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HPE’s array of hybrid workplace offerings provides silver lining for customers amid the pandemic

HPE bundles its existing portfolio in a GreenLake wrapper

When CEO Antonio Neri initially announced in June 2019 that HPE (NYSE: HPE) will offer everything “as a Service” by 2022, many were skeptical that the plan would resonate with the market as a whole. It was clear that pockets of customers would buy into this offer, particularly in the SMB space, where pricing can have a greater impact. But for major customers, the conversation often boiled down to something as trivial as where to put the expense on the balance sheet for stakeholders. However, considering the changing market dynamics over the last six months due to the pandemic, this aggressive marketing campaign could not have come at a better time. Because HPE has been pushing GreenLake hard since 2019, the vendor is now serendipitously ahead of peers on its “as a Service” offerings.

HPE’s “as a Service” push is directly related to increases in IT sprawl. “Sprawl” is a concept the IT industry has grappled with for decades. Prior to distributed IT environments, the term was used to describe the increase in the variety of workloads in each environment. Now, it is used when describing a single-pane-of-glass management console to ease the burden placed on IT personnel when managing a diverse environment of IT infrastructure. Sprawl is now the upshot of the increasingly diverse application of technology to business, or digital transformation. Diverse applications lead to diverse IT requirements, from the edge to the core to the cloud, making cloud an integral piece of the story and establishing the importance of bundled solutions that provide business outcomes, which is precisely what GreenLake can provide.

GreenLake does come at a premium, as software and services are baked into hardware deals consumed through this model in many cases, but pricing it as a monthly subscription makes these solutions more available and affordable to firms with less capital support. HPE GreenLake clearly resonates with customers, as key competitors Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) and Lenovo both formalized their own consumption-based pricing offerings after GreenLake began to gain traction, although Dell Technologies did have informal offerings emerge around the same time as GreenLake initially. With COVID-19, the edge becomes increasingly more important as organizations deploy new workloads in their factories, office spaces and retail locations to ensure public safety while returning to work.

HPE’s workplace portfolio of solutions is attractive for several reasons. HPE’s existing infrastructure portfolio is augmented by HPE Aruba’s connectivity engine and associated services through HPE Pointnext Services, which combines expertise across workplace networking and IoT. The combined offering is then layered with GreenLake and sold as a use-case-based package to end customers, the primary benefits being the efficiencies gained in conjunction with the fact that the solutions are positioned and sold as business outcomes. Essentially, HPE takes care of the grunt work normally weighing down the end user but offers increased manageability and increased control at a reduced effort through GreenLake, leveraging the existing expertise within its organization to reimagine how the world of knowledge-based employees works and what is necessary to make it operate seamlessly in a hybrid model.

IT vendors are poised to solve the challenges that have arisen in the wake of the COVID-19 outbreak, and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) is a prime example of a vendor that, in response to the pandemic, is addressing previously unforeseen challenges by formalizing offerings pertaining to the workplace. Hybrid working was a pre-existing trend that COVID-19 has accelerated. However, for those individuals working in a knowledge-based field or with school-aged children, how they work and learn has fundamentally and permanently shifted. Further, people with non-knowledge-based jobs, many of whom lost work due to COVID-19, will find in-person work again, and these jobs will also see a fundamental shift in how they are performed to ensure safety and productivity. HPE’s announcements today at Workplace Next highlight how the company’s portfolio can be leveraged to ease customers’ COVID-19 mandated digital transformations.

As digital transformation matures, customers voice their concerns about data and scale

This week TBR wraps up its 2019 digital transformation insights research with our Voice of the Customer report, in which Senior Analyst Boz Hristov notes, “More buyers are beginning to embark on full transformations as new technologies promising faster, scalable outcomes push buyers to ramp investments and AI and analytics gain mindshare. Vendors can take advantage of buyers’ increased investments in AI and analytics and demonstrate tangible ROI, but only if they can guarantee they are using cleansed data.”

