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Top vendors positioned to capitalize on TIS market trends

Communication service providers (CSPs) are in the middle of a robust investment cycle that requires significant spend on telecom infrastructure services (TIS). Current trends are expected to play out over the remainder of this decade. Spend is expected to peak in the next few years.

 

Join Senior Analyst Michael Soper for a deep dive into growth catalysts such as 5G deployments globally, network and IT application migration to the cloud, and an influx of government funds to close the digital divide. Michael will also look at geopolitics driving government spend and CSPs’ actions to rip and replace Huawei infrastructure over the next few years.

 

In this FREE webinar you’ll learn:

  • Key growth drivers and growth detractors expected in the TIS market through 2026, according to findings in TBR’s Telecom Infrastructure Services Global Market Forecast 2021-2026
  • How government spend and geopolitics will influence the TIS market
  • Which vendors are positioned to capitalize on trends in the TIS market

 

Mark your calendars for Thursday, June 23, 2022, at 1 p.m. EDT,
and REGISTER to reserve your space.

 

Related content:

  1. Free copy: Top 3 Predictions for Telecom in 2022

 

Click here to register for more TBR Webinars

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Lumen evolves from a traditional telco to a technology company

The 2022 Lumen Global Analyst and Consultant Forum showcased Lumen Technologies’ (NYSE: LUMN) ambition to transform from a traditional telco to a technology company. Lumen’s capabilities in hybrid networking, edge computing, connected security, unified communications and more will help support clients’ transition to a distributed workforce while bolstering Industry 4.0 initiatives across multiple verticals.

“The Platform for Amazing Things” was the central theme of the forum and highlighted Lumen’s strategy of leveraging its vast global network footprint (450,000 global route miles of fiber and over 60 planned global edge computing nodes) and robust enterprise portfolio to serve as an enabler of digital transformation for clients.

Lumen will continue to face challenges such as diminishing demand for its legacy solutions, competition from 5G wireless providers, Comcast Business’ (Nasdaq: CMCSA) growing footing in the midmarket and international markets via its recent Masergy acquisition, and disruption from hyperscalers’ growing pursuit of private network opportunities. However, the vendor will benefit from its willingness to collaborate with the broader technology industry, including with hyperscalers and other telecom operators such as T-Mobile (NasdaqGS: TMUS), as well as its strengthening capabilities in consulting, implementation and managed services as Lumen becomes better versed in supporting IT solutions from a broader array of providers.

Impact and opportunities

Divesting its ILEC and Latin America assets will enable Lumen to fund its Industry 4.0 initiatives

Lumen will transition into a leaner and more profitable company over the next several years as it divests nonstrategic assets, including its Latin America business and ILEC (incumbent local exchange carrier) operations in 20 states. The divestments will enable Lumen to increase focus on its Industry 4.0 initiatives. Additionally, they will allow the company to concentrate on its more viable remaining ILEC operations in 16 states, which have higher fiber penetration, population density and enterprise demand than the pending divested markets. The divestments will also enable Lumen to target investments toward growth areas including fiber and enterprise portfolio expansion.

Business services revenue, which is experiencing persistent declines due to lower demand for legacy solutions and elongated sales cycles amid the pandemic, will account for a higher proportion of Lumen’s total revenue following the divestment of the company’s ILEC assets. To improve business services revenue, Lumen will increase investment in strategic IT solutions such as edge computing, security and managed services as clients modernize infrastructure and implement advanced use cases to improve operational efficiency.

Returning to top-line growth is a priority for Lumen, though the company expects revenue will continue to decline in 2022 despite growth in certain strategic services, such as edge computing. Lumen is targeting a return to revenue growth within two years as Industry 4.0 initiatives begin to offset legacy solution declines and Lumen’s consumer segment benefits from the expansion of its residential Quantum Fiber services to reach a total addressable market of 12 million locations over the next several years.

