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Trends we’re watching in 2025:
- Scale, innovation and even repatriation will moderate cloud market growth in 2025
- Microsoft will narrow the gap with AWS in IaaS & PaaS market share, en route to leadership in 2027
- SaaS vendors will shrug off growing GenAI disillusionment, focusing on the long term by prioritizing GenAI agents within their development strategies
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6G’s Fate Depends on the Level of Government Intervention
/by Chris Antlitz, Principal Analyst6G will ultimately happen, and commercial deployment of 6G-branded networks will likely begin in the late 2020s (following the ratification of 3rd Generation Partnership Project [3GPP] Release 21 standards, which is tentatively slated to be complete in 2028). However, it remains to be seen whether 6G will be a brand only or a legitimate set of truly differentiated features and capabilities that bring broad and significant value to CSPs and the global economy.
Federal IT Spending Will Remain Robust in FFY25 Amid AI Prioritization
/by John Caucis, Senior AnalystSince coming into office, the Biden administration has fueled an unprecedented federal IT bull market. While the White House’s proposed federal civilian technology budget of $75.1 billion for federal fiscal year 2025 (FFY25) is the smallest increase in several years (up less than 1% compared to $74.5 billion in FFY24), it is still an increase of more than 14% from $65.8 billion in FFY23, and up 25% from $60.1 billion in FFY21, the last year of the prior administration. FFY25 has started with a continuing resolution (CR), as have most of the last several fiscal year. The impact of the latest CR on the largest federal systems integrators may be limited to shorter-cycle programs in their order books, but some disruptions to larger, longer-term engagements are not out of the question.