Additional assessments publishing this week from our analyst teams

“Forging closer relationships with clients in select regions enables opportunities to upsell and cross-sell emerging solutions and attach services as clients continue to modernize IT environments. HPE provides the infrastructure needed to modernize clients’ IT environments, creating opportunities for HPE Pointnext’s expertise around close-to-the-box services and solutions.” Kevin Collupy, Analyst

“TBR’s 3Q19 Dell Technologies report dives deep into the complex market dynamics impacting the vendor’s go-forward path. Ongoing server market softness has caused some pivots within the Infrastructure Solutions Group’s initial 2019 goals, and VMware’s transition to more of a subscription sales model coupled with the associated expenses of completed and pending acquisitions add wrinkles to the vendor’s financial story.” Stephanie Long, Analyst

“The 3Q19 Hewlett Packard Enterprise report tunes its lens to the implications of Antonio Neri’s Everything as a Service by 2022 goal. The impact of this goal will be felt, both positive and negative, throughout the next year as the vendor’s financials adjust to a subscription selling model from a transaction selling model and as customer demand for consumption-based pricing is increasingly satisfied by these changes.” — Stephanie Long

 “As Accenture wraps up 2019 we expect the company to continue to capitalize on its momentum, targeting Diamond clients by deploying industrialized, AI-enabled solutions. We expect Industry X.0 and other similar initiative to further support the company’s efforts to secure core revenues as buyers embark on broad-based transformation initiatives.” — Boz Hristov

“As discussed in TBR’s Hyperconverged & Converged Market Landscape, the emergence of public cloud competition in the private cloud market, as vendors seek to capitalize on the rising trend of hybrid cloud adoption, has created unique and complex dynamics for hyperconverged infrastructure (HCI) vendors to navigate in the HCI space. These vendors not only continue to grapple with hardware commoditization and the ongoing emphasis on software in HCI sales, but now also face an additional angle of competition from the public cloud side, as Amazon Web Services makes Outposts generally available and Microsoft’s Azure Stack increasingly resonates with customers for hybrid cloud. On the other hand, HCI’s applicability to the edge is also resonating and creates additional pockets of opportunity for HCI vendors. Similar market dynamics are being noted in TBR’s upcoming Hyperconverged Platforms Customer Research, which examines the market through a customer-centric lens.” — Stephanie Long

HPE telco vertical ‘key gateway’ for future growth

“According to analyst firm Technology Business Research (TBR), the vendor’s previously ‘marginalised’ Communications and Media Solutions (CMS) has received new life amid the global business transformation sweep. 

“In particular, the changes prompted by 5G, edge computing, artificial intelligence (AI) and automation will become a ‘key growth pillar’ for HPE as new opportunities emerge in the telecommunications industry.

“In particular, the vendor is in a prime position in the management and orchestration (MANO), 5G core and digital identity spaces, TBR claimed. 

“Although the proportion of CMS revenue is relatively small, TBR principal analyst Chris Antlitz claimed the unit is ‘reestablishing itself’ and now receiving the necessary funding and support to drive this.” — ARN, IDG Communications

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HPE’s CMS unit reemerges as a software-centric contender in the new network architecture

TBR perspective  

TBR believes HPE’s CMS unit has the potential to become a significant disruptor in the telecom space. CMS, which had been marginalized in prior years while Hewlett Packard Co. split into HP Inc. and HPE and as HPE executed divestitures, restructurings and developed a new strategy, has received new life after obtaining corporate sponsorship from HPE’s relatively new CEO, Antonio Neri, and CFO, Tarek Robbiati, who was formerly the CFO at Sprint (NYSE: S). CMS leadership reports directly to Robbiati. With the C-Suite and board of directors providing corporate support, the telecom vertical will become a key growth pillar for HPE going forward, given the technology transformation and business model transformation that is being prompted by 5G, edge computing, AI and automation. 

The CMS unit represents only a small percentage of HPE’s total revenue, but the unit is a key gateway into emerging opportunities that are impacting the telecom vertical. CMS is reestablishing itself in the market as a growth engine for HPE corporate and is receiving the funding and support required to drive its portfolio, particularly in the management and orchestration (MANO), 5G core, and digital identity spaces. TBR believes CMS is positioned to be a key vendor in the new network architecture, which will be microservices-based, cloud-native and distributed.

