Cloud Opportunity Expected to Increase Once DOGE Disruption Subsides

The U.S. federal government will need modern cloud services to be most efficient, regardless of DOGE-driven changes

Rolling pockets of chaos and an overall cloud of uncertainty may be the best way to describe the first two months of the new Trump administration. One upside to federal contracts is that they tend to be long-term in nature, which provides some stability for all types of vendors with existing contracts. However, the current transition has been rocky, to say the least, as contracts are getting canceled, agency staffing is reduced, and the existence of entire agencies is called into question.
 
Beyond the distinct financial impacts that are occurring to many federal systems integrators (FSIs) and IT vendors, the overall uncertainty about future changes has complicated government contractors’ ability to conduct business as usual. Short-term uncertainty will likely persist, but eventually we will see a silver lining for the ecosystem of IT providers catering to the needs of the U.S. federal government. The government may become a more streamlined entity, in all respects, but IT will need to remain at the forefront of U.S. government operations.
 
Differences of opinion on optimal levels of funding will persist, but most people concur that the IT infrastructure supporting many core government agencies is antiquated and long overdue for upgrade. After the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) completes its cost-cutting and agency reorganizations, the overall approach to modernizing those systems will come into greater clarity, but third parties including FSIs and IT vendors like Amazon Web Services (AWS), Microsoft, Google and Oracle will all likely be a part of the solution enabling the reformed federal government to modernize and play an ongoing role eliminating waste, fraud and abuse using a refreshed IT infrastructure environment.
 

Explore the expected impact of DOGE on federal systems integrators and how it could shape the technology landscape


 

Vendors hope federal spending materializes after the fog of dismantling and reducing headcount dissipates

Reducing the size of the federal workforce was an immediate focus for DOGE. With the “Fork in the Road” email sent by the Office of Personnel Management to encourage staff resignations and the nonvoluntary firing of workers across civilian agencies, the total number of employees shed from the federal workforce is estimated to have surpassed 100,000 in the first two months of the Trump presidency.
 
The entire federal workforce still totals more than 3 million, excluding 1.3 million active military personnel, and additional cuts are a certainty. Early in the formation of DOGE, the idea of cutting up to 75% of federal workers was floated, which could be far-fetched in reality. Regardless, it is clear the workforce-reduction efforts will continue to be a focus as DOGE expands its reach to additional government agencies and pushes further than just the probationary employees that made up the bulk of early reductions.
 
As headcount reductions continue, cloud and software vendors could assist the administration with those cuts while, at the same time, be impacted by the fallout of those cuts. On Workday’s FY4Q25 earnings call, CEO Carl Eisenbach painted the impact of DOGE in an opportunistic light, stating: “In fact, the majority of them [federal IT systems] are still on-premise, which means they’re inefficient. And as we think about DOGE and what that could potentially do going forward, if you want to drive efficiency in the government, you have to upgrade your systems. And we find that as a really rich opportunity.”
 
If, in the era of DOGE, government agencies undertake new, or continue existing, efforts to modernize IT systems and adopt cloud-enabled solutions, it would certainly be a big opportunity not just for Workday, but for the entire federal IT contractor market. The certainty of that opportunity is still questionable, however, given the rapidity with which major changes to how government operates are occurring. Any technology opportunities with USAID (United States Agency for International Development), for instance, are now dubious given the speed with which the agency has been dissolved, even as legal challenges abound.
 
Additional rapid changes will occur with the Department of Education given President Trump’s clear directive to new Secretary of Education Linda McMahon to dismantle the agency. On ServiceNow’s 4Q24 earnings call, CFO Gina Mastantuono noted some of this uncertainty while also remaining optimistic about the federal opportunity, stating the company’s guidance reflects a stronger U.S. federal performance in the back half of 2025, given changes brought on by the administration.

A build-it-yourself approach could challenge packaged IT solutions

DOGE head Elon Musk has clearly employed many of the same techniques and strategies he has used in the past, such as sending a “Fork in the Road” email to Twitter employees and requiring them to send a weekly email of their accomplishments after he purchased Twitter (now called X). With that in mind, it is relevant to think about the approaches to IT that Musk has used as CEO of Tesla and SpaceX for clues about what might occur in the U.S. federal space.
 
For some of the most important mission-critical IT and software decisions at Tesla and SpaceX, Musk deployed a proprietary software package that is shared by the companies to manage core manufacturing and sales, CRM and financial processes. Instead of utilizing a prebuilt solution from the likes of SAP or Oracle, internal teams at SpaceX and Tesla built, customized and manage their own ERP solution named WARPDRIVE. Musk could very well encourage a similar approach in federal agencies, either by licensing WARPDRIVE to those agencies or by directing more proprietary programs to be custom-built to reduce expenditures and theoretically achieve a superior technological solution. Either option would be challenging to implement but remains within the realm of possibility and would effectively reduce the addressable market for third-party IT solutions.
 

Watch Now: Deep Dive into Generative AI’s Impact on the Cloud Market in 2025

Scaling back new and existing awards will stifle revenue for cloud vendors in the short term

In the U.S. federal sector, SIs are a key conduit for how cloud and software companies capture opportunities. The opportunity pipeline and associated timeline for deals is notoriously long for federal spending, but the total opportunity has already decreased in size based on the cuts made by DOGE. Some of the strategies and actions recently used by leading SIs in the federal space are discussed in TBR’s special report, Leading Federal Systems Integrators React to U.S. Department of Government Efficiency. As outlined in the special report, all 12 of the leading federal SIs are looking to reduce expenses and prepare for a slowing of revenue streams in the near term. After a period of federal investment and expansion, this certainly is a change in trajectory for their businesses. In addition to making similar cost reductions, all 12 vendors are also doubling down on their competitive differentiation to secure growth moving forward. All of the recent market shifts, including security, AI and digital transformation, have led FSIs to reinvest in capabilities that provide the best opportunities for long-term expansion.
 
In the short term, even existing contracts with the federal government are subject to reductions or termination, which impacts not only the SI but also the IT vendors that have secured subawards to provide their technology as part of the overall engagement. One example TBR cited in the special report was the $1.5 billion award Leidos has with the Social Security Administration (SSA), which includes subawards for Pegasystems, AWS and multiple other IT vendors. The Leidos deal was scaled back by DOGE, marking the beginning of the disruption to awards with SIs and subawards with IT vendors. SSA represents a small portion of the federal budget, so when DOGE looks to larger agencies such as the Department of Health and Human Services for cost reductions and efficiencies, the impact on the federal SIs and supporting IT vendors will be even greater.
 
In terms of the scale of revenue at stake, AWS alone has won close to $500 million in subaward contracts in the last three fiscal years. That does not directly translate into revenue, however, as the money still needs to be outlaid, a process that is even more tenuous given the current spending environment and actions taken by the DOGE team. In addition to deals tied to FSIs, cloud vendors and software vendors also have direct deals/prime awards with federal agencies that are at greater risk. AWS, for instance, has won a total of $445 million in prime award contracts over the past three fiscal years.
 
Most of those awards are multiyear contracts that are not guaranteed, and the revenue could be reduced or not disbursed. In fact, only $104 million of those awards to AWS have been outlaid, meaning the balance, more than $340 million, could be impacted. It is also important to note these figures only reflect past deals; we anticipate the new federal deal pipeline for vendors like AWS to shrink due to uncertainty and the administration’s focus on cost reductions.

Big cloud deals such as JWCC and Stargate are expected to proceed without significant funding impacts

The impacts of DOGE should be widespread throughout the government, but we expect the top federal IT opportunities, the Stargate Project and the Joint Warfighting Cloud Capability (JWCC) contract vehicle, to avoid major funding challenges. Though both projects are in the early stages and still subject to competitive jockeying between technology providers to secure task orders, we expect the funding to remain available even amid broader spending reductions.
 
The JWCC was announced in 2022 with a total of $9 billion in funding available to Oracle, Microsoft, AWS and Google Cloud. Oracle has been a leading provider under the contract to date. Roughly $2.5 billion has been awarded to the five vendors thus far in the contract, leaving more than $6 billion in additional task orders in the entire project. The spending bill passed in mid-March to avoid a federal shutdown illustrates the appetite to sustain, if not increase, defense spending. All the participants in JWCC have donated to and publicly supported the administration, which could solidify the longevity of the engagement.
 
Stargate was introduced by President Trump in the early days of his presidency, indicating that the project is likely to proceed in some fashion regardless of any budgetary pressure. The project will be a joint venture with OpenAI, SoftBank and Oracle to initially build a $100 billion data center in Texas. Over the next four years, the project aims to build additional large-scale data centers, with a total of $500 billion in funding, making it the largest centralized data center investment in history. The funding includes significant financial backing from the U.S. government, with contributions from SoftBank, a firm known for its long-term investment strategies. OpenAI, SoftBank, Oracle and MGX are the initial equity investors, while Arm, Microsoft, NVIDIA and OpenAI have been named as technology partners and will have some involvement in the project.

Modern cloud IT solutions should have an elevated role in the restructured federal government

The headcount reductions, eliminations of agencies, and overall uncertainty will disrupt business as usual in the U.S. federal sector at least through the end of 2Q25. Once the new, smaller and streamlined structure emerges, we expect the value of modern IT solutions to be recognized and spending to resume and even increase compared with the prior trajectory. Having fewer human resources, likely fewer skilled IT professionals, and an altered view of budgeting and ROI for all initiatives, IT included, all amplify the value that can be added by modernizing the infrastructure and solutions that support the mission of government agencies.
 
Across fragmented environments, many of which are still traditional on premises and based on aging technology, consolidation and use of government-grade cloud delivery can improve performance and reduce the total cost to deliver even over a relatively short three-to-five-year time frame. On the commercial side, many of the organizations we speak with note that the simplification of their IT environments is one of the strongest drivers of cloud adoption. AI and generative AI capabilities add to the benefits that can now be enabled. And for government agencies, preexisting data protocols and procedures increase their readiness to apply next-generation data analysis and AI. We see the business use cases for AI becoming more compelling on the commercial side, which bodes well for adding real value in the U.S. federal sector as it adapts to a more streamlined way of operations.

