TBR’s Business Insights

DOGE drives civil sector slowdown; defense contractors gear up as Trump’s budget shifts billions to military priorities

08.04.25

The Trump administration’s recent “skinny” budget proposal for FFY26 suggests that nondefense spending will fall from around $720 billion in FFY25 to approximately $557 billion in FFY26, representing a 23% decline. Contractors with any level of exposure to the civilian sector can expect agency reorganizations, layoffs, budget reductions and in-depth contract reviews within civil agencies for the remainder of FFY25 and likely into at least the first half of FFY26. The pace of new awards has already slowed significantly at some civilian agencies, as has the rate of new bookings on existing civilian engagements.

Getty Images

Geopolitics with Purpose: EY-Parthenon Drives Strategy, Not Just Awareness

07.17.25

TBR has long maintained that the Big Four firms have an inherent advantage against all competitors when it comes to understanding and advising on geopolitical risk. Perhaps only the U.S. government has the same global spread of talent, with professionals in nearly every country, most intimately aware of local business, economic and even political trends. When EY-Parthenon showed off its Geopolitical Advisory team recently, TBR wanted to know: Is this something special?

Manufacturing Growth Slows, But EMEA IT Services Vendors Find Lifeline in Public Sector Wins

07.16.25

This quarter, we look at Accenture, Atos, Capgemini and IBM Consulting in the Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) market, and compare how their industry diversification, portfolios and localization strategies position them for revenue growth. Atos and Capgemini, the two IT services companies whose EMEA revenue makes up over half of total revenue, experienced a steady decline in trailing 12-month (TTM) year-to-year revenue growth in recent quarters. Yet, Accenture and IBM were better able to maintain growth as macroeconomic conditions deteriorated in recent quarters.

Getty Images

Capgemini to Acquire WNS for $3.3B, Tripling BPO Revenue and Accelerating AI Ambitions

07.15.25

The acquisition undoubtedly serves as an important stepping stone to transform Capgemini’s BPO offerings, which are housed in its Operations & Engineering segment, yet Capgemini must be strategic with its approach, balancing new clients’ expectations with the introduction of incremental GenAI and agentic AI capabilities. Capgemini’s recent investments in partner-enabled portfolio offerings position the company well for a large change in the segment, such as its new agentic AI offerings announced with Google Cloud in April and its NVIDIA NIM-powered industry-specific agentic AI solutions and agentic gallery.

Technology Business Research, Inc.

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: Maximus

06.11.25

Partnerships will be integral as vendors across the federal IT market look to quickly demonstrate their value to the new administration. While Maximus has historically been quiet regarding its alliance activity, this could change as the vendor aims to avoid falling behind. For example, Maximus recently announced a partnership with Salesforce to augment its CX as a Service efforts. The Maximus Total Experience Management solution is being augmented with the Agentforce platform to provide clients with AI agents tailored to their needs that use data to adapt to citizens’ needs and simplify interactions.

Technology Business Research, Inc.

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: ICF International

06.11.25

TBR anticipates ICF will also explore ways to make its IT modernization and digital transformation work more agile while increasingly booking these types of engagements as fixed-price, outcome-based contracts, given the Trump administration’s preference for this contracting method. At least 50% of ICF’s IT modernization and digital transformation engagements are already fixed-price, outcome-based contracts.

Canva Pro

Atos Is Starting to Regain Client Trust and Develop Commercial Opportunities That Will Generate Revenue in 2025

06.06.25

After years of instability and declining performance, Atos enters 2025 with new leadership, improved liquidity and early signs of commercial momentum, positioning the company for gradual recovery and long-term stabilization.

Aera Bella

Oracle Strategy: Large Backlog and New Government Contracts Boost Vendor’s Long-term Outlook

06.05.25

Oracle’s current business strategy centers on streamlining customer success efforts, enhancing partner collaboration, and expanding multicloud infrastructure. By consolidating its services under the Oracle Customer Success Services (CSS) umbrella, the company has improved life cycle support for clients, reduced overlap with systems integrators, and equipped partners with tools like the Cloud Success Navigator to enhance implementation and renewal outcomes.