2022 Lumen Global Industry Analyst and Consultant Forum: A select group of industry analysts and consultants were invited to hear from Lumen Technologies leadership about the company’s business, technology and go-to-market strategies and goals. The event included sessions focused on technologies such as edge computing, cloud, SD-WAN and SASE, unified communications, and cybersecurity as well as customer case studies in verticals including manufacturing, the public sector, retail, education, food service and sports.

TBR releases exclusive webinar content from 2022 Prediction series

Technology Business Research, Inc. (TBR) announces on-demand availability of all of our 2022 Predictions webinars. Predictions is an annual special series examining market trends and business changes in key markets, such as cloud, IT services, digital transformation and telecom.

There are no guarantees in the metaverse, but Tech Mahindra bets on it anyway

Tech Mahindra unveils a dedicated metaverse practice

On Feb. 28, 2022, Tech Mahindra announced the launch of its new practice, TechMVerse, a metaverse-oriented business unit that will focus on developing immersive and digital experiences for clients. According to the company’s press release, the practice will combine Tech Mahindra’s network and IT infrastructure expertise with AI, blockchain, 5G, augmented reality (AR)/VR and quantum computing capabilities to build metaverse use cases, such as DealerVerse (a metaverse-based car dealership), Middlemist (a non-fungible token [NFT] marketplace), Meta Bank (a virtual bank), and a gaming center. While currently at about 100 employees, according to The Economic Times, Tech Mahindra announced that it plans to train 1,000 engineers in the coming years to support the practice’s growth.

5G as the company’s backdrop 

Tech Mahindra’s historical strengths as a telecom-oriented IT services firm help guide its future path. Today’s Tech Mahindra was born from a 2013 merger with Mahindra Satyam, which helped the company diversify into new verticals outside of its core telecommunications market, such as banking, financial services, and insurance (BFSI). As such, telecom infrastructure, network and IT services are Tech Mahindra’s bread and butter, accounting for approximately 40% of total revenue. And the company has continued to invest in 5G, network and software-defined architecture services, giving Tech Mahindra strong capabilities in the next-gen wireless technology that will help power many of the data-intensive metaverse use cases.

A recent example includes a collaboration with Nokia (NYSE: NOK) that will enable Tech Mahindra to leverage Nokia’s private wireless Digital Automation Cloud solution for customers and support 5G private wireless network automation and management through an “as a Service” model. Verizon’s (NYSE: VZ) “H1DD3N” AR/VR treasure hunt in September 2021 to promote its 5G network across several large U.S. markets and Apple’s (Nasdaq: AAPL) new iPhone lineup reflects 5G’s role in supporting metaverse use cases, and Tech Mahindra’s 5G private wireless network capabilities can make similar events and 5G speeds possible for its enterprise clients.

Tech Mahindra eyes 2 key areas of the metaverse 

Two components of Tech Mahindra’s investments related to the metaverse stand out to TBR, particularly around NFTs and gaming. As blockchain data and analysis firm Chainalysis stated in its 2021 NFT market report, “In 2021, users have sent at least $44.2 billion worth of cryptocurrency to … two types of Ethereum smart contracts associated with NFT marketplaces and collections.” Tech Mahindra is aiming to capitalize on the commercialization of new products related to this NFT spending. Specifically, the company plans to offer digital and professional experience services around design and content through TechMVerse and will also offer low-code NFT and blockchain platforms for enterprise clients.

We see this as a key opportunity for Tech Mahindra, as organizations increasingly devote resources to exploring the connection between NFTs and the metaverse — such as JPMorgan’s Onyx Lounge in Decentraland, where one can buy virtual land with NFTs — yet may lack the required IT infrastructure, skills or impetus to build their own use cases from scratch. Tech Mahindra is also planning to collaborate with Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. to offer digital collectibles that will be listed and offered for sale through Tech Mahindra’s NFT Marketplace platform.