2024-2029 Devices Market Forecast

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Post Updated: Aug. 6, 2025

TBR predicts that Apple and Samsung will continue to lead in devices market share through 2029, and Lenovo will overtake Dell for the No. 3 spot

After declining for several quarters due to market saturation and tightened corporate IT budgets, PC demand is gradually recovering, particularly on the commercial side of the market as organizations begin to refresh their fleets of devices. TBR expects the devices market to grow at roughly a 2.7% CAGR from 2024 to 2029 as this recovery in PC demand is supplemented by growing smartphone and tablet revenue. TBR also expects demand for AI advisory and consultancy services will increase as organizations invest in implementing AI across IT infrastructure and client devices.


The proliferation of AI across the IT space presents devices vendors with a range of growth opportunities. PC OEMs will remain focused on driving AI PC adoption and gradually increasing these devices as a mix of total PC shipments to drive long-term revenue growth and average revenue per unit (ARPU) expansion. To help speed this adoption and increase services revenue, vendors will also continue to build out suites of services designed to help organizations take advantage of the productivity gains offered by AI PCs. TBR expects vendors to continue to increase their non-PC revenue mix, capitalizing on growth opportunities presented by AI and sheltering their top lines and margins from potential fluctuations in the PC market.

Apple continues to lead the devices market in revenue share by a significant margin due to its large, loyal and constantly expanding customer base, and TBR expects this position to remain unchanged through 2029. Among the major Windows PC OEMs, Dell Technologies (Dell) held the largest market share during 2024, followed by Lenovo and HP Inc. However, TBR expects Lenovo to overtake Dell for the top spot by 2029 as Lenovo takes advantage of PC revenue growth opportunities in China, bolstered by the expansion of its smartphone and tablet businesses.

Graph: Devices Market Share, 2024 and 2029 (Source: TBR)

Devices Market Share, 2024 and 2029 (Source: TBR)

 

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TBR expects Apple will maintain its significant lead in the smartphone market through 2029, leveraging its Apple Intelligence platform to encourage customers to upgrade their devices

Apple remains the dominant player in the global smartphone market with its iPhone lineup, followed by Samsung, while Lenovo and Asus each maintain relatively small smartphone businesses that account for a combined total market share of less than 3%.


AI is becoming increasingly central to the smartphone space. Throughout the next several quarters, Apple will continue to expand the global availability and feature set of its Apple Intelligence AI platform. As Apple Intelligence is only compatible with the company’s newest lineup of smartphones, the iPhone 16 series, Apple intends to leverage the platform to encourage users to upgrade their devices sooner. So far, this strategy appears to be paying off, with Apple reporting on its 4Q24 earnings call that iPhone 16 sales were strongest in regions where Apple Intelligence is available.

Apple and Samsung will remain focused on driving sales of their high-end iPhone and Galaxy lineups, respectively, while Asus will continue to target the gaming market with devices under its Republic of Gamers (ROG) brand.

Premiumization is also central to Lenovo’s smartphone strategy, with the company focused on driving sales of phones under its Motorola brand, particularly the Moto Edge and the foldable Moto Razr. Additionally, Lenovo will leverage its purchase of former Fujitsu spinoff FCNT Ltd. to expand its smartphone market share in Japan.

Although China is a weak market for some vendors, TBR expects Lenovo to take advantage of AI PC opportunities in the country to expand APAC revenue

TBR expects the APAC devices market to grow at a 2.7% CAGR from 2024 to 2029 — a rate on par with the global devices market.

Over the last several quarters, vendors such as Apple and HP Inc. have reported China as being a particularly weak market for their devices businesses due to persistent softness in demand.


TBR expects that among the vendors included in this forecast, Lenovo will reap the greatest benefit from recovering PC demand in China due to its already large market share and its AI PC strategy in the country. In May 2024 Lenovo rolled out a lineup of devices in the country it dubbed its “five-feature” AI PCs, including a personal agent and local large language model (LLM). The company reported strong initial uptake of these devices during its 2Q24 and 3Q24 earnings calls, and TBR expects ongoing momentum in China will help drive Lenovo’s PC segment and top-line growth throughout the forecast period.

IT Services Vendor Benchmark

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Post Updated: Aug. 6, 2025

While tight discretionary spending challenged consulting growth during 1Q25, vendor consolidation, cloud and infrastructure modernization, and demand for cost takeout contributed to revenue

Outlook: TBR estimates trailing 12-month (TTM) revenue growth for the benchmarked IT services vendors will be 2.2% year-to-year in 2025, higher than 2024 revenue growth of 0.9% year-to-year. The market dynamics have not changed since 3Q23, when the uncertain macroeconomic environment began to pressure discretionary spending and consulting activities while fueling a wave of outsourcing demand around infrastructure and application modernization, productivity improvement and cost optimization. In 2025 TBR expects clients will focus on cost optimization and mainly invest in large transformation programs rather than small consulting awards. Common themes, including vendor consolidation, cloud and infrastructure modernization, and demand for cost takeout, will fuel performance across multiple IT services providers. The manufacturing sector, which has experienced revenue growth challenges, might be facing the biggest potential downturn as buyers are lowering budgets and/or delaying decisions, largely due to the ongoing uncertainty around the Trump administration’s fluid discussions on tariffs. Although agency spending and headcount cuts by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) will negatively impact vendors’ performance in the U.S. public sector, we expect new consulting opportunities to emerge around efficiency improvement and engagements in areas such as defense, border security, maritime and space, and intelligence.


Key Vendors: Accenture remained the largest vendor in TBR’s IT Services Vendor Benchmark in terms of revenue and headcount and was No. 9 in TTM revenue growth in 1Q25. Accenture’s proven strategy, paired with stakeholder trust, will allow the company to navigate choppy demand amid heightened uncertainty, as long it balances pricing agility with AI use. Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) was No. 3 in TTM revenue and No. 12 in TTM revenue growth in 1Q25. TCS’ “value-to-volume” approach, which combines competitive pricing, extensive scale and diversified offerings, is key for the company to win and retain clients. IBM, which was No. 4 in TTM revenue and No. 21 in TTM revenue growth, will continue to gain ground in areas such as generative AI (GenAI) and agentic AI due to IBM’s early advances in AI and diversification of revenues through new areas of expansion.


Market Overview: TTM IT services revenue grew 1.6% year-to-year in 1Q25, compared to year-to-year increases of 0.6% in 4Q24 and 2% in 1Q24. Tight discretionary spending, an extended buyer decision cycle, and IT services vendors’ focus on long-term and large-scale managed services are pressuring near-term revenue realization. However, vendors were able to stabilize profitability in 1Q25, with 23 of the 31 benchmarked vendors improving TTM operating margins year-to-year due to tight expense management, productivity initiatives and improved utilization, increased use of automation, GenAI and agentic AI, and skills-based hiring aligned with market demand.


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IT service vendors expand partnerships with NVIDIA and Google Cloud to develop agentic AI and GenAI capabilities tailored to improve customer experience and address industry-specific needs

Quarterly focus: Agentic AI

TBR Assessment: In March the Capgemini Research Institute published a report, Unleashing the value of customer service: The transformative impact of Gen AI and Agentic AI, that discusses how “generative AI (GenAI) and agentic AI are emerging as key tools for organizations to make a transformative shift, elevating customer service to a strategic value driver.” The research also finds that “only 49% of organizations consider themselves prepared for offering AI/GenAI-powered customer service, indicating the need for a critical shift in operating model, transformation of digital solutions and uplift of their data foundation.” The findings suggest multiple IT services vendors are moving in the right direction with the development of their AI offerings. The ones with established portfolios around the advise-build-run stack and established relationships with technology partners will gain the most opportunities. Vendors’ successful expansion and differentiation in AI will depend on their ability to develop resources with skills related to technologies and industries and deliver business outcomes.


Examples of recent vendor activities
Capgemini expanded its relationship with Google Cloud and announced agentic AI offerings enabled by Google Cloud’s AI technology to transform the customer experience. The industry-specialized agentic AI solutions will initially target the telco, retail and financial services sectors and will improve customer service through intelligent automation and customer insights. Capgemini also expanded its partnership with NVIDIA to provide customized, industry-specific agentic AI solutions enabled by NVIDIA NIM and an agentic gallery to drive business transformation and accelerate enterprise AI adoption. In April Capgemini announced the establishment of an AI Center of Excellence (CoE) in Cairo to enable enterprise GenAI and agentic AI adoption. The CoE will be an AI hub that drives research and development, collaborates with local academic organizations and technology partners, and invests in talent development. The new AI hub will provide industry-specialized solutions that help clients improve customer experience and drive business value.


HCLTech extended its relationship with Google Cloud to benefit from Google Agent Space and its agentic framework, allowing for greater data manipulation and analytics as well as enabling users to align with their customers’ needs. HCLTech aims to create AI agents that support decision making and operations to enhance customer interactions.


IBM released the AI Integration Services portfolio, which enables clients to transform business processes through agentic AI utilizing clients’ preferred AI and cloud platforms. IBM announced a collaboration with NVIDIA around integrations based on the NVIDIA AI Data Platform reference design to help clients build, scale and manage GenAI and agentic AI solutions. IBM Consulting will utilize the AI Integration Services offerings to transform and govern business processes with agentic AI based on NVIDIA Blueprints that are industry-specialized, such as autonomous inspection and maintenance in manufacturing as well as video and data analysis and anomaly response in energy.


In January Accenture launched AI Refinery for Industry, built on NVIDIA Foundry, with a collection of 50 industry agent solutions targeting clients across industries such as telecommunications, financial services, insurance, manufacturing, healthcare and retail.


Cognizant expanded its relationship with NVIDIA to create AI agents, industry large language models (LLMs), digital twins and infrastructure designed for AI. Adding NVIDIA’s AI technology for LLMs, digital twins and applications strengthens Cognizant’s Neuro AI platform.

