TBR’s Business Insights

DOGE drives civil sector slowdown; defense contractors gear up as Trump’s budget shifts billions to military priorities

08.04.25

The Trump administration’s recent “skinny” budget proposal for FFY26 suggests that nondefense spending will fall from around $720 billion in FFY25 to approximately $557 billion in FFY26, representing a 23% decline. Contractors with any level of exposure to the civilian sector can expect agency reorganizations, layoffs, budget reductions and in-depth contract reviews within civil agencies for the remainder of FFY25 and likely into at least the first half of FFY26. The pace of new awards has already slowed significantly at some civilian agencies, as has the rate of new bookings on existing civilian engagements.

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Geopolitics with Purpose: EY-Parthenon Drives Strategy, Not Just Awareness

07.17.25

TBR has long maintained that the Big Four firms have an inherent advantage against all competitors when it comes to understanding and advising on geopolitical risk. Perhaps only the U.S. government has the same global spread of talent, with professionals in nearly every country, most intimately aware of local business, economic and even political trends. When EY-Parthenon showed off its Geopolitical Advisory team recently, TBR wanted to know: Is this something special?

Manufacturing Growth Slows, But EMEA IT Services Vendors Find Lifeline in Public Sector Wins

07.16.25

This quarter, we look at Accenture, Atos, Capgemini and IBM Consulting in the Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) market, and compare how their industry diversification, portfolios and localization strategies position them for revenue growth. Atos and Capgemini, the two IT services companies whose EMEA revenue makes up over half of total revenue, experienced a steady decline in trailing 12-month (TTM) year-to-year revenue growth in recent quarters. Yet, Accenture and IBM were better able to maintain growth as macroeconomic conditions deteriorated in recent quarters.

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Capgemini to Acquire WNS for $3.3B, Tripling BPO Revenue and Accelerating AI Ambitions

07.15.25

The acquisition undoubtedly serves as an important stepping stone to transform Capgemini’s BPO offerings, which are housed in its Operations & Engineering segment, yet Capgemini must be strategic with its approach, balancing new clients’ expectations with the introduction of incremental GenAI and agentic AI capabilities. Capgemini’s recent investments in partner-enabled portfolio offerings position the company well for a large change in the segment, such as its new agentic AI offerings announced with Google Cloud in April and its NVIDIA NIM-powered industry-specific agentic AI solutions and agentic gallery.

Technology Business Research, Inc.

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: Maximus

06.11.25

Partnerships will be integral as vendors across the federal IT market look to quickly demonstrate their value to the new administration. While Maximus has historically been quiet regarding its alliance activity, this could change as the vendor aims to avoid falling behind. For example, Maximus recently announced a partnership with Salesforce to augment its CX as a Service efforts. The Maximus Total Experience Management solution is being augmented with the Agentforce platform to provide clients with AI agents tailored to their needs that use data to adapt to citizens’ needs and simplify interactions.

Technology Business Research, Inc.

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: ICF International

06.11.25

TBR anticipates ICF will also explore ways to make its IT modernization and digital transformation work more agile while increasingly booking these types of engagements as fixed-price, outcome-based contracts, given the Trump administration’s preference for this contracting method. At least 50% of ICF’s IT modernization and digital transformation engagements are already fixed-price, outcome-based contracts.

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Atos Is Starting to Regain Client Trust and Develop Commercial Opportunities That Will Generate Revenue in 2025

06.06.25

After years of instability and declining performance, Atos enters 2025 with new leadership, improved liquidity and early signs of commercial momentum, positioning the company for gradual recovery and long-term stabilization.

Aera Bella

Oracle Strategy: Large Backlog and New Government Contracts Boost Vendor’s Long-term Outlook

06.05.25

Oracle’s current business strategy centers on streamlining customer success efforts, enhancing partner collaboration, and expanding multicloud infrastructure. By consolidating its services under the Oracle Customer Success Services (CSS) umbrella, the company has improved life cycle support for clients, reduced overlap with systems integrators, and equipped partners with tools like the Cloud Success Navigator to enhance implementation and renewal outcomes.

Technology Business Research, Inc.

DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: Booz Allen Hamilton

05.30.25

The disruption that has very suddenly overtaken BAH’s civil business has prompted the firm to craft what Rozanski called a “one-time reset” of its civilian operations, including a 7% reduction in global headcount (about 2,500 employees) in 2Q25 that will disproportionately impact BAH’s civilian operations. The decline in civilian award activity has been so abrupt that BAH has not been able to sufficiently redeploy civilian project staff to DOD, IC or commercial sector programs, despite the firm’s expectations that growth will continue in its DOD and IC units in FY26.

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Blog series: Gimme 3 Insight Interviews with TBR's Subject-matter Experts

Technology Business Research, Inc.

Landscape Shifts In Management Consulting Require Consulting Firms To Change Their Approach

01.30.23/by Patrick Heffernan, Practice Manager and Principal Analyst

Learn which ongoing landscape shifts within the management consulting space have pushed firms to re-evaluate business structures and portfolio offerings

Industrial IoT (IIoT) – Challenges in the marketplace

12.07.22/by Patrick Heffernan, Practice Manager and Principal Analyst

Learn why IT services vendors and consultancies must make smart choices around IP and ecosystems in industrial IoT (IIoT)

What’s next for Lockheed Martin after being left out of ABMS consortium?

11.28.22/by James Wichert, Analyst

Notably, Lockheed Martin was left out of the ABMS Digital Infrastructure Consortium, despite ramping up its efforts to underpin the DOD’s JADC2 vision.

Special Report: TBR 2023 Digital Transformation Predictions

Technology Business Research, Inc.

Top 3 Predictions for Digital Transformation (DT) in 2023

11.21.22/by Patrick Heffernan, Practice Manager and Principal Analyst

TBR starts off 2023 with 3 predictions surrounding Digital Transformation. The report includes commentary revolving around Metaverse, AI and how hyperscalers will kill technology agnosticism.

Special Report: TBR 2023 Professional Services Predictions

Technology Business Research, Inc.

Top 3 Predictions for Professional Services (IT Services Vendors) in 2023

11.21.22/by Patrick Heffernan, Practice Manager and Principal Analyst

Many IT services vendors and consultancies are reconstituting in new forms, bringing some chaos to the digital transformation landscape and upending alliances in 2023. TBR discusses this and more in our Top 3 Predictions for Professional Services in 2023 report.

Special Report: TBR 2023 Telecom Predictions

Technology Business Research, Inc.

Top 3 Predictions for Telecom Going Into 2023 and Beyond

11.21.22/by Chris Antlitz, Principal Analyst

TBR’s top predictions for the upcoming year include the telecom industry facing an unprecedented level of uncertainty and risk in 2023

Special Report: TBR 2023 Cloud & Software Predictions

Technology Business Research, Inc.

Top 5 Predictions for Cloud & Software Vendors in 2023

11.21.22/by Allan Krans, Practice Manager and Principal Analyst

TBR’s 2023 Report featuring Predictions for Cloud and Software vendors is now live. With unprecedented times upon this, we discuss how cloud vendors will use predictable strategies going into 2023 and beyond.

Special Report: TBR 2023 IT Infrastructure Predictions

Technology Business Research, Inc.

IT Infrastructure Predictions and Trends for 2023 and Beyond

11.21.22/by Angela Lambert, Principal Analyst and Practice Manager

Competition among infrastructure vendors will be stiff as ever going into 2023, leaving vendors hungry to increase their relevance and value to customers outside the traditional data center.

Special Report: TBR 2023 Devices Predictions

Technology Business Research, Inc.

Top 3 Predictions for Devices (PCs) in 2023

11.21.22/by TBR

Following the pandemic-related surge in PC sales and AUR, TBR predicts vendor revenue and margins will be lower in 2023.

Special Report: TBR 2023 Federal IT Services Predictions

Technology Business Research, Inc.

Top 3 Predictions for Government IT Services in 2023

11.21.22/by John Caucis, Senior Analyst

TBR predicts federal government IT spend is poised to surge to new highs on the back of digital modernization and cybersecurity investment. Read more about this prediction and others in our 2023 report.

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