Technology Business Research, Inc.

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: Booz Allen Hamilton

05.30.25

The disruption that has very suddenly overtaken BAH’s civil business has prompted the firm to craft what Rozanski called a “one-time reset” of its civilian operations, including a 7% reduction in global headcount (about 2,500 employees) in 2Q25 that will disproportionately impact BAH’s civilian operations. The decline in civilian award activity has been so abrupt that BAH has not been able to sufficiently redeploy civilian project staff to DOD, IC or commercial sector programs, despite the firm’s expectations that growth will continue in its DOD and IC units in FY26.

Previous Next

Our most-read analysis, free in your inbox each week!

Fill out the form to the right to subscribe to Insights Flight today

Abstract,close up of Mainboard Electronic computer background. (artificial intelligence, ai)

Getty Images via Canva Pro

2024: A Transitional Year for GenAI and PC Markets

04.16.24/by TBR

Explore how 2024 marks a pivotal year for GenAI and the PC market. Discover the latest AI applications, market trends, and the evolving role of AI PCs in driving industry conversations and addressing privacy concerns.

The Critical Role of Competitive Intelligence in Strategy Planning

04.11.24/by Kelly Lesiczka, Senior Analyst

Learn how competitive intelligence is essential for strategy planning. Discover the benefits, best practices and key considerations for integrating market knowledge and competitor analysis into your strategic framework.

Getty Images via Canva Pro

3 Ways AI Is Transforming the Cloud Industry in 2024

04.10.24/by Allan Krans, Practice Manager and Principal Analyst

Hyperscalers and SaaS providers are clearly on the front lines of GenAI monetization, but the availability of GenAI services through cloud delivery methods will also accelerate the development of the market.

How AI is Revolutionizing Telecom: Top Transformations for 2024

04.04.24/by Chris Antlitz, Principal Analyst

Discover how AI is revolutionizing the telecom industry in 2024. Learn about advancements in contact centers, customer lifecycle management, and corporate functions, driving efficiency and innovation.

When Will GenAI Impact the Devices Market?

04.02.24/by TBR

Generative AI (GenAI) will make devices, especially PCs and smartphones, more powerful and easier to use, and that will drive business among device, platform, silicon and software vendors but will not change the structure of the ecosystem. New opportunities in software and services will present themselves, new companies will enter the market, and most new companies will ultimately be acquired.

Cloud Components Market 2024: AI, Hybrid Solutions and Key Acquisitions

03.21.24/by Catie Merrill, Senior Analyst

Explore the latest trends in the cloud components market for 2024, focusing on acquisitions, AI advancements, and hybrid solutions. Discover how leading vendors like Dell, Cisco and HPE are shaping the landscape.

Unlocking Business Success: Competitive Intelligence

03.13.24/by Allan Krans, Practice Manager and Principal Analyst

Discover the power of competitive intelligence for business success. Learn how to leverage CI to gain insights on competitors, partners and customers.

Expectations for GenAI Deployment in IT Services in 2024

02.28.24/by Patrick Heffernan, Practice Manager and Principal Analyst

Delve into the current landscape of GenAI deployment in 2024. Despite initial hype, concerns around cost, technology challenges, and ethics persist. Explore how IT services vendors are pivoting towards business-backed use cases to sustain client interest. Anticipate shifts towards outcome-based pricing and increased focus on data orchestration. Download TBR’s predictions for IT services and consulting markets in 2024 for insights into GenAI pressures and talent challenges.

6G Transition: Preparing for Next-Gen Networks

02.26.24/by Steve Vachon, Senior Analyst

Discover the impending transition to 6G networks and the preparations being made by the telecom industry and global government entities. Stay ahead of the curve with this insightful blog post.

Free Data & Analysis

Subscribe to Insights Flight today!