CMS faces some notable hurdles, including the negative perception of its capabilities that followed the bad press it received as a supplier and the prime systems integrator for Telefonica’s (NYSE: TEF) software-defined transformation initiative back in 2015. The company was eventually replaced by several other suppliers. TBR believes the lingering effects of this situation have hindered CMS’ growth over the past few years, but notes that CMS has put the incident in its rearview mirror and is making significant headway moving forward.

CMS’ mindshare and credibility are moving in a positive direction, and the unit is gaining significant traction in CSP accounts, particularly for its Service Orchestrator and NFV Director MANO offerings. CMS has an impressive roster of CSP customers and has played a behind-the-scenes role in several significant network transformation projects, including SK Telecom (NYSE: SKM) and Vodafone (Nasdaq: VOD). These reference wins will be critical to positioning HPE as a contender in new RFPs, particularly in disruptive areas such as MANO and 5G core.

CMS is challenged by OSS domain incumbents like Amdocs (Nasdaq: DOX) and Ericsson (Nasdaq: ERIC), which CSPs will be reluctant to move on from due to possible migration and integration issues. This hesitancy could also prohibit the majority of CSPs from altering their procurement models to adopt more modular solutions, as webscales have done. CMS’ portfolio is increasingly aligned to this trend. The most difficult challenge may be delivering on helping CSPs become more than the connectivity provider or “dumb pipe” in a 5G world. Vendors will be jockeying to deliver this dream, but HPE may be better served focusing on providing the solutions that will enable CSPs to run the most efficient, cost-effective networks possible.

HPE (NYSE: HPE) hosted its first ever North America Communications and Media Solutions (CMS) Analyst Summit in Boston, bringing along top leadership from the company’s CMS business, who delved into CMS’ strategy and portfolio as well as key customer wins and success stories. Following executive presentations, which were interactive in nature, with industry analysts able to pose questions to presenters, analysts received one-on-one time with CMS VP and General Manager Phil Mottram, CMS Chief Technology Officer Jeff Edlund, CMS VP of R&D and Delivery Mark Colaluca, and CMS VP of Product Strategy and Lifecycle Management Domenico Convertino.

With CMS recently emerging from the shadows of HPE’s Pointnext business and retooling its portfolio to align with demand from communications service providers (CSPs), executives were upbeat about CMS’ ability to take market share and compete with highly entrenched incumbent vendors and startups alike.

TBR’s Quantum Computing Market Landscape details emerging uses cases, economic disruption and alliances

TBR’s first Quantum Computing Market Landscape focuses on multiple facets of the quantum computing market, exploring the vendor landscape of a variety of competing hardware vendors with differing quantum theories, as well as software services and security vendors playing in the quantum computing space. Emerging customer sentiments, as well as recent alliances, emerging use cases and economic disruption are all themes explored within this first iteration of the report. A previous TBR special report by Analyst Stephanie Long looked at the “economic advantage” of quantum computing, and our May Digital Transformation Insights Report: Emerging Technology put the consulting and services around quantum in the context of digital transformation. The new market landscape builds on all TBR’s research and analysis to date.

 And don’t forget to sign up for Stephanie’s July 24 webinar, Quantum computing leaps into customers’ transformation-centric conversations.

Additional assessments publishing this week from our analyst teams

TBR’s Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s (HPE) full report, scheduled to publish June 14, further explores the vendor’s quarterly performance and deep dives into HPE’s infrastructure strategy amid recent and ongoing changes. The report provides greater details on themes covered in the initial response, which published May 24, including how commoditization continues to take its toll on infrastructure vendors’ bottom lines, increasing competition and encouraging more nuanced strategies to get ahead. It also talks about competitive changes in the server landscape hindering HPE as well as its peers and touches on the various strategies playing out in the consumption-based pricing realm, which is a key strategic focus for HPE. Stephanie Long, Analyst

