Entries by James Wichert, Analyst

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: Leidos

In FY25 Leidos will tout its mission-critical solutions to enhance outcomes quickly, cost-effectively and at scale for federal agencies. Leidos will accelerate efforts to draw closer to its federal clients, emphasizing how they can more effectively utilize the company’s delivery scale and depth of mission expertise to comply with DOGE’s mandates, the overarching IT objectives of the Trump administration and the enduring need to modernize federal technology infrastructures.

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: CGI Federal

CGI Federal is confident it can adapt to outcome-focused contracting in federal IT but is uncertain how quickly the transition can be completed. CGI Federal has been a perennial margin leader in TBR’s Federal IT Services Benchmark due to its traction with its ever-expanding suite of homespun intellectual property (IP)-based offerings like Sunflower and Momentum, and demand for these offerings will at least endure, but likely increase, under DOGE.

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: General Dynamics Technologies

GDT is not going to give up on the federal health market or on consulting, but TBR anticipates the vendor will increasingly prioritize defense opportunities in the interim, such as a recently awarded contract worth up to $5.6 billion to manage the DOD’s Mission Partner Environment. The DOD has historically been GDT’s largest client and was responsible for more than 58% of its revenue in 1Q25. While the Trump administration is asking for a 23% reduction in nondefense discretionary funding in its FFY26 budget proposal, it wants to keep the DOD’s discretionary spending roughly on par with the $892.5 billion stopgap for FFY25. GDIT is well positioned to capitalize on the DOD becoming increasingly interested in emerging technologies, given its experience with fixed-price and outcome-based contracting.

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: IBM Federal

CACI believes demand will remain strong through the remainder of its FY25 and into its FY26 for technologies and capabilities at the core of the company’s portfolio. Uninterrupted sales growth and consistent margin performance indicate CACI’s offerings remain well aligned to the Trump administration’s IT investment priorities, particularly as the new administration prepares to expand investment in cybersecurity, national security and national defense, and advanced space-based communications systems for defense, intelligence and civil applications. CACI executives also noted that the federal budget environment is slowly becoming more constructive and more transparent, a positive harbinger for CACI and its fellow federal IT contractors.

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: CACI

CACI believes demand will remain strong through the remainder of its FY25 and into its FY26 for technologies and capabilities at the core of the company’s portfolio. Uninterrupted sales growth and consistent margin performance indicate CACI’s offerings remain well aligned to the Trump administration’s IT investment priorities, particularly as the new administration prepares to expand investment in cybersecurity, national security and national defense, and advanced space-based communications systems for defense, intelligence and civil applications. CACI executives also noted that the federal budget environment is slowly becoming more constructive and more transparent, a positive harbinger for CACI and its fellow federal IT contractors.

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: Accenture Federal Services

The full impact of the 10 canceled task orders on Accenture Federal Services (AFS) remains unclear, but TBR’s secondary research indicates the terminated work has a total contract value of nearly $93 million, including a $35 million order from DOE’s CIO office and a $2 million order for geospatial services. If we assume all $93 million worth of orders was booked by AFS as the prime awardee, that sum would represent just under 2% of AFS’ estimated FY24 revenue of $5.4 billion.

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: SAIC

TBR was surprised by SAIC’s FY26 (CY25) outlook, which was consistent with CEO Toni Townes-Whitley’s comment during the company’s 4Q24 earnings call that SAIC’s “current revenue with agencies under particular scrutiny by DOGE is immaterial.” In fact, SAIC elevated several elements of its FY26 guidance in 4Q24.

Leading Federal Systems Integrators React to U.S. Department of Government Efficiency 

After a four-year bull market featuring unprecedented spending growth in federal IT, DOGE is creating near-term challenges for FSIs The newly inaugurated Trump administration and its Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) have generated massive upheaval across the board in federal operations, including the federal IT segment. As of March 2025, thousands of contracts described by […]

Federal IT Spending Poised for Another Strong Year in Fiscal 2025

The new federal fiscal year began with a continuing resolution (CR) that extended government funding until Dec. 20, when a subsequent CR was enacted to fund federal operations until March 14, 2025. Further CR extensions in federal fiscal year 2025 (FFY2025) would cause budget delays that could impede the ability of federal IT contractors to convert backlog into revenue, but most vendors expect revenue growth to remain on a solidly upward growth trajectory in FFY25.