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Big Nine are building digital ecosystems; cloud, connectivity, platforms and other initiatives all point to this end state

Big Nine build digital ecosystems; cloud, connectivity, platforms and other initiatives all point to this end state

Big Nine aim to own the foundational, intelligent innovation platforms of the digital economy

The Big Nine — Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOGL), Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN), Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), Facebook (Nasdaq: FB), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), Rakuten and Tencent — view 5G and distributed computing as innovation platforms on top of which value will be created in the digital economy. The Big Nine are building “brains” in their central cloud environments that will autonomously orchestrate and manage the fundamental platforms upon which the digital economy will be built.

A recent example of this trend by the Big Nine to own the intelligence layer and build these platforms is seen in Microsoft’s recent actions, whereby the company acquired Affirmed Networks and Metaswitch (pending) and struck partnerships with ecosystem providers such as Federated Wireless to build out digital marketplaces that enable end users to consume network resources directly from the cloud.

The Webscale ICT Market Landscape includes key findings, market size, customer adoption, operator positioning and strategies, geographic adoption, vendor positioning and strategies, and acquisition and alliance strategies and opportunities.

The Big Nine are trailblazing paths to economic value of the digital era; incumbent players need to determine their roles

Big Nine aim to own the foundational, intelligent innovation platforms of the digital economy

The Big Nine — Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOGL), Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN), Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), Facebook (Nasdaq: FB), Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT), Rakuten  and Tencent — view 5G and distributed computing as innovation platforms on top of which value will be created in the digital economy. The Big Nine are building “brains” in their central cloud environments that will autonomously orchestrate and manage the fundamental platforms upon which the digital economy will be built.

A recent example of this trend by the Big Nine to own the intelligence layer and build these platforms is seen in Microsoft’s recent actions, whereby the company acquired Affirmed Networks and Metaswitch (pending) and struck partnerships with ecosystem providers such as Federated Wireless to build out digital marketplaces that enable end users to consume network resources directly from the cloud.

Over time, webscales will become the centerpieces and backbones of the global digital economy and will enable the ecosystem, which includes communication service providers, to innovate and participate in the value creation of the digital economy.

The Webscale ICT Market Landscape includes key findings, market size, customer adoption, operator positioning and strategies, geographic adoption, vendor positioning and strategies, and acquisition and alliance strategies and opportunities.

Super 7 webscale total capex spend will reach $123B in 2022

Infographic showing webscale "Super 7" capex forecast for 2017 through 2022

 

Data center builds and expansions as well as AI investment drive growth

According to Technology Business Research, Inc.’s (TBR) 3Q18 Webscale ICT Market Landscape, webscale ICT capex for the “Super 7” will grow at a 26.2% CAGR from 2017 to 2022 to more than $69 billion as these top webscales aim to future-proof business-critical infrastructure and map network capacity to data traffic growth, which is expected to increase exponentially through the forecast period.

Webscales are investing tens of billions of dollars in new data centers, either to support their core businesses or to increase the scale of their cloud services businesses. Capex spend is spiking in 2018 as many of the Super 7 build new facilities on land they acquired in 2017. Amazon’s 30.4% year-to-year ICT capex growth rate in 2018 is noticeably lower than that of its peers, which is largely due to its leading presence in the cloud services market. Challengers Microsoft, Alphabet and Alibaba will grow 2018 ICT capex 73.6%, 100.3%, and 101.6%, respectively, year-to-year in a bid to catch up to market leader Amazon Web Services.

The OEM landscape is being upended as webscales embrace ODMs and open-source technology. A growing number of ODMs aim to take share from incumbent hardware vendors such as Cisco and Dell EMC. Webscales often possess the talent necessary to design their own equipment, then outsource production to an ODM. In these instances, the software is disaggregated from the hardware and the code is written by webscale software engineers. This threat gives webscales negotiating power over incumbents. Some vendors, such as Cisco, mitigating the threat from ODMs with acquisitions, strong customer relationships and litigation.

For more information, contact Senior Analyst Michael Soper at [email protected].

Technology Business Research, Inc. announces 3Q18 webinar schedule

HAMPTON, N.H. (May 22, 2018) — Technology Business Research, Inc. (TBR) announces the schedule for its 3Q18 webinar series.

