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Trends we’re watching in 2025:
- Scale, innovation and even repatriation will moderate cloud market growth in 2025
- Microsoft will narrow the gap with AWS in IaaS & PaaS market share, en route to leadership in 2027
- SaaS vendors will shrug off growing GenAI disillusionment, focusing on the long term by prioritizing GenAI agents within their development strategies
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DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: General Dynamics Technologies
/by John Caucis, Senior AnalystGDT is not going to give up on the federal health market or on consulting, but TBR anticipates the vendor will increasingly prioritize defense opportunities in the interim, such as a recently awarded contract worth up to $5.6 billion to manage the DOD’s Mission Partner Environment. The DOD has historically been GDT’s largest client and was responsible for more than 58% of its revenue in 1Q25. While the Trump administration is asking for a 23% reduction in nondefense discretionary funding in its FFY26 budget proposal, it wants to keep the DOD’s discretionary spending roughly on par with the $892.5 billion stopgap for FFY25. GDIT is well positioned to capitalize on the DOD becoming increasingly interested in emerging technologies, given its experience with fixed-price and outcome-based contracting.
DOGE Federal IT Vendor Impact Series: IBM Federal
/by John Caucis, Senior AnalystCACI believes demand will remain strong through the remainder of its FY25 and into its FY26 for technologies and capabilities at the core of the company’s portfolio. Uninterrupted sales growth and consistent margin performance indicate CACI’s offerings remain well aligned to the Trump administration’s IT investment priorities, particularly as the new administration prepares to expand investment in cybersecurity, national security and national defense, and advanced space-based communications systems for defense, intelligence and civil applications. CACI executives also noted that the federal budget environment is slowly becoming more constructive and more transparent, a positive harbinger for CACI and its fellow federal IT contractors.