To manage resources, vendors are selectively hiring in-demand skills and freshers, upskilling and reskilling to align workforces with client demand, and conducting small-scale layoffs

Average total headcount for the 31 benchmarked vendors increased 1.1% year-to-year in 1Q25, an improvement from a 2.1% decrease in 1Q24 and a 0.7% increase in 3Q24. TCS added employees in 2024, returning to net headcount growth, and this modest positive trend is expected to continue into 2025, with increased fresher hiring to maintain a robust talent pipeline. Upskilling initiatives and promotion activity underscore the company’s commitment to nurturing its existing talent. Furthermore, campus hiring plans remain on track, and we believe TCS’ flexible resource management strategy will enable the company to quickly scale up to meet market demands if client spending improves. Despite Accenture’s use of an automated platform that enables service delivery, it is evident the company continues to recalibrate the composition of its workforce, adding professionals with skills in cloud, analytics, digital marketing, cybersecurity and AI to use its scale — headcount reached 801,099 in 1Q25 — as a lever to compete rather than trying to build a sustainable nonlinear revenue growth model. Infosys reinstated a return-to-office program that now requires employees to work on-site 10 days per month. Infosys appears to have laid off about 0.1% of its total workforce, which TBR views as a move to calibrate the demand and supply sides of Infosys’ business.


Average onshore headcount rose 3.1% year-to-year in 1Q25, improving from flat headcount growth year-to-year in 4Q24 and a decline of 1.3% year-to-year in 1Q24. Average nearshore and offshore headcount was flat year-to-year in 1Q25, lower than the 1.0% year-to-year increase in 4Q24 but an improvement from a 2.5% year-to-year decrease in 1Q24. Infosys is bracing for upcoming disruptions related to the Trump administration’s tariffs. Although the tariffs have been focused on goods rather than services, it would not be surprising for the administration to explore the latter route. Infosys’ onshore presence is strong, but the company’s offshore base, which is predominantly India-based, hovers at 82% to 84%, making Infosys vulnerable to any services-related tariffs. Infosys’ onshore presence is strong, but the company’s offshore base, which is predominantly India-based, hovers at 82% to 84%, exposing Infosys to potential tariff vulnerabilities. In the most recent H-1B visa approval bulletin, Infosys ranked as the second-highest employer relying on H-1B visa workers in the U.S., securing 8,140 visas in 2024. We estimate Infosys’ U.S. headcount to be over 35,000, with over 26,000 of those being American workers.

Revenue in the Americas benefits from improving demand in financial services, but disruptions from consulting cuts due to DOGE initiatives will push vendors to diversify revenue streams

While vendors benefited from an increase in financial services activities, they also prepare for DOGE-related setbacks in consulting. For example, TBR expects IBM Consulting’s 2025 revenue in the U.S. federal sector, which accounts for less than 10% of the business’s revenue, to be negatively affected by DOGE initiatives. Deals in financial services mainly revolved around migration and modernization to support adoption of new technology. Kyndryl will migrate Mexico-based Grupo Visa’s IT systems to SAP S/4HANA on Google Cloud using RISE with SAP services. TCS will Deploy TCS BaNCS Global Securities Platform to streamline asset servicing for U.S.-based Northern Trust. Infosys deepened its relationship with U.S.-based Citizens Bank to add AI-ready and cloud-native solutions as part of its ongoing application services support and the bank’s efforts to exit its data center operations.

Expansion of public sector activities enables Accenture to alleviate potential revenue growth pressures in North America due to DOGE initiatives and sustain growth leadership among peers

Accenture is facing potential disruptions within Accenture Federal Services (AFS) in the U.S. due to DOGE initiatives that have put federal contractors including Accenture on edge, given the company’s extensive work supporting federal agencies. The initial DOGE push has primarily targeted consulting projects. We estimate that Accenture’s overall business consulting revenue trends at about 14% of total revenues, which means that $750 million to $1 billion of AFS’ annual revenue is at risk of disruption. We believe Accenture’s holistic portfolio and long-term relationships with many government agencies could help the company maintain its incumbent position. However, with federal systems integrator competitors facing similar challenges, we expect some of them to try to contest awards AFS had previously won and overtake AFS’ position through more flexible pricing options or packaged service offerings. For example, Booz Allen Hamilton and Leidos have filed a protest with the Department of Energy to review a $3.5 billion contract for IT support that Accenture won in January 2025. Meanwhile, the potential setback within AFS due to DOGE initiatives to review and justify consultants’ work will likely pressure its staffing levels, at least in the short term. While some layoffs might be inevitable, we believe Accenture will play it safe and try to retain top talent by moving them to projects with commercial clients.


At the same time, Accenture is positioning for expansion in the public sector in Europe. In April 2024 Accenture acquired Intellera Consulting in Italy, adding 1,400 employees to Accenture’s regional operations to support public administration and healthcare sector clients. In January 2024 Accenture acquired U.K.-based 6point6 to support Accenture’s efforts to rotate U.K.-based skills in areas such as cloud, data and cybersecurity and create a conduit for new revenue opportunities with clients in healthcare and the public sector seeking to modernize IT infrastructure. TBR expects Accenture’s investments across Europe within the last 18 to 24 months in the U.K. (health and capital projects) and Italy (public services and capital projects) will help fuel growth in the company’s health and public service segment. Investments in Industry X capabilities, as well as sovereign cloud offerings with partners like Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud, will also bolster Accenture’s regional opportunities as European Union countries look to increase spending on defense and infrastructure.

1H24 Cloud Data Services Market Landscape

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Vendors lead with the data lake architecture and emerging frameworks to sell a message of data intelligence amid rampant GenAI adoption

The race for Apache Iceberg mindshare is on

Data lakes remain a valuable way for enterprises to simultaneously store structured and unstructured data, particularly as the latter increases due to generative AI (GenAI) and large language models (LLMs). Data lakes are also directly attributable to the rising popularity of Apache Iceberg, an open-source format regarded by developers for its ability to store data in tables and freely move that data across any data lake architecture.
 
Whether a customer is creating their own data lake (e.g., on Amazon Web Services [AWS]) or deploying a data lake platform as a product (e.g., Databricks), Iceberg is playing an increasingly larger role in helping customers navigate their big data estates with the most limited vendor lock-in.
 
How the two data lake giants — Snowflake and Databricks — are investing best speaks to the budding role of Apache Iceberg and its growing community. Earlier this year Snowflake adopted Apache Iceberg as the native format for its platform and subsequently launched Polaris, a tool that allows customers to catalog that data stored in Iceberg tables.
 
In only a matter of days, Databricks, which was born out of Delta Lake, an Apache Iceberg alternative, moved into the space with its acquisition of Tabular. Tabular was created by the founders of Apache Iceberg, marginalizing Snowflake’s recent investments and intent to attract more Iceberg-heavy users, which generally include digital and cloud-native companies. The hyperscalers, primarily AWS and Microsoft, work closely with Snowflake and Databricks and benefit from their respective integrations to boost interoperability for joint customers through Iceberg.
 
For example, Microsoft announced its data platform Fabric, which is based on a data lake architecture (OneLake), will support Iceberg via Snowflake. This is a major win for Snowflake that elevates the company’s role as an ISV partner in the Microsoft Fabric ecosystem and further challenges Databricks, which due to its native first-party integration with Azure, has always had a rich and unique relationship with Microsoft.

A select number of vendors are leading the shift to data intelligence

Though somewhat influenced by a degree of marketing hype vendors use to differentiate themselves, data intelligence has become an emerging topic in the market, led by GenAI. At its core data intelligence refers to the use of AI on data to deliver insights tailored to the business, but the other core component of data intelligence is the underlying data architecture foundation.
 
Databricks is largely associated with formalizing the concept of data intelligence and even markets its platform as the Data Intelligence Platform to convey the value of having both the data lakehouse architecture and the AI components (in Databrick’s case, Mosaic AI) that allow customers to build, train and fine-tune models. Other vendors have similarly adapted their messaging around data intelligence.
 
For example, as part of what it now calls its Data Intelligence vision, Oracle Analytics announced Intelligent Data Lake, a reworking of existing OCI (Oracle Cloud Infrastructure) services like cataloging and integration, to create a single abstraction layer that will support both Apache Iceberg and Delta Lake formats.
 

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Hyperscalers are taking different approaches to address the symbiotic relationship between data architecture and AI

Microsoft and Google Cloud are integrating and productizing their data services as complete solutions, exposing a lack of maturity in AWS’ fragmented approach

Microsoft made a big move when it launched Fabric, which essentially integrates seven disparate Azure data services — from data warehousing up to analytics — as part of a single platform underpinned by a unified data lake. Today, Fabric has amassed over 14,000 paid customers and a growing ecosystem of global systems integrators (GSIs) and ISVs building and selling applications on top of the platform.
 
Google Cloud, which has always had a strong play in data analytics, is trying to better unify key data and analytics capabilities in BigQuery to deliver a more complete, single-product experience. This includes BigLake, Google Cloud’s storage abstraction layer and services like Dataplex, so customers can apply governance tasks like lineage and profiling in Dataplex without having to leave the BigQuery interface.
 
Though Google Cloud’s approach may lack the level of integration compared to Microsoft Fabric, it is clear to see the direction the company is heading to help customers simplify their data estates, and ultimately capture more analytics and AI workloads.

AWS’ approach is different. Though offering the broadest set of data tools and services, from storage and ingestion up to governance, AWS is still lacking the platform mindset and strategy of its peers.
 
To be fair, the company has been working to better integrate services within its own ecosystem by improving data sharing between the operational database and the data warehouse (e.g., “zero-ETL” integration between Aurora and Redshift), but customers continue to stress that they have to take on more burden in the back end when crafting a data architecture on AWS.
 
This dynamic only reinforces the importance of AWS’ partnerships with complete data cloud platforms like Snowflake and Databricks, but of course Microsoft is also making sure it keeps these companies elevated within the Fabric ecosystem.

The GSIs are playing a prominent role in multiple facets of data, which could speak to maturing ecosystems and hyperscalers’ efforts to productize the entire data life cycle

Customers indicated that the GSIs play a prominent role in all aspects of the data strategy from change management to data architecture to governance. Just 12% of respondents say the GSIs were involved in their analytics stack, but this seemingly low percentage could be for many different reasons.
 
