Entries by Steve Vachon, Senior Analyst

Lumen evolves from a traditional telco to a technology company

The 2022 Lumen Global Analyst and Consultant Forum showcased Lumen Technologies’ (NYSE: LUMN) ambition to transform from a traditional telco to a technology company. Lumen’s capabilities in hybrid networking, edge computing, connected security, unified communications and more will help support clients’ transition to a distributed workforce while bolstering Industry 4.0 initiatives across multiple verticals. “The […]

Demand for 5G infrastructure is becoming more robust, though commercial deployments will be delayed by supply chain headwinds in the short term

Supply-demand imbalance delays pace of 5G market development The pandemic has prompted enterprises and governments to pull forward and broaden the scope of their digital transformations, primarily for business resiliency and cost-reduction purposes but also for tapping into new market opportunities. There is significant interest among governments and enterprises across verticals in leveraging 5G and […]

CSP demand for 5G infrastructure is expected to remain robust for at least the next few years

Key Insights Traditional RAN will remain the predominant architecture through 2025. Open vRAN will take time to mature and go mainstream. Mobile broadband (MBB) and fixed wireless access (FWA) will remain primary use cases for 5G; government and enterprise pursuit of digital transformation wil drive other use cases. APAC will lead the world in 5G […]

Global governments will drive 5G development through stimulus initiatives and preference for domestic suppliers

Government stimulus will advance global 5G development; government support of domestic suppliers will aid smaller vendors Unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus unleashed amid the COVID-19 pandemic will fund, both directly and indirectly, a large portion of the infrastructure cost for economic digitalization. As of August 2021, TBR estimates $3.5 trillion, or around 10% of global […]

Unprecedented levels of government support will help CSPs deploy 5G more quickly and broadly than originally anticipated

Communication service provider (CSP) spend on 5G infrastructure will scale faster and peak higher than originally anticipated due to the vast amount of support by governments in a range of countries, including but not limited to China, the U.S., the U.K., Japan, South Korea and Singapore. As a result, typical historical deployment curves for cellular […]

CSP IoT revenue growth will accelerate gradually through 2024 as more 5G use cases become commercially available

An increased focus on value-added services is necessary to maximize CSP IoT revenue as connectivity growth is limited by low ARPU connections IoT revenue is growing steadily but has yet to significantly impact CSPs’ overall financial positions TBR estimates global CSP commercial IoT revenue increased 20% year-to-year to $26.8 billion in 2019. Despite sustaining strong […]

Timely clearance of mid-band spectrum is essential for U.S. to remain at forefront of global 5G race

TBR perspective Significant progress has been made on 5G ecosystem development since the 2018 5G Americas Analyst Forum held last October, as commercial mobile 5G services have been launched by the four U.S. Tier 1 operators, as well as in Uruguay by state-run operator ANTEL, over the past year. However, the infancy of the 5G […]

Industry 4.0 will bolster IoT connection growth for global CSPs

Industry 4.0 will contribute to a surge in IoT connection additions between 2022 and 2025 TBR expects Industry 4.0 to drive a renaissance in new, commercially viable use cases for the network between 2022 and 2025, which will spur revenue-generation opportunities for communication service providers (CSPs) that deliver the connectivity layer and value-added services to […]

Telefonica models the transition of a traditional telco to a digital service provider

Telefonica represents a prime model of the opportunities and challenges telecom operators will experience as they evolve into digital service providers. The digital era will enable telecom operators to become more agile and profitable as they transition away from more costly legacy network technologies and business models. The digital era will place greater expectations on […]