TBR’s Hosted Private Cloud Market Forecast, publishing Wednesday, details how growth will persist up and down the hosted private cloud stack despite the relative cost-effectiveness of public cloud options. IBM remained the vendor to beat overall in 2018, while Microsoft is expected to take on significant additional market share through 2023 as it expands its portfolio of hybrid delivery options and migrates its legacy Office and Dynamics customers to cloud-native versions. — Cassandra Mooshian, Senior Analyst

TBR is publishing the 1Q19 DXC Technology (DXC) report June 14. DXC reported revenue of $5.3 billion, a year-to-year decline of 5.4%, pressured by the completion of several large contracts without replacement and ongoing headwinds in legacy applications work. DXC continues to execute its aggressive cost-cutting initiatives including headcount reduction and facility rationalization, which are being reinvested into funding its active M&A strategy, optimizing service delivery, and developing standardized and automated service delivery capabilities.” Kevin Collupy, Analyst

HPE Pointnext report will publish June 14 and will discuss how HPE is beginning to reap the benefits of its Next initiative, reducing its global footprint to focus on profitable regions. Pointnext continues to act as a key profit generator for the company, enabling investments both internally and through acquisitions to generate new innovative solutions around its core infrastructure offerings.” — Kevin Collupy, Analyst

On June 13 TBR will publish its semiannual Alibaba Cloud report. This report discusses the current investments Alibaba is making to win share from public cloud leaders, namely Amazon Web Services (AWS), and the progress the business is making in doing so. TBR also discusses recent changes to Alibaba Cloud’s leadership structure and the growing importance to the broader Alibaba Group that these changes signify. Meaghan McGrath, Senior Analyst

TBR’s upcoming 1Q19 Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) report details how BAH wrapped up its FY19 with robust top-line expansion and record revenues and solid earnings, which in turn enabled BAH to reward shareholders with the largest quarterly dividend increase in recent memory. BAH’s performance reflect a soundly differentiated market position and close alignment of its technology and consulting solutions with the missions of its federal customers. BAH is well positioned to sustain its FY19 performance in FY20 in a federal IT market burgeoning with opportunities for IT modernization and the integration of advanced technologies. John Caucis, Senior Analyst

Lastly, if you haven’t already, sign up now for the this week’s webinar, The Makings of the Telecom Edge Compute Market.

5G-related investment fuels vendor growth; greenfield 5G and Industry 4.0 opportunities emerge

U.S. cable operators and Dish Network are exploring building out their own 5G networks

Rakuten’s mobile broadband network deployment demonstrates that vendors must be aware of new opportunities to deploy 5G networks for customers that do not currently own mobile broadband networks. In November Dish Network selected Ericsson to supply a radio access and core network for Dish’s Narrowband IoT (NB-IoT) network, which is expected to be completed in March 2020. Dish, which has been closely watching Rakuten’s build-out, is also contemplating a nationwide 5G network, on which it could spend up to $10 billion. Cable operators Comcast, Charter and Altice, which are currently mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs) of Tier 1 mobile operators, are contemplating greenfield 5G network builds as well.

Industry 4.0 will drive demand for cellular connectivity within the enterprise, but not for a few years

TBR’s research suggests that Industry 4.0, which includes mass 5G adoption globally, will not ramp up until between 2022 and 2025, at which point business cases will be proven, justifying an increase in market spend on ICT infrastructure. Cellular technologies, namely LTE and 5G, have better uplink and security capabilities, and lower latency than Wi-Fi, all of which are necessary as enterprises begin to use network technology for mission-critical workloads rather than “best effort” communications. Certain vendors, namely Nokia, Huawei and Cisco, are better positioned than others to capitalize on this trend as they sell both directly and indirectly into enterprises, as well as through communication service providers (CSPs). Ericsson, in contrast, plans to go to market almost exclusively through CSPs, which will place it at a disadvantage as many large enterprises will want private networks.

TBR’s Telecom Vendor Benchmark details and compares the initiatives and tracks the revenue and performance of the largest telecom vendors in segments including infrastructure, services and applications as well as in geographies including the Americas, EMEA and APAC. The report includes information on market leaders, vendor positioning, vendor market share, key deals, acquisitions, alliances, go-to-market strategies and personnel developments.