At the same time, the gaming industry is arguably the pioneer of the metaverse. From The Sims to Fortnite, consumers continue to spend real dollars on virtual things in virtual worlds. Hence, the metaverse is not a new concept, rather one that has already been quietly and successfully adopted by gaming companies, as new data from the Entertainment Software Association found that spending on gaming content reached $51.7 billion in 2021. While noting that it plans to develop use cases, Tech Mahindra also announced it is launching a new Cloud Gaming as a Service solution for telecommunications, cable and OEM companies in partnership with Ludium Labs, a firm that offers cloud adoption and interactive streaming of applications.

According to the press release, the 5G-powered, low-latency gaming solution will have a library of 150-plus AAA games stored in the cloud and will help these firms improve their customers’ access to compute-intensive games on any device, thereby eliminating the need for consoles and high-speed internet. The service mirrors Microsoft’s efforts to transform the gaming industry by bringing in subscription-based business models with the 3Q20 launch of Project xCloud.

According to TBR’s 4Q21 Microsoft Cloud report: “While Project xCloud — now called Xbox Cloud Gaming — was not the first subscription-based gaming service to be offered in the industry, TBR felt at the time of the launch that Microsoft’s ability to differentiate would be supported by the company’s expertise in operating subscription-based businesses and guide its gaming go-to-market efforts.” Tech Mahindra’s Cloud Gaming as a Service solution can open up similar opportunities to its core communications client base and enable telecom companies, cable companies and OEMs to compete with gaming incumbents, further expanding Tech Mahindra’s addressable market in the metaverse.

Hyperscalers are reimagining how networks are built, owned and operated

Hyperscalers are building end-to-end networks that embody all attributes and characteristics coveted by communication service providers as part of their digital transformations. Hyperscalers are starting from scratch, completely reimagining how networks should be built and operated. Their clouds, numerous network-related experiments over the past decade, and raft of new network-related technologies on the road map will enable hyperscalers to build asset-light, automated networks at a fraction of the cost of traditional networks.

Join Principal Analyst Chris Antlitz on Thursday, March 24, 2022, for an in-depth, exclusive review of TBR’s most recent Hyperscaler Digital Ecosystem Market Landscape, during which he will discuss hyperscalers’ disruption of the telecom industry, how and why hyperscalers are building networks, and the particular focus of these networks.

The Hyperscaler Digital Ecosystem Market Landscape tracks how and why the world’s largest hyperscalers are disrupting industries to unlock economic value in the digital era, with specific focus on the disruption of the telecom industry. The report focuses on Alphabet (Google), Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms (Facebook), Microsoft and Rakuten.

Mark your calendars for Thursday, March 24, 2022, at 1 p.m. EDT,
and REGISTER to reserve your space.

Related content:

  1. Hyperscalers are reimaging how networks are built, owned and operated
  2. Top 3 Predictions for Telecom in 2022

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Demand for 5G infrastructure is becoming more robust, though commercial deployments will be delayed by supply chain headwinds in the short term

Supply-demand imbalance delays pace of 5G market development

The pandemic has prompted enterprises and governments to pull forward and broaden the scope of their digital transformations, primarily for business resiliency and cost-reduction purposes but also for tapping into new market opportunities. There is significant interest among governments and enterprises across verticals in leveraging 5G and other new technologies such as AI and edge computing, to adapt economies and societies to the new normal. Though demand for 5G infrastructure is becoming more fertile and robust, deployments are being challenged by supply chain limitations.

Though most network vendors successfully navigated supply chain headwinds in 2021 and were nearly able to fully meet demand, 2022 will be more challenging as inventories are now thinner and the shortages of chips, components and labor are impacting the telecom industry more directly. Technological complexity, standards delays and geopolitical encumbrances also threaten to slow the pace of 5G ecosystem development despite broad interest in the technology. There are two primary impacts from the supply chain breakdown: The timing of revenue recognition and cash flow for vendors is altered, and the ability of communication service providers (CSPs) to meet their build-out timelines and participate in market development is hindered.

