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NFV/SDN will account for over one-quarter of CSP capex and external opex spend in 2022

HAMPTON, N.H. — According to Technology Business Research, Inc.’s (TBR) latest NFV/SDN Telecom Market Forecast, covering 2017 to 2022, mainstream adoption of NFV/SDN is now set for the early 2020s due to operators encountering challenges with migration.

“Despite challenges, operators will push forward with NFV/SDN and will scale their investments in these technologies,” said TBR Telecom Senior Analyst Chris Antlitz. “Operators must transform to stay relevant and competitive in the digital era, and NFV/SDN is a critical component of that transformation.”

During the forecast period, 5G will also serve as an underlying catalyst for increased NFV/SDN spend. 5G will push operators to adopt a new network architecture, and virtualization will be a critical aspect of networks.

TBR’s annual NFV/SDN Telecom Market Forecast projects spend on NFV, SDN and related services across key segments globally and by region.

Additional research on the NFV and SDN markets can be found in TBR’s NFV/SDN Telecom Market Landscape and Telecom Software Mediated Networks (NFV/SDN) Customer Adoption Study, which cover the operator and vendor landscapes and operator purchasing decisions regarding NFV and SDN, respectively.

For additional information about this research or to arrange a one-on-one analyst briefing, please contact Dan Demers at +1 603.929.1166 or [email protected].

 

ABOUT TBR

Technology Business Research, Inc. is a leading independent technology market research and consulting firm specializing in the business and financial analyses of hardware, software, professional services, and telecom vendors and operators. Serving a global clientele, TBR provides timely and actionable market research and business intelligence in a format that is uniquely tailored to clients’ needs. Our analysts are available to address client-specific issues further or information needs on an inquiry or proprietary consulting basis.

TBR has been empowering corporate decision makers since 1996. For more information please visit www.tbri.com.

TIS margins declined in 2017 as vendors invested in service delivery evolution, including automation, tools and training

HAMPTON, N.H. — According to Technology Business Research Inc.’s (TBR) 2017 Telecom Infrastructure Services (TIS) Margin Benchmark, Tier 1 telecom vendor average TIS margins declined year-to-year in 2017 due mainly to restructuring at Ericsson, though growing investment in R&D, particularly for professional services, also had an impact.

“Vendors invested in service delivery evolution to stay ahead of adverse TIS market trends, such as legacy decommissioning and growing SI complexity,” said TBR Telecom Senior Analyst Michael Soper. “Professional services in particular is a focus area for vendors as they invest in tools and training to cope with increasing network complexity.”

Ericsson’s restructuring impacted all facets of its services business, driving margins down across the board. The company’s contract exit and rescoping activity hurt margins in 2017, but will enable Ericsson to emerge on better footing by the end of restructuring in 2019.

Except for Ericsson, vendors grew their maintenance margins, offsetting the impact of legacy infrastructure decommissioning with an influx of support revenue for recently deployed gear in China. Vendors are investing in automation in this space to sustain high margins where the full impact of legacy decommissioning and software-mediated networking are felt.

TBR’s 2017 Telecom Infrastructure Services Margin Benchmark provides annual analysis of deployment services, maintenance services, professional services and managed services margins for Tier 1 telecom suppliers. Suppliers covered include Ericsson, Huawei, Nokia and ZTE.

For additional information about this research or to arrange a one-on-one analyst briefing, please contact Dan Demers at +1 603.929.1166 or [email protected].

 

ABOUT TBR

Technology Business Research, Inc. is a leading independent technology market research and consulting firm specializing in the business and financial analyses of hardware, software, professional services, and telecom vendors and operators. Serving a global clientele, TBR provides timely and actionable market research and business intelligence in a format that is uniquely tailored to clients’ needs. Our analysts are available to address client-specific issues further or information needs on an inquiry or proprietary consulting basis.

TBR has been empowering corporate decision makers since 1996. For more information please visit www.tbri.com.

 

 

NFV and SDN begin to yield cost savings and prepare carriers to be competitive in the digital era

HAMPTON, N.H. (July 3, 2018) — Commercial deployments of NFV and SDN are aggressively moving forward, with nearly all leading Tier 1 operators having adopted or planning to adopt NFV and/or SDN by the end of this year, according to Technology Business Research Inc.’s (TBR) 1H18 Telecom Software Mediated Networks (NFV/SDN) Customer Adoption Study.

“The cost savings of network virtualization and automation is becoming more evident,” said TBR Telecom Senior Analyst Michael Soper. “Carriers are leveraging NFV and SDN capabilities, as well as integrating cognitive technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) to evolve to a zero-touch network that can automate performance management and maintenance functions to prevent network faults and reduce expenses. The industry is in the very early stages of this trend.”

WAN virtualization is a top priority for service providers as they implement solutions including SD-WAN and WAN optimization into their portfolios. Service provider revenue growth from software-mediated network services, particularly SD-WAN, is accelerating, but the lion’s share of WAN revenue continues to stem from traditional services such as MPLS.