TBR Weekly Preview: March 18-22

In addition to this week’s vendor analysis, TBR Senior Analyst John Caucis will host a webinar Wednesday, March 20, sharing his insights on the state of the healthcare IT services market and the 2019 HIMSS mega-event. 

Furthermore, TBR analysts will be attending several events this week, so be on the lookout for special reports on Accenture, SAP and Oracle as early as next week.

Monday

  • Despite its top-tier innovation and optimistic messaging, Oracle struggles to find incremental growth outside its cloud ERP portfolio. While traction around autonomous database builds, these ERP inroads present an opportunity for Oracle to more effectively craft a story across its integrated cloud applications and platform capabilities. TBR’s initial findings can be accessed today, but read more on the subject in our 1Q19 Oracle Cloud full report publishing in April. (Meaghan McGrath leads TBR’s analysis of Oracle.)

Wednesday

  • HP Inc. delivered corporate growth of 1.3% year-to-year, a significant slowdown after five quarters of double-digit growth. During the company’s 4Q18 earnings call, executives discussed challenges within HP Inc.’s profitable print supplies business, but slowed growth in its commercial printing and overall PC businesses indicates the problem is broader. Slowing consolidation opportunities and rising opposition from its peers in the PC market will increasingly challenge HP Inc., whose PC business composes most of its top line. In addition, the CPU shortage has been more impactful to HP Inc.’s wider portfolio. Read our full report to find how HP Inc. will navigate these challenges throughout 2019, including growing its Device as a Service portfolio and supporting its sales channels to build a bulwark for upcoming PC share wars. (See Dan Callahan for more analysis.)

Thursday

  • According to TBR estimates, Dell Technologies achieved $23.8 billion in revenue, up 8.6% year-to-year in 4Q18. Gross profit increased 20.7% year-to-year, highlighting Dell Technologies’ successful improvement in overall profitability. In TBR’s 4Q18 full report on the company, we will dive into the performance of key business units. Within Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), TBR believes aggressive market share expansion in both servers and storage will be a key focus for at least the first half of 2019, which will result in investments in direct sales, ISG’s channel partner program and portfolio enhancements. In Client Solutions Group, Dell Technologies will continue to benefit from shrinking memory prices as well as the CPU shortages, which will drive profitability up during 2019. From a corporate perspective, 2019 will see tightened integration between the vendor’s strategically aligned companies. (See Stephanie Long for more analysis.)
  • In this quarter’s analysis of Dell EMC Services, TBR will highlight how Dell Technologies integrating preconfigured services solutions around core infrastructure technology competencies enables Dell EMC Services to attach profitable and recurring services revenue streams. (Kevin Collupy leads TBR’s analysis of Dell EMC Services.)
  • In 4Q18 Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) reported corporate revenue of $7.6 billion, down 1.6% year-to-year. TBR estimates total cloud revenue reached $1.9 billion, up 3.1% year-to-year, as HPE continued to invest in its cloud portfolio and capitalize on customer demand for hybrid IT solutions. HPE’s leaner business and ongoing restructuring efforts through HPE Next allow HPE Cloud to focus on and invest further in its core areas of strength, namely hybrid infrastructure and edge computing for IoT and telecommunications use cases. (Cassandra Mooshian leads TBR’s coverage of HPE Cloud.)
  • VMware’s top-line growth continues to outpace that of its software peers in TBR’s Infrastructure Management Software Vendor Benchmark. In 4Q18 VMware experienced its strongest quarter since 3Q14, with revenue growth of 16.4% year-to-year to $2.6. Revenue growth was buoyed by strong adoption across VMware’s emerging product lines, with vSAN revenue growing 60% year-to-year and Hybrid Cloud and SaaS revenue growing 35% in the same time period. Further, the company is successfully packaging solutions around hybrid management to increase deal sizes and reported a company-record 23 deals in excess of $10 million during the quarter. (Cassandra Mooshian leads TBR’s coverage of VMware.)
  • Huawei is taking a prominent role in setting standards for 5G and launching solutions to help operators implement 5G services, which has led to key early commercial 5G-related contracts in EMEA and APAC. While security concerns around 5G will persist, Huawei will continue to grow revenue in 2019 largely due to its Consumer and Enterprise business units, which are taking share from incumbents.(Michael Soper leads TBR’s coverage of Huawei.)