First, establishing the data architecture, or re-architecting disparate IT assets, such as data warehouses, is top of mind for many customers right now as they recognize it is a necessary step in GenAI deployment.
 
Secondly, the hyperscalers and pure play data platform companies are becoming more adept at delivering integrated solutions that deliver upper-stack capabilities, such as analytics based on a holistic data lake architecture. Microsoft Fabric, which has a growing ecosystem of both GSI and ISV partners, is a top example.
 
TBR’s newly launched Voice of the Partner Ecosystem Report found that cloud providers expect data strategy and management to be the biggest growth area coming from partners over the next two years. In fact, data strategy and management ranked higher than GenAI on its own, which is telling of what the cloud providers expect from their partners.
 

Graph: Role of GSI Partners in Data Strategy, 1H24 (Source: TBR)

Role of GSI Partners in Data Strategy (Source: TBR 1H24)

Though Informatica’s cloud-first vision will erode lucrative license and support revenue streams, the company is showing early signs in its ability to expand margins

Despite no longer selling perpetual licenses and actively migrating its support base to Information Data Management Cloud (IDMC) in the cloud, Informatica’s gross margins continue to expand.
 
Meanwhile, GAAP operating margin increased over 300 basis points year-to-year in 2Q24 as Informatica continues to benefit from economies of scale, and sign larger, more strategic contracts with customers.
 
Recognizing that it is navigating a highly competitive landscape, Snowflake’s investments in R&D are increasing. For context, Snowflake’s R&D accounts for a notable 50% of total revenue.
 

Graph: Data Cloud Platform Revenue, Growth and Profitability, 2Q24 (Source: TBR)

2Q24 Data Cloud Platform Revenue, Growth and Profitability (Source: TBR)

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: Accenture Federal Services

The Trump administration and its Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) have generated massive upheaval across the board in federal operations, including in the federal IT segment. As of March 2025, thousands of contracts described by DOGE as “non-mission critical” have been canceled, including some across the federal IT and professional services landscape. TBR’s DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series explores vendor-specific DOGE-related developments and impacts on earnings performance. Click here to receive upcoming series blogs in your inbox as soon as they’ve published.

AFS navigates DOGE disruptions: Strong 1Q25 growth amid federal IT spending cuts

Accenture Federal Services’ parent company, Accenture, released its 1Q25 (FY2Q25) earnings March 20, which included some details, albeit limited, about the impact DOGE’s cuts have had on the company’s $5-plus billion federal subsidiary. Although TBR estimates AFS’ quarterly sales in 1Q25 were $1.44 billion, up 18.3% year-to-year on a statutory basis and 7.6% on an organic basis (excluding the impact of the 2Q24 Cognosante acquisition), Accenture CEO Julie Sweet was careful to note during the company’s 1Q25 earnings call that AFS experienced delayed procurement cycles, particularly on net-new programs, during the quarter. That said, AFS’ estimated 1Q25 sales remained in line with TBR expectations.
 
TBR had projected AFS’ 1Q25 quarterly revenue would fall between $1.40 billion and $1.55 billion, implying statutory year-to-year growth of between 14.7% and 27.0% and organic year-to-year growth of between 4.0% and 16.3%. By TBR estimates, AFS achieved double-digit top-line organic growth in four of the six quarters between 4Q23 and 1Q25, and organic growth of at least 9% in the other two quarters. We anticipated the slowdown in AFS’ organic growth in 1Q25 but did not factor any DOGE-related impacts into our calculations.
 
All indications from the cohort of federal systems integrators (FSIs) tracked by TBR, as well as anecdotes from our secondary research, suggested that federal IT spending would begin to naturally cool down in federal fiscal year 2025 (FFY25) after a four-year bull market featuring unprecedented expansion of federal IT budgets and growth on behalf of the FSIs. After all, what goes up must eventually come down, but we could not have fully predicted or quantified the early impact of DOGE on AFS or the broader federal market.

TBR believes DOGE canceled nearly $93 million in potential AFS revenue across 10 DOE task orders

Sweet did not mention any specific programs culled from AFS’ book of business by DOGE’s cost-cutting actions. However, TBR is aware that in 1Q25, DOGE canceled 10 task orders on the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Chief Information Officer Business Operations Support Services 2.0 (CBOSS 2.0) blanket purchase agreement (BPA) for IT modernization and business process services. AFS was the incumbent on the first iteration of the program, CBOSS 1.0, winning the contract with the DOE in 2018.
 
AFS also secured the $3.5 billion, seven-plus-year recompete on CBOSS 2.0 in January 2025 to continue providing IT support solutions and technology and advisory services around security strategy, operations and environmental management. After AFS won this recompete, Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) and Leidos protested, prompting the DOE to reconsider the award and review AFS’ winning bid and subsequently leaving a major deal win on AFS’ books in protest limbo. However, we do not believe the challenge by BAH and Leidos was related in any way to the 10 canceled task orders or to DOGE.
 
The full impact of the 10 canceled task orders on AFS remains unclear, but TBR’s secondary research indicates the terminated work has a total contract value (TCV) of nearly $93 million, including a $35 million order from DOE’s CIO office and a $2 million order for geospatial services. If we assume all $93 million worth of orders was booked by AFS as the prime awardee, that sum would represent just under 2% of AFS’ estimated FY24 revenue of $5.4 billion.
 
According to TBR’s 1H25 Accenture Federal Services Vendor Profile, “We estimate Cognosante will add up to $400 million in annualized, acquired revenue to AFS’ top line after the acquisition is fully integrated in 1Q25.” Cognosante vastly enhanced AFS’ cloud migration, program management and platforms for federal IT health agencies. Acquiring Cognosante also expanded AFS’ footprint within the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) and the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA). With Cognosante fully integrated as of 2Q25, and with no additional acquisitions assumed or expected in the company’s FY25 (though we believe M&A is under consideration by AFS and the other leading FSIs to offset near-term DOGE-related growth headwinds), TBR had projected AFS’ FY25 revenue would be between $5.76 billion and $5.87 billion, up between 6% and 8% on both a statutory and organic basis, at least prior to any DOGE-related impact.
 
If all $93 million in TCV for the 10 canceled CBOSS 2.0 task orders were erased from AFS’ order book, it would reduce AFS’ projected growth to between 4% and 5.5% in FY25 (assuming no other exogenous DOGE-related impacts or unexpected internal impediments to FY25 top-line growth). For context, we estimate that AFS realized double-digit year-to-year organic growth in nine of the 17 quarters between 1Q21 and 1Q25, with estimated organic growth of at least 5% in the other eight quarters.

AFS faces $75 million in additional cuts outside CBOSS 2.0

The General Service Administration (GSA) will continue to review the contracts held by AFS and nine other companies* the Trump administration instructed DOGE to initially target in an effort to cut $65 billion in consulting fees the federal government is set to pay in FFY25 and future years. According to the “DOGE-Terminated Contracts Tracker” on the GX2 website, which tracks developments in federal contracting, AFS has had a total of $75 million in contracts terminated by DOGE as of the publishing of this blog (the CBOSS 2.0 program was not among the listed cancellations).
 
Cancelled awards were with the Department of Agriculture, Department of the Interior, Social Security Administration (SSA), Department of the Treasury, Department of Homeland Security (DHS), Department of Education, and Department of Health & Human Services (HHS, which houses CMS).
 
Of the more than $16.2 billion in TCV (8,373 contracts) listed as canceled on GX2’s DOGE-Terminated Contracts Tracker, over $2.8 billion (624 individual contracts) was awarded by HHS and $1.75 billion (420 individual contracts) was awarded by the VA. If DOGE’s contract terminations continue to fall disproportionately on federal healthcare agencies, AFS may not realize the full expected value of the Cognosante acquisition and top-line growth at one of the perennial growth leaders in TBR’s Federal IT Services Benchmark since the COVID-19 pandemic will be stunted in FY25.
 
Sweet reemphasized in the company’s 1Q25 earnings call that Accenture believes its “work for federal clients is mission-critical,” but TBR is unsure if this will be sufficient to protect AFS’ revenue base from a major disruption in FY25 and FY26. Conversely, Sweet also mentioned, “We see major opportunities over time for us to help consolidate, modernize and reinvent the federal government to drive a whole new level of efficiency.”

AFS pivots to emphasize mission-critical offerings and efficiencies

We believe AFS will pursue new, longer-term opportunities in this shifting federal IT environment by emphasizing its ability to scale cloud, data and generative AI (GenAI)-based solutions agencywide to generate efficiencies, as demanded by DOGE and the Trump administration. AFS will focus on maximizing speed to solution and clearly demonstrating program ROI to prove its offerings are, in fact, mission-critical.
 
We also expect AFS to double down on advisory services related to resource management, cultural and operational change management, and risk management — critical precursors to federal digital transformations. AFS’ previous investments in AI-enhanced service delivery will be a significant advantage compared to its peers with less mature internal AI capabilities, enabling AFS to showcase how its internal application of AI technologies has optimized operations. AFS’ AI-enhanced service delivery will also enable the company to generate more cost-competitive bids and meet increasingly aggressive IT project timelines for federal digital IT modernization programs.

*BAH, CGI Federal, Deloitte Consulting, General Dynamics IT (GDIT), Guidehouse, HII Mission Technologies, IBM, Leidos and SAIC

 

TBR’s DOGE Federal IT Impact Series will include analysis of Accenture Federal Services, General Dynamics Technologies, CACI, IBM, CGI, Leidos, IFC International, Maximus, Booz Allen Hamilton and SAIC. Click here to download a preview of our federal IT research and receive upcoming series blogs in your inbox as soon as they’ve published.

 

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: SAIC

The Trump administration and its Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) have generated massive upheaval across the board in federal operations, including in the federal IT segment. As of March 2025, thousands of contracts described by DOGE as “non-mission critical” have been canceled, including some across the federal IT and professional services landscape. TBR’s DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series explores vendor-specific DOGE-related developments and impacts on earnings performance. Click here to receive upcoming series blogs in your inbox as soon as they’ve published.