July 11          Wallet vs. will: Transformation of government technology adoption

Aug. 8           Revenue growth drivers and opportunities in the IT services market

Aug. 15        IoT vendor roles

Sept. 12       Going inside customers’ minds to predict the future of cloud

Sept. 19       Webscale ICT market update

Sept. 26       The value imperative: Healthcare IT services vendors reorient around value-centric models of care delivery and payment

TBR webinars are held typically each Wednesday at 1 p.m. ET and include a 15-minute Q&A session following the main presentation. Previous webinars can be viewed anytime on TBR’s website.

For additional information or to arrange a briefing with our analysts, please contact TBR at [email protected].

 

ABOUT TBR

Technology Business Research, Inc. is a leading independent technology market research and consulting firm specializing in the business and financial analyses of hardware, software, professional services, and telecom vendors and operators. Serving a global clientele, TBR provides timely and actionable market research and business intelligence in a format that is uniquely tailored to clients’ needs. Our analysts are available to address client-specific issues further or information needs on an inquiry or proprietary consulting basis.

TBR has been empowering corporate decision makers since 1996. For more information please visit www.tbri.com.

 

 

Webscale ICT market update

Webscales are focused on building out their global cloud empires while investing in emerging areas, such as artificial intelligence, machine learning and other cutting-edge technologies, to obtain a competitive advantage in the market and unlock new revenue streams. Webscales also remain focused on leveraging new technologies to bridge the digital divide, which includes bringing network connectivity to the unserved and better connectivity to the underserved peoples of the world. Join senior analysts Chris Antlitz and Michael Soper for an in-depth and exclusive review of TBR’s most recent Webscale ICT Market Landscape.

Super 7 webscale ICT capex spend will reach over $63B by 2022, driven by investments in network capacity and data center builds and expansions

HAMPTON, N.H. (March 2, 2018) According to Technology Business Research, Inc.’s (TBR) 1Q18 Webscale ICT Market Landscape, Super 7 webscale ICT capex will grow at a 19.5% CAGR to over $63 billion in 2022 as these companies continue to invest in network capacity to support traffic growth, and data center builds and expansions to support their cloud businesses. Microsoft and Alphabet are leveraging strong ICT capex spend to help Azure and Google Cloud close the market share gap with Amazon Web Services (AWS).

Additionally, the Super 7 are developing machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) features that will become table stakes for cloud providers, though development is not capex-intensive. Cloud providers are investing in AI and ML to differentiate their core solutions, but the market for these technologies is nascent.

“AWS is the leading IaaS provider by revenue, but Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud are growing revenue faster than the incumbent due to years of data center investment across geographies. Microsoft is closing the gap quickly and will challenge AWS in the short term, while Google, which was later to the market, is more of a long-term threat,” said Michael Soper, a senior analyst at TBR. “Beyond data centers, webscale companies are making undersea cable investments to support cloud and video traffic growth. Alphabet, Amazon, Facebook and Microsoft will continue to build these networks to carry traffic across oceans and typically partner with each other as they do so.”

After significant ramp-up in network infrastructure and services spending among the Super 7 in 2017, incumbent vendors will likely experience volatility in the webscale market in 2018. Vendors are coping with a lower level of loyalty from webscale companies, when compared to their traditional customers, as they leverage contract manufacturers and/or their own design teams for new infrastructure. The success of ODMs such as Quanta, Arista, SuperMicro and Celestica, along with new efforts to capitalize on the webscale market from IT services providers, will further fragment the supplier landscape.

TBR’s Webscale ICT Market Landscape tracks the ICT-related initiatives of the seven largest webscale companies in the world, known as the Super 7, which includes Alibaba, Alphabet, Amazon, Baidu, Facebook, Microsoft and Tencent. The report provides a market assessment, deep dives into company strategies and analyzes capex trends, particularly as they pertain to ICT. Vendors are also covered from the perspective of relative opportunities with webscale companies as customers.

For additional information about this research or to arrange a one-on-one analyst briefing, please contact Dan Demers at +1 603.758.1803 or [email protected].

 

ABOUT TBR

Technology Business Research, Inc. is a leading independent technology market research and consulting firm specializing in the business and financial analyses of hardware, software, professional services, and telecom vendors and operators. Serving a global clientele, TBR provides timely and actionable market research and business intelligence in a format that is uniquely tailored to clients’ needs. Our analysts are available to address client-specific issues further or information needs on an inquiry or proprietary consulting basis.

TBR has been empowering corporate decision makers since 1996. For more information please visit www.tbri.com.