse approach to tackling the network API opportunity by pooling funding and resources from the partners as the long-term market size for network APIs is uncertain. Ericsson will need to split proceeds from the joint venture with its partners, however, which will limit long-term revenue potential.

Ericsson Realizes the Need to Collaborate with Industry Partners to Accelerate Network API Development

The composition of Ericsson’s new network API joint venture, which currently does not have a formal name and is expected to close in early 2025 pending regulatory approval, entails Ericsson holding 50% equity in the venture, with the following telecom operators holding the remaining 50% of equity: America Móvil, AT&T, Bharti Airtel, Deutsche Telekom, Orange, Reliance Jio, Singtel, Telefonica, Telstra, T-Mobile, Verizon and Vodafone.

 

Vonage and Google Cloud will serve as channel partners for the joint venture, providing access to their ecosystems of millions of developers as well as their partners, and additional communication service providers (CSPs) and channel partners will be invited to join the entity in the future (Ericsson would maintain its 50% share in the venture if additional CSPs join). The goal of the joint venture is to create a platform that will provide network APIs to an ecosystem of developers, including hyperscalers, Communications Platform as a Service (CPaaS) providers, systems integrators and independent software vendors. The joint venture will be in alignment with existing industry network API initiatives, including the GSMA’s Open Gateway and the Linux Foundation’s CAMARA Project.

 

TBR believes the main benefit of the joint venture will be incentivizing developers to focus on the network API market by providing them with a simpler way to create apps at scale. For instance, developers currently need to engage with CSPs on a one-on-one basis to procure network APIs, which can be a slow and complex process. The joint venture aims to accelerate market development by providing combined common APIs that can work from any location or network. Reduced fragmentation will also speed market development as developers will be able to more fully concentrate on new use cases and applications rather than spending time modifying existing applications to make them compatible with networks on an operator-by-operator basis.

 

Industry projections for the network API market are wide ranging, with Ericsson citing McKinsey & Co.’s projections that the market will generate around $100 billion to $300 billion in incremental connectivity and edge computing-related revenue for operators by 2030 and that an additional $10 billion to $30 billion in revenue will be generated from the APIs themselves.

 

TBR believes the market size of the segment will mainly hinge on network APIs being able to provide developers with differentiated and compelling capabilities that are distinct from existing 5G capabilities that are available independent of network API access. Enhanced capabilities enabled by network APIs include differentiated connectivity, device-based location, security (e.g., authentication) and network insights.

 

Current primary use cases for network APIs include simplified secure login for devices and advanced network authentication to strengthen fraud prevention. Other main use cases include enabling enhanced location verification and more reliable connectivity to support point-of-sale platforms, as well as optimizing the user experience for entertainment services such as video streaming and gaming applications.

 

Ericsson’s joint venture will create competitive pressures for Nokia, which is providing network API solutions via its Network as Code platform. Nokia has at least 14 Network as Code CSP partners as of June and aims to have more than 30 partners by the end of 2024. Nokia may be challenged in meeting this goal, however, due to potential CSP partners possibly being swayed by the ecosystem and benefits provided by Ericsson’s joint venture. Ericsson’s CSP partners are not tied exclusively to the joint venture, however, and have the option to join Nokia’s ecosystem as well.

For IT Services Companies and Consultancies, the New Joint Venture Could be a Promising Change Agent in the Broader Ecosystem

From the perspective of global IT services companies and consultancies, such as Accenture, Infosys and Deloitte, Ericsson’s event theme, “Capture the value of enterprise 5G,” remained focused on Ericsson’s opportunities with and through telco operators while providing a modest opening for increased go-to-market and alliance activity.

 

Based on the event presentations, sidebar discussions with Ericsson leaders, and TBR’s analysis of Ericsson over the last two decades, we see two opportunities for Ericsson to enhance its ecosystem plays with IT services companies and consultancies that align well with Ericsson’s overall strategy.

 

First, TBR’s recent Voice of the Partner research shows that cloud and software vendors, OEMs, and IT services companies see 5G as a promising source of near-term growth, nearly on par with generative AI. To address their enterprise clients’ growing 5G needs, IT services companies and consultancies will need closer alliances with incumbent telcos and OEMs, including Ericsson. IT services companies and consultancies will not try to sell their own connectivity solutions but will readily partner to bring those solutions to their enterprise clients if informed, aligned and incented, particularly if the five-to-eight-times revenue multiplier applies to services attached to Ericsson’s hardware.

 

Second, TBR’s ecosystem reports, which cover a dozen leading global IT services companies’ relationships with Amazon Web Services (AWS), Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, Adobe and Salesforce, confirm that scale remains a key differentiating characteristic, both for alliances managers across the ecosystem and enterprise clients looking for multiparty, well-orchestrated technology solutions. Ericsson’s joint venture with Google and the 12 operators could be highly appealing as an alliance partner, bringing IT services companies and consultancies into contact with new personas within their enterprise clients, which will create an expanded playing field for professional and managed services companies. In short, Ericsson’s new joint venture could be an ecosystem catalyst, provided the joint venture finds a go-to-market focus and well-led partnerships with the right IT services companies and consultancies.

Ericsson Launches Private 5G and Neutral Host Network Solutions Under its Ericsson Enterprise 5G Segment

At Ericsson Enterprise Industry Analyst Day in September, Ericsson reintroduced its Ericsson Enterprise 5G portfolio, which includes three solutions:

 

  • Ericsson Private 5G: A converged LTE/5G PCN solution with industry and licensed spectrum support
  • Ericsson Private 5G Compact: A U.S. CBRS-based solution designed for enterprises requiring connectivity that is more reliable than Wi-Fi. The solution was previously branded as Cradlepoint NetCloud Private Networks.
  • Ericsson Enterprise 5G Coverage: A turnkey neutral host solution that features certification from all Tier 1 U.S. operators. The solution can support up to three carriers per radio.

 

The relaunch of the Ericsson Enterprise 5G portfolio, in addition to the legacy Cradlepoint business now branded under this segment, will help Ericsson strengthen its messaging within the PCN market and better compete against Nokia, which TBR estimates is the second-largest PCN vendor by revenue globally (behind Huawei) and the largest when excluding China.

 

Ericsson Enterprise 5G Coverage is certified by AT&T, T-Mobile and Verizon, which will be a significant benefit as Ericsson aims to gain headway within the neutral host networks market. Neutral host networks are gradually gaining traction as they are easier to deploy compared to legacy distributed antenna systems (DAS) and can provide significant cost savings as they enable a single neutral host network to support customers from multiple operators without requiring each operator to deploy its own separate infrastructure.

 

Industrial sites, schools and hospitals are the primary locations where neutral host networks are initially being deployed, and Ericsson’s early customers for the solution include Toyota Forklifts in Indiana and engine manufacturer Cummins in New York.

Conclusion

TBR believes Ericsson is effectively positioning to capitalize on 5G-based solutions within the telecom enterprise space, including network APIs, PCNs and neutral host networks. Ericsson is aware that industry collaboration is essential for these segments to reach their peak potential, evidenced by the vendor’s initiatives including the formation of the network API joint venture and gaining certification from AT&T, T-Mobile and Verizon for its neutral host network solution.

 

Ericsson’s success in areas including network APIs, PCN and multi-access edge computing will be impacted by coopetition from hyperscalers within these segments. Though Ericsson has established partnerships with AWS, Google Cloud and Microsoft Azure within multiple portfolio segments, the company’s revenue opportunities will be limited as hyperscalers take a portion of revenue from enterprise deployments.