Friday

  • According to TBR’s 1Q19 Telecom IoT Market Landscape, TBR estimates global communication service provider (CSP) IoT revenue rose 25.6% year-to-year to $22.3 billion in 2018. Despite sustaining strong revenue growth, TBR estimates global CSP IoT revenue accounted for only 1% of consolidated global CSP revenue in 2018, which is insufficient for most service providers to offset erosion within challenged segments such as legacy network services. To maximize IoT revenue opportunities long term, CSPs are focusing on attracting customers by implementing more cost-efficient network technologies such as NB-IoT and LTE-M, targeting high-value contracts in areas such as smart cities and healthcare, and by positioning to support next-generation IoT solutions integrating technologies such as 5G and edge computing. (Steve Vachon is TBR’s lead analyst covering the Telecom IoT space.)

TBR Weekly Preview: March 11-15

We’re going all over the technology space this week, with reports spanning U.S. federal government IT services to long-established hardware and data center providers, plus a couple of European-centric companies.

Wednesday:

  • Talent continues to be the constraining factor on ManTech’s bright revenue growth outlook. Focus in defense and intelligence segments of the U.S. federal market on innovation creates healthy demand for ManTech’s labor-based technical services offerings, such as R&D, testing and evaluation of emerging technology. As a smaller competitor compared to many of its large prime peers in the federal sector, ManTech acutely feels the resource impacts of the security clearance backlog and overall tight labor market. TBR’s 4Q18 ManTech report, written by Senior Analyst Joey Cresta, will explore how ManTech uses adaptive learning, continuous monitoring software and new leadership hires to address the human capital challenges associated with scaling up its labor base to meet robust client demand.

Thursday:

  • As detailed in our initial response, Lenovo achieved its sixth consecutive quarter of year-to-year revenue gains, reporting $14 billion in revenue in 4Q18, up 8.5% from the year-ago compare, even as consolidation opportunities cool in the PC market. Despite these high notes for Lenovo exiting 2018, the company will still face hurdles over the next two years. Its PC and Smart Devices businesses will have to deal with challenging and shifting PC environments. Data Center Group continues to deliver on its promises, but it remains in the red despite improvements to its bottom line. Lenovo’s Mobile business is still teetering in profitability. Read our full report by Analyst Dan Callahan to find how Lenovo will navigate these challenges and tee up for a seventh consecutive quarter of revenue growth in 1Q19. 
  • Our detailed assessment of Atos will note that the company’s Digital Transformation Factory portfolio accounted for 30% of revenue in 2018, up from 23% of revenue in 2017, positively affected by increased activities with clients in areas such as orchestrated hybrid cloud, Digital Workplace and cybersecurity. As Senior Analyst Elitsa Bakalova will report, Atos’ efforts to position as a trusted partner for clients’ digital journeys are starting to pay off, and the new digital services strategy will shape the company’s activities over the next three years.
  • As reported in our initial response, Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s (HPE) revenue fell 1.6% year-to-year to $7.6 billion. While revenue growth is always a goal, TBR believes HPE is more focused on improving profitability in the near term before it shifts to boosting revenue growth. In our full report Analyst Stephanie Long will dive into the long-term strategy of CEO Antonio Neri and how it will impact 2019. Key cost-cutting initiatives and strategic investments, such as in high-performance computing and the edge, will be likely highlights in 2019.
  • Analyst Kelly Lesiczka will be reporting that T-Systems’ portfolio and organizational investments continue to improve its ability to gain wallet share in newer areas and stabilize revenue growth in 2018. Building out its emerging technology portfolio offerings, such as for IoT using DT’s product offerings, enables T-Systems to provide more comprehensive and personalized solutions to clients and generate larger-scale engagements to accelerate growth.