TBR sees no easy fix to resolve the supply chain issues; rather, it will be a series of small adjustments over time that will enable the supply side to fully recover and meet demand (e.g., it takes a few years to build new chip factories). This is compounded by a demand environment that is above the historical trendline, which is driven by unprecedented government market support and greater pressure on CSPs to invest in their networks to remain competitive.

Related content:

Webinar: 2022 Predictions: Telecom

Special report: Top 3 Predictions for Telecom in 2022

Governments have passed over $30T in stimulus since the pandemic began, of which about $3T is earmarked for ICT

1Q22 5G Telecom Market Landscape infographic

Key Insights

Government funding will incentivize communication service providers to pull forward and broaden the scope of their 5G deployments, causing demand for 5G infrastructure to reach critical mass by the middle of this decade. ​

Of the $3 trillion earmarked for ICT, TBR estimates approximately $800 billion, or nearly 27%, will be allocated for connectivity infrastructure, of which 5G is a major component. ​

Money is targeted at key areas of strategic importance, such as quantum computing, semiconductors, 5G, broadband infrastructure, edge computing, AI, IoT and other ICT-related domains. ​

Related content:

Webinar: 2022 Predictions: Telecom

Special report: Top 3 Predictions for Telecom in 2022

TBR releases exclusive webinar content from December 2021

HAMPTON, N.H. (Dec. 29, 2021) — Technology Business Research, Inc. (TBR) announces on-demand availability of its December 2021 webinars, featuring discusses on expectations for innovation and transformation centers in 2022, 5G over the next five years, hardware subscription services growth, and more.

The silver lining of downward pressures that innovation and transformation centers are facing

Members of TBR’s Professional Services team take an in-depth look at how innovation and transformation centers have evolved through the pandemic and what is expected from them in 2022

With IT services again enabling digital transformation, DeFi shifts blockchain into a higher gear

Members of TBR’s Professional Services and Digital teams deep dive into IT services vendors’ investments and activities in APAC as well as discuss beyond the hype of cryptocurrency and what’s next for decentralized finance

How hardware vendors are ramping up subscription services to drive growth

Principal Analyst and Practice Manager Angela Lambert and Senior Analyst Eric Costa discusses trends emerging among hardware subscription services, drivers and inhibitors expected to impact market expansion, TBR’s forecasted market growth, and more

5G market update: Entering the ramp phase of the global build cycle

Principal Analyst Chris Antlitz gives an in-depth, exclusive review of TBR’s 5G Telecom Market Landscape and 5G Telecom Market Forecast, including major developments in the 5G market and an assessment of where the 5G market is trending over the next five years

2022 expectations: Insights from TBR’s Professional Services team

TBR’s Professional Services team looks at which key metrics and markets to look for in early 2022 as indictors for leaders and laggards, how IT services vendors, consultancies and cloud vendors responded to changing customer demands in 2021, and more

TBR webinars include a 15-minute Q&A following the main presentation. To find out what we are discussing next month, check out the Webinars page of our website.

Interested in a one-on-one discussion with one of the above subject-matter experts or a private webinar with one or more of our teams?

Contact us today for more information on our free 60-day trial

Hyperscalers are poised to disrupt the private cellular networks market over the next few years

Hyperscalers are poised to disrupt the private cellular networks market through their ecosystems, platforms and marketplaces

Hyperscalers (especially Amazon, Google and Microsoft) intend to standardize, modularize and verticalize private cellular networks (PCN)-related solutions inside their ecosystems, platforms and marketplaces, especially as it pertains to 5G and edge computing. Hyperscalers are focused on hiding the complexity of private networks and edge computing, enabling end users to more easily procure and consume these resources and unlock the value of data.

