Entries by Steve Vachon, Senior Analyst

CSP demand for 5G infrastructure is expected to remain robust for at least the next few years

Key Insights Traditional RAN will remain the predominant architecture through 2025. Open vRAN will take time to mature and go mainstream. Mobile broadband (MBB) and fixed wireless access (FWA) will remain primary use cases for 5G; government and enterprise pursuit of digital transformation wil drive other use cases. APAC will lead the world in 5G […]

Global governments will drive 5G development through stimulus initiatives and preference for domestic suppliers

Government stimulus will advance global 5G development; government support of domestic suppliers will aid smaller vendors Unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus unleashed amid the COVID-19 pandemic will fund, both directly and indirectly, a large portion of the infrastructure cost for economic digitalization. As of August 2021, TBR estimates $3.5 trillion, or around 10% of global […]

Unprecedented levels of government support will help CSPs deploy 5G more quickly and broadly than originally anticipated

Communication service provider (CSP) spend on 5G infrastructure will scale faster and peak higher than originally anticipated due to the vast amount of support by governments in a range of countries, including but not limited to China, the U.S., the U.K., Japan, South Korea and Singapore. As a result, typical historical deployment curves for cellular […]

CSP IoT revenue growth will accelerate gradually through 2024 as more 5G use cases become commercially available

An increased focus on value-added services is necessary to maximize CSP IoT revenue as connectivity growth is limited by low ARPU connections IoT revenue is growing steadily but has yet to significantly impact CSPs’ overall financial positions TBR estimates global CSP commercial IoT revenue increased 20% year-to-year to $26.8 billion in 2019. Despite sustaining strong […]

Timely clearance of mid-band spectrum is essential for U.S. to remain at forefront of global 5G race

TBR perspective Significant progress has been made on 5G ecosystem development since the 2018 5G Americas Analyst Forum held last October, as commercial mobile 5G services have been launched by the four U.S. Tier 1 operators, as well as in Uruguay by state-run operator ANTEL, over the past year. However, the infancy of the 5G […]

Industry 4.0 will bolster IoT connection growth for global CSPs

Industry 4.0 will contribute to a surge in IoT connection additions between 2022 and 2025 TBR expects Industry 4.0 to drive a renaissance in new, commercially viable use cases for the network between 2022 and 2025, which will spur revenue-generation opportunities for communication service providers (CSPs) that deliver the connectivity layer and value-added services to […]

Telefonica models the transition of a traditional telco to a digital service provider

Telefonica represents a prime model of the opportunities and challenges telecom operators will experience as they evolve into digital service providers. The digital era will enable telecom operators to become more agile and profitable as they transition away from more costly legacy network technologies and business models. The digital era will place greater expectations on […]

Operators are partnering more deeply with webscales to support multicloud and hybrid environments

Combined Cloud as a Service revenue for telecom operators in Technology Business Research, Inc.’s (TBR) 4Q18 Carrier Cloud Benchmark rose 13.2% year-to-year in 4Q18, primarily due to investments in new data centers and portfolio expansion in growth segments such as SaaS and hybrid cloud. All benchmarked companies sustained year-to-year Cloud as a Service revenue growth […]

Competition from MVNOs and smaller rivals limits subscriber growth for Tier 1 U.S. and Canadian operators

Wireless revenue rose 2.2% year-to-year to $64 billion among U.S. operators covered in Technology Business Research Inc.’s (TBR) 4Q18 U.S. & Canada Mobile Operator Benchmark, driven by continued subscriber growth and adoption of premium smartphones. All benchmarked U.S. operators except Sprint were able to gain postpaid phone net additions in 4Q18 as opportunity remains to […]