The supplier landscape shows incumbent vendors, particularly hardware suppliers, remain entrenched with service providers, but face disruption within certain use cases and with respect to commoditization. The study indicates incumbent hardware providers are best-positioned for providing NFV and SDN solutions across domains, with startups, open source players and cloud-centric vendors infrequently mentioned by respondents. Still, incumbents will face disruption with respect to certain VNFs, such as vEPC and vRAN, and the most significant threat remains hardware pricing, the area in which the overwhelming majority of respondents expect to see cost savings due to commoditization and the shift in spend to the software layer.

As the software-mediated market matures, software-centric vendors will be better-positioned than hardware-focused competitors. Additionally, vendors with highly automated service delivery and remote delivery capabilities can help service providers reduce opex tied to NFV and SDN.

TBR’s Telecom Software Mediated Networks (NFV/SDN) Customer Adoption Study provides an in-depth examination of how operators are planning, preparing and executing to succeed in the NFV and SDN market. TBR surveyed 25 of the leading Tier 1 telecom service providers worldwide to gain insight into their NFV and SDN adoption plans. The study includes insight into service provider strategy, as well as service providers’ perceptions of supplier positioning and key benefits and obstacles.

For additional information about this research or to arrange a one-on-one analyst briefing, please contact Dan Demers at +1 603.929.1166 or [email protected].

 

ABOUT TBR

Technology Business Research, Inc. is a leading independent technology market research and consulting firm specializing in the business and financial analyses of hardware, software, professional services, and telecom vendors and operators. Serving a global clientele, TBR provides timely and actionable market research and business intelligence in a format that is uniquely tailored to clients’ needs. Our analysts are available to address client-specific issues further or information needs on an inquiry or proprietary consulting basis.

TBR has been empowering corporate decision makers since 1996. For more information please visit www.tbri.com.

State of the NFV/SDN telecom market

5G will support growth in the deployment and professional services markets, while slowing the decline of maintenance spend due to decommissioning and NFV/SDN

HAMPTON, N.H. (May 31, 2018) — According to Technology Business Research, Inc.’s (TBR) Telecom Infrastructure Services North America Market Forecast 2017-2022, the North America telecom infrastructure services (TIS) market will grow through the forecast period for three key reasons: Tax reform will stimulate capex investment; digital transformation initiatives will drive spend; and 5G investment will be pulled forward and accelerated by the big four operators in the U.S. to obtain or retain a competitive advantage. Spend pertaining to these overarching trends will be partly offset by cost savings from legacy infrastructure decommissioning, cloud, and NFV/SDN as well as synergies that are realized from M&A. TBR estimates the market will grow at a CAGR of 0.6% from 2017 to 2022.

“The big four operators in the U.S. intend to commercially deploy 5G as soon as late 2018, with deployments set to ramp up in 2019 and through the remainder of the forecast period,” said TBR Telecom Senior Analyst Michael Soper. “5G requires significant investments in fiber and upgrades in the network backbone and access layer, all of which will drive spend on TIS. 5G will slow the pace of decline in the maintenance market in the later years of the forecast period, but will not return the maintenance market to growth due to the aforementioned decommissioning and NFV/SDN.”

Vendors largely showed growth in North America in 2017. Although vendors with hardware exposure had flat or declining TIS revenue, suppliers grew sales if they had services and software portfolios aligned to operator transformation needs. Ericsson’s revenue declined predominantly due to the rescoped Sprint managed services contract. Cloud service provider spend remains robust in the U.S., helping Accenture and Nokia post growth in the region despite ongoing weak spend by telecom operators. Other vendors, particularly Juniper, are also obtaining a greater portion of TIS revenue from cloud service providers. Looking toward 2018 and beyond, IT services firms and software-centric companies, particularly Accenture, Amdocs, Tech Mahindra and Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), are best positioned to help operators capitalize on the digital economy.

TBR’s Telecom Infrastructure Services North America Market Forecast provides annual analysis and forecasting of the deployment, maintenance, professional services and managed services markets for network and IT suppliers.

For additional information about this research or to arrange a one-on-one analyst briefing, please contact Dan Demers at +1 603.929.1166 or [email protected].

 

ABOUT TBR

Technology Business Research, Inc. is a leading independent technology market research and consulting firm specializing in the business and financial analyses of hardware, software, professional services, and telecom vendors and operators. Serving a global clientele, TBR provides timely and actionable market research and business intelligence in a format that is uniquely tailored to clients’ needs. Our analysts are available to address client-specific issues further or information needs on an inquiry or proprietary consulting basis.

TBR has been empowering corporate decision makers since 1996. For more information please visit www.tbri.com.