Enterprise and government consumption of networking resources will ultimately come to resemble how IT resources are consumed via the cloud, and solutions will be outcome-based. Early manifestations of this trend can be seen with Microsoft’s packaging of its 5G core with Azure Private Multi-Access Edge Compute (MEC) to enable and drive enterprise digital transformation with on-premises private 5G MEC. Microsoft is also building a range of vertical-specific use case solutions spanning smart factory, defense, retail transformation, and healthcare. Amazon and Google are following Microsoft’s lead in this domain.

Ultimately, TBR believes a large portion of activity in the private cellular networks and edge computing markets will be conducted inside hyperscalers’ ecosystems. CSPs and vendors will increasingly have to play inside hyperscalers’ ecosystems in some way to stay relevant in the market as it evolves.

Private 5G Network Revenue by Provider Type 2020-2025E

TBR’s Private Cellular Networks Market Landscape deep dives into the market for private cellular networks. This global report covers enterprises that are investing in private cellular networks as well as all of the major vendors and some nascent players that supply infrastructure in this space. The research includes key findings, key market developments, market sizing and forecast, regional trends, technology trends, vertical trends, use cases, and key customer deals that are occurring in the market. TBR’s Private Cellular Networks Market Forecast, which is global in scope, details private cellular network spending trends among enterprises and governments, particularly as it pertains to 5G. This research includes current-year market sizing and a five-year forecast of several private cellular networks market segments and geographies.

Top 3 Predictions for IT Services in 2022

Sustainability in talent, decarbonization and emerging tech becomes the watchword for IT services

Services is still people, even as compelling new forces like ESG and emerging technologies challenge IT services vendors

Even with a rush of emerging technologies and responses to the pandemic at the forefront of IT services vendors’ strategies and client success stories, the fundamentals of IT services remain rooted in people — in recruiting, training and deploying the right talent to solve IT-related business problems and staff enterprise IT needs. The changes TBR expects in 2022, including new competitors in the war for talent, new opportunities around decarbonization and accelerated adoption of emerging technologies, will not substantially alter IT services vendors’ business models. Differentiation among the vendors, in offerings, capabilities and financial performances, will come more through execution than strategy, at least in the near term. Vendors more adept at pivoting to new revenue streams and more patient with pressured margins will see greater success beyond 2022, provided they are able to adequately navigate talent challenges in the near term.      ​

The vendors that were ahead of the game in 2019 in portfolio and resource expansion around next-generation technology-enabled solutions are experiencing revenue growth improvement in 2021. New growth initiatives, such as around product engineering, supply chain improvement and sustainability, along with steady investments in areas such as hybrid cloud, AI, security, IoT, blockchain and industry-specialized offerings, will continue to expand vendors’ addressable market opportunities and support revenue growth acceleration into 2022. Virtual delivery enables increased productivity but pushes employee utilization to the limits and supports a surge in attrition. Managing talent to market demand, especially as macroeconomic conditions improve and digital exhaustion continues, will be key as IT services vendors strive to ensure service quality requirements are met.​

While the COVID-19 pandemic remains an external factor that can negatively affect IT services spending, subsiding pressures thanks to global vaccine rollouts indicate a potential for continued revenue growth acceleration from the 6% year-to-year revenue growth during the full year 2021 for the 30 vendors in TBR’s IT Services Vendor Benchmark. Moving into 2022, revenues will be driven by a mix of three activities: short-term projects around operational resilience and running businesses; larger transformational engagements that enable clients to improve their business models; and innovation engagements that allow clients to do something completely different — all supported through technology solutions and services.​

2022 IT services predictions

  • Focus on talent management, refined during the pandemic, will recede in a post-pandemic environment
  • The decarbonization shift from promises to actual results opens a massive opportunity for IT services
  • Blockchain winter ends and 5G & edge bloom in 2022, bringing new enhanced revenue streams to IT services

Send me a free copy of TBR’s Top 3 Predictions for IT Services in 2022

Telecom Business Research’s 2022 Predictions is a special series examining market trends and business changes in key markets. Covered segments include cloud, telecom, devices, data center, and services & digital.