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Allan Krans, Practice Manager and Principal Analyst
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Allan Krans, Practice Manager and Principal Analyst2026-02-20 11:00:092026-01-29 11:18:46Skills Shortage Will Challenge the Scaling of Sovereign AI in 2026You are here: Home1 / Competitive Insights – Analyst Perspectives – TBR2 / Competitive Insights and Analyses Blog
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Allan Krans, Practice Manager and Principal Analyst
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Allan Krans, Practice Manager and Principal Analyst2026-02-20 11:00:092026-01-29 11:18:46Skills Shortage Will Challenge the Scaling of Sovereign AI in 2026
PaaS Revenue Will Outpace SaaS Revenue for Cloud Software Vendors
Enterprise customers are prioritizing the modernization of their existing SaaS estates rather than adding new applications, driven by market saturation, accumulated technical debt, and a growing imperative to become AI-ready. As IT buyers shift their focus toward modern platforms, traditional SaaS leaders should expect their PaaS segments to continue significantly outperforming their core SaaS businesses in revenue growth.
Dee Angela, Canva ProAlliances Will Extend Beyond Core Offerings as AI-driven Sales and Marketing Reshape Ecosystems
IT services companies have their limits, and clients have preferred technology vendors, leading IT services companies to look to alliances to drive new growth. We have seen this pattern before, but in 2026 we will see IT services companies extend those alliances into devices, connectivity and even silicon, requiring a multiparty alliance approach that will strain commercial models, sales strategies and alliance leaders across the ecosystem.

Consulting Will Rebound in 2026
After a period of relative softness, consulting revenues are expected to rebound to high-single- or low-double-digit growth as pervasive uncertainty pushes enterprises to seek external guidance. Demand will be particularly strong around risk mitigation, strategic planning and AI adoption, positioning forward-deployed engineers, supply chain management and people advisory services as leading revenue drivers in 2026.

Bad Debt Expenses Will Rise for CSPs in 2026
In a K-shaped economy that increasingly separates financial winners from losers, the majority of households and businesses on the lower arm of the “K” are under mounting financial strain and are finding it more difficult to pay their bills. As these economic pressures persist, communications service providers (CSPs) should expect bad debt expenses to continue rising, with the potential to meet, or even exceed, levels experienced during the Great Recession.

How Will Advanced AI Impact Pricing, Labor Practices and Client Expectations?
Advanced AI may be front and center in IT services strategy, but execution challenges remain a familiar story. Despite ongoing hype around unlocking new efficiencies and nonlinear growth, IT services firms continue to grapple with the reality of needing labor arbitrage in the short term and meeting client expectations.
Gustavo Quiroga Gaitan, Canva ProAI Alliances Will Increasingly Target OT
New and expanding partnerships are increasingly targeting the convergence of IT and OT, as system integrators (SIs) align with OEMs, manufacturing ISVs and silicon providers. This momentum is driven by the strong growth potential in high-tech manufacturing, where solutions that improve accuracy, efficiency and safety can be deployed on-site without reliance on rack-scale compute systems in neoclouds or Tier 1 clouds. As a result, while AI has long operated at the edge, these partnerships will accelerate both the sophistication of AI-driven use cases and the pace of solution framework development.