 

Content Updated: June 11, 2025

DOGE notwithstanding, SAIC’s 1Q25 fiscal performance was on target with expectations and historical patterns

SAIC reported its CY1Q25 (FY1Q26) fiscal results on June 2, and as in CY4Q24, the impact of DOGE was minimal on the company’s P&L, backlog or other fiscal markers. During SAIC’s 1Q25 earnings call, CEO Toni Townes-Whitley indicated that the annualized impact of DOGE on SAIC’s top-line revenue remained less than 1%, which TBR assumes refers to the proportion of total company annual revenue, or less than $75 million (based on FY25 sales of $7.59 billion).

 

SAIC posted quarterly revenue of $1.88 billion in 1Q25, up 1.6% year-to-year. Quarterly sales and year-to-year growth in 1Q25 were below TBR’s projections for revenue of $2 billion, or 8.3% year-to-year growth, but still in line with overall company guidance for FY26. SAIC’s 1Q25 gross margin of 11.1% was slightly weaker than TBR had expected, but operating margin of 6.4% came in stronger than TBR projections.

 

Company backlog of $22.3 billion was up 1.8% sequentially from $21.9 billion in 4Q24, with the sequential increase consistent with historical patterns. Bookings of $2.4 billion in 1Q25 were on par with the year-ago quarter ($2.6 billion in 1Q24) and were up sequentially from $1.3 billion in 4Q24, consistent with seasonal bookings patterns. SAIC’s quarterly book-to-bill ratio of 1.3 in 1Q25 was on par with its year-ago book-to-bill ratio of 1.4, though on a trailing 12-month (TTM) basis, book-to-bill of 0.8 in 1Q25 was down from 1.0 a year ago in 1Q24.

SAIC remains on track to reach its FY26 fiscal targets, at least as of 1Q25

SAIC does not expect erosion to its top-line growth, margins, earnings, adjusted EBITDA or cash flow from DOGE in the company’s FY26. SAIC also maintained its outlook for downward adjusted EBITDA guidance later in FY26. The federal procurement environment remains unstable, the federal fiscal 2026 (FFY26) budget negotiations must still take place, and the full scope of the Trump administration’s IT spending and other budget priorities is still in development.

 

For example, SAIC’s business development teams have experienced delays in procurement patterns with increasingly elongated decision cycles that could delay awards expected during FY26 until FY27. SAIC also reported high, post-inauguration turnover of procurement personnel at federal agencies in 1Q25 that has impeded business development and program funding, particularly on larger strategic awards, while procurement processes at some agencies are currently being revamped.

After the near-term disruption subsides in federal IT, the Trump administration’s IT investment plans will generate long-term opportunities

SAIC believes its portfolio of mission-centric solutions, its emphasis on speed-to-market in deploying its offerings, and its focus on embedding commercially developed digital technologies into its solutions align well with the Trump administration’s technology priorities and DOGE’s efficiency optimization goals.

 

In the Department of Defense (DOD) and Intelligence Community (IC), where SAIC generates 75% of its revenue, overall budget growth is expected in FFY26 prioritizing national security and force readiness, particularly in the U.S. Navy, U.S. Air Force and U.S. Space Force. Conversely, SAIC anticipates some funding challenges in its U.S. Army account during the remainder of FFY25 and into FFY26. Since FY24, SAIC has aggressively expanded its bidding activity across the federal space.

 

In 1Q25 alone, the company tendered proposals with a total contract value (TCV) of more than $7 billion with a FY26 goal to submit between $28 billion and $30 billion in bids. The company has nearly $20 billion in awards awaiting client adjudication as of 1Q25.

 

TBR expects the competition for net-new work and recompetes will intensify during the latter half of FFY25 (2Q25 and 3Q25), particularly in the civilian market. More than half of the $2.4 billion in new bookings SAIC landed in 1Q25 were for net-new programs, which the company hopes is an early sign of accelerating IT procurement activity across the space.

 

On-contract growth will also remain one of the chief objectives of SAIC’s business development strategy for the remainder of FY26, particularly with new programs being delayed by staffing shortages within agency-based procurement teams. Standing by its FY26 guidance also implies to TBR that SAIC expects the pace of on-contract growth will remain strong enough to sustain momentum toward its FY26 fiscal objectives, and sufficient to offset any deceleration in net-new award activity.

SAIC’s Civil business posted strong results in 1Q25; the company appears better positioned than some peers to ride out the DOGE-based disruption

By market, growth was led by SAIC’s Federal Civilian business group with 8% year-to-year sales growth in 1Q25 up from a year-to-year revenue contraction of 0.2% in the DOD & IC unit. In comparison, Leidos’ Health & Civil group expanded sales 7.7% in 1Q25 while CACI’s Federal Civilian Agencies unit grew revenue 13.2%.

 

In stark contrast, Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) suffered a very sudden stoppage in growth in its Civil group in 1Q25. Year-to-year top-line expansion in BAH’s Civil unit decelerated after the segment posted 13 straight quarters of double-digit growth from 3Q21 through 3Q24. Civil growth was 7.8% in 4Q24 and -0.1% in 1Q25.

 

According to TBR’s 1Q25 Booz Allen Hamilton Earnings Response, “The volume of disclosed deal activity plummeted in 4Q24 and 1Q25, a harbinger of tough times ahead for federal IT’s most venerable advisory-led firm.” BAH also expects a low-double-digit decline in Civil revenue in FY26, with the bulk of the contraction transpiring in FY1H26 (2Q25 and 3Q25). BAH’s Civil unit posted FY25 sales of $4.17 billion, up 5.7% year-to-year from $3.83 billion in FY24. A year-to-year decline between 10% and 12% in FY26 implies Civil sales of between $3.57 billion and $3.67 billion, or down between $400 million and $500 million.

 

Conversely, SAIC expects favorable IT spending patterns in FFY26 in the company’s five largest civilian accounts, which account for over 70% of the company’s Civil revenue (or about $1.23 billion based on FY25 civilian sales of $1.75 billion). The Department of Transportation is expected to receive $1 billion in the federal budget to support modernization at the Federal Aviation Administration, while the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) will be allocated over $40 billion to develop and install new border security technologies.

 

IT spending at the U.S. Department of State is expected to remain stable, and SAIC recently won a two-year extension on the department’s strategic Vanguard program. SAIC also anticipates higher IT budget outlays for modernization initiatives at the Department of Treasury and the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA). In the past, SAIC has struggled to win some big-ticket recompetes and typically factored renewal risk into its guidance, but as of 1Q25, the only recompete headwinds on its books are the loss of a NASA program in FY25 and the company’s decision to forgo bidding on lower-margin portions of the recent Cloud One recompete.

 

SAIC is instead focusing on the higher-value aspects of Cloud One where the company can showcase its expanding cloud capabilities (another area of SAIC’s portfolio that lines up well with the IT spending priorities of Trump 2.0).

 

TBR’s DOGE Federal IT Impact Series will include analysis of Accenture Federal Services, General Dynamics Technologies, CACI, IBM, CGI, Leidos, IFC International, Maximus, Booz Allen Hamilton and SAIC. Click here to receive upcoming series blogs in your inbox as soon as they’ve published.

 

Infosys Readies to Deliver Outcomes at Scale Through Enterprise AI

U.S. Analyst and Advisor Meet 2025, New York City, March 4, 2025 — Infosys hosted industry analysts and advisors for a packed afternoon in the company’s offices at One World Trade Center. Using client stories amplified through technology partner support to reinforce Infosys’ role in the IT services, cloud and enterprise AI market, company executives consistently returned to a few main themes, including delivering business outcomes, maintaining trusted relationships, and focusing on speed, agility and simplification.  

 

Infosys’ hub-first strategy in the Americas demonstrates the company’s success with coinnovation and pursuit of large deals

Similar to previous events, Infosys kicked off the event with an update on the company’s strategy and performance in the Americas region. Anant Adya, Infosys EVP and head of Americas Delivery, led the presentation, highlighting key elements of the company’s success in the region, including its hub-first strategy; investments in and expansion of local talent pools, including in the U.S., Canada, Mexico, Brazil and the rest of LATAM; and strategic bets that are centered on delivering business outcomes and enabled through portfolio offerings such as Infosys Cobalt, Infosys Topaz and Infosys Aster..
Infosys’ six Tech Hubs across the U.S. remain the backbone of the company’s hub-first strategy. Located in Phoenix; Richardson, Texas; Raleigh, N.C.; Indianapolis; Providence, R.I.; and Hartford, Conn., and collectively staffed with thousands of local hires, these centers are increasingly allowing Infosys to drive coinnovation with clients and partners and pursue new opportunities with a key focus on large deals (defined by Infosys as deals over $50 million in value) in areas including cloud, AI, data, the edge and cybersecurity. Infosys has been rebalancing its onshore-offshore effort over the last five years.
 
For example, onshore effort was 24% in 4Q24, down from 27.7% in 4Q19. Offshore effort was 76% and 72.3% in 4Q24 and 4Q19, respectively. The recalibration began during the pandemic, as Infosys began capitalizing on the increase in remote working. The current ratio is also helping the company demonstrate pricing agility when competing for service delivery transformation projects. At the same time, maintaining a steady flow of local hires could help Infosys weather any pushback from the Trump administration on its America First Investment Policy requirements. Although the administration has yet to impose tariffs on companies utilizing services from overseas, it would not be surprising for this to happen in the future. Investing in training programs and collaborating with local universities through the Infosys Foundation would not only create a strong PR framework but also help Infosys increase its recruiting opportunities. Meanwhile, expanding across Canada and key LATAM countries, including Mexico and Brazil, to support both nearshore and locally sourced deals allows Infosys to diversify its revenue stream while enhancing the value of its brand beyond the U.S.
 
As Infosys continues to execute on its well-oiled strategy, investing and expanding in the next growth areas across the company’s cloud and enterprise AI portfolio will largely be centered on calibrating its commercial model as client discussions evolve from transactions to outcomes. For example, to support these expansion efforts, Infosys’ work within the Infosys Cobalt portfolio has evolved from tech optimization and data center migration to developing and applying industry solutions, and now includes accounting for the role of AI.
 