As promised, we published a new report last week by Senior Analyst Boz Hristov on Accenture Technology, and today published a report on TELUS International from Boz as well as a report on Mobile World Congress Barcelona 2019 by Principal Analyst Chris Antlitz.

While we do not have a webinar scheduled for this Wednesday, the next one will be on March 20 featuring Senior Analyst John Caucis talking about healthcare IT services.

5G-readiness spend and migration to new network architectures spur the TIS market to growth in 3Q18

According to Technology Business Research, Inc.’s (TBR) 3Q18 Telecom Infrastructure Services (TIS) Benchmark, the TIS market grew as communication service provider (CSP) investment in areas tied to 5G-readiness increased. CSPs are rearchitecting their networks leveraging NFV, SDN and the cloud as well as implementing new business models, which requires growing spend across a broad range of professional services. Deployment services spend grew slightly, but the market will strengthen as the 5G spend cycle ramps up over the next couple of years, although the spend intensity will be lower than during the LTE cycle. RAN suppliers Nokia (NYSE: NOK), Ericsson, Huawei, ZTE and Samsung will capture incremental TIS market share as they drive high volumes of services attached to their 5G RAN. This is already occurring to some extent as CSPs densify networks as part of their 5G-readiness strategies. Though 5G will require significant hardware spend, the aggregate amount will be lower compared to LTE, which will drive vendors to explore new market areas, such as Industry 4.0.

The managed services market was flat year-to-year in 3Q18 as a decline in outsourcing was offset by growth in the out-tasking market. Generally, vendors are exercising pricing discipline when determining which outsourcing contracts to take on in an effort to improve margins. Ericsson is currently leading the way in this regard as it evaluates 42 contracts for exit or rescoping. Huawei, ZTE and CCS have been less concerned with price and are focused on consolidating the outsourcing market. Other vendors, including those that are historically hardware-centric with little to no footprint in the managed services market, are increasingly playing in out-tasking as they will manage applications deployed in CSP networks. Ciena (NYSE: CIEN) is an example of this trend.

 

 

TBR’s Telecom Infrastructure Services Benchmark provides quarterly analysis of the deployment, maintenance, professional services and managed services markets for network and IT suppliers. Suppliers covered include Accenture (NYSE: ACN), Amdocs, Atos, Capgemini, CGI, China Communications Services, Ciena, Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO), CommScope, CSG International, Ericsson, Fujitsu, Hewlett Packard Enterprise (NYSE: HPE), Huawei, IBM (NYSE: IBM), Infosys (NYSE: INFY), Juniper Networks (NYSE: JNPR), NEC, Nokia (NYSE: NOK), Oracle (NYSE: ORCL), Samsung, SAP (NYSE: SAP), Tata Consultancy Services, Tech Mahindra, Wipro (NYSE: WIT) and ZTE.

U.S. 5G investment supports non-China-based vendors as Huawei and ZTE face increasing headwinds

Nokia and Huawei are well-positioned to win as operators overhaul architectures in the 5G era, but most of the spend to date is on 5G radios, with Ericsson at an advantage due to market perception of its software-upgradeable Ericsson Radio System RAN. The network must ultimately be overhauled to fully realize 5G’s potential, but it will take CSPs many years to evolve their networks end-to-end, and the current focus — and 5G-related capex spend — will be on 5G radios. In the 5G RAN space, TBR believes Ericsson leads in market share. Nokia and Huawei, however, have broad portfolios that enable them to enter 5G accounts from multiple domains.

Graph showing 3Q18 revenue, year-to-year growth and operating margin for vendors in TBR's Telecom Vendor Benchmark

 

 

The Telecom Vendor Benchmark details and compares the initiatives and tracks the revenue and performance of the largest telecom vendors in segments including infrastructure, services and applications as well as in geographies including the Americas, EMEA and APAC. The report includes information on market leaders, vendor positioning, vendor market share, key deals, acquisitions, alliances, go-to-market strategies and personnel developments.