Operators rely on open source to alleviate integration challenges

Timeline to adoption of NFV and SDN is being delayed from initial projections

The ability to reduce capex will initially be the largest cost benefit realized by adopters of NFV and SDN as software-mediated technologies enable operators to significantly reduce spend on proprietary hardware. Reducing opex will be a longer process as most operators will maintain both legacy and virtualized environments until they are ready to migrate fully to virtualized infrastructure. — Senior Analyst Michael Soper, TBR’s 1Q18 NFV/SDN Telecom Market Landscape

As the telecom industry drives open source for interoperability more operators benefit from NFV and SDN, but incumbent suppliers face significant disruption

HAMPTON, N.H. (April 12, 2018) — According to TBR’s 1Q18 NFV/SDN Telecom Market Landscape, open-source groups will spur NFV and SDN adoption by establishing industry standards that foster interoperability among a broader range of solution providers. Operators are also facilitating NFV and SDN adoption by targeting new hires with relevant skill sets, retraining existing employees and launching internal startups to quickly improve their resource pools. Cost savings is the primary driver for accelerated NFV and SDN adoption, but these benefits will be realized gradually.

“The ability to reduce capex will initially be the largest cost benefit realized by adopters of NFV and SDN as software-mediated technologies enable operators to significantly reduce spend on proprietary hardware,” said TBR Telecom Senior Analyst Michael Soper. “Reducing opex will be a longer process as most operators will maintain both legacy and virtualized environments until they are ready to migrate fully to virtualized infrastructure.”

As operators pursue cost reduction through NFV and SDN, incumbent vendors face numerus threats to their business models and disruption on multiple technology fronts. Industry trends are moving against the vendor community, with incumbent vendors, particularly hardware-centric vendors, poised to struggle the most. Operators globally are focused on significantly reducing the cost of network operations and capex, underscored by a desire to disaggregate the black box and commoditize the hardware layer. White-box-based universal customer premises equipment is the leading application of industry-standard hardware thus far, but operators are targeting additional domains, including the core and edge network.

The NFV/SDN Telecom Market Landscape includes key findings, market size, customer adoption, operator positioning and strategies, geographic adoption, vendor positioning and strategies, and acquisition and alliance strategies and opportunities.

For additional information about this research or to arrange a one-on-one analyst briefing, please contact Dan Demers at +1 603.929.1166 or [email protected].

 

ABOUT TBR

Technology Business Research, Inc. is a leading independent technology market research and consulting firm specializing in the business and financial analyses of hardware, software, professional services, and telecom vendors and operators. Serving a global clientele, TBR provides timely and actionable market research and business intelligence in a format that is uniquely tailored to clients’ needs. Our analysts are available to address client-specific issues further or information needs on an inquiry or proprietary consulting basis.

TBR has been empowering corporate decision makers since 1996. For more information please visit www.tbri.com.

As the telecom industry drives open source for interoperability more operators benefit from NFV and SDN, but incumbent suppliers face significant disruption

HAMPTON, N.H. (April 12, 2018) — According to TBR’s 1Q18 NFV/SDN Telecom Market Landscape, open-source groups will spur NFV and SDN adoption by establishing industry standards that foster interoperability among a broader range of solution providers. Operators are also facilitating NFV and SDN adoption by targeting new hires with relevant skill sets, retraining existing employees and launching internal startups to quickly improve their resource pools. Cost savings is the primary driver for accelerated NFV and SDN adoption, but these benefits will be realized gradually.

“The ability to reduce capex will initially be the largest cost benefit realized by adopters of NFV and SDN as software-mediated technologies enable operators to significantly reduce spend on proprietary hardware,” said TBR Telecom Senior Analyst Michael Soper. “Reducing opex will be a longer process as most operators will maintain both legacy and virtualized environments until they are ready to migrate fully to virtualized infrastructure.”

As operators pursue cost reduction through NFV and SDN, incumbent vendors face numerus threats to their business models and disruption on multiple technology fronts. Industry trends are moving against the vendor community, with incumbent vendors, particularly hardware-centric vendors, poised to struggle the most. Operators globally are focused on significantly reducing the cost of network operations and capex, underscored by a desire to disaggregate the black box and commoditize the hardware layer. White-box-based universal customer premises equipment is the leading application of industry-standard hardware thus far, but operators are targeting additional domains, including the core and edge network.

The NFV/SDN Telecom Market Landscape includes key findings, market size, customer adoption, operator positioning and strategies, geographic adoption, vendor positioning and strategies, and acquisition and alliance strategies and opportunities.

For additional information about this research or to arrange a one-on-one analyst briefing, please contact Dan Demers at +1 603.929.1166 or [email protected].

 

ABOUT TBR

Technology Business Research, Inc. is a leading independent technology market research and consulting firm specializing in the business and financial analyses of hardware, software, professional services, and telecom vendors and operators. Serving a global clientele, TBR provides timely and actionable market research and business intelligence in a format that is uniquely tailored to clients’ needs. Our analysts are available to address client-specific issues further or information needs on an inquiry or proprietary consulting basis.

TBR has been empowering corporate decision makers since 1996. For more information please visit www.tbri.com.