Building out a fluid enterprise to derive greater value from AI has compelled Infosys to develop solutions with an eye toward being more digital, more composable and more autonomous. This solution framing is also helping the company drive next-gen conversations with its technology partners and with clients that are seeking to develop an intelligent enterprise enabled by AI.

Infosys’ pivot toward Outcome as a Service will test the company’s ability to drive change management at scale, starting with its own operations

Expanding on Infosys’ evolving go-to-market strategy, portfolio, talent and collaboration with partners, Infosys Chief Delivery Officer Dinesh Rao, along with a series of client and partner panels throughout the afternoon, not only brought to light the company’s aspirations around driving outcome services opportunities but also discussed at length the challenges stakeholders face, often revolving around change management. Rao’s presentations spanned client use cases, AI evolution, and Infosys’ portfolio adjustment as well as resource pyramid calibration to balance support opportunities in foundational and emerging areas. Three key areas stood out:

  • Client examples: Amplifying value through innovation has helped Infosys capture and deliver services for global clients across manufacturing, retail and consumer packaged goods (CPG), among other verticals, while also positioning the company to test new commercial models. For example, in a multiyear, multibillion-dollar deal supporting a multinational communications provider, Infosys is deploying its Outcome as Service commercial framework, bundling software, hardware and third-party services on a single platform.
  • AI: Infosys launched NVIDIA-enabled small language models (SLMs) for Infosys Topaz BankingSLM and Infosys Topaz ITOpsSLM, targeting clients through core industry and horizontal offerings and allowing them to use their own data on top of the prebuilt SLMs. Additionally, Infosys released the Finacle Data and AI Suite of solutions to support banking clients seeking to enhance IT systems and customer experience using AI. The solutions include Finacle Data Platform, Finacle AI Platform and Finacle Generative AI. Infosys’ investments in industry-centric SLMs, which the company positions with clients as either accelerators or platforms to drive targeted conversations using industry and/or functional enterprise data, closely align with the company’s playbook from a few years ago, when it began developing industry cloud solutions, both proprietary and partner enabled. Embedding generative AI (GenAI) as part of a deal, rather than using it as a lead-in, is a smart strategy as it allows Infosys to better appeal to price-conscious clients and steer conversations toward outcomes and the benefits of the engagement, rather than trying to convince clients to spend a premium on a technology that has yet to prove ROI at scale. We believe Infosys’ investment in agentic AI capabilities for Infosys Topaz, along with the ITOpsSLM, can also position the company to drive nonlinear, profitable engagements, especially with clients that are seeking to migrate and modernize their existing mainframe infrastructure but lack the necessary COBOL skills and understanding of the environment.
  • Resource pyramid: Infosys’ three talent categories — traditional software engineers, digital specialists focused on digital transformation and ongoing support, and Power Programmers — allow the company to balance innovation and growth while calibrating its business and commercial models. The Power Programmers group consists of highly skilled professionals who are responsible for developing products and ensuring that the intellectual property they create and use meets the cost-saving requirements Infosys pitches to clients. Although the other two groups follow a traditional employee pyramid structure, the Power Programmers group is much leaner and resembles the business models that many vendors, including Infosys, may aspire to adopt in the future.

Rao also discussed Infosys’ approach to innovation. The company’s business incubator framework, backed by Infosys’ $500 million innovation fund and enabled through its network of Living Labs, has empowered the company’s employees to think creatively, thus helping Infosys solidify its culture of learning and collaboration. Gaining employee buy-in is a must, especially at a time when the company is pivoting its own operations toward outcome-based service delivery.

AI- and partner-led discussions will continue to guide Infosys’ efforts to solidify its position as a trusted solution broker

Sunil Senan, Infosys’ global head of Data and AI, provided an update on Infosys’ AI-first strategy and portfolio, which have allowed Infosys to stay competitive in a rapidly evolving AI market. Senan noted that the opportunities around agentic AI require a rigorous data and governance strategy — an acknowledgment that is not surprising given the company’s typically humble yet pragmatic approach to emerging growth opportunities.
 
Scaling AI adoption comes with implications and responsibilities, which Infosys is trying to address one use case at a time. For example, in October 2023 Infosys launched the Responsible AI Suite, which includes accelerators across three main areas: Scan (identifying AI risk), Shield (building technical guardrails) and Steer (providing AI governance consulting). These capabilities will help Infosys strengthen ecosystem trust via the Responsible AI Coalition.
 
Infosys also claimed it was the first IT services company globally to achieve the ISO 42001:2023 certification for the ethical and responsible use of AI. Infosys recognizes that AI adoption will come in waves. The first wave, which started in November 2022 and continued for the next 18 to 24 months, was dominated by pilot projects focused on productivity and software development. In the current second wave, clients are starting to pivot conversations toward improving IT operations, business processes, marketing and sales.
 
The real business value will come from the third wave, which will focus on improving processes and experiences and capitalizing on opportunities around design and implementation. Infosys believes the third wave will start in the next six to 12 months. Although this time frame might suit cloud- and data-mature clients, only a small percentage of the enterprise is AI ready across all components including data, governance, strategy, technology and talent. Thus, it might take a bit longer for AI adoption to scale.
 
But as Infosys continues to execute its pragmatic strategy, the company relies on customer success stories that will help it build momentum. And there was no shortage of examples throughout the afternoon, with Infosys clients across the spectrum — from just getting started to scaling hundreds of AI deployments — sharing their experiences with Infosys and within the broader ecosystem.
 
We believe as Infosys pivots toward an Outcome as a Service commercial model, opportunities to scale AI will stem from the company’s ability to demonstrate value. In a traditional transformation project, the company often deployed professionals to perform typical implementation work and then transferred them to another project; during an AI project, staff would need to stay at a client’s site for a longer period to ensure the technology delivers the value promised. Approaching AI opportunities with a similar focus will help Infosys justify its rates but also help the company calibrate its staffing pyramid.
 
Infosys’ long-term success also depends on the company’s relationship with technology partners. During previous iterations of the summit, Infosys has had separate alliance-led presentations, but this time around the company included the partner presentations, specifically SAP, in a client panel. SAP’s presentation discussed a successful, three-year SAP S/4HANA migration for a global manufacturing client. Although the three-year turnaround was impressive, what stood out was how much the SAP executive was part of the conversation with the client. Speaking with the client on behalf of Infosys demonstrated trust and the depth of the relationship between SAP and Infosys.
 
Throughout TBR’s Ecosystem Intelligence research, we have written extensively that partners speaking on behalf of partners is often the last mile and the biggest challenge for vendors to overcome when they try to differentiate. We understand that vendors, especially IT services vendors, try to maintain tech agnosticism during consulting workshops, but when it comes to the implementation part of the engagement, developing more exclusive messaging resonates with clients much better as it shows knowledge, accountability and trust between parties.

Product Engineering and Quality Engineering present a tale of two cities that can help Infosys deliver value with minimal disruption to its financial profile

As Infosys continues to balance foundational growth with pursuing opportunities in new areas, the company’s evolving portfolio allows it to deliver steady financial results. Executives from Infosys’ Engineering Services and Quality Engineering lines of business, along with clients, highlighted how these two areas are helping Infosys achieve just that. Ben Ko, CEO of Kaleidoscope, a company Infosys acquired in 2020, explained how his company and its portfolio of solutions and products allow Infosys to capture manufacturing and R&D budgets, a slice of the overall enterprise spend that was somewhat untapped prior to expanding in the product engineering space. Infosys Engineering Services remains among the fastest-growing units within the company as Infosys strives to get closer to product development and minimize GenAI-related disruption on its content distribution and support position..
 
Since the 2020 purchase of Kaleidoscope, which provided a much-needed boost for the company to infuse new skills and the IP needed to appeal to the OT buyer, Infosys has enhanced its value proposition to meet GenAI-infused demand. For example, Infosys has purchased India-based, 900-person semiconductor design services vendor InSemi, and Germany-headquartered engineering R&D services firm in-tech, which presents a use case where the company applied a measured risk approach to enhance its chip-to-cloud strategy.
 
The purchase of in-tech certainly accelerates these opportunities, bringing in strong relationships with OEM providers, which is a necessary stepping stone as Infosys tries to bridge IT and OT relationships.
 
Meanwhile, Venky Iyengar, Infosys VP and head of Quality Engineering, along with clients, discussed how the Infosys business is adjusting both its value proposition and staffing models to account for automation and AI and to continue to deliver value to clients with minimal disruption to Infosys’ financial profile.
 
While a degree of revenue cannibalization is inevitable in the long run, Infosys’ approach toward platform-enabled quality engineering services, along with its efforts to fold these offerings under broader transformation projects, will allow the company to pivot and develop its position as a solutions broker.

It is all about the margins, and Infosys has the right ingredients to keep shareholders happy

Infosys, like many of its peers, faces a new reality influenced heavily by AI and reshuffling in buyers’ IT spending priorities. With IT becoming a utility, we expect enterprises not to cut back on spending but rather to demand from third-party vendors such as Infosys to deliver more with less. AI- and automation-enabled service delivery presents Infosys with the right tool to execute on such expectations. And as long as Infosys allows buyers to see that the productivity improvements have driven greater volume, then Infosys will be able to maintain its operating margin. Otherwise, buyers might start pushing back and asking for savings on their contracts when Infosys pitches new work but uses fewer employees. It was evident from the sessions that Infosys, with its enterprise AI capabilities, is strongly positioned to help clients unlock business value and drive growth. This aligns with the broader industry trend of leveraging AI to meet evolving client demands.
 
We understand that Outcome as a Service is a long-term play that will test Infosys’ culture and ability to manage trust within the ecosystem. The last five years of steady financial performance and the expansion of Infosys’ large and mega deals roster have provided the company with a strong foundation to make that pivot. Many of Infosys’ alliance partners, both technology and services ones, that TBR has spoken with view Infosys as a top delivery partner, thus providing the ecosystem support needed for the company to navigate the evolving IT services market.
 