Agentic AI Adoption Is Pressuring Security Architectures to Converge
The emerging pattern of multicloud security consolidation has direct implications for both Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft, as enterprises reassess detection pipelines, governance models and operating frameworks heading into 2026. Although AWS remains well positioned in analytics-heavy workloads, the company needs to reevaluate its long-established “building block” approach, especially as peers deliver more integrated platforms. For Microsoft, its strengths will continue to be with organizations where Microsoft 365 already anchors their identity and collaboration strategies.
Saitharn, Getty Images via Canva ProThe U.S. doesn’t have a Spectrum Shortage — It has a Utilization Problem
The mobile industry continues to beat the drum for more spectrum, but it should instead focus on fully utilizing the spectrum already allocated. TBR notes there are vast tranches of spectrum in the U.S. market that are broadly underutilized, either for technical or economic reasons. And challenges will only worsen as the industry aims to bring upper midband frequencies into the fray, which have greater propagation challenges and are less suited for macro coverage.
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B2B Strategic Advantage: Ecosystem Intelligence
/by Patrick Heffernan, Practice Manager and Principal AnalystVendor consolidation and enterprise optimization of existing digital stacks have compelled IT services companies and consultancies as well as their ecosystem partners to think strategically about who to partner with and how to secure and expand their position within the ecosystem. As a result, aligning business priorities with alliance partners will allow IT services companies and consultancies to develop a more empathetic approach to technology-fatigued buyers. Additionally, understanding pricing and commercial structures backed by common knowledge management programs will elevate the value of joint services and appeal to enterprise buyers’ appreciation of a separation of labor, supported by greater transparency and accountability.
KPMG Shifts Focus to Legal Services and AI-driven Strategy Consulting
/by Bozhidar Hristov, Principal AnalystEarlier in January news reports surfaced that a subsidiary of KPMG, KPMG Law US, had applied to operate in Arizona under a state program allowing nonlawyers to operate law firms and provide legal services in the state. KPMG is leaning toward legal services and AI-infused strategy consulting offerings to bolster sales as the firm navigates choppy market conditions within core deal advisory.
Infosys’ Future: Scaling GenAI and SLM Innovation to Drive Growth and Stakeholder Trust
/by Bozhidar Hristov, Principal AnalystDeveloping a client-ready AI-first portfolio is not a strategy unique to Infosys, but keeping pace with the rapidly evolving generative AI (GenAI) market highlights the company’s appetite for innovation and helps it strengthen stakeholder trust. Over the past 24 months, a large portion of vendor-client discussions focused on experimenting with developing and running large language models (LLMs), often fed with either public or nonessential data. Growing adoption of the technology has introduced the need for developing SLMs that are either function or industry specific.
What Spectrum Will 6G Use?
/by Chris Antlitz, Principal AnalystThe telecom industry continues to struggle with realizing new revenue and deriving ROI from 5G, even after five years of market development. TBR continues to see no solution to this persistent challenge, and with no catalyst on the horizon to change the situation, CSPs’ appetite for and scope of investment in 6G will likely be limited.
AI Agents: What Are They, and How Will They Impact the AI PC Space in 2025?
/by Alek Maxfield, Research AnalystOver the past several quarters, OEMs have focused on incorporating local AI-powered features into their new PC releases, with initial neural processing unit (NPU)-enabled use cases leveraging AI to further enhance collaboration experiences and extend battery life. However, AI agents take the NPU’s functionality a step further, combining the capabilities of large language models (LLMs) with other resources to partially or fully automate a wide range of tasks, including responding to emails, booking hotel stays, or opening and closing IT help desk tickets.
AI Buzz Sparks IT Infrastructure Shifts, but Privacy and Strategic Challenges Are Impacting Adoption
/by Ben Carbonneau, Senior Data AnalystThe industry enthusiasm surrounding AI has quickly led to shifts in organizations’ strategic priorities and expected investments such as demand for servers. Despite the hype, few organizations have operationalized GenAI to date. Instead, most are focused on overcoming initial barriers to adoption, including understanding the business implications of this new technology frontier.
GenAI, IT Modernization and Strategic M&A Drive Infrastructure as a Service and Platform as a Service Growth
/by Catie Merrill, Senior AnalystTop hyperscalers Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft are capturing legacy Oracle and SAP workloads as customers continue to migrate to the cloud to not only outsource their IT operations but also drive lasting business value. Though the geopolitical outlook is increasingly uncertain, we expect customers will continue to prioritize more traditional “lift and shift” migrations, and steps vendors are taking to deliver more integrated solutions could help.
Harnessing AI and Automation in Business Process Outsourcing to Drive Growth Amid Shifting Buyer Priorities
/by Kelly Lesiczka, Senior AnalystVendors’ business process outsourcing (BPO) businesses continue to benefit from the ongoing shift in buyer priorities from innovation and growth toward business resiliency and optimization. Buyers are investing in automating business processes to free up costs, providing pathways to growth for vendors with AI-powered and platform-based offerings.
Emerging Consultancy Trends: Talent Management and Innovation in the Spotlight
/by Patrick Heffernan, Practice Manager and Principal AnalystTechnology continues to threaten the nature of consulting engagements, requiring consultancies to showcase value and deliver on outcomes. Greater investment in talent frameworks, structure and skill will equip staff to lead client discussions and effectively leverage technology to assist workflows. Partnerships remain a core piece of the technology integration, bringing in new expertise and go-to-market opportunities that enable consultancies to meet a wider variety of client needs. Client retention remains a priority across consultancies but will require the firms to effectively deliver value through services.
Federal IT Spending Will Remain Robust in FFY25 Amid AI Prioritization
/by John Caucis, Senior AnalystSince coming into office, the Biden administration has fueled an unprecedented federal IT bull market. While the White House’s proposed federal civilian technology budget of $75.1 billion for federal fiscal year 2025 (FFY25) is the smallest increase in several years (up less than 1% compared to $74.5 billion in FFY24), it is still an increase of more than 14% from $65.8 billion in FFY23, and up 25% from $60.1 billion in FFY21, the last year of the prior administration. FFY25 has started with a continuing resolution (CR), as have most of the last several fiscal year. The impact of the latest CR on the largest federal systems integrators may be limited to shorter-cycle programs in their order books, but some disruptions to larger, longer-term engagements are not out of the question.