TBR will continue to cover Infosys within the IT services, ecosystems, cloud and digital transformation spaces, including publishing quarterly reports with assessments of Infosys’ financial model, go-to-market, and alliances and acquisitions strategies.
 
For a comparison with Infosys’ peers and other IT services vendors, TBR includes Infosys in our quarterly IT Services Vendor Benchmark, our semiannual Global Delivery Benchmark and Cloud Ecosystem Report, and our annual Adobe and Salesforce Ecosystem Report; SAP, Oracle and Workday Ecosystem Report; and upcoming ServiceNow Ecosystem Report. Access the data and analysis in each of these reports with a TBR Insight Center™ free trial. Sign up today!

Google Recognizes Critical Role of Security, and Its Standing in the Cloud Market, in Acquisition of Wiz

Wiz may be getting more expensive, but so is its strategic relevance

Back in August, Google was in talks to buy cloud security company Wiz for $23 billion, but the deal quickly fell through due to Google’s antitrust baggage and Wiz’s goal to remain independent ahead of an IPO. But a lot has changed in the last seven months, including a new U.S. government administration that broadly supports Big Tech when it comes to AI investments and the ability to push M&A through regulatory hurdles.
 
With the business environment changing and cybersecurity perhaps more relevant than ever, Google saw an opportunity to repursue the Wiz acquisition, and a $32 billion offer, marking a major uptick in valuation, was simply too good for Wiz to ignore. Should the deal close in 2026 as expected, Wiz — with roughly 1,800 employees and ties to half the Fortune 500 — will join the Google Cloud division, offering synergies with Mandiant, an added layer of protection for the Google Security Operations platform, and the potential to help Google Cloud formalize cybersecurity as an agentic AI use case.

Wiz’s play in hybrid-multicloud and cloud-native security makes it a good fit for Google Cloud

In our view, there are two overarching attributes of Wiz that make it a natural fit for Google Cloud: multicloud and born in the cloud. Supporting hybrid and, to an extent, multicloud environments with services like BigQuery Omni has always been one of Google Cloud’s strengths, given the company’s unique ties to Kubernetes and broader support for open-source communities.
 
Recent data-sharing alliances and integrations with ISVs like Oracle and Salesforce (a Wiz investor) are another reaffirmation that Google Cloud accepts the multicloud reality and the fact that cloud ecosystems are becoming more influenced by two of Google Cloud’s biggest competitors, Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft. But as customers continue to employ multiple clouds — with TBR’s 2H24 Cloud Infrastructure & Platforms Customer Research suggesting that 68% of customers are leveraging two or more clouds — and data integrations become tighter, security concerns are mounting, particularly when it comes to utilizing this data to build generative AI (GenAI) applications.
 

“A lot of Microsoft’s core solutions, they’re born out of a legacy product, and you’re going to get some issues with security and the code versus something that’s built completely from the ground up, which is the case of Google. So, I think with Microsoft, you have to take a more active approach to managing your security.”
CIO, Manufacturing

Google Cloud’s ability to integrate Wiz, which can connect to not only AWS, Microsoft Azure and Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) but also legacy VMware environments, as well as data and AI platforms like Snowflake and OpenAI, will be important as the cloud market continues to evolve around open data ecosystems and GenAI. The other big attribute of Wiz is not just that it supports multiple environments, but that it was born in the cloud and can thus support security in a modern way with capabilities like IaC (Infrastructure as Code) scanning for modern parts of the cloud stack, such as containers, serverless and PaaS environments.
 
The ability to support security in a modern way directly aligns with Google Cloud’s “ground-up” approach to security, which is one of the ways Google Cloud differentiates from its peers. Should the deal close, we expect the Wiz brand to greatly complement Google Cloud’s when it comes to security. But to be clear, this is not just a point of messaging Google Cloud uses with clients; it is a sentiment often shared by C-Suite decision makers we speak with, as highlighted in the quote to the right.

Wiz would bring IP and talent at the crucial modern app dev layer

There are a couple of obvious synergies that will take shape between Wiz and Google Cloud. First, Google Cloud plans to integrate Wiz into the Google Security Operations platform (formerly Chronicle) to add another piece of protection at the application development layer. Unlike some other security ISVs, Wiz is concerned with selling to not only security operations teams but also DevOps teams.
 
Wiz’s platform is designed to secure every stage of the software development life cycle, supporting the underlying infrastructure and runtimes, as well as everything from the CI/CD (continuous integration/continuous deployment) pipelines up to the actual code. With the company’s scanning tools, security attacks are identified preemptively, so developers have an opportunity to understand and fix the threat before deploying their applications.
 
Google has already taken some big steps to support clients’ security operations teams by integrating SOAR (Security Orchestration, Automation and Response) and SIEM (Security Information and Event Management) capabilities as part of Google Security Operations, so Wiz’s prowess at the development layer should help round out a key piece of the platform. It will also align with the company’s goal to boost developer mindshare and win more applications. According to TBR’s research, most new applications will be hosted disproportionately in the cloud and have an AI component, so having a tool that can help embed security natively into the developer workflow would likely be well received.
 
Second, through Mandiant, Google Cloud already has a team of security experts, including roughly 600 Mandiant consultants, which should be a nice complement to Wiz’s platform, supporting tasks like incident response, technical assurance, strategic readiness and managed defense. With Wiz and Mandiant, we see Google Cloud increasingly addressing customers’ preference for “one hand to shake” when it comes to security. But Google Cloud services partners should still be assured of their critical role in helping Google Cloud establish trust with clients and selling more business-led outcomes centered on GRC (governance, risk and compliance).

Solidifying security as a GenAI use case

As is the case in multiple facets of IT such as data management, security and GenAI are two sides of the same coin: Enterprises need effective security practices to run GenAI, but GenAI can also help improve security. From the evolution of the Sec-PaLM model to the rollout of Gemini in Google Security Operations, Google has already taken some big steps to establish security as a top GenAI use case. Google Cloud was also pretty early in its shift around agentic AI, particularly in letting customers build their own agents, so we expect the Wiz acquisition to drive new uses for cybersecurity support AI agents that could act as extensions for cybersecurity teams, closing the massive skills gap that continues to exist in the field.

Conclusion

A lot has changed since Google first eyed Wiz as an acquisition prospect, but Google’s strategy of using cloud-native security as a differentiator to grow within the large enterprise base is unwavering. And one could argue that over the past seven months, security concerns have only increased as new GenAI applications come into play and the data ecosystems supporting those apps have become more integrated.
 
Wiz’s ability to identify and support security threats at every layer of the stack and do so in a hybrid multicloud fashion is certainly in step with the market. Meanwhile, if Google Cloud can use Wiz to ease concerns when it comes to developing new AI-based applications, supported by new security AI agents, this deal could handily elevate Google Cloud’s competitive standing in the market.

India-centric IT Vendors Leverage Partnerships for Technology Expansion and Market Reach

Expanding through partnerships

The India-centric vendors, which include Cognizant, HCLTech, Infosys, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) and Wipro, leverage partnerships to expand their technology capabilities and scale while also bringing in industry knowledge to strengthen the value of their portfolios. Although these partnerships do not vary significantly from those of other IT services vendors, the India-centric vendors each bring different benefits, such as price competitiveness and low cost of scale, that can enhance other vendors’ go-to-market strategies and ability to reach underpenetrated markets while also bringing in portfolio expertise.
 
Understanding how similar companies bring different capabilities and strengths to their technology alliance partners highlights opportunities for other ecosystem players, such as smaller software companies, OEMs and niche consultancies, that are looking to expand with the India-centric vendors.
 
Graph: India-centric IT Vendor Headcount for 4Q24

Cognizant

Cognizant forges partnerships with industry-oriented vendors and expands its security and digital capabilities. During 4Q24 and early 2025, Cognizant looked to relationships with key partners such as Salesforce and ServiceNow to enhance the company’s positioning around transformation and software development as well as create opportunities around migration and managed services.
 
As transformation projects increasingly center on AI, developing a suite of offerings that streamline the use of data and analytics, security and managed services helps Cognizant strengthen client relationships and drive new projects. Working with security vendors to deepen its security capabilities and protect digital environments will lead to additional services engagements for Cognizant. Further, partnering around industry expertise is enabling Cognizant to improve its performance in certain verticals, such as recently landing modernization and digitization projects with life sciences clients.
 
Cognizant manages an ecosystem to drive innovation both internally as well as with clients to drive value across industries. In April 2023 Cognizant launched Bluebolt, an innovation program that seeks to develop new ways to address clients’ business challenges. Since the launch, more than 115,000 ideas have been developed, of which 22,000 have been implemented, increasing client engagement. Additionally, Cognizant worked with Microsoft to create the Innovative Assistant, a tool that supports idea generation for Microsoft employees. The tool is something that Cognizant could replicate with other partners.
 
In 2014 Cognizant acquired TriZetto, a healthcare IT software and solutions provider, which added healthcare clients and specialized employees and offerings, creating new opportunities for Cognizant across the healthcare space. Cognizant continues to invest in the platform, offering back- and front-office solutions for payers, providers and patients, as well as care management and connected solutions to transform the patient and physician experience. The acquisition and Cognizant’s continued investments in healthcare offerings resulted in the vertical overtaking financial services as the company’s top revenue generator in 2024.
 
Cognizant’s active acquisition pace brings in a variety of new skills and capabilities to supplement existing areas and enable the company to expand transformation contracts with clients. For example, Cognizant acquired ServiceNow partner Thirdera in December 2023, strengthening its consulting and implementation services. Through the acquisitions, Cognizant has quickly developed its engineering, software and advisory services, enhancing its positioning with clients.

HCLTech

HCLTech’s partner network encompasses technology vendors, industry experts, and research and learning institutions, allowing the company to develop a wider set of in-house expertise and offerings. Adding new hyperscaler partners to expand its capabilities and scale enables HCLTech to deliver a wider range of AI offerings and guide technology services clients’ efficiency-related and insight-driven transformation projects. Further, integrating industry expertise within its technology portfolio improves HCLTech’s ability to address clients’ specific transformation needs.
 
Pursuing solution codevelopment partnerships helps HCLTech leverage internal expertise alongside that of its partners to align its portfolio with emerging pain points resulting from heightened AI, cloud and digital usage. HCLTech will strengthen its relationships with key partners such as Microsoft, Google Cloud, Amazon Web Services (AWS) and IBM to enhance its positioning around AI. In addition, HCLTech will enhance its industry positioning through partners and acquisitions to better tailor its offerings and deepen relationships in the telecom, financial services and manufacturing industries.
 
HCLTech’s ongoing investments in engineering capabilities have deepened the vendor’s expertise, allowing it to offer semiconductor design, manufacturing and validation services. Through acquisitions, HCLTech has added new experience and solutions and strengthened its manufacturing relationships. The integration of Engineering and R&D Services (ERS) sales and go-to-market motions with IT and business services sales will help HCLTech extend the reach of its portfolio, generating new segment opportunities and expanding the company’s reach outside its more mature areas such as manufacturing and automotive.
 
HCLTech leads with its Relationship Beyond the Contract (RBTC) approach, which allows the company to deepen client relationships, better address challenges, and future-proof organizations for disruption and threats. With the heightened demand and interest around generative AI (GenAI), HCLTech’s development of applications, infrastructure, semiconductor offerings and business process solutions underpinned by its GenAI Labs enables the company to secure its relationships.

Infosys

Infosys’ alliance partner strategy mirrors that of many of its competitors as the company seeks to secure foundational revenue opportunities while pursuing innovation through a measured risk approach. The company strives to differentiate by sticking to its strengths rather than branching too far into partners’ territory, which enterprise buyers strongly appreciate. Recent partnerships centered on GenAI also provide a glimpse into Infosys’ efforts to establish a beachhead in the emerging market as the company navigates choppy market demand and increases its efforts to expand margins.
 
Infosys’ three talent categories — traditional software engineers; digital specialists focused on digital transformation (DT) and ongoing support; and power programmers — allow the company to balance innovation and growth as it calibrates its business and commercial models. To support these categories, Infosys executes on aggressive hiring, particularly for 2025. In January Infosys announced it was planning to expand its Hyderabad, India, operations, adding 17,000 people for a total of 50,000 employees in the region. Although no time frame was outlined for this increase, during the company’s 4Q24 earnings call Infosys’ executives shared the company is planning to hire 20,000 freshers in FY26, up from 15,000 in FY25.
 
Infosys’ broad-based GenAI investments centered on the development of industry-aligned solutions and small language models, largely enabled through collaborations with NVIDIA, Microsoft and Meta, enhance the company’s value proposition when competing for custom model development engagements. In addition to driving opportunities within the telco vertical, we believe Infosys’ collaboration with NVIDIA will also help the company enhance the recently launched Infosys Aster — a set of AI-driven marketing services, solutions and platforms — as Infosys looks to develop a comprehensive strategy for its digital marketing offerings. Supporting clients seeking to enhance contact center operations through the use of AI and GenAI could backfire if technology and business priorities are misaligned, as chatbots have been around for a long time but have had only minimal positive impact on customer services.
 

Watch on demand: $130+ Billion Emerging India Opportunity – India-centric vs. Global IT Services Firms: Who Wins and Why

TCS

TCS has dedicated business units for its three largest technology partners, fostering deep expertise and enabling the development of specialized solutions. These units leverage a comprehensive approach, including certified talent, Centers of Excellence, migration factories and innovation garages, to deliver superior cloud services. This approach allows TCS to effectively guide clients through their cloud migrations, codevelop industry-specific solutions and ultimately drive successful cloud transformations.
 
Beyond its core cloud partnerships, TCS actively cultivates a diverse ecosystem of technology alliances. These partnerships extend beyond the traditional cloud providers, enabling TCS to enhance its own offerings, strengthen partner capabilities and collectively expand market reach. This collaborative approach fosters mutual growth and enables TCS to deliver more comprehensive and innovative solutions to clients.
 
TCS emphasizes its deep expertise in enterprise application deployment and management, combined with its scale and cost-effective resources, to position as a valuable partner within the technology ecosystem. The company is actively investing in talent development and AI-driven solutions to meet surging client demand around GenAI. By leveraging strong industry relationships and strategic partnerships with leading technology providers, TCS delivers a comprehensive range of digital services such as AI. Collaboration helps TCS enhance its value proposition for clients.
 
TCS stands out among its India-based peers due to its impressive scale, cost-effective labor force, well-balanced portfolio, robust automation framework, in-depth understanding of legacy IT systems and vast expertise in DT. The company’s scale allows it to work across a wider range of client needs and challenges that can be addressed through its DT and application portfolio. Despite TCS’ larger scale relative to peers, the company maintains roughly 75% of its headcount in offshore locations.

Wipro

Wipro continues to expand its partner ecosystem, including incorporating security and enablement services, to ensure the company can provide a wider range of technology solutions. For example, during 4Q24, Wipro partnered with multiple vendors to grow its security services offerings. Working with Netskope and Lineaje helps address risk and vulnerabilities across the technology landscape to drive additional value and strengthen client relationships.
 
In addition to technology development, Wipro looks to deepen its industry expertise through partners, advancing its healthcare and financial services portfolio. Through 2025, Wipro will grow its partner ecosystem to include additional technology capabilities and security services to guide clients’ modernization and efficiency transformations while also maintaining a portfolio that rivals those of its peers.
 
Relative to its India-centric peers, Wipro finds itself in a more precarious position with slower revenue growth and a smaller profit. During 2024 Wipro IT Services (ITS) was able to increase its operating profit, owing to improved internal management, the use of AI and automation tools, as well as a streamlined talent structure. Wipro ITS’ revenue generation slowed in 2023 and 2024, resulting in a year-to-year decline in 2024 in both local currency and U.S. dollars due to ongoing execution challenges in APMEA and Europe and limited interactions with clients. Capco, a financial services consulting firm Wipro acquired in 2021, remains a bright spot for Wipro, as it added a new approach to industry clients in Europe.

Conclusion

Each of the India-centric vendor brings its own strengths and weaknesses that can help enhance partners’ go-to-market strategies and deliver on emerging technologies. The composition of talent varies across the vendors, with some benefiting from technical expertise such as engineering whereas others have a greater bench of consulting and delivery staff. As AI permeates client engagements, developing a larger partner ecosystem that encompasses multiple different business models, talent and portfolio strengths as well as offshore delivery leverage will enable IT services vendors to compete more effectively for limited client spend.
 
Further, internal innovation with partners, including around AI tools that are tested internally before coming to market strengthens portfolio value and trust with clients. Partnering outside of typical partner parameters will bring in much-needed innovation, refreshed talent as well as enhanced delivery resources to secure client trust and engagement.
 
TBR’s ongoing research and company coverage includes regular analysis of alliances between the leading global systems integrators, including the companies outlined in this report. In addition, we publish the Cloud Ecosystem Report semiannually and the Adobe & Salesforce Ecosystem Report, the SAP, Oracle and Workday Ecosystem Report, the U.S. Federal Cloud Ecosystem Report and the Voice of the Partner Ecosystem Report annually. Access the data and analysis in each of these reports with a TBR Insight Center™ free trial. Sign up today!

U.S. Wireless Market Outlook


 

Acquisitions, Convergence and Fixed Wireless Access Drive Revenue Growth in U.S. Wireless Market

U.S. operators are focused on advancing their convergence strategies to grow revenue and create a stickier ecosystem to reduce churn long-term. Operators are improving their ability to offer mobile and broadband service bundles by increasing the availability of their broadband services (including wireline and fixed wireless access [FWA] offerings) and focusing on acquisitions, such as Verizon’s pending purchase of Frontier Communications and T-Mobile’s proposed joint ventures to acquire Metronet and Lumos.
 
In this TBR Insights Live session, Senior Analyst Steve Vachon gives for an in-depth, exclusive review of TBR’s latest research in the U.S. mobile operator space. Steve discusses the financial and go-to-market performance of leading U.S. wireless operators as well as recent key developments impacting the U.S. market, such as convergence and FWA.
 
TBR’s U.S. mobile operator research stream details and compares the initiatives, strategies and performance of the largest U.S. operators, including AT&T, DISH Network, Optimum Mobile, Spectrum Mobile, T-Mobile, UScellular, Verizon and Xfinity Mobile.

In the above session on the U.S. wireless market outlook you’ll learn:

  • The impact convergence is having on the market via initiatives around M&A and fiber expansion as well as increased competition among cable MVNOs
  • How FWA services are disrupting the U.S. broadband market
  • How U.S. operators are expanding the scope of their FWA strategies to maximize opportunity capture
  • Insights into wireless capex trends in the U.S. and the next phase of 5G investments


 

Excerpt from U.S. Wireless Market Outlook: Acquisitions, Convergence and Fixed Wireless Access Drive Revenue Growth in U.S. Wireless Market

Operators target acquisitions to strengthen their convergence strategies

Convergence (aka bundling) creates a stickier ecosystem to reduce churn via:

  • Discounted pricing compared to buying services separately
  • Convenience of purchasing services from the same provider

Operators are strengthening convergence strategies via:

  • Expanding broadband service availability (FWA and fixed)
  • Cable operators are increasing their focus on their wireless brands to retain customers
  • Pursuing acquisitions

M&A and continued fiber builds will expand cross-selling opportunities:

  • Verizon/Frontier: The combined company expects to provide fiber to 30 million passings by the end of 2028 and eventually up to 40 million passings
  • T-Mobile/Metronet/Lumos: Expects to offer fiber services to 12 million to 15 million households by the end of 2030
  • T-Mobile/UScellular: Will create new opportunities for T-Mobile to target FWA in rural markets
  • AT&T: AT&T’s fiber network will reach 50 million locations by the end of 2029 (45 million via organic builds, 5 million via Gigapower Joint Venture)

TBR Insights Live: State of the U.S. Wireless Market Excerpt

Visit this link to download this session’s presentation deck here.
 
TBR Insights Live sessions are held typically on Thursdays at 1 p.m. ET and include a 15-minute Q&A session following the main presentation. Previous sessions can be viewed anytime on TBR